Yosweld Vasquez
C Fayetteville Woodpeckers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKDSL Astros Or… | 103 | .267/.382/.407 | 1 | 3 | 40 | — | .167/.265/.256 |
| 2025 | 20 | A/ROKHOU | 161 | .246/.361/.381 | 4 | 4 | 51 | — | .185/.273/.284 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/AHOU | 207 | .190/.262/.250 | 1 | 9 | 8 | — | .153/.208/.201 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBHOU | 317 | .191/.249/.272 | 3 | 6 | 47 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBHOU | 55 | .199/.258/.292 | 1 | 1 | 53 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBHOU | 109 | .203/.263/.304 | 2 | 2 | 58 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 41
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | — | 78 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 273 | 319 | 592 | 130 | 186 | 12 | 5 | 269 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | — | 103 | 86 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 267 | 382 | 407 | 789 | 140 | 314 | 15 | 13 | 356 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 37 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 241 | 371 | 345 | 716 | 103 | 292 | 19 | 14 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 124 | 105 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 358 | 390 | 748 | 143 | 293 | 22 | 10 | 340 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 39 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 324 | 395 | 382 | 777 | 59 | 440 | 26 | 10 | 346 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 168 | 150 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 160 | 232 | 220 | 452 | 60 | 217 | 28 | 7 | 209 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 78 | 70 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 114 | 195 | 186 | 381 | 71 | 120 | 14 | 4 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 103 | 90 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 265 | 256 | 520 | 89 | 199 | 18 | 9 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 37 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 323 | 637 | 97 | 262 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 124 | 110 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 260 | 273 | 533 | 100 | 230 | 32 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 39 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 56 | 380 | 33 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 168 | 153 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 64 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 124 | 183 | 170 | 353 | 46 | 185 | 38 | 5 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 78 | 70 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 114 | 195 | 186 | 381 | 71 | 119 | 14 | 4 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Astros Orange | — | 78 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 273 | 319 | 592 | 130 | 186 | 12 | 5 | 269 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 103 | 90 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 265 | 256 | 520 | 89 | 200 | 18 | 9 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Astros Orange | — | 103 | 86 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 267 | 382 | 407 | 789 | 140 | 314 | 15 | 13 | 356 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 140 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 186 | 278 | 286 | 564 | 100 | 253 | 30 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 161 | 134 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 361 | 381 | 741 | 134 | 293 | 21 | 11 | 334 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 189 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 77 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 148 | 203 | 196 | 399 | 48 | 233 | 37 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 207 | 184 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 190 | 262 | 250 | 512 | 60 | 260 | 28 | 7 | 235 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 78 | 71 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 113 | 195 | 183 | 378 | 70 | 120 | 14 | 4 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 103 | 90 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 265 | 256 | 520 | 89 | 199 | 18 | 9 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 142 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 278 | 282 | 560 | 99 | 237 | 30 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 192 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 77 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 146 | 203 | 193 | 396 | 47 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 103 | 90 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 265 | 256 | 520 | 89 | 199 | 18 | 9 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 142 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 278 | 282 | 560 | 99 | 237 | 30 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 192 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 77 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 146 | 203 | 193 | 396 | 47 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | HOU | 0% | 317 | 291 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 94 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 191 | 249 | 272 | 522 | 81 | 266 | 30 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | HOU | 34% | 159 | 146 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 256 | 288 | 544 | 92 | 268 | 29 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | HOU | 46% | 237 | 217 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 200 | 261 | 300 | 561 | 99 | 270 | 29 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | HOU | 52% | 300 | 274 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 85 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 203 | 265 | 308 | 573 | 105 | 271 | 28 | 6 | 259 | 62 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | HOU | 54% | 344 | 314 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 96 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 206 | 268 | 314 | 582 | 109 | 272 | 28 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | HOU | 54% | 361 | 330 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 100 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 207 | 269 | 316 | 586 | 110 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | HOU | 54% | 366 | 334 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 103 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 205 | 267 | 312 | 579 | 107 | 272 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | HOU | 53% | 362 | 331 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 102 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 265 | 306 | 570 | 103 | 270 | 28 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | HOU | 57% | 353 | 323 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 101 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 199 | 261 | 298 | 559 | 99 | 268 | 29 | 7 | 253 | 58 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | HOU | 34% | 55 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 258 | 292 | 550 | 93 | 272 | 29 | 5 | 250 | 53 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | HOU | 46% | 109 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 263 | 304 | 567 | 100 | 275 | 28 | 6 | 257 | 58 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | HOU | 52% | 155 | 142 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 312 | 579 | 106 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 262 | 62 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | HOU | 54% | 187 | 171 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 270 | 318 | 588 | 110 | 277 | 28 | 6 | 265 | 64 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | HOU | 54% | 196 | 179 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 272 | 320 | 592 | 111 | 277 | 28 | 7 | 267 | 65 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | HOU | 54% | 199 | 182 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 270 | 315 | 585 | 108 | 276 | 28 | 7 | 264 | 63 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | HOU | 53% | 192 | 175 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 267 | 309 | 576 | 104 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 261 | 61 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | HOU | 57% | 201 | 184 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 263 | 301 | 565 | 100 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 256 | 58 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1294 | 1184 | 245 | 50 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 365 | 14 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 268 | 314 | 582 | 107 | 278 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 54 | -59 | +2 | -2 | +23 | +28 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 124 | 25 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 183 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 208 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 111 | 279 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 54 | -30 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3151 | 2869 | 560 | 113 | 12 | 49 | 203 | 892 | 47 | 66 | 17 | 195 | 260 | 294 | 554 | 99 | 262 | 28 | 6 | 249 | 54 | -122 | +4 | -4 | +46 | +56 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 184 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 194 | 260 | 291 | 550 | 96 | 261 | 28 | 6 | 249 | 54 | -31 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 168 PAwOBA .208 → .158 (−51)K% 28.0% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.98% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | — | 14.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | — | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .208 → .158; ISO .060 → .044; BABIP .217 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 39 PAwOBA .347 → .274 (−72)K% 25.6% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 33.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .274; ISO .059 → .045; BABIP .440 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Astros · 124 PAwOBA .334 → .235 (−99)K% 21.8% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.77% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.84% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.36% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×0.961 | ×0.985 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | ×0.961 | ×0.985 | 2.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | ×0.961 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.85% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .334 → .235; ISO .143 → .099; BABIP .293 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 37 PAwOBA .326 → .275 (−51)K% 18.9% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.51% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 17.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 11.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .326 → .275; ISO .103 → .090; BABIP .292 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 103 PAwOBA .347 → .227 (−120)K% 14.6% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.56% | ÷0.966 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 8.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.91% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.31% | ÷0.946 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 12.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.68% | ÷0.955 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 89, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .347 → .227; ISO .140 → .082; BABIP .314 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 78 PAwOBA .265 → .164 (−101)K% 11.5% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.039 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.13% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 8.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.905 | ×0.600 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.330 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.17% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 108, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .265 → .164; ISO .130 → .060; BABIP .186 → .120. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).