Justin DeCriscio

Justin DeCriscioSS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION536 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP279

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$17M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	42	8	1	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	200	12	10	266	66	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	43	8	1	0	1	4	8	1	2	0	186	271	279	550	93	180	16	8	223	37	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	43	8	1	0	1	4	8	1	2	0	186	271	279	550	93	206	16	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	42	8	1	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	200	12	10	266	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	44	8	1	0	1	4	8	1	2	0	182	271	273	544	91	180	16	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	44	8	1	0	1	4	8	1	2	0	182	271	273	544	91	180	16	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	SD	—	536	472	109	24	2	10	33	111	18	21	11	231	306	354	660	123	280	21	6	282	77	-15	-0	+0	+6	+12	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	SD	—	117	103	32	13	1	3	7	14	2	5	3	311	366	544	910	233	333	12	6	380	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	SD	—	341	290	75	13	1	9	33	53	11	13	7	259	356	403	760	145	288	16	10	338	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	SD	—	78	66	16	3	0	0	6	17	5	3	1	242	351	288	639	45	327	22	8	301	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	SD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		282	20	10	301	90	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	SD	—	546	481	110	24	2	10	34	113	18	21	11	229	304	349	653	121	278	21	6	282	77	-15	-0	+0	+6	+12	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	38%	579	523	124	26	2	13	38	121	13	13	6	237	305	369	674	132	281	21	7	301	90	-7	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	55%	609	550	131	27	3	14	41	127	13	14	6	238	306	375	681	136	282	21	7	305	93	-5	+0	+0	+7	+13	1.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	64%	627	566	136	28	3	15	43	131	13	14	6	240	309	380	689	140	282	21	7	307	94	-5	+0	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	66%	637	574	138	28	3	16	45	134	13	15	7	240	310	383	693	143	283	21	7	308	94	-4	+0	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	SD	67%	632	569	134	27	2	15	45	134	13	14	6	236	306	369	675	134	282	21	7	307	94	-5	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	SD	66%	624	561	133	27	2	15	45	133	13	13	6	237	309	373	681	135	282	21	7	305	93	-5	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	SD	65%	614	551	129	26	2	14	45	133	13	13	6	234	307	365	672	131	281	22	7	303	91	-7	+0	-2	+7	+13	1.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	SD	65%	401	361	83	17	1	9	29	88	8	8	4	230	302	357	659	127	279	22	7	299	88	-6	+0	-3	+4	+9	0.5
2035	32	MLB MLE	SD	65%	383	344	78	16	1	8	28	85	8	7	3	227	300	349	649	122	276	22	7	293	85	-7	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.2
2036	33	MLB MLE	SD	64%	353	318	71	14	1	7	25	81	7	6	3	223	294	340	634	116	273	23	7	287	80	-8	+0	-4	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	38%	220	199	46	9	1	5	14	46	5	5	2	231	298	362	660	131	278	21	6	284	90	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	55%	338	305	71	14	1	8	23	70	7	8	3	233	301	364	665	131	279	21	7	288	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	64%	399	360	86	17	2	10	28	83	8	9	4	239	308	381	689	142	279	21	7	290	94	-3	+0	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	66%	419	377	90	18	2	11	30	88	9	10	4	239	310	385	695	146	280	21	7	291	94	-3	+0	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	SD	67%	422	380	91	18	2	11	30	89	9	9	4	239	310	384	694	145	279	21	7	290	94	-3	+0	-0	+5	+9	1.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	SD	66%	410	369	87	17	2	10	30	88	8	9	4	236	307	374	681	138	279	21	7	289	93	-4	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2033	30	MLB CTX	SD	65%	400	360	84	17	1	10	29	86	8	8	4	233	305	369	674	136	278	22	7	286	91	-4	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2034	31	MLB CTX	SD	65%	260	234	54	11	1	6	19	57	5	5	2	231	302	363	666	132	276	22	7	283	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2035	32	MLB CTX	SD	65%	247	222	50	10	1	5	18	55	5	5	2	225	298	347	645	122	273	22	7	277	85	-4	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.1
2036	33	MLB CTX	SD	64%	228	205	46	9	1	5	16	52	5	4	2	224	296	351	648	127	270	23	7	271	80	-5	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3343	3011	705	140	14	81	237	714	69	72	31	234	305	371	675	136	280	21	7	286	91	-36	+2	-10	+36	+72	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	137	27	3	16	46	139	13	14	6	234	304	373	677	138	279	21	7	286	91	-7	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5518	4969	1166	237	20	127	389	1177	115	119	53	235	305	367	672	132	281	21	7	302	91	-59	+2	-15	+59	+118	10.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	137	28	2	15	46	139	14	14	6	234	305	366	671	132	281	21	7	302	91	-7	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.0	3,343	78	72	236	303	371	+36	+18	9.2	8.6
/162	664	16	14	+7.1	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin DeCriscio (OGILVIE)	23	53→58	41→46	52→57	48	234/304/361	127	282	3	4	21%	6%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jared Triolo 2022 · A	24	50→60	44→45	51→55	42	242/292/364	122	316	12	18	26%	6%	85	+0.2	242/313/351	109	326	9	18	26%	9%	90	+0.6	235/321/349	114	313	11	17	26%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Eric Fryer 2009 · A	23	53→62	44→45	51→50	44	256/308/380	123	325	10	10	24%	6%	95	+0.9	239/305/351	112	309	9	10	24%	7%	86	+0.3	233/307/341	108	301	9	10	24%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Josh Rutledge 2012 · A	23	56→60	45→50	54→50	42	270/319/404	134	344	11	12	24%	5%	104	+1.6	255/300/393	138	313	12	14	22%	5%	95	+0.9	252/299/388	136	308	12	13	22%	5%	91	+0.6
●Matt Duffy 2014 · A	23	51→61	44→45	53→50	50	251/310/372	122	289	12	16	18%	8%	93	+0.8	277/324/389	112	329	9	15	18%	6%	102	+1.5	283/337/387	104	329	9	12	16%	7%	104	+1.4
✕Bryson Smith 2012 · A	23	51→60	47→45	48→50	45	249/322/386	137	302	14	7	22%	6%	102	+1.5	255/307/350	95	305	7	8	18%	4%	87	+0.4	257/310/341	84	306	6	7	17%	4%	85	+0.1
✕J.R. Towles 2007 · A	23	52→53	49→50	49→50	43	260/314/414	154	305	16	14	20%	5%	105	+1.7	236/309/373	137	276	14	11	20%	6%	95	+0.9	224/307/357	133	262	14	9	19%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Brad Emaus 2009 · A	23	52→54	45	48→50	52	254/314/386	132	285	11	9	15%	8%	98	+1.2	235/300/357	122	268	11	9	16%	8%	86	+0.3	229/299/351	122	258	12	9	16%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Jack Marder 2013 · A	23	53	46→45	51→50	43	261/317/397	137	311	13	16	20%	5%	102	+1.5	226/287/328	102	277	9	10	21%	5%	76	-0.4	212/276/299	87	260	7	8	21%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2018 · AA	23	53→57	45→50	49→50	45	252/307/390	138	330	10	13	26%	7%	97	+1.1	245/300/387	142	318	13	16	26%	7%	93	+0.8	247/305/383	135	308	13	17	23%	7%	92	+0.3
●Connor Hollis 2019 · A	24	52→62	46→45	47→55	49	254/329/381	127	311	13	9	22%	8%	103	+1.5	229/299/339	110	301	9	10	25%	7%	82	+0.0	265/335/378	113	347	8	15	24%	8%	101	+0.8
✕Brent Morel 2010 · A	23	49→57	46→50	51→50	44	243/283/374	131	277	14	16	18%	5%	84	+0.1	245/281/361	116	290	11	10	19%	5%	80	-0.2	231/285/337	105	303	8	12	25%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Devon Travis 2014 · A	23	58→62	46→50	53→50	48	285/338/420	135	322	13	13	16%	6%	115	+2.4	274/321/414	140	319	13	12	18%	6%	107	+1.8	280/323/427	147	327	14	10	18%	6%	109	+1.3
✕Chris Pettit 2008 · A	23	52→55	48→50	52→50	46	258/323/414	157	315	14	14	22%	7%	109	+2.0	244/302/372	128	298	11	15	21%	6%	91	+0.6	209/271/323	115	278	9	16	27%	6%	65	-0.9
●Yainer Diaz 2022 · A	23	52→60	48→60	48→40	41	263/296/405	142	309	16	5	21%	4%	96	+1.0	270/304/451	181	308	23	3	20%	4%	110	+2.1	280/313/466	185	314	24	1	19%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Cole Gillespie 2007 · A	23	49→58	46→50	52→50	52	239/317/369	129	293	13	15	22%	9%	96	+1.0	230/310/363	133	297	12	13	25%	10%	92	+0.7	230/306/374	144	291	12	14	24%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	52	45	49→50	43	251/306/372	122	324	12	13	26%	6%	92	+0.7	228/289/322	94	309	9	15	27%	7%	74	-0.5	200/268/232	33	280	3	24	27%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Grant Green 2011 · A	23	54→58	48→45	47→45	39	264/300/411	147	334	14	7	25%	4%	99	+1.2	253/290/370	117	320	11	7	23%	4%	85	+0.2	267/303/390	123	324	11	8	20%	4%	91	+0.6
✕Jake Scheiner 2019 · A	23	50→52	46→55	47→40	45	248/301/382	134	302	12	7	22%	6%	93	+0.8	226/277/381	155	295	18	5	29%	6%	84	+0.1	208/286/375	167	269	21	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
●Jemile Weeks 2010 · AA	23	49→59	44→45	52→55	48	241/304/359	118	290	12	12	21%	8%	88	+0.5	250/309/356	106	296	6	19	17%	7%	88	+0.5	253/323/345	92	306	3	20	17%	8%	88	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps