Deniel Ortiz

3B Springfield Cardinals

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP42ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ASTL	320	.285/.411/.446	10	31	88	—	.222/.323/.345
2025	20	INTLGigantes de C…	148	.246/.354/.286	0	6	91	—
2026	21	AASTL	266	.279/.400/.474	10	9	112	—	.256/.350/.423
2026	21	ASTL	20	.000/.400/.000	0	3	24	—	.000/.300/.000
2027PROJ2% MLB	22	MLBSTL	6	.228/.326/.366	0	0	100	0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSTL	221	.233/.330/.382	6	7	105	0.7
2029PROJ65% MLB	24	MLBSTL	311	.237/.333/.392	9	10	108	1.1

Next 3 projected WAR 1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$4M2034Arb-2$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%96

Whiff%88

BB%87

wOBA84

K%82

Z-Con%80

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 26, comp-based) · star 10% · didn't stick 56%

CompsAgustín Ramírez (age 22) · Sean Rodríguez (age 22) · Chris Young (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .326 / .366

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%17

BABIP286

ISO149

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$50M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$33M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	133	339	156	495	22	194	26	23	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	130	110	37	9	0	3	18	29	2	8	6	336	438	500	938	164	436	22	14	419	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	320	260	74	10	1	10	49	88	7	31	3	285	411	446	858	162	386	28	15	383	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	148	126	31	5	0	0	17	28	4	6	1	246	354	286	639	40	313	19	11	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	266	215	60	12	0	10	40	49	4	9	4	279	400	474	874	195	309	18	15	381	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	20	12	0	0	0	0	5	5	3	3	0		400		400			25	25	285	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	130	115	30	6	0	3	13	39	2	8	6	261	346	391	737	130	368	30	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	320	275	61	8	1	8	34	120	7	31	3	222	323	345	668	124	341	38	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	266	227	58	11	0	9	29	60	4	9	4	256	350	423	773	167	284	23	11	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	20	14	0	0	0	0	3	7	3	3	0		300		300			35	15	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	INTL MLE	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	133	339	156	495	22	194	26	23	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	INTL RAW	Gigantes de Carolina	—	61	45	6	1	0	0	14	16	0	1	0	133	339	156	495	22	194	26	23	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	518	121	19	1	14	62	211	13	45	10	234	331	355	686	122	359	35	10	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	598	496	142	24	1	13	84	145	13	45	10	286	403	417	820	131	376	24	14	371	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	286	240	58	11	0	9	33	67	7	12	4	242	350	400	750	158	288	23	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	286	227	60	12	0	10	45	54	7	12	4	264	400	449	849	185	296	19	16	375	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	518	121	19	1	14	62	211	13	45	10	234	331	355	686	122	349	35	10	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	286	244	58	11	0	9	33	67	7	12	4	238	350	393	743	156	264	23	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	518	121	19	1	14	62	211	13	45	10	234	331	355	686	122	349	35	10	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	286	244	58	11	0	9	33	67	7	12	4	238	350	393	743	156	264	23	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	2%	396	343	79	15	1	11	43	98	7	13	4	229	327	372	698	143	285	25	11	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	228	326	366	693	138	286	17	17	314	100	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	49%	449	389	91	17	1	14	49	109	8	14	5	234	331	388	719	154	286	24	11	323	105	+3	+1	-1	+2	+10	1.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	65%	477	414	99	18	1	16	52	114	8	15	5	237	333	399	732	162	287	24	11	328	108	+5	+1	-1	+2	+10	1.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	73%	491	427	103	19	1	17	53	117	8	16	5	239	334	404	739	165	288	24	11	331	110	+6	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	76%	496	432	103	19	1	17	53	118	8	15	5	240	334	406	740	167	288	24	11	331	110	+6	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	76%	496	432	103	19	1	17	53	118	8	15	5	239	332	404	736	165	287	24	11	329	109	+5	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	76%	492	429	102	19	1	16	52	118	8	13	5	237	330	399	729	162	286	24	11	326	107	+4	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	74%	486	425	99	18	1	16	51	118	7	11	4	234	327	392	719	158	284	24	10	322	104	+3	+1	-3	+2	+11	1.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	STL	73%	479	419	96	17	1	15	50	118	7	8	4	231	323	383	706	153	282	25	10	317	101	+1	+0	-4	+2	+10	0.9
2036	31	MLB MLE	STL	73%	471	412	94	17	1	14	49	118	7	4	3	226	318	372	690	146	278	25	10	311	97	-2	-0	-4	+2	+10	0.6
2037	32	MLB MLE	STL	72%	462	406	89	16	0	13	47	118	6	1	2	220	312	359	671	139	274	26	10	303	91	-5	-1	-5	+2	+10	0.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	STL	72%	406	357	76	13	0	11	41	106	5	1	2	213	304	343	647	129	268	26	10	294	85	-7	-1	-5	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	49%	221	191	44	9	0	6	24	54	4	7	2	233	330	382	712	149	288	24	11	321	105	+1	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.7
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	65%	311	269	63	12	1	9	34	75	5	10	3	237	333	392	725	156	289	24	11	326	108	+3	+1	-1	+1	+7	1.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	73%	357	310	74	14	1	11	38	85	6	11	4	238	334	397	731	159	289	24	11	328	110	+4	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	76%	378	329	79	15	1	12	40	90	6	12	4	239	333	399	733	161	289	24	11	328	110	+5	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	76%	378	329	79	15	1	12	40	90	6	11	4	238	332	397	728	159	289	24	11	326	109	+4	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	76%	374	325	77	15	1	11	40	90	6	10	4	236	329	392	721	156	288	24	11	324	107	+3	+0	-2	+1	+8	1.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	74%	361	315	74	14	1	11	38	88	5	8	3	233	326	385	712	152	286	24	11	320	104	+2	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.9
2035	30	MLB CTX	STL	73%	351	306	70	13	1	10	37	87	5	6	3	230	323	377	699	147	284	25	11	315	101	+0	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.7
2036	31	MLB CTX	STL	73%	342	299	68	13	0	10	35	86	5	3	2	225	318	366	684	141	280	25	10	309	97	-1	-0	-3	+1	+7	0.4
2037	32	MLB CTX	STL	72%	334	292	64	12	0	9	34	85	5	1	2	220	311	353	664	134	275	25	10	301	91	-3	-1	-4	+1	+7	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	STL	72%	293	257	54	10	0	7	30	76	4	1	1	213	303	338	641	125	270	26	10	292	85	-5	-0	-4	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3700	3222	746	142	7	108	390	906	57	80	32	232	325	381	706	149	286	24	11	318	100	+12	+3	-22	+13	+80	8.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	131	25	1	19	69	159	10	14	6	231	326	380	706	148	286	24	11	318	100	+2	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6470	5621	1304	235	11	198	694	1645	106	181	62	232	328	383	711	151	290	25	11	316	100	+18	+5	-32	+20	+120	13.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	131	24	1	20	70	165	11	18	6	232	329	384	713	152	289	25	11	316	100	+2	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rickie Weeks Jr.last yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,098 PA	7.7	5,098	161	132	246	344	420	+12	-40	23.3	22.4
/162	664	21	17	+1.5	-5.2	3.0	pk7: 22
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Grady Hatton'46-'60 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,912 PA	7.4	4,912	91	42	246*	339*	393*	+16	-30	14.1	14.9
/162	664	12	6	+2.2	-4.0	1.9	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,706	117	80	233	323	389	+13	-24	12.9	11.6
/162	664	21	14	+2.4	-4.4	2.3	pk7: 10
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Charlie Neal'56-'63 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	87	48	251*	324*	402*	+18	-12	8.0	8.4
/162	664	15	8	+3.2	-2.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#6James Casey'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 4,082 PA	6.1	4,082	8	148	250*	311*	386*	+15	-22	7.6	7.6
/162	664	1	24	+2.4	-3.6	1.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deniel Ortiz (OGILVIE)	22	42	55	47	63	227/324/368	142	285	9	10	25%	11%	100	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	47→51	52→60	48→50	46	240/313/415	174	307	20	12	28%	8%	105	+1.7	236/309/417	181	299	21	10	28%	7%	105	+1.7	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	51→48	46→60	49→55	42	249/311/386	137	314	13	12	25%	6%	97	+1.1	248/318/428	180	302	21	19	24%	6%	111	+2.1	246/319/446	200	307	24	25	27%	7%	116	+2.6
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	46→51	52→55	49→50	45	236/302/402	166	297	20	12	27%	7%	98	+1.2	247/306/406	159	329	18	11	29%	7%	100	+1.3	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	233/308/370	136	299	14	13	26%	9%	93	+0.8	220/293/335	115	302	9	13	28%	9%	79	-0.2	243/307/436	194	312	22	11	28%	8%	108	+1.1
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	45	260/311/412	152	306	17	9	21%	6%	103	+1.6	238/317/395	157	283	16	12	21%	9%	101	+1.4	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	43→41	51→50	52→55	45	223/290/390	167	279	19	17	27%	8%	91	+0.7	180/256/301	121	262	15	21	35%	8%	59	-1.7	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
●Derek Norris 2012 · AA	23	39→49	53→55	47→50	53	204/313/377	173	277	21	10	32%	12%	97	+1.1	230/312/390	160	287	19	10	25%	10%	99	+1.3	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	51→65	49→30	46	252/301/414	162	289	19	9	20%	6%	100	+1.3	208/267/379	171	271	22	3	31%	5%	80	-0.1	229/305/466	236	295	33	0	33%	8%	115	+1.9
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	41→51	50→55	59→55	48	209/297/370	161	292	17	24	33%	10%	89	+0.5	248/327/426	178	332	20	21	29%	9%	113	+2.3	229/312/388	159	300	18	22	28%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	44→48	48→55	46→45	43	226/277/363	137	270	17	7	24%	6%	80	-0.2	240/312/419	179	282	24	6	24%	8%	106	+1.8	242/317/431	188	286	27	4	25%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Oliver Carrillo 2024 · A	22	42→28	46→45	49→45	62	204/341/335	130	266	13	6	26%	15%	99	+1.3	181/269/294	113	292	13	4	39%	9%	62	-1.4	153/235/262	109	252	14	2	42%	8%	40	-1.5
●Colby Rasmus 2009 · AAA	22	44→54	51→65	53→50	49	227/299/386	159	271	18	17	24%	8%	93	+0.8	243/308/415	172	291	20	10	23%	8%	103	+1.5	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	46	262/312/420	158	307	17	16	21%	6%	105	+1.7	253/337/426	173	297	19	14	21%	10%	116	+2.5	246/353/433	188	290	20	15	21%	12%	123	+1.6
✕Charles McAdoo 2024 · A	22	49→47	49→50	50→55	48	243/314/390	147	311	17	12	27%	9%	99	+1.3	223/285/364	141	308	16	19	31%	7%	82	+0.0	218/283/359	140	297	16	21	31%	7%	78	-0.2

Deniel Ortiz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps