Chase Jaworsky

2B Beloit Sky Carp
Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 171 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2309ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AHOU328.233/.336/.34642847—.182/.269/.260
202521A+MIA286.228/.353/.33843165—.199/.304/.289
202622A+MIA268.241/.338/.36262457—.199/.274/.295
2027PROJMLE23MLBMIA1.198/.281/.2850068-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBMIA58.203/.286/.29912730.0
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBMIA113.206/.288/.30824760.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%80
Whiff%72
Speed71
K%66
Chase%60
BB%53
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%
CompsTsung-Che Cheng (age 23) · Leon Johnson (age 23) · Ryan Rogowski (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .281 / .285
PA1
HR0
K%26
BB%8
BABIP260
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Arb-1$0.2M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202319 ROKFCL Astros — 3832 9000 660 00 281395281676 346 1616 324 47 — — — — — —
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 328283 662004 296815 286 233336346683 113292 219 315 47 — — — — — —
202521 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 286237 541024 346412 314 228353338691 110292 2212 319 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 268232 56816 32562 245 241338362700 121291 2112 318 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202319 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 3834 7000 480 00 206289206495 282 2111 238 47 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 328292 531403 209115 286 182269260529 79246 286 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 286246 49923 258412 314 199304289593 89272 299 264 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 268241 48615 23712 245 199274295569 95252 269 252 57 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 3834 7000 480 00 206289206495 269 2111 238 47 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 3832 9000 660 00 281395281676 346 1616 324 47 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 328292 531403 209115 286 182269260529 79251 286 237 47 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 328283 662004 296815 286 233336346683 113292 219 315 47 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 286246 49923 258412 314 199304289593 89286 299 264 65 — — — — — —
202521 A+ RAWBeloit Sky Carp — 286237 541024 346412 314 228353338691 110292 2212 319 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 268241 48615 23712 245 199274295569 95257 269 252 57 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWBeloit Sky Carp — 268232 56816 32562 245 241338362700 121291 2112 318 57 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 3834 7000 480 00 206289206495 282 2111 238 47 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 328290 531403 209115 286 183269262531 79246 286 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 286247 49923 258412 314 198304287591 89272 299 264 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 268241 48615 23712 245 199274295569 95252 269 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 328290 531403 209115 286 183269262531 79246 286 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 286247 49923 258412 314 198304287591 89272 299 264 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 268241 48615 23712 245 199274295569 95252 269 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIA 0% 378336 691315 31978 173 205287298585 93268 268 269 68 -14 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 198281285566 87260 00 262 68 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIA 30% 191169 35613 16484 71 210292313604 103270 258 276 73 -6 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
202925 MLB MLEMIA 44% 255227 49915 21645 92 213294322616 109272 258 281 76 -7 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.0
203026 MLB MLEMIA 51% 307272 591116 26766 102 214296327623 112272 258 283 78 -8 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203127 MLB MLEMIA 52% 332295 631216 28836 102 215296328625 113273 258 284 78 -9 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203228 MLB MLEMIA 53% 344306 661217 29866 92 215296328624 113273 258 284 78 -9 +1 -1 +1 +7 0.0
203329 MLB MLEMIA 53% 341303 641216 29866 72 213293322615 110272 259 280 76 -10 +1 -1 +1 +7 -0.2
203430 MLB MLEMIA 56% 334297 621116 28856 61 210290315604 105270 258 276 73 -11 +1 -2 +1 +7 -0.4
202824 MLB CTXMIA 30% 5852 11201 5151 20 203286299585 96262 269 269 73 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202925 MLB CTXMIA 44% 113101 21402 9282 41 206288308596 102263 258 273 76 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.0
203026 MLB CTXMIA 51% 156139 29513 13393 51 207290313602 105264 258 275 78 -4 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.0
203127 MLB CTXMIA 52% 174154 33613 15433 51 208290314604 106264 259 276 78 -4 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.1
203228 MLB CTXMIA 53% 183163 34613 15463 51 208289314603 106265 258 276 78 -5 +1 -0 +1 +4 0.0
203329 MLB CTXMIA 53% 179159 33613 15453 41 206287308595 103263 258 272 76 -5 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.1
203430 MLB CTXMIA 56% 189168 35613 16483 41 203284301585 98262 258 268 73 -6 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1052936 19635518 8826418 296 209290315605 106270 258 273 70 -30 +3 -2 +4 +23 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 12122311 5416311 184 209289315604 106270 258 273 70 -18 +2 -1 +2 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 31832824 5841071152 26282371 14828 207290308598 101270 268 271 70 -66 +8 -4 +8 +49 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 12022211 5416814 306 208292310602 102271 268 271 70 -19 +2 -1 +2 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 268 PAwOBA .313 → .252 (−61)K% 20.9% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.90%÷1.000×1.270——26.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.94%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0128.58%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.790—×1.0120.60%
Singles /BIP23.30%÷1.000×0.920×0.959×1.01220.80%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.810×0.959×1.0123.57%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷1.000×0.850×0.959×1.0120.47%
Home runs /BIP3.41%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0122.76%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .313 → .252; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .291 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 286 PAwOBA .314 → .264 (−50)K% 22.4% → 29.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.38%÷0.972×1.270——29.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.89%÷0.978×0.710—×1.0278.87%
HBP% /PA4.20%—×0.790—×1.0273.40%
Singles /BIP21.97%÷1.028×0.920×1.031×1.02720.82%
Doubles /BIP5.78%÷0.961×0.810×1.031×1.0275.16%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.000×0.850×1.031×1.0271.04%
Home runs /BIP2.31%÷1.006×0.800—×1.0271.89%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .314 → .264; ISO .110 → .091; BABIP .292 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 328 PAwOBA .308 → .237 (−71)K% 20.7% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.73%÷1.020×1.360——27.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.84%÷1.024×0.690—×1.0306.13%
HBP% /PA4.57%—×0.780—×1.0303.67%
Singles /BIP19.53%÷1.038×0.920×0.981×1.03017.49%
Doubles /BIP9.30%÷1.132×0.830×0.981×1.0306.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.981×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP1.86%÷1.118×0.800—×1.0301.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .308 → .237; ISO .113 → .080; BABIP .292 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Astros · 38 PAwOBA .317 → .238 (−79)K% 15.8% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.79%÷1.058×1.440——21.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.007×0.620—×1.0089.80%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP34.62%÷1.014×0.820—×1.00828.21%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.379×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 112, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .238; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .346 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).