Justin DeCriscio

SS Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1037ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522ASD49.190/.292/.2861234—.186/.271/.279
202623AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs590.270/.362/.435162686—.237/.312/.361
2027PROJMLE24MLBSD1.223/.290/.34200810.0
2028PROJ38% MLB25MLBSD99.224/.293/.34622830.1
2029PROJ55% MLB26MLBSD169.225/.294/.34943840.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Z-Con%82
Whiff%80
K%66
wRC+59
wOBA53
Speed32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%
CompsCorey Toups (age 24) · Jonathan Ornelas (age 24) · Ryan McKenna (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .290 / .342
PA1
HR0
K%24
BB%6
BABIP279
ISO121
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.30.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT54
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE43
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.9M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 ALake Elsinore Storm — 4942 8101 561 20 190292286577 95200 1210 266 34 — — — — — —
202623 AASan Antonio Missions — 8370 18301 7185 41 257366343709 86333 228 327 72 — — — — — —
202623 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 341290 751319 335311 137 259356403760 145288 1610 338 75 — — — — — —
202623 ALake Elsinore Storm — 117103 321313 7142 53 311366544910 233333 126 380 95 — — — — — —
202623 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 4941 11203 7121 43 268388537924 268308 2414 405 160 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 4943 8101 491 20 186271279550 93181 188 218 34 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 8372 17301 5225 41 236329319649 83304 276 275 72 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 341299 681117 246711 137 227308341650 114257 207 279 75 — — — — — —
202623 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 117105 281112 5192 53 267312448760 181278 164 309 95 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 4943 8101 491 20 186271279550 93212 188 218 34 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 4942 8101 561 20 190292286577 95200 1210 266 34 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE4 teams — 590522 12226212 3611819 2614 234307360667 126279 206 285 79 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW4 teams — 590504 13631216 549719 2614 270362435797 165305 169 350 79 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 4944 8101 491 20 182271273544 91181 188 218 34 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE4 teams — 590530 12226212 3611819 2614 230307355661 125269 206 285 79 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 4944 8101 491 20 182271273544 91181 188 218 34 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE4 teams — 590530 12226212 3611819 2614 230307355661 125269 206 285 79 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESD 0% 380344 781528 24929 83 226294347640 120285 246 289 81 -8 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSD 0% 11 0000 000 00 223290342632 119279 00 285 81 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESD 38% 260235 531115 17636 62 228296351647 124285 247 291 83 -5 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.4
202926 MLB MLESD 55% 305275 621216 20737 62 229297354651 125285 247 293 84 -6 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203027 MLB MLESD 61% 321289 661317 22777 63 229297354652 126285 247 293 85 -6 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203128 MLB MLESD 65% 328296 671317 22797 63 228297353649 125285 247 292 84 -6 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.4
203229 MLB MLESD 64% 321290 661317 22786 53 227295350645 123284 247 290 83 -7 -0 -1 +3 +7 0.2
203330 MLB MLESD 64% 314284 641316 21786 53 224292342634 119283 257 286 80 -8 -0 -2 +3 +7 0.0
202825 MLB CTXSD 38% 9991 20402 6242 21 224293346639 122279 246 288 83 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202926 MLB CTXSD 55% 169152 35614 11414 31 225294349643 124279 247 289 84 -3 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203027 MLB CTXSD 61% 197178 40814 13474 42 225294349643 124279 247 290 85 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203128 MLB CTXSD 65% 212192 43815 14514 42 224293348641 124279 247 289 84 -4 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.2
203229 MLB CTXSD 64% 207187 42814 14504 32 223292345637 122278 247 287 83 -4 -0 -1 +2 +4 0.1
203330 MLB CTXSD 64% 202182 41814 14504 32 220289337626 117277 257 283 80 -5 -0 -1 +2 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1086982 22142523 7226322 1910 225293348641 123282 247 287 81 -22 -0 -3 +12 +24 1.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13225314 4315713 116 224292349641 124281 247 287 81 -13 -0 -2 +7 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 26982424 551111955 17762664 6732 227297349646 121282 237 288 81 -42 +1 -4 +22 +45 2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 13327213 4315115 168 228298348645 120284 237 288 81 -13 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 341 PAwOBA .330 → .279 (−51)K% 15.5% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.54%÷1.000×1.270——19.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.68%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9986.86%
HBP% /PA3.23%—×0.790—×0.9982.54%
Singles /BIP21.94%÷1.000×0.920×1.005×0.99820.25%
Doubles /BIP5.49%÷1.000×0.810×1.005×0.9984.46%
Triples /BIP0.42%÷1.000×0.850×1.005×0.9980.36%
Home runs /BIP3.80%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.03%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .330 → .279; ISO .145 → .119; BABIP .288 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ALake Elsinore Storm · 117 PAwOBA .373 → .309 (−64)K% 12.0% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.97%÷1.000×1.360——16.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.98%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9904.09%
HBP% /PA1.71%—×0.780—×0.9901.32%
Singles /BIP16.85%÷1.000×0.920×0.964×0.99014.80%
Doubles /BIP14.61%÷1.000×0.830×0.964×0.99011.57%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷1.000×0.910×0.964×0.9900.98%
Home runs /BIP3.37%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9902.67%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .373 → .309; ISO .233 → .192; BABIP .333 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AASan Antonio Missions · 83 PAwOBA .319 → .275 (−44)K% 21.7% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.69%÷1.000×1.220——26.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.43%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0276.06%
HBP% /PA6.02%—×0.870—×1.0275.38%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷1.000×0.920×0.983×1.02725.00%
Doubles /BIP5.77%÷1.000×0.840×0.983×1.0274.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×0.983×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0271.58%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .319 → .275; ISO .086 → .071; BABIP .333 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 49 PAwOBA .259 → .218 (−41)K% 12.2% → 17.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.24%÷0.956×1.360——17.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.20%÷0.952×0.690——7.40%
HBP% /PA2.04%—×0.780——1.59%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.989×0.920——15.51%
Doubles /BIP2.78%÷1.062×0.830——2.17%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.78%÷0.936×0.800——2.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .259 → .218; ISO .095 → .080; BABIP .200 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .