Josiah Romeo P Stockton Ports
Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 29 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155146vR 136
ERA6.07
FIP6.07
K%10.0%
BB%14.8%
K-BB%-4.8%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
K: -4.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: -2.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -7.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +10.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+10STAMTotal WAR: -0.41 (91 IP)-0.4WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF2020
CTRL4040
CMD2020
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202519ROKACL Athletics1311482363323185%3.79.5%12.2%-2.7%0.7%8.814.22
202519ROKACL Athletics1311482363323185%3.714.0%9.7%4.2%0.4%8.813.43
▸ 2026 Season
202620AStockton Ports1513622805626887%4.214.4%11.1%3.3%3.8%5.205.37-0.6
ROS20MLBOAK662912112183100%4.810.0%14.8%-4.8%2.9%6.076.07-0.5
ROS20MLBOAK010.0%14.8%-4.8%2.9%6.076.07
2026 TOT20MLBOAK9140168441117.0%10.9%6.1%2.9%5.475.59-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721MLBOAK663012716174100%5.012.9%13.8%-0.9%2.8%5.765.68-0.4
202721MLBOAK331563892100%5.012.9%13.8%-0.9%2.8%5.765.68-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career331562892100%4.912.9%13.8%-0.9%2.8%5.765.30-0.1
/ 200 IP414120084410812227100%4.812.9%13.8%-0.9%2.8%5.765.30+0.2
Career282411051663601286%3.912.2%11.6%0.6%2.4%6.774.84+0.7
/ 200 IP51442009351141092286%3.912.2%11.6%0.6%2.4%6.774.84+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Josiah Romeo (OGILVIE) 6.07 10.0%14.8%2.9% 5.68 12.9%-0.9%30 -0.39
Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP 19 SP- 5.78 11.5%14.6%3.3%.297 5.96 17.0%-6.4%71 +0.18 3.61 204 91
Ramon Santos R 2026 · 6.07 FIP 20 SP 6.07 7.2%14.3%3.2%.352 4.56 13.3%3.4%191 -1.51 3.84 355 90
David Sanchez R 2025 · 5.57 FIP 19 SP 5.57 11.0%13.3%3.1%.323 5.33 110 86
Moises Ruiz R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 20 SP- 5.62 8.7%12.8%3.0%.330 4.57 104 86
Jeury Espinal R 2025 · 5.08 FIP 19 SP- 5.08 11.7%12.6%2.5%.328 3.25 114 85
Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP 20 SP- 5.51 12.7%16.6%2.5%.264 5.84 11.9%-4.9%92 +0.33 3.39 129 84
Jefry Rodriguez R 2028 · 5.22 FIP 22 SP 5.22 9.9%14.6%2.0%.286 4.04 16.6%5.2%333 -1.18 3.21 578 84
Edinxon Arias R 2025 · 7.03 FIP 19 SP 7.03 7.6%19.9%3.7%.318 4.61 127 84
Luis Mateo R 2028 · 5.17 FIP 22 SP- 5.17 11.4%14.7%2.1%.315 5.67 15.0%-1.3%55 +0.50 4.52 112 83
Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 6.65 FIP 20 SP- 6.65 10.0%18.5%3.8%.317 5.89 14.8%0.7%62 -0.76 3.66 117 83
Eybersson Polanco R 2025 · 5.58 FIP 19 SP 5.58 10.5%13.1%3.1%.320 3.95 18.8%7.3%121 -1.63 3.01 204 82
Tom Robson R 2028 · 4.88 FIP 22 SP 4.88 12.6%13.4%2.1%.337 4.91 12.5%-1.3%105 +0.03 3.17 132 82
Josh Swales R 2026 · 5.43 FIP 20 SP- 5.43 11.8%14.6%2.7%.356 5.63 15.1%1.4%66 +0.20 5.43 129 82
Matt Ball R 2026 · 5.76 FIP 20 SP 5.76 12.1%14.6%3.4%.367 3.72 17.2%9.4%173 -2.04 3.44 312 81
Hunter Stratton R 2026 · 5.73 FIP 20 SP 5.73 13.1%20.3%2.1%.266 4.58 14.5%0.1%174 -1.15 2.95 532 81
Oliver Garcia R 2026 · 6.31 FIP 20 SP 6.31 10.4%15.7%3.8%.315 5.49 16.5%1.8%53 -0.82 3.05 233 81
Matt Ager R 2028 · 5.81 FIP 22 SP 5.81 10.4%15.5%2.9%.281 5.00 17.1%8.5%70 -0.81 5.00 146 81
Jordany Chirinos R 2025 · 5.19 FIP 19 SP 5.19 12.2%17.6%1.6%.292 3.34 126 81
Jorge Bautista R 2026 · 5.99 FIP 20 SP 5.99 13.1%16.5%3.5%.297 4.83 16.8%7.5%231 -1.16 3.69 336 80
Moises Nova R 2026 · 5.61 FIP 20 SP 5.61 14.2%16.8%2.9%.263 4.02 18.3%4.2%110 -1.59 3.42 219 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22911.5%14.3%1.105.91
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39