Clevari Tejada P Bradenton Marauders
Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 204 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.2 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148139vR 130
ERA5.75
FIP5.75
K%12.0%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%-2.2%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
K: -5.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -6.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-6BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +6.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: -0.56 (78 IP)-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.50.60.60.60.50.3+$24M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†3045
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Arb-1$3M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202318ROKDSL Pirates Black4416611630100%3.917.8%6.1%11.7%0.0%2.302.37
202318ROKDSL Pirates Black4416611630100%3.926.2%4.9%21.3%0.0%2.301.63
202419MIX2 levels207682955233635%3.412.4%13.6%-1.3%3.2%4.485.55
202419MIX2 levels207682955233635%3.417.6%11.2%6.4%2.0%4.484.17
202520ABradenton Marauders2623923947440488%3.513.9%12.0%1.9%1.5%4.994.28
202520ABradenton Marauders2623923947440488%3.518.8%10.2%8.6%1.0%4.993.36
▸ 2026 Season
202621ABradenton Marauders4314591412075%3.517.6%24.0%-6.4%0.0%1.934.66-0.0
ROS21MLBPIT13136427233387100%5.012.0%14.1%-2.2%2.7%5.755.75-0.8
ROS21MLBPIT012.0%14.1%-2.2%2.7%5.745.74
2026 TOT21MLBPIT783314750714.1%15.2%-1.2%2.2%5.075.55-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBPIT13136828542378100%5.214.9%12.8%2.1%2.7%5.445.32-0.5
202823MLBPIT13137029649368100%5.416.7%12.1%4.6%2.7%5.185.06-0.2
202924MLBPIT13137230454358100%5.517.8%11.6%6.1%2.7%5.004.91-0.1
203025MLBPIT12127330756358100%6.118.3%11.4%6.9%2.6%4.894.83-0.0
203126MLBPIT12127330757358100%6.118.5%11.4%7.1%2.6%4.844.81+0.0
203227MLBPIT12127230356358100%6.018.5%11.5%7.0%2.7%4.854.85-0.0
202722MLBPIT663313921184100%5.514.9%12.8%2.1%2.7%5.435.31-0.3
202823MLBPIT10105121536266100%5.116.7%12.1%4.6%2.7%5.175.05-0.3
202924MLBPIT11116025345297100%5.517.8%11.6%6.1%2.6%4.994.90-0.2
203025MLBPIT11116427049317100%5.818.3%11.4%6.9%2.6%4.884.82-0.1
203126MLBPIT11116627952327100%6.018.5%11.4%7.1%2.6%4.834.80-0.1
203227MLBPIT11116627951327100%6.018.5%11.5%7.0%2.7%4.844.84-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career6060341144025516838100%5.717.7%11.7%6.0%2.7%4.984.54+3.4
/ 200 IP35352008441499822100%5.717.7%11.7%6.0%2.7%4.984.54+2.0
Career54371908091121051669%3.513.9%13.0%0.9%1.9%4.364.63+1.7
/ 200 IP57392008521181111669%3.513.9%13.0%0.9%1.9%4.364.63+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Clevari Tejada (OGILVIE) 5.75 12.0%14.1%2.7% 5.09 16.5%4.3%210 -0.66
Luis Mateo R 2027 · 5.17 FIP 22 SP- 5.17 11.4%14.7%2.1%.315 5.67 15.0%-1.3%55 +0.50 4.52 112 90
Matt Ager R 2027 · 5.81 FIP 22 SP 5.81 10.4%15.5%2.9%.281 5.00 17.1%8.5%70 -0.81 5.00 146 87
Kevin Gowdy R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 21 SP- 5.62 11.1%17.0%2.4%.321 5.82 16.3%6.0%130 +0.20 3.31 333 87
Juan Gomez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP 20 SP- 5.39 10.9%12.6%2.9%.345 3.58 11.2%-0.1%61 -1.81 3.58 113 86
Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP 22 SP- 5.50 15.1%16.7%2.8%.296 6.74 21.2%5.9%21 +1.24 5.50 102 86
Trey Riley R 2026 · 6.03 FIP 21 SP- 6.03 10.6%19.0%2.6%.344 6.14 17.4%5.2%74 +0.11 4.48 227 84
Ismael Cabral R 2026 · 5.11 FIP 21 SP- 5.11 11.6%15.6%1.8%.300 3.40 19.5%4.1%33 -1.71 3.40 146 84
Luis Hernandez R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 21 SP 4.86 16.7%14.0%2.5%.311 6.15 21.4%4.1%64 +1.29 4.16 109 83
Kyle Larsen R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 21 SP- 5.50 15.8%17.9%2.7%.274 5.00 20.2%6.7%77 -0.50 4.71 137 83
Luke Gabrysh R 2027 · 4.59 FIP 22 SP 4.59 13.8%11.8%2.1%.271 5.55 21.8%8.1%59 +0.96 4.59 138 83
Ben Hansen R 2028 · 4.86 FIP 23 SP 4.86 12.5%11.9%2.4%.372 4.29 21.5%13.2%88 -0.57 4.29 149 82
Brooks Auger R 2028 · 5.00 FIP 23 SP- 5.00 11.8%11.8%2.5%.299 3.81 26.3%14.4%46 -1.19 3.81 138 82
Abel Brito R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 21 SP- 4.94 15.7%12.6%2.8%.310 5.83 13.2%-8.6%70 +0.89 4.13 147 82
Will Childers R 2027 · 5.30 FIP 22 SP- 5.30 11.8%12.1%3.0%.305 4.22 20.1%9.0%143 -1.08 3.50 202 82
Nolberto Henriquez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 21 SP- 4.75 16.0%13.4%2.4%.305 5.43 11.3%-3.1%52 +0.68 4.75 108 81
Moises Ruiz R 2025 · 5.62 FIP 20 SP- 5.62 8.7%12.8%3.0%.330 4.57 104 81
Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 5.31 FIP 21 SP- 5.31 15.2%14.0%3.1%.289 7.22 13.9%-0.3%19 +1.91 3.66 117 81
Luis Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.96 FIP 19 SP- 4.96 12.8%12.5%2.5%.328 4.96 111 81
Ivan Vieitez R 2027 · 4.68 FIP 22 SP- 4.68 10.4%14.4%1.1%.369 3.92 12.2%3.8%94 -0.76 3.72 146 81
Jason Savacool R 2027 · 4.79 FIP 22 SP- 4.79 14.9%14.1%2.1%.275 5.02 17.2%4.6%128 +0.23 4.43 225 81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION77016.7%12.1%1.035.12
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Buck Farmer ('24)105021.6%10.5%1.234.59
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82