Justin DeCriscioSS Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION349 act + 232 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†103
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .312 / .403
PA232
HR7
SB7
K%22
BB%7
BABIP293
ISO157
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: -0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +6.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +16.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +2.00+2.0WAR
0.01.53.00.02.42.62.82.82.72.52.21.91.5+$150M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 51
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT62
scouting grade only
POWER51
scouting grade only
EYE49
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.8$17M+$16M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.7$15M+$14M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.5$13M+$12M
2033Arb-1$5M+2.2$10M+$8M
2034Arb-2$7M+1.9$8M+$5M
2035Arb-3$7M+1.5$6M+$3M
Totals $21M $69M +$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202522 ALake Elsinore Storm 4943 8101 491 20 186271279550 93212 188 227 32
202522 ALake Elsinore Storm 4942 8101 561 20 190292286577 95200 1210 266 62
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+SD 349309 7917210 22668 1410 256322421742 165294 196 309 95 -2 -1 +0 +4 +10 1.1
YTD23 A+SD 349300 8821211 31498 1410 293375487861 193318 149 371 142 +17 -1 +0 +4 +10 3.0
ROS23 A+SD 0% 232210 521017 16514 74 247312403716 157293 227 320 103 +1 -0 +0 +2 +7 1.0
ROS23 MLBSD 0% 11 0000 000 00 289 00 303 90 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL23 A+SD 350310 7917210 22668 1410 255321419740 165292 196 309 95 -2 -1 +0 +4 +10 1.1
TOT23 A+SD 581519 13127317 3811712 2114 252318414731 162293 207 313 98 -1 -1 +0 +6 +16 2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSD 38% 581527 13126318 401289 137 249312412724 163291 227 318 101 +1 -0 +0 +6 +16 2.4
202825 MLBSD 55% 609552 13727319 431349 147 248313411724 163292 227 320 103 +2 +0 +0 +7 +17 2.6
202926 MLBSD 64% 627568 14028319 451389 147 246312407719 160292 227 321 103 +2 +0 +0 +7 +18 2.8
203027 MLBSD 66% 638577 14328320 471419 158 248314411725 163292 227 321 104 +3 -0 +0 +7 +18 2.8
203128 MLBSD 67% 637576 14228320 471419 147 247313410723 163291 227 320 103 +2 +0 -1 +7 +18 2.7
203229 MLBSD 66% 629568 13927319 471419 147 245312403716 158291 227 318 102 +1 +0 -1 +7 +18 2.5
203330 MLBSD 65% 619559 13627318 461409 137 243311399710 156290 237 316 100 -0 -0 -2 +7 +18 2.2
203431 MLBSD 65% 609549 13326318 461409 126 242311399710 157288 238 312 97 -2 +0 -3 +7 +17 1.9
203532 MLBSD 65% 598540 12824317 451408 116 237305387692 150285 238 307 93 -5 -0 -4 +6 +17 1.5
203633 MLBSD 64% 516466 10820214 381237 95 232299373673 142282 247 300 88 -7 -0 -4 +6 +15 0.9
203734 MLBSD 60% 437396 8916211 321076 74 225293359651 134276 247 291 81 -9 -0 -5 +5 +12 0.3
203835 MLBSD 55% 370335 731229 27935 63 218286346632 128270 257 281 73 -11 +0 -6 +4 +10 -0.2
203936 MLBSD 46% 200181 38614 14523 32 210278320598 110264 267 270 65 -8 -0 -6 +2 +6 -0.7
202724 MLBSD 38% 221201 491016 15493 53 244306393699 149287 227 302 89 -3 -0 +0 +2 +6 0.6
202825 MLBSD 55% 338306 7515210 24745 84 245310405716 160288 227 304 91 -3 +0 +0 +4 +10 1.0
202926 MLBSD 64% 399361 8817212 29886 95 244311402712 158288 227 305 92 -4 -0 +0 +4 +11 1.2
203027 MLBSD 66% 419379 9318213 31926 105 245312406719 161288 227 305 92 -4 +0 +0 +4 +12 1.3
203128 MLBSD 67% 425384 9318213 32946 95 242310401711 159287 228 305 91 -4 -0 -0 +5 +12 1.2
203229 MLBSD 66% 413373 9017212 31936 95 241310394704 153287 238 303 90 -5 -0 -1 +4 +12 1.1
203330 MLBSD 65% 403364 8817212 30916 84 242310398708 157286 237 301 88 -5 +0 -1 +4 +11 0.9
203431 MLBSD 65% 395356 8416211 30916 84 236306385691 149284 238 297 86 -6 +0 -2 +4 +11 0.7
203532 MLBSD 65% 386349 8115210 29905 74 232300372673 140282 238 292 82 -8 -0 -2 +4 +11 0.5
203633 MLBSD 64% 333301 691319 25794 63 229297369666 140278 248 286 77 -9 +0 -3 +4 +9 0.2
203734 MLBSD 60% 262238 52916 19643 42 218285340625 122273 247 277 70 -9 +0 -3 +3 +7 -0.2
203835 MLBSD 55% 205185 40715 15523 32 216286346632 130267 257 268 63 -9 -0 -3 +2 +6 -0.4
203936 MLBSD 46% 9385 17302 7241 11 200269306575 106261 268 258 55 -5 -0 -3 +1 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 42933883 91917520121 31798160 8747 237304386690 149285 237 296 85 -73 -1 -19 +46 +122 7.6
/ 162G 650588 13826318 481499 137 235302381683 146283 237 296 85 -11 -0 -3 +7 +18 1.2
Career 73516647 159730635214 5371678106 15480 240307393701 153289 237 311 96 -34 -1 -31 +79 +208 22.4
/ 162G 650588 14127319 471489 147 240305393698 153288 237 311 96 -3 +0 -3 +7 +18 2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202522 ALake Elsinore Storm 4942 8101 561 20 190292286577 95200 1210 266 62 -2 +0 +1 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23810957246292387+42+6818.017.6
/162664179+6.6+10.62.8pk7: 17
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23813437256308421+45-1017.017.2
/162664216+7.1-1.52.7pk7: 18
#3Bill Halllast yr '11
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA
93,62112362249308437+22+715.916.6
/1626642311+4.1+1.32.9pk7: 17
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
84,29312489241305394+42+2414.012.6
/1626641914+6.5+3.72.2pk7: 11
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Justin DeCriscio (OGILVIE) 23 57→62 46→51 52→57 49 252/318/414 162293 1721 20% 7% 98 +2.0
Vinnie Catricala
2012 · AA
23 51→55 51→55 49→45 44 257/312/423 165308 189 23% 6% 108 +2.3 216/264/333 117272 137 25% 5% 63 -0.8 191/237/2859424311425%5%37-2.1
Bryson Smith
2012 · A
23 51→61 47→45 48→50 45 249/322/386 137302 147 22% 6% 102 +1.9 257/310/352 95309 78 18% 4% 87 +0.8 261/314/345843116717%4%85+0.3
Josh Rutledge
2012 · A
23 55→58 48→50 53→50 41 268/316/416 148339 1412 25% 5% 107 +2.2 245/290/384 139303 1314 23% 5% 87 +0.8 238/285/371133294121322%5%80+0.3
Matt Duffy
2014 · A
23 51→61 46→45 53→50 50 253/313/385 132289 1416 18% 8% 97 +1.5 278/324/394 116330 915 18% 6% 103 +1.9 283/337/38910632891216%6%105+1.8
Miguel Vargas
2022 · AA
22 50→53 52→55 51→50 44 256/304/419 164299 209 22% 6% 103 +1.9 229/306/389 160271 1712 22% 9% 96 +1.5 221/322/407185244211119%12%106+1.7
Chris Pettit
2008 · A
23 52→55 48→50 52→50 46 258/323/414 157315 1414 22% 7% 110 +2.4 244/302/375 131298 1115 21% 6% 90 +1.0 207/268/328121277111628%6%61-0.7
J.R. Towles
2007 · A
23 52→53 49→50 49→50 43 260/314/414 154305 1614 20% 5% 106 +2.2 237/310/377 140277 1511 20% 6% 95 +1.4 225/308/36213826215920%7%87+0.5
Devon Travis
2014 · A
23 57→61 47→50 53→50 48 282/335/420 138319 1313 16% 6% 115 +2.8 272/319/417 145317 1412 18% 6% 108 +2.3 278/322/429151325151018%6%110+1.6
Connor Hollis
2019 · A
24 52→62 46→45 47→55 49 254/329/381 127311 139 22% 8% 103 +1.9 227/298/332 105302 810 26% 7% 78 +0.2 265/339/380115351101825%9%103+1.2
Nick Gonzales
2022 · A
23 50→56 48→50 51→45 39 236/292/389 153349 148 35% 7% 89 +1.0 228/297/368 140332 127 33% 7% 87 +0.8 274/325/3871133329419%6%100+1.3
Connor Norby
2023 · AAA
23 45→49 51→55 50 44 232/297/394 162296 2012 28% 7% 93 +1.3 242/301/407 165320 2011 29% 7% 98 +1.6 245/305/413168324201129%7%99+1.5
Alec Bohm
2020 · AA
23 47→56 50 46→45 49 239/297/393 153271 176 19% 7% 93 +1.3 258/314/383 125316 136 22% 7% 97 +1.5 270/324/41814830016415%6%108+2.2
Joshua Rodriguez
2008 · A
23 43→53 50 52→50 47 224/283/376 152269 1714 24% 8% 82 +0.5 227/292/343 116297 1010 25% 8% 77 +0.1 244/304/36011631111624%7%84+0.5
Henry Davis
2023 · AA
23 47→45 48→50 52→50 41 230/312/373 143305 1513 28% 6% 95 +1.4 220/304/371 151284 1812 28% 8% 92 +1.2 207/291/353147263191128%8%78+0.1
Yainer Diaz
2022 · A
23 52→59 47→60 48→40 41 260/293/391 132308 155 21% 4% 90 +1.0 267/301/445 178307 233 21% 4% 109 +2.4 276/309/45818231224120%4%113+2.2
Chase Meidroth
2023 · A
22 49→55 55→40 48→50 49 253/327/440 188289 2312 21% 8% 118 +3.0 245/335/346 101303 912 21% 10% 98 +1.6 255/341/3448930381217%10%97+1.2
Joey Wendle
2014 · A
24 50→60 49→50 51→50 43 248/303/407 159307 169 24% 6% 99 +1.7 239/279/382 143295 139 23% 4% 82 +0.5 268/329/39813032091918%6%103+1.1
Sean Rodríguez
2008 · AA
23 45→49 50→60 47→50 43 227/296/385 158295 1812 29% 7% 91 +1.1 235/306/425 190295 2311 28% 7% 106 +2.2 237/310/439202292251227%7%107+1.7
Jairo Perez
2012 · A
24 51 47→55 48→50 48 252/312/389 137297 1511 20% 7% 98 +1.6 243/302/380 137282 148 19% 6% 92 +1.2 259/299/401142275201114%3%93+0.6
Jake Scheiner
2019 · A
23 51→53 46→60 46→40 45 252/306/387 135310 137 23% 6% 95 +1.4 234/283/419 185300 245 30% 5% 95 +1.4 223/284/42620328028331%7%95+1.2