Colton Becker

SS Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AANorthwest Ark…	84	.386/.476/.471	0	15	131	—	.338/.402/.419
2025	24	AKC	238	.231/.345/.277	1	38	36	—	.185/.271/.224
2026	25	AAAKC	65	.123/.219/.123	0	5	-20	—	.102/.172/.102
2026	25	AANorthwest Ark…	335	.265/.394/.396	5	23	82	—	.227/.329/.333
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBKC	5	.214/.302/.294	0	0	74	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	27	MLBKC	112	.214/.302/.297	1	6	75	0.1
2029PROJ50% MLB	28	MLBKC	181	.214/.301/.297	2	9	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed90

Chase%81

Max EV57

BB%57

Whiff%56

Z-Con%38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJ.D. Orr (age 26) · Taylor Young (age 25) · Luke Williams (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .302 / .294

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	50	11	2	0	0	6	10	0	6	3	220	304	260	564	40	275	18	11	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	84	70	27	4	1	0	11	12	1	15	3	386	476	471	947	86	450	14	13	417	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	46	37	4	1	0	0	7	10	0	7	2	108	250	135	385	27	148	22	15	193	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	238	195	45	6	0	1	31	37	3	38	5	231	345	277	622	46	278	16	13	286	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	65	57	7	0	0	0	7	18	0	5	0	123	219	123	342		179	28	11	173	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	335	268	71	14	3	5	45	65	12	23	8	265	394	396	789	131	332	19	13	352	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	52	10	2	0	0	4	14	0	6	3	192	250	231	481	38	236	25	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	84	74	25	4	1	0	7	14	1	15	3	338	402	419	821	81	393	17	8	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	46	39	4	1	0	0	5	13	0	7	2	103	205	128	333	26	126	28	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	238	205	38	5	0	1	21	51	3	38	5	185	271	224	495	39	227	21	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	65	59	6	0	0	0	5	22	0	5	0	102	172	102	274		164	34	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	335	282	64	12	3	4	31	79	12	23	8	227	329	333	663	106	285	24	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	52	10	2	0	0	4	14	0	6	3	192	250	231	481	38	263	25	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	50	11	2	0	0	6	10	0	6	3	220	304	260	564	40	275	18	11	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	318	67	10	1	1	33	78	4	60	10	211	293	258	551	47	273	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	3 teams	—	368	302	76	11	1	1	49	59	4	60	10	252	363	305	668	53	306	16	13	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	400	341	71	12	3	4	36	101	12	28	8	208	306	296	602	88	283	25	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	400	325	78	14	3	5	52	83	12	28	8	240	365	348	713	108	307	21	13	323	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	53	10	2	0	0	4	14	0	6	3	189	250	226	476	38	236	25	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	328	67	10	1	1	33	78	4	60	10	204	293	250	543	46	252	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	400	349	71	12	3	4	36	101	12	28	8	203	306	289	595	86	265	25	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	53	10	2	0	0	4	14	0	6	3	189	250	226	476	38	236	25	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	328	67	10	1	1	33	78	4	60	10	204	293	250	543	46	252	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	400	349	71	12	3	4	36	101	12	28	8	203	306	289	595	86	265	25	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	2%	380	335	72	13	2	3	34	90	8	21	5	215	304	297	600	81	282	24	9	277	74	-12	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	214	302	294	596	80	280	20	0	276	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	33%	336	296	63	11	2	3	30	80	7	18	5	216	304	300	603	84	282	24	9	278	75	-10	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	KC	50%	364	321	68	12	2	3	33	87	7	18	5	216	303	301	603	85	282	24	9	278	74	-11	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	KC	56%	373	330	71	13	2	4	33	90	7	16	4	215	301	300	601	85	281	24	9	277	74	-12	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	KC	59%	378	334	72	13	2	4	34	92	7	14	4	214	298	299	597	85	280	24	9	275	72	-12	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	33%	112	99	22	4	1	1	10	27	2	6	2	214	302	297	599	82	280	24	9	276	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	KC	50%	181	159	34	6	1	2	16	43	4	9	2	214	301	297	598	83	280	24	9	276	74	-6	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	KC	56%	208	183	39	7	1	2	19	50	4	9	2	213	299	297	596	84	280	24	9	275	74	-7	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	KC	59%	224	198	42	8	1	2	20	54	4	8	2	212	297	295	592	83	279	24	9	273	72	-7	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	725	639	137	25	4	7	65	174	14	32	8	214	301	299	600	85	281	24	9	275	68	-23	+3	-2	+8	+16	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	123	22	4	6	58	156	13	29	7	215	302	298	600	84	282	24	9	275	68	-21	+3	-2	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2526	2212	469	81	14	21	226	601	49	174	42	212	299	290	589	78	279	24	9	269	68	-53	+8	-4	+18	+37	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	121	21	4	5	58	155	13	45	11	213	300	290	590	77	282	24	9	269	68	-20	+3	-2	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	731	7	32	216	298	301	+8	+6	0.8	0.8
/162	664	6	29	+7.1	+5.4	0.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Becker (OGILVIE)	26	40	20	60	50	213/301/294	80	282	2	14	24%	9%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	50	226/301/295	69	301	2	41	24%	9%	73	-0.6	210/290/283	73	294	4	29	27%	9%	66	-1.1	161/263/185	24	243	0	34	30%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Taylor Young 2024 · A	25	45→44	40→30	62→60	52	211/305/301	90	285	7	32	26%	10%	76	-0.4	208/285/280	72	282	4	32	26%	8%	63	-1.3	210/286/275	65	281	4	33	24%	8%	60	-1.3
✕Luke Williams 2023 · MLB	26	51→44	40→45	56→65	44	239/295/331	92	333	6	31	29%	7%	78	-0.3	217/277/332	115	297	11	33	29%	7%	72	-0.7	198/259/306	108	270	10	38	29%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA	26	49→51	39→40	57→60	42	232/284/327	95	310	6	27	26%	6%	73	-0.6	220/283/303	83	307	5	25	28%	7%	68	-1.0	198/266/289	91	302	7	22	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Jack Dunn 2024 · AAA	27	48	38→40	53→55	53	227/314/302	74	294	6	23	23%	10%	80	-0.2	213/302/302	89	272	8	19	23%	10%	76	-0.4	196/293/279	83	238	9	16	20%	10%	65	-0.9
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA	26	49→51	39→40	55→65	45	231/291/318	87	321	7	30	29%	8%	74	-0.6	230/296/317	87	303	6	37	24%	8%	76	-0.4	225/297/294	69	292	4	56	22%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/267/304	87	290	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	198/255/279	81	303	6	17	34%	7%	51	-2.2	161/226/226	65	269	3	12	38%	7%	27	-1.9
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	45	38→40	58→55	41	210/273/282	72	311	6	26	32%	7%	59	-1.6	238/282/325	87	315	5	20	25%	5%	72	-0.7	252/292/334	82	326	4	20	23%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	225/278/324	98	307	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.8	225/271/307	82	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	225/270/292	67	304	4	48	26%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2024 · A	25	48→44	35→30	61→60	59	218/322/276	58	290	2	31	23%	13%	77	-0.3	211/296/274	63	278	3	27	22%	11%	66	-1.1	199/287/241	42	260	1	35	22%	11%	53	-1.6
✕Cade Gotta 2018 · AAA	26	49→51	40→45	56→55	44	235/280/332	98	291	7	29	22%	6%	72	-0.7	236/295/341	105	302	7	27	23%	8%	80	-0.1	240/309/352	112	310	6	33	23%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2019 · MLB	26	48→56	39→45	55→65	53	228/312/310	82	295	7	31	23%	10%	80	-0.1	230/308/322	92	304	7	28	24%	10%	82	-0.0	225/308/314	88	303	6	31	25%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	44	37→40	53→55	47	208/280/280	72	296	4	23	29%	9%	61	-1.5	215/280/311	96	306	8	21	30%	8%	68	-1.0	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	45→50	41→40	58→60	48	213/291/313	101	298	7	30	29%	9%	74	-0.6	206/264/301	95	300	9	18	32%	7%	60	-1.6	184/236/257	73	269	8	17	33%	6%	36	-1.1
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	46→51	40→45	59→60	44	218/293/312	94	290	7	32	26%	7%	74	-0.5	228/318/339	111	308	10	25	27%	9%	90	+0.6	225/322/333	108	305	10	22	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jacob Young 2024 · MLB	25	52→57	38→40	63→60	47	247/306/329	82	304	4	33	20%	6%	82	-0.0	245/305/331	86	299	6	29	19%	7%	82	-0.0	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	44→42	42→45	55	41	210/285/316	107	302	9	26	32%	7%	72	-0.7	200/263/298	98	297	8	14	33%	6%	59	-1.6	177/235/263	85	266	6	11	34%	6%	38	-1.5
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	232/291/290	58	306	3	29	24%	7%	67	-1.1	216/282/277	61	303	3	26	27%	8%	61	-1.5	195/268/219	24	285	0	37	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	219/272/283	64	315	4	40	30%	6%	58	-1.7	209/266/281	72	302	5	29	30%	7%	56	-1.9	176/240/217	41	263	1	38	31%	7%	30	-1.4

Colton Becker

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps