Johnathan Rogers
P
FCL Tigers
Age 21
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%22.6%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 62.5% | -62.5% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 11.02 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 62.5% | -62.5% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 18.10 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 11 | 9 | 38 | 161 | 31 | 18 | 3 | 82% | 3.5 | 13.1% | 14.0% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 3.52 | 5.35 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 11 | 9 | 38 | 161 | 31 | 18 | 3 | 82% | 3.5 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 3.52 | 3.91 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 6 | 1 | 12 | 64 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 17% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 13.7% | 2.3% | 8.6% | 4.38 | 8.22 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 6 | 1 | 12 | 64 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 17% | 2.1 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 4.38 | 5.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 12 | 0 | 19 | 86 | 24 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.0% | 17.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 3.26 | 3.71 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 32 | 139 | 36 | 17 | 2 | — | — | 25.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 3.74 | 4.01 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 31 | 10 | 71 | 319 | 48 | 51 | 10 | 32% | 2.3 | 14.9% | 16.1% | -1.1% | 3.2% | 3.93 | 5.63 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 28 | 200 | 899 | 134 | 144 | 29 | 32% | 2.3 | 14.9% | 16.1% | -1.1% | 3.2% | 3.93 | 5.63 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Johnathan Rogers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.29 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 89 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 85 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 83 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 82 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 82 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 82 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 82 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 82 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 81 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 81 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 81 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 80 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.56 | 19.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .250 | 5.44 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 117 | +1.88 | 3.56 | 133 | 80 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 80 |
| Zac Ryan R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 79 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.65 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .275 | 4.67 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 43 | +0.02 | 4.65 | 140 | 79 |
| Gerlin Rosario R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.79 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .294 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 139 | +0.78 | 2.91 | 233 | 79 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 79 |
| Sean Boyle R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 79 |
| Owen Holt R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 79 |