Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 13 | 11 | 48 | 236 | 33 | 23 | 1 | 85% | 3.7 | 9.5% | 12.2% | -2.7% | 0.7% | 8.81 | 4.22 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 13 | 11 | 48 | 236 | 33 | 23 | 1 | 85% | 3.7 | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 8.81 | 3.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | 15 | 13 | 62 | 280 | 56 | 26 | 8 | 87% | 4.2 | 14.4% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.20 | 5.37 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 29 | 121 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 10.0% | 14.8% | -4.8% | 2.9% | 6.07 | 6.07 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.0% | 14.8% | -4.8% | 2.9% | 6.07 | 6.07 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 91 | 401 | 68 | 44 | 11 | — | — | 17.0% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 30 | 127 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 12.9% | 13.8% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.76 | 5.68 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 12.9% | 13.8% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.76 | 5.68 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 15 | 62 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 4.9 | 12.9% | 13.8% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.76 | 5.30 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 108 | 122 | 27 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.9% | 13.8% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.76 | 5.30 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 24 | 110 | 516 | 63 | 60 | 12 | 86% | 3.9 | 12.2% | 11.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 6.77 | 4.84 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 44 | 200 | 935 | 114 | 109 | 22 | 86% | 3.9 | 12.2% | 11.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 6.77 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josiah Romeo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.07 | 10.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.68 | 12.9% | -0.9% | 30 | -0.39 | — | — | — |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 91 |
| Ramon Santos R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 20 | SP | 6.07 | 7.2% | 14.3% | 3.2% | .352 | 4.56 | 13.3% | 3.4% | 191 | -1.51 | 3.84 | 355 | 90 |
| David Sanchez R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.57 | 11.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.33 | 110 | 86 |
| Moises Ruiz R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.62 | 8.7% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 104 | 86 |
| Jeury Espinal R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.08 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 2.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 114 | 85 |
| Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 84 |
| Jefry Rodriguez R 2028 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.22 | 9.9% | 14.6% | 2.0% | .286 | 4.04 | 16.6% | 5.2% | 333 | -1.18 | 3.21 | 578 | 84 |
| Edinxon Arias R 2025 · 7.03 FIP | 19 | SP | 7.03 | 7.6% | 19.9% | 3.7% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.61 | 127 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2028 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 83 |
| Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 10.0% | 18.5% | 3.8% | .317 | 5.89 | 14.8% | 0.7% | 62 | -0.76 | 3.66 | 117 | 83 |
| Eybersson Polanco R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.58 | 10.5% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .320 | 3.95 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 121 | -1.63 | 3.01 | 204 | 82 |
| Tom Robson R 2028 · 4.88 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.88 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 2.1% | .337 | 4.91 | 12.5% | -1.3% | 105 | +0.03 | 3.17 | 132 | 82 |
| Josh Swales R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.43 | 11.8% | 14.6% | 2.7% | .356 | 5.63 | 15.1% | 1.4% | 66 | +0.20 | 5.43 | 129 | 82 |
| Matt Ball R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.76 | 12.1% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .367 | 3.72 | 17.2% | 9.4% | 173 | -2.04 | 3.44 | 312 | 81 |
| Hunter Stratton R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.73 | 13.1% | 20.3% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.58 | 14.5% | 0.1% | 174 | -1.15 | 2.95 | 532 | 81 |
| Oliver Garcia R 2026 · 6.31 FIP | 20 | SP | 6.31 | 10.4% | 15.7% | 3.8% | .315 | 5.49 | 16.5% | 1.8% | 53 | -0.82 | 3.05 | 233 | 81 |
| Matt Ager R 2028 · 5.81 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.81 | 10.4% | 15.5% | 2.9% | .281 | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 70 | -0.81 | 5.00 | 146 | 81 |
| Jordany Chirinos R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.19 | 12.2% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 126 | 81 |
| Jorge Bautista R 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.99 | 13.1% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .297 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 231 | -1.16 | 3.69 | 336 | 80 |
| Moises Nova R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.61 | 14.2% | 16.8% | 2.9% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.3% | 4.2% | 110 | -1.59 | 3.42 | 219 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 11.5% | 14.3% | 1.10 | 5.91 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |