Luke NapletonC
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 24
R/R
6'1" / 215 lbs
A
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.8 · 2029
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .270 / .311
PA97
HR2
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $7M | $3M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 94 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .152 | .256 | .228 | .483 | .076 | .244 | 43 | 10 | .220 | 27 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 97 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .213 | .278 | .337 | .615 | .124 | .290 | 31 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | MIN | 167 | 150 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .220 | .291 | .353 | .644 | .133 | .292 | 31 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | MIN | 262 | 236 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .292 | .352 | .644 | .131 | .294 | 30 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 42% | MIN | 317 | 286 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 94 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .290 | .357 | .646 | .136 | .294 | 30 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | MIN | 352 | 316 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 104 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .215 | .289 | .342 | .631 | .127 | .293 | 30 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | MIN | 367 | 330 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 109 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .218 | .291 | .352 | .643 | .133 | .292 | 30 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 72% | MIN | 375 | 337 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 113 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .217 | .290 | .347 | .638 | .131 | .291 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 74 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | MIN | 358 | 322 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 110 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .211 | .285 | .335 | .620 | .124 | .289 | 31 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 87% | MIN | 335 | 302 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 104 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .280 | .328 | .608 | .119 | .288 | 31 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 299 | 270 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .276 | .319 | .595 | .115 | .286 | 32 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 253 | 229 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .271 | .310 | .581 | .109 | .285 | 33 | 8 | .263 | 59 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3276 | 2946 | 624 | 107 | 19 | 74 | 265 | 1011 | 35 | 32 | 6 | .212 | .285 | .336 | .621 | .125 | .292 | 31 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -108 | +4 | -20 | +59 | +93 | 2.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 201 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .212 | .286 | .338 | .624 | .126 | .292 | 31 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -22 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 44 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .111 | .256 | .194 | .450 | .083 | .176 | 43 | 14 | .221 | 27 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 50 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .362 | .325 | .687 | .075 | .290 | 22 | 12 | .303 | 90 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Napleton (OGILVIE) | 24 | — | — | — | — | .204/.270/.311 | .106 | .290 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 7% | 61 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A |
24 | 43→37 | 43→50 | 50 | 38 | .211/.270/.324 | .114 | .293 | 10 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .213/.281/.365 | .152 | .300 | 18 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .204/.280/.377 | .174 | .281 | 22 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA |
24 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .196/.261/.330 | .133 | .269 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.278/.366 | .163 | .280 | 20 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A |
24 | 39→46 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .197/.277/.329 | .131 | .260 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.289/.346 | .131 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .223/.298/.355 | .132 | .277 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→40 | 44→60 | 46→50 | 44 | .202/.279/.318 | .116 | .282 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.280/.382 | .161 | .276 | 19 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.279/.406 | .186 | .266 | 23 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A |
24 | 38 | 44→50 | 45→30 | 40 | .187/.254/.308 | .121 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .202/.276/.338 | .136 | .333 | 13 | 4 | 40% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .191/.269/.325 | .133 | .318 | 14 | 1 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A |
24 | 36→45 | 47→50 | 47→45 | 43 | .185/.270/.313 | .127 | .285 | 15 | 6 | 38% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.289/.337 | .131 | .291 | 15 | 7 | 32% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.298/.353 | .138 | .288 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 38 | .190/.248/.301 | .111 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.266/.343 | .134 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A |
24 | 43 | 40→45 | 49→40 | 42 | .208/.266/.303 | .094 | .290 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.293/.327 | .116 | .322 | 12 | 4 | 35% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .200/.291/.320 | .120 | .304 | 13 | 2 | 35% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA |
24 | 42 | 41→45 | 48→40 | 41 | .206/.264/.302 | .095 | .280 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .216/.266/.302 | .086 | .273 | 7 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .217/.286/.341 | .124 | .252 | 13 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A |
24 | 42 | 43→40 | 50→30 | 41 | .211/.258/.321 | .110 | .276 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .240/.292/.325 | .085 | .299 | 7 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.299/.328 | .086 | .289 | 8 | 1 | 18% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A |
24 | 40→48 | 45 | 55→45 | 45 | .200/.270/.330 | .131 | .263 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.288/.332 | .113 | .309 | 9 | 8 | 30% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .225/.299/.333 | .108 | .319 | 8 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A |
25 | 40 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 42 | .201/.266/.309 | .108 | .276 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .189/.244/.301 | .112 | .256 | 13 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .179/.231/.285 | .106 | .239 | 13 | 2 | 31% | 5% | 35 | -1.3 |
|
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A |
24 | 37 | 42→55 | 52→40 | 39 | .188/.235/.290 | .102 | .252 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .209/.253/.332 | .123 | .291 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.236/.303 | .112 | .269 | 12 | 1 | 33% | 5% | 42 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→50 | 52→45 | 40 | .189/.250/.291 | .102 | .286 | 10 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .204/.266/.313 | .109 | .307 | 11 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .164/.224/.258 | .094 | .235 | 10 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 25 | -0.6 |
|
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→43 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 46 | .211/.275/.332 | .121 | .266 | 14 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .209/.273/.344 | .135 | .272 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.271/.351 | .147 | .261 | 18 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 37→35 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 37 | .190/.236/.299 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .194/.260/.318 | .124 | .282 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Aramis Garcia 2017 · A |
24 | 41 | 44→50 | 46→45 | 41 | .208/.260/.318 | .110 | .280 | 13 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .215/.260/.358 | .143 | .293 | 17 | 2 | 32% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .208/.254/.360 | .153 | .287 | 20 | 0 | 34% | 5% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A |
23 | 42→39 | 43→50 | 46→30 | 45 | .207/.280/.320 | .113 | .292 | 11 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .217/.291/.360 | .143 | .291 | 16 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.295/.373 | .156 | .282 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |