Chase Jaworsky — OGILVIE

Chase JaworskySS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 171 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .269 / .278

PA112

HR1

SB6

K%28

BB%7

BABIP262

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	38	34	7	0	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	206	289	206	495		269	21	11	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	38	32	9	0	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	281	395	281	676		346	16	16	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	328	295	49	12	0	3	17	93	15	28	6	166	248	237	485	71	230	28	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	328	283	66	20	0	4	29	68	15	28	6	233	336	346	683	113	292	21	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	286	246	45	9	2	3	25	92	12	31	4	183	290	272	562	89	275	32	9	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	286	237	54	10	2	4	34	64	12	31	4	228	353	338	691	110	292	22	12	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	MIA	—	169	154	22	3	1	1	13	53	1	14	3	143	214	195	409	52	208	31	8	182	-2	-20	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.2
YTD	22	A+	MIA	—	169	149	26	4	1	1	18	39	1	14	3	174	268	235	503	60	227	23	11	238	40	-11	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
ROS	22	A+	MIA	0%	112	100	19	4	1	1	8	32	3	6	1	189	269	278	547	89	251	28	7	240	42	-7	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						247	0	0	220	27	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	MIA	—	170	155	22	3	1	1	13	53	1	14	3	142	213	194	407	52	206	31	8	182	-2	-20	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.2
TOT	22	A+	MIA	—	281	254	41	7	2	2	21	85	4	20	4	161	236	228	464	67	230	30	7	205	15	-27	+2	+0	+3	+8	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIA	35%	322	287	54	11	1	4	25	89	7	13	2	188	270	275	545	87	256	28	8	256	54	-17	+2	+0	+3	+9	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	MIA	46%	398	356	71	14	2	7	31	107	8	14	3	199	278	309	587	110	260	27	8	266	62	-17	+2	+0	+4	+11	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	MIA	52%	441	394	79	15	2	8	35	117	9	14	3	201	281	310	590	109	262	27	8	272	66	-17	+2	+0	+5	+12	0.2
2030	26	MLB	MIA	54%	466	416	84	16	2	9	37	123	10	14	3	202	283	315	598	113	263	26	8	275	68	-17	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.3
2031	27	MLB	MIA	54%	476	424	85	16	2	9	39	126	10	14	3	200	283	311	595	111	263	26	8	275	68	-17	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.3
2027	23	MLB	MIA	35%	111	99	18	4	0	1	9	31	2	4	1	182	264	253	516	71	252	28	8	236	39	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	MIA	46%	184	164	32	6	1	3	14	49	4	6	1	195	275	299	574	104	256	27	8	247	47	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	MIA	52%	228	203	40	8	1	4	18	60	5	7	1	197	279	305	584	108	257	26	8	253	52	-12	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2030	26	MLB	MIA	54%	253	226	46	9	1	5	20	67	5	8	1	204	283	319	601	115	258	26	8	256	54	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2031	27	MLB	MIA	54%	258	230	46	9	1	5	21	68	5	7	1	200	281	313	594	113	258	26	8	256	54	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1035	923	182	36	4	18	82	275	21	32	5	197	278	303	581	106	258	27	8	251	51	-58	+4	+0	+11	+29	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	115	23	3	11	51	173	13	20	3	198	278	305	583	107	261	27	8	251	51	-36	+3	+0	+7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2867	2552	493	97	12	44	221	787	74	134	25	193	277	292	569	99	259	27	8	260	58	-138	+17	+0	+31	+81	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	112	22	3	10	50	178	17	30	6	193	277	294	571	100	259	27	8	260	58	-31	+4	+0	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	38	32	9	0	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	281	395	281	676		346	16	16	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	328	283	66	20	0	4	29	68	15	28	6	233	336	346	683	113	292	21	9	315	99	-0	+3	—	—	+9	1.2
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	286	237	54	10	2	4	34	64	12	31	4	228	353	338	691	110	292	22	12	319	103	+1	+5	—	—	+8	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,036	19	33	202	280	312	+11	+6	0.3	0.4
	/162	664	12	21	202	280	312	+7.1	+3.8	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Jaworsky (OGILVIE)	22	40	35	60	50	161/236/228	67	230	2	20	30%	7%	15	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	41→44	38→45	53→60	39	201/254/277	77	281	6	21	30%	6%	44	-2.1	195/265/299	104	268	10	28	29%	8%	55	-1.4	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Cole Tucker 2018 · AA	22	46	39→45	56→55	44	218/272/306	88	294	5	24	27%	7%	59	-1.1	219/277/324	105	287	8	20	25%	7%	66	-0.6	211/274/331	120	275	10	12	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	42→49	41→40	56→65	43	206/268/297	91	286	8	31	30%	7%	56	-1.3	209/269/280	71	310	6	23	32%	7%	51	-1.7	201/265/253	52	304	5	24	33%	8%	39	-1.3
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	211/269/283	72	288	6	16	28%	7%	52	-1.6	224/284/319	95	288	9	18	24%	7%	68	-0.5	227/292/316	89	272	11	27	20%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Ayendy Perez 2016 · A	22	49	35→30	56→60	48	227/284/289	62	288	1	25	21%	7%	59	-1.1	223/273/284	61	331	2	20	31%	6%	53	-1.5	228/273/271	43	352	0	26	33%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	47	42→45	57→55	50	224/306/337	113	303	7	21	27%	10%	82	+0.5	210/274/324	114	288	10	18	29%	8%	65	-0.7	193/262/293	100	274	11	19	32%	8%	49	-1.2
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/269/295	94	278	3	19	28%	8%	55	-1.4	223/281/321	98	288	7	11	24%	7%	67	-0.5	227/285/322	95	286	8	8	22%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Corey Adamson 2014 · A	22	44→49	37→40	53→50	47	209/278/284	75	286	4	18	27%	8%	56	-1.3	230/294/345	115	304	10	15	26%	7%	79	+0.3	238/302/379	141	305	12	15	25%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Fadriel Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	39→30	57→55	49	204/279/291	87	278	5	25	27%	9%	59	-1.1	193/273/280	87	299	7	17	34%	9%	54	-1.4	166/250/233	67	258	8	19	36%	9%	30	-1.2
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	43→52	38→45	54→60	43	209/260/285	76	279	5	15	26%	6%	48	-1.9	228/273/311	83	320	4	23	28%	6%	59	-1.1	236/281/319	83	327	4	28	28%	5%	62	-0.7
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	43	39→45	54→55	45	207/270/301	93	254	6	21	20%	6%	57	-1.2	209/281/312	103	254	11	18	21%	8%	66	-0.6	196/272/287	90	235	10	17	21%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	46→48	39→40	61→65	44	220/280/308	88	290	6	31	25%	7%	63	-0.8	207/260/286	79	295	5	32	30%	6%	49	-1.8	194/246/265	71	285	4	34	32%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Thomas Coyle 2014 · A	23	49→50	40	58→55	51	232/303/331	99	293	6	21	22%	9%	79	+0.3	209/277/302	93	295	6	20	29%	8%	61	-1.0	192/262/280	88	279	6	22	31%	8%	46	-1.3
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	221/291/321	100	275	4	25	20%	8%	71	-0.3	219/287/304	85	272	5	25	20%	8%	66	-0.6	216/288/287	71	262	5	32	18%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4