Hudson Leach

P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 211 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #414

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX3 levels	27	1	39	3.26	3.98	29.3%	18.6%	—	K 20.5% · BB 20.0% · FIP 5.37
2025	23	MIX4 levels	34	0	39	5.54	2.72	36.6%	14.0%	—	K 31.0% · BB 13.2% · FIP 2.77
2026	24	MIX2 levels	50	0	50	7.51	4.95	20.5%	19.3%	—	K 16.8% · BB 19.6% · FIP 5.25
2027PROJ	25	MLBHOU	67	0	70	5.72	5.72	20.2%	19.9%	-0.9
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBHOU	30	0	31	5.48	5.42	22.4%	18.8%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBHOU	42	0	44	5.38	5.37	22.4%	18.2%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff62Control40Command30FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJeff Ames (age 25) · Kevin Kopps (age 25) · Zane Russell (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%20.2%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%0.2%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6560

CTRL—40

CMD3030

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	1	39	167	49	31	3	4%	1.4	20.5%	20.0%	0.5%	2.7%	3.26	5.37	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	1	39	167	49	31	3	4%	1.4	20.5%	20.0%	0.5%	2.7%	3.26	5.37	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	1	39	167	49	31	3	4%	1.4	29.3%	18.6%	10.8%	1.8%	3.26	3.98	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	0	39	172	63	24	3	0%	1.1	31.0%	13.2%	17.8%	1.1%	5.54	2.77	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	0	39	172	63	24	3	0%	1.1	31.0%	13.2%	17.8%	1.1%	5.54	2.77	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	0	39	172	63	24	3	0%	1.1	36.6%	14.0%	22.7%	1.7%	5.54	2.72	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	50	244	50	47	4	0%	1.0	16.8%	19.6%	-2.8%	2.0%	7.51	5.25	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	50	244	50	47	4	0%	1.0	16.8%	19.6%	-2.8%	2.0%	7.51	5.25	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	50	244	50	47	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	19.3%	1.2%	1.6%	7.51	4.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	HOU	67	0	70	296	60	59	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	19.9%	0.2%	2.6%	5.72	5.72	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	67	0	70	296	66	56	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.8%	3.6%	2.6%	5.48	5.42	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	66	0	69	291	65	53	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.2%	4.3%	2.7%	5.38	5.37	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	64	0	67	282	63	50	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.9%	4.5%	2.8%	5.37	5.40	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	61	0	64	270	60	48	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	17.9%	4.3%	3.0%	5.44	5.51	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	30	0	31	131	29	25	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.8%	3.6%	2.6%	5.48	5.42	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	42	0	44	186	42	34	5	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.2%	4.3%	2.7%	5.38	5.37	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	49	0	51	215	48	38	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.9%	4.5%	2.8%	5.37	5.40	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	50	0	52	220	49	39	7	0%	1.0	22.2%	17.9%	4.3%	3.0%	5.44	5.51	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	167	135	21	0%	1.0	22.3%	18.1%	4.2%	2.8%	5.41	5.05	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	152	24	0%	1.1	22.3%	18.1%	4.2%	2.8%	5.41	5.05	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		111	1	128	583	129	104	11	1%	1.2	22.0%	17.8%	4.2%	1.9%	5.63	4.55	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		173	2	200	911	201	162	17	1%	1.2	22.0%	17.8%	4.2%	1.9%	5.63	4.55	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hudson Leach (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	20.2%	19.9%	2.6%	—	5.40	22.4%	4.1%	206	-0.32	—	—	—
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	86
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	84
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	84
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	84
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	84
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	83
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	83
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	82
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	81
Jacob Morris R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	25	SU	4.77	18.7%	21.1%	1.0%	.236	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	102	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	81
Blake Rivera R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	25	SU	4.78	20.9%	19.4%	1.8%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	179	81
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
José A. Váldez R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	15.3%	15.3%	1.5%	.279	4.32	22.3%	9.9%	167	-0.23	4.02	328	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	21.9%	18.6%	1.06	5.48
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*