Clevari Tejada — OGILVIE

Clevari Tejada P Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 204 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.3 · 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 126

ERA5.76

FIP5.76

K%12.0%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%-2.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	4	4	16	61	16	3	0	100%	3.9	17.8%	6.1%	11.7%	0.0%	2.30	2.37	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	4	4	16	61	16	3	0	100%	3.9	17.8%	6.1%	11.7%	0.0%	2.30	2.37	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	4	4	16	61	16	3	0	100%	3.9	26.2%	4.9%	21.3%	0.0%	2.30	1.63	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	7	68	295	52	33	6	35%	3.4	12.4%	13.6%	-1.3%	3.0%	4.48	5.43	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	7	68	295	52	33	6	35%	3.4	12.4%	13.6%	-1.3%	3.0%	4.48	5.43	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	7	68	295	52	33	6	35%	3.4	17.6%	11.2%	6.4%	2.0%	4.48	4.17	—
2025	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	26	23	92	394	74	40	4	88%	3.5	13.9%	12.0%	1.9%	1.4%	4.99	4.22	—
2025	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	26	23	92	394	74	40	4	88%	3.5	13.9%	12.0%	1.9%	1.4%	4.99	4.22	—
2025	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	26	23	92	394	74	40	4	88%	3.5	18.8%	10.2%	8.6%	1.0%	4.99	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	4	3	14	59	14	12	0	75%	3.5	17.6%	24.0%	-6.4%	0.0%	1.93	4.66	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	4	3	14	59	14	12	0	75%	3.5	17.6%	24.0%	-6.4%	0.0%	1.93	4.66	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	PIT	4	3	14	59	14	12	0	75%	3.5	23.7%	20.3%	3.4%	0.0%	1.93	3.67	—
ROS	21	MLB MLE	PIT	1	1	5	23	3	3	1	100%	5.4	12.0%	14.3%	-2.4%	2.7%	5.76	5.76	-0.1
2026 TOT	21	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	19	82	17	15	1	—	—	20.4%	18.7%	1.8%	0.8%	3.00	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	87	367	54	47	10	100%	5.1	14.8%	12.9%	1.9%	2.7%	5.44	5.32	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	90	381	63	46	10	100%	5.3	16.5%	12.0%	4.5%	2.6%	5.18	5.05	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	92	391	69	45	10	100%	5.4	17.6%	11.5%	6.1%	2.6%	5.00	4.90	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	94	396	72	45	10	100%	5.9	18.1%	11.3%	6.8%	2.6%	4.89	4.82	+0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	94	396	72	44	10	100%	5.9	18.3%	11.2%	7.1%	2.6%	4.84	4.80	+0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	92	390	71	44	10	100%	6.2	18.3%	11.3%	7.0%	2.7%	4.84	4.84	+0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	90	378	69	43	10	100%	6.0	18.2%	11.5%	6.7%	2.8%	4.89	4.92	-0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	86	361	65	42	11	100%	6.1	17.9%	11.7%	6.2%	2.9%	4.99	5.05	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	80	339	60	41	11	100%	6.2	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	3.1%	5.13	5.23	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	43	182	27	23	4	100%	5.4	14.8%	12.9%	1.9%	2.5%	5.33	5.21	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	66	279	46	33	7	100%	5.5	16.5%	12.0%	4.5%	2.4%	5.07	4.94	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	77	325	57	37	8	100%	5.5	17.6%	11.5%	6.1%	2.4%	4.89	4.79	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	83	350	63	40	9	100%	5.9	18.1%	11.3%	6.8%	2.4%	4.78	4.71	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	86	363	66	41	9	100%	6.1	18.3%	11.2%	7.1%	2.4%	4.73	4.69	+0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	86	363	66	41	9	100%	6.1	18.3%	11.3%	7.0%	2.5%	4.73	4.73	+0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	84	355	64	41	9	100%	6.0	18.2%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	4.78	4.81	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	81	342	61	40	9	100%	5.8	17.9%	11.7%	6.2%	2.7%	4.87	4.93	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	76	321	56	38	9	100%	5.8	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	2.9%	5.00	5.10	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		117	117	680	2873	507	334	73	100%	5.8	17.7%	11.6%	6.0%	2.5%	4.88	4.48	+3.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	149	98	21	100%	5.8	17.7%	11.6%	6.0%	2.5%	4.88	4.48	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		54	37	190	809	112	105	14	69%	3.5	13.9%	13.0%	0.9%	1.8%	4.36	4.55	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	39	200	852	118	111	15	69%	3.5	13.9%	13.0%	0.9%	1.8%	4.36	4.55	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clevari Tejada (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.76	12.0%	14.3%	2.7%	—	5.09	16.3%	4.2%	270	-0.67	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	90
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	86
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.16	333	86
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	84
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	83
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	82
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	81
Ivan Vieitez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	22	SP-	4.68	10.4%	14.4%	1.1%	.369	3.94	12.2%	3.8%	94	-0.74	3.68	146	81
Moises Ruiz R 2019 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	8.7%	12.8%	3.0%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	104	81
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	81
Luis Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	19	SP-	4.96	12.8%	12.5%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	111	81
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	81
Ramon Santos R 2016 · 5.00 FIP	21	SP-	5.00	12.7%	10.6%	3.0%	.323	4.18	15.6%	5.5%	199	-0.82	3.74	355	80
Abel Duarte R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	21	SP-	4.84	12.5%	10.3%	2.7%	.306	3.93	13.9%	6.7%	79	-0.91	3.19	127	80
Tyler Gough R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP	5.48	13.4%	13.3%	3.3%	.297	3.58	20.0%	6.5%	158	-1.90	3.12	188	80
Dillon Drabble R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	21	SP-	4.60	11.2%	11.6%	1.8%	.370	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	110	80
Stiven Cruz R 2023 · 6.36 FIP	21	SP-	6.36	13.6%	14.8%	4.6%	.312	4.91	17.3%	6.4%	192	-1.45	2.84	426	80
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	79
Gage Stanifer R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	19	SP-	4.78	16.6%	14.9%	2.2%	.342	4.35	24.2%	7.9%	259	-0.43	2.85	301	79
Jefferson Medina R 2015 · 5.12 FIP	21	SP-	5.12	13.1%	16.1%	2.0%	.279	3.89	14.1%	2.6%	187	-1.23	3.56	350	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	87	17.1%	11.9%	1.06	5.07
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36