Titan Kennedy-Hayes P Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 218 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.96
FIP4.96
K%25.2%
BB%16.1%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 117 IP
K: +3.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+3KBB: -9.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-10BBCONTACT: -4.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +15.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+16STAMTotal WAR: +0.59 (117 IP)+0.6WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6060
CMD2030
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202422AClearwater Threshers607275510%1.218.5%18.5%0.0%3.7%3.865.91
202422AClearwater Threshers607275510%1.218.5%18.5%0.0%3.7%3.865.67
202523MIX2 levels40046211663030%1.123.0%17.7%5.4%1.3%4.734.12
202523MIX2 levels40046211663030%1.131.3%14.2%17.1%1.4%4.733.03
▸ 2026 Season
202624A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws24027129392030%1.123.3%17.8%5.4%2.9%5.604.99-0.1
ROS24MLBPHI860903809661110%1.025.2%16.1%9.1%2.9%4.964.96+0.2
ROS24MLBPHI025.2%16.1%9.1%2.9%4.964.96
2026 TOT24MLBPHI117509135811426.5%16.0%10.6%2.7%5.114.97+0.6
2026 FULL24MLBPHI0200025.2%16.1%9.1%2.9%4.964.58-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBPHI870913859856110%1.025.4%14.5%11.0%2.9%4.794.73+0.5
202826MLBPHI870913859854110%1.025.4%13.9%11.5%2.9%4.704.67+0.6
202725MLBPHI37039165422450%1.125.4%14.5%11.0%2.9%4.794.73-0.1
202826MLBPHI58061258663670%1.125.4%13.9%11.5%2.9%4.704.67-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career95010042310860120%1.125.4%14.1%11.3%2.9%4.744.31+1.3
/ 200 IP1900200844216120240%1.125.4%14.1%11.3%2.9%4.744.31+2.5
Career70080367846580%1.122.8%17.8%5.0%2.1%4.954.56+0.4
/ 200 IP1750200918209163190%1.122.8%17.8%5.0%2.1%4.954.56+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Titan Kennedy-Hayes (OGILVIE) 4.96 25.2%16.1%2.9% 4.70 25.4%11.3%182 -0.26
Carlos Contreras R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 24 SU 4.30 22.2%15.6%2.0%.271 4.65 11.9%2.4%40 +0.35 4.30 107 86
Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 24 SU 4.76 22.7%15.4%3.0%.298 4.44 14.7%4.2%171 -0.32 4.07 222 86
Caleb Simpson R 2027 · 5.35 FIP 25 SU 5.35 23.7%17.2%3.8%.263 3.98 23.5%5.1%71 -1.37 3.28 197 85
Tommy Kahnle R 2027 · 4.00 FIP 25 SU 4.00 23.8%14.8%1.9%.284 2.56 30.9%21.0%165 -1.44 1.52 452 85
Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 24 SU 4.88 22.4%14.2%3.4%.327 4.57 21.7%10.8%163 -0.31 3.44 224 85
Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 24 SU 4.23 22.4%13.6%2.4%.331 4.29 16.1%8.0%105 +0.06 3.44 213 84
Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 24 SU 4.90 26.4%16.3%3.6%.278 5.86 20.3%5.0%58 +0.96 4.90 103 84
Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 23.1%15.4%2.6%.290 4.81 16.7%1.8%70 +0.30 2.99 246 83
Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 24 SU 4.56 22.7%12.9%3.2%.293 7.95 14.1%-11.4%13 +3.39 4.55 155 83
Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 24 SU 4.32 25.5%15.7%2.5%.284 4.44 16.7%-5.0%31 +0.12 4.32 127 83
Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 24 SU 4.06 23.9%14.0%2.2%.301 4.32 26.4%12.7%125 +0.26 3.63 172 82
Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 24 SU 3.95 24.3%15.3%1.8%.328 3.42 26.4%17.1%108 -0.53 3.10 218 82
Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 24 SU 4.34 20.9%14.5%2.1%.270 4.39 16.4%2.8%110 +0.05 4.11 172 82
Andre Granillo R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 24 SU 4.34 24.9%15.4%2.5%.228 4.07 22.6%12.7%104 -0.27 3.18 306 82
Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 24 SU 4.55 22.4%13.4%3.0%.282 4.01 23.3%9.5%99 -0.54 2.09 146 82
Gabriel Ponce R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 24 SU 4.73 24.2%15.5%3.1%.291 4.42 161 82
Riley Ferrell R 2026 · 4.43 FIP 24 SU 4.43 24.1%15.6%2.5%.333 4.28 23.1%7.4%55 -0.15 2.83 175 82
Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 24 SU 4.18 22.1%15.2%1.9%.314 4.59 18.2%2.0%53 +0.41 4.18 103 81
Wyatt Olds R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 24 SU 4.59 24.7%16.1%2.8%.284 4.92 24.4%9.4%110 +0.33 2.39 372 81
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 24 SU 4.14 24.8%16.3%1.9%.331 5.88 17.4%-5.5%26 +1.74 3.68 109 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION39125.4%14.8%1.114.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Tyson Ross ('19)410721.3%10.8%0.844.31
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97
Brandon Finnegan ('18)38019.7%11.6%1.574.19
Francisco Liriano ('19)513022.3%11.2%1.094.30