Titan Kennedy-Hayes

Titan Kennedy-Hayes P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 218 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%25.2%

BB%17.9%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CMD2030

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	7	27	5	5	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	3.7%	3.86	5.91	—
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	7	27	5	5	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	3.7%	3.86	5.91	—
2024	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	7	27	5	5	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	3.7%	3.86	5.67	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	46	211	66	30	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	17.7%	5.4%	1.4%	4.73	4.18	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	46	211	66	30	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	17.7%	5.4%	1.4%	4.73	4.18	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	46	211	66	30	3	0%	1.1	31.3%	14.2%	17.1%	1.4%	4.73	3.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	3	45	213	62	36	3	8%	1.2	22.4%	19.4%	3.0%	1.8%	5.56	4.64	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	3	45	213	62	36	3	8%	1.2	22.4%	19.4%	3.0%	1.8%	5.56	4.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	PHI	38	3	45	213	62	36	3	8%	1.2	29.1%	16.9%	12.2%	1.4%	5.56	3.56	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	PHI	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	25.2%	17.9%	7.3%	2.9%	5.19	5.19	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	51	238	68	40	4	—	—	28.7%	17.0%	11.7%	1.6%	5.52	4.70	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	87	0	91	385	98	61	11	0%	1.0	25.4%	15.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.98	4.91	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	87	0	91	385	98	58	11	0%	1.0	25.4%	15.2%	10.3%	2.9%	4.87	4.83	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	85	0	90	379	96	56	11	0%	1.1	25.3%	14.8%	10.4%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	83	0	87	367	92	54	11	0%	1.0	25.1%	14.8%	10.2%	3.0%	4.87	4.91	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	PHI	79	0	83	351	87	53	11	0%	1.1	24.8%	15.0%	9.8%	3.2%	4.97	5.04	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	PHI	74	0	78	330	87	48	11	0%	1.1	26.5%	14.5%	11.9%	3.4%	4.95	4.94	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	PHI	37	0	39	165	42	26	5	0%	1.1	25.4%	15.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.98	4.91	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	58	0	61	258	66	39	7	0%	1.1	25.4%	15.2%	10.3%	2.9%	4.87	4.83	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	66	0	69	291	74	43	9	0%	1.0	25.3%	14.8%	10.4%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	70	0	73	308	77	46	9	0%	1.0	25.1%	14.8%	10.2%	3.0%	4.87	4.91	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	PHI	70	0	73	308	76	46	10	0%	1.0	24.8%	15.0%	9.8%	3.2%	4.97	5.04	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	PHI	67	0	70	296	78	43	10	0%	1.0	26.5%	14.5%	11.9%	3.4%	4.95	4.94	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		367	0	385	1626	413	244	50	0%	1.0	25.4%	15.0%	10.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.53	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	214	127	26	0%	1.1	25.4%	15.0%	10.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		84	3	98	451	101	84	8	4%	1.2	22.5%	18.6%	3.9%	1.7%	5.05	4.50	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	6	200	920	207	171	16	4%	1.2	22.5%	18.6%	3.9%	1.7%	5.05	4.50	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Titan Kennedy-Hayes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	25.2%	17.9%	2.9%	—	4.86	25.4%	10.1%	272	-0.33	—	—	—
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	86
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	84
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	82
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	82
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	81
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	81
Shane Broyles R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	24.3%	15.3%	1.9%	.328	3.62	26.4%	17.1%	108	-0.41	3.34	218	81
Matt Keating R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	22	SU	4.34	23.3%	14.8%	2.4%	.346	4.63	23.2%	9.1%	157	+0.29	3.38	222	81
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	80
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	80
Riley Ferrell R 2018 · 4.38 FIP	24	SU	4.38	24.1%	15.6%	2.5%	.333	4.21	23.1%	7.4%	55	-0.17	2.85	175	80
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	24.8%	16.3%	2.0%	.331	6.20	17.4%	-5.5%	26	+2.02	3.81	109	80
Pat Light R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.37	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.03	4.10	172	80
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	80
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	79
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	79
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	79
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	79
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	25.4%	15.5%	1.16	4.95
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Dinelson Lamet ('23)	1.8	61	30.0%	10.7%	1.29	4.66
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77