Odarlin Cruz

P ACL Rockies

Age 22 RHP 6'7" / 188 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKCOL	23	29	4.60	2.21	28.4%	6.0%	—	K 19.3% · BB 7.5% · FIP 3.74
2026	21	ROKCOL	19	32	4.55	3.23	28.1%	7.2%	—	K 19.1% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.84
2027PROJ	22	MLBCOL	17	18	4.41	4.41	21.4%	8.6%	0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCOL	14	15	4.32	4.27	22.4%	8.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCorey Copping (age 22) · Devon Roedahl (age 22) · Collin Kober (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

K%21.4%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%12.9%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	8	0	11	55	4	3	2	0%	1.3	4.9%	6.8%	-1.9%	4.4%	6.75	5.98	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	8	0	11	55	4	3	2	0%	1.3	7.3%	5.5%	1.8%	3.6%	6.75	5.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	20	0	25	114	34	7	0	0%	1.2	20.3%	7.7%	12.6%	0.0%	1.80	2.36	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	20	0	25	114	34	7	0	0%	1.2	20.3%	7.7%	12.6%	0.0%	1.80	2.36	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	20	0	25	114	34	7	0	0%	1.2	29.8%	6.1%	23.7%	0.0%	1.80	1.22	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	23	0	29	134	38	8	2	0%	1.3	19.3%	7.5%	11.8%	2.4%	4.60	3.74	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	23	0	29	134	38	8	2	0%	1.3	19.3%	7.5%	11.8%	2.4%	4.60	3.74	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	23	0	29	134	38	8	2	0%	1.3	28.4%	6.0%	22.4%	1.5%	4.60	2.21	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	19	0	32	139	39	10	4	0%	1.7	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	4.0%	4.55	4.84	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	19	0	32	139	39	10	4	0%	1.7	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	4.0%	4.55	4.84	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	19	0	32	139	39	10	4	0%	1.7	28.1%	7.2%	20.9%	2.9%	4.55	3.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	COL	17	0	18	76	16	7	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	8.6%	12.9%	3.0%	4.41	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	28	0	30	125	28	10	4	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.3%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	4.27	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	14	0	15	63	14	5	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.3%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	4.27	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	61	14	5	2	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.3%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.89	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	69	27	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.3%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.89	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		70	0	97	442	78	35	11	0%	1.4	17.7%	7.9%	9.8%	2.6%	4.10	4.01	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	0	200	914	162	72	23	0%	1.4	17.7%	7.9%	9.8%	2.6%	4.10	4.01	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Odarlin Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	21.4%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.27	22.4%	14.1%	30	-0.14	—	—	—
Corey Copping R 2016 · 4.13 FIP	22	SU	4.13	21.4%	8.7%	3.1%	.265	4.55	19.6%	6.7%	179	+0.42	3.38	214	92
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	92
Collin Kober R 2017 · 3.39 FIP	22	SU	3.39	21.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.268	2.76	24.0%	17.9%	128	-0.63	2.38	294	91
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	91
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	90
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	90
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	89
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	89
Jorge Julio R 2001 · 3.48 FIP	22	SU	3.48	22.2%	9.1%	2.0%	.348	4.31	20.4%	10.1%	199	+0.83	3.48	467	89
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	89
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	88
Kenny Oakley R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	22	SU	3.50	23.8%	9.1%	2.3%	.348	3.87	17.3%	7.8%	115	+0.37	3.13	144	88
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	88
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	87
Sean Boyle R 2018 · 4.70 FIP	21	SU	4.70	21.3%	7.8%	4.4%	.342	2.87	22.6%	15.3%	86	-1.83	2.87	548	87
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	86
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	86
RJ Petit R 2022 · 4.43 FIP	22	SU	4.43	20.3%	8.4%	3.6%	.270	3.43	22.4%	12.9%	177	-1.00	3.06	231	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.46	483	86