Josh Wakefield

OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	AHOU	318	.270/.381/.375	4	37	78	—	.232/.317/.314
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBHOU	428	.210/.288/.311	6	13	71	-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBHOU	71	.216/.294/.323	1	2	74	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBHOU	132	.219/.296/.330	2	4	77	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed78

Chase%77

K%67

wRC+64

wOBA61

BB%60

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCorey Rosier (age 23) · Leon Johnson (age 23) · Donnie Dewees (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 204 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .286 / .308

PA204

HR3

SB6

K%27

BB%9

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED73

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	267	72	12	2	4	42	67	6	37	8	270	381	375	755	105	342	21	13	344	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	321	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	328	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	267	72	12	2	4	42	67	6	37	8	270	381	375	755	105	342	21	13	344	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	321	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	321	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	428	383	80	14	3	6	37	116	5	13	3	210	288	311	599	100	281	27	9	273	71	-15	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	235	210	45	8	1	4	20	63	3	7	2	214	292	320	611	106	283	27	9	278	74	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	298	267	57	10	2	5	26	79	3	9	2	216	294	327	620	111	283	27	9	282	77	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	344	307	67	12	2	6	30	90	4	11	2	217	295	331	626	114	284	26	9	284	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	361	323	71	13	2	7	31	95	4	11	2	218	295	332	627	115	283	26	9	284	79	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	71	64	14	3	0	1	6	19	1	2	0	216	294	323	617	107	287	27	8	281	74	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	132	119	26	5	1	2	11	35	1	4	1	219	296	330	626	111	288	27	8	284	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	174	155	34	6	1	3	15	46	2	5	1	220	297	334	632	114	288	26	9	286	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	189	169	37	7	1	3	16	50	2	6	1	220	298	336	633	115	288	26	8	287	79	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	566	507	111	21	3	9	48	150	6	17	3	219	294	325	620	107	291	27	8	285	77	-15	+2	+0	-3	+12	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	127	24	3	10	55	172	7	20	3	218	293	321	614	103	290	26	8	285	77	-17	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1760	1569	343	60	10	28	154	473	22	81	17	219	297	323	621	105	292	27	9	281	77	-41	+5	+0	-9	+31	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	126	22	4	10	57	175	8	30	6	218	297	321	618	104	291	27	9	281	77	-18	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 318 PAwOBA .339 → .283 (−57)K% 21.1% → 28.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.07%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	28.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.21%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	9.11%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.47%
Singles /BIP	27.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.045	—	25.95%
Doubles /BIP	6.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.045	—	5.20%
Triples /BIP	1.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.045	—	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	2.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	1.60%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .339 → .283; ISO .105 → .086; BABIP .342 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	770	13	24	216	290	326	-5	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	11	20	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Wakefield (OGILVIE)	23	37→42	34→39	68→73	58	209/286/308	99	281	3	6	27%	9%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	46→54	42→40	62→60	48	222/293/332	110	289	9	28	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/280/317	98	293	7	33	26%	7%	70	-0.9	214/278/307	93	284	7	36	26%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	48	40	58→60	50	227/300/324	96	299	6	22	24%	9%	78	-0.3	217/281/294	77	280	5	17	23%	7%	65	-1.2	198/260/219	21	246	0	22	18%	6%	36	-0.7
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	48→50	40→45	61→50	41	230/272/333	103	290	5	17	22%	5%	70	-0.9	220/268/329	109	269	8	14	21%	5%	68	-1.0	213/264/327	114	253	10	13	20%	6%	63	-1.1
✕Ryan Rogowski 2007 · A	23	48→46	40	59→55	52	227/298/329	101	275	6	19	19%	8%	79	-0.2	218/286/306	88	272	4	26	20%	8%	70	-0.9	213/284/298	85	264	4	31	19%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→35	39→40	64→60	50	175/275/264	90	264	6	32	33%	11%	57	-1.8	180/260/270	90	269	8	28	33%	9%	53	-2.1	177/253/266	89	250	10	28	31%	9%	46	-1.7
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	46→41	47→50	62→55	51	228/308/371	143	270	13	24	21%	9%	93	+0.8	215/288/341	126	275	11	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	207/276/315	108	283	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Guy Lipscomb 2024 · A	23	49	37→40	63→60	52	225/307/306	81	303	3	36	25%	10%	78	-0.3	226/292/313	87	288	5	29	22%	8%	73	-0.6	223/287/309	86	277	6	31	21%	8%	67	-0.6
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43	42→50	65→70	46	208/270/320	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	66	-1.1	211/279/332	121	278	12	50	27%	8%	73	-0.6	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Trent Mummey 2012 · A	23	46	43→40	61→55	47	224/281/341	117	271	9	26	21%	7%	76	-0.4	204/269/294	90	250	7	17	20%	8%	60	-1.6	197/261/279	82	229	5	19	16%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/270/296	95	279	4	19	28%	8%	61	-1.5	223/282/322	99	284	7	11	23%	7%	71	-0.8	228/285/324	97	281	8	8	21%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2019 · A	23	43	42→45	59→65	38	200/267/304	104	330	9	30	39%	7%	62	-1.4	190/254/288	98	315	10	26	40%	7%	53	-2.1	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Brock Deatherage 2019 · A	23	51→31	40	59→60	36	234/281/330	96	361	7	20	35%	6%	72	-0.7	193/232/288	95	308	7	26	38%	4%	45	-2.7	162/197/253	91	259	7	36	39%	3%	21	-3.6
✕Joe Lampe 2024 · A	23	43→48	38→45	56→55	48	206/282/288	82	270	5	16	24%	8%	64	-1.3	213/276/313	100	290	6	18	27%	7%	67	-1.1	210/271/314	104	289	7	21	28%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2024 · AA	23	47→48	44→45	57→55	46	230/292/354	124	295	9	20	25%	8%	82	+0.0	211/279/311	100	292	9	17	29%	8%	68	-1.0	200/274/289	89	282	8	17	30%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Thomas Coyle 2014 · A	23	50→51	40	58→55	53	234/310/335	101	292	6	21	21%	10%	84	+0.2	210/277/301	91	291	6	20	28%	8%	65	-1.2	193/260/279	86	274	6	22	30%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Matthew Etzel 2024 · A	22	49→45	43→45	59→60	49	236/319/354	118	312	10	30	26%	9%	93	+0.8	219/285/337	118	304	12	31	30%	8%	76	-0.4	210/280/329	119	288	13	32	30%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	47→51	39→40	61→65	45	221/282/308	87	290	6	31	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/268/302	87	297	6	32	28%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/287	82	290	5	34	30%	6%	52	-1.4

Josh Wakefield

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps