Justin DeCriscio
SS Fort Wayne TinCaps| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | ASD | 49 | .190/.292/.286 | 1 | 2 | 34 | — | .186/.271/.279 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 590 | .270/.362/.435 | 16 | 26 | 86 | — | .237/.312/.361 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSD | 1 | .223/.290/.342 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 25 | MLBSD | 99 | .224/.293/.346 | 2 | 2 | 83 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ55% MLB | 26 | MLBSD | 169 | .225/.294/.349 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 41
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 49 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 292 | 286 | 577 | 95 | 200 | 12 | 10 | 266 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 83 | 70 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 366 | 343 | 709 | 86 | 333 | 22 | 8 | 327 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 341 | 290 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 53 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 259 | 356 | 403 | 760 | 145 | 288 | 16 | 10 | 338 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 117 | 103 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 311 | 366 | 544 | 910 | 233 | 333 | 12 | 6 | 380 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 49 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 268 | 388 | 537 | 924 | 268 | 308 | 24 | 14 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 49 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 271 | 279 | 550 | 93 | 181 | 18 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 83 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 329 | 319 | 649 | 83 | 304 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 341 | 299 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 67 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 227 | 308 | 341 | 650 | 114 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 117 | 105 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 267 | 312 | 448 | 760 | 181 | 278 | 16 | 4 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 49 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 271 | 279 | 550 | 93 | 212 | 18 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 49 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 292 | 286 | 577 | 95 | 200 | 12 | 10 | 266 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 590 | 522 | 122 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 118 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 234 | 307 | 360 | 667 | 126 | 279 | 20 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 590 | 504 | 136 | 31 | 2 | 16 | 54 | 97 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 270 | 362 | 435 | 797 | 165 | 305 | 16 | 9 | 350 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 49 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 271 | 273 | 544 | 91 | 181 | 18 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 590 | 530 | 122 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 118 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 230 | 307 | 355 | 661 | 125 | 269 | 20 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 49 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 271 | 273 | 544 | 91 | 181 | 18 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 590 | 530 | 122 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 118 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 230 | 307 | 355 | 661 | 125 | 269 | 20 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 380 | 344 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 92 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 294 | 347 | 640 | 120 | 285 | 24 | 6 | 289 | 81 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | SD | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 290 | 342 | 632 | 119 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 81 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SD | 38% | 260 | 235 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 63 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 296 | 351 | 647 | 124 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | SD | 55% | 305 | 275 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 73 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 297 | 354 | 651 | 125 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | SD | 61% | 321 | 289 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 77 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 297 | 354 | 652 | 126 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 85 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | SD | 65% | 328 | 296 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 79 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 297 | 353 | 649 | 125 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | SD | 64% | 321 | 290 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 78 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 227 | 295 | 350 | 645 | 123 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 290 | 83 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | SD | 64% | 314 | 284 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 78 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 224 | 292 | 342 | 634 | 119 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -8 | -0 | -2 | +3 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SD | 38% | 99 | 91 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 346 | 639 | 122 | 279 | 24 | 6 | 288 | 83 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | SD | 55% | 169 | 152 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 294 | 349 | 643 | 124 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 84 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | SD | 61% | 197 | 178 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 225 | 294 | 349 | 643 | 124 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 290 | 85 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | SD | 65% | 212 | 192 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 293 | 348 | 641 | 124 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 84 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | SD | 64% | 207 | 187 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 292 | 345 | 637 | 122 | 278 | 24 | 7 | 287 | 83 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | SD | 64% | 202 | 182 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 220 | 289 | 337 | 626 | 117 | 277 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 80 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1086 | 982 | 221 | 42 | 5 | 23 | 72 | 263 | 22 | 19 | 10 | 225 | 293 | 348 | 641 | 123 | 282 | 24 | 7 | 287 | 81 | -22 | -0 | -3 | +12 | +24 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 132 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 157 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 224 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 124 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 287 | 81 | -13 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2698 | 2424 | 551 | 111 | 9 | 55 | 177 | 626 | 64 | 67 | 32 | 227 | 297 | 349 | 646 | 121 | 282 | 23 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -42 | +1 | -4 | +22 | +45 | 2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 133 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 151 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 228 | 298 | 348 | 645 | 120 | 284 | 23 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 341 PAwOBA .330 → .279 (−51)K% 15.5% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 19.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 20.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.03% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .330 → .279; ISO .145 → .119; BABIP .288 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ALake Elsinore Storm · 117 PAwOBA .373 → .309 (−64)K% 12.0% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.97% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 14.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 11.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .373 → .309; ISO .233 → .192; BABIP .333 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AASan Antonio Missions · 83 PAwOBA .319 → .275 (−44)K% 21.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.02% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 5.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 25.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .319 → .275; ISO .086 → .071; BABIP .333 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 49 PAwOBA .259 → .218 (−41)K% 12.2% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.24% | ÷0.956 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | — | 15.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | — | — | 2.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.936 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .259 → .218; ISO .095 → .080; BABIP .200 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .