Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 10 | 1 | 20 | 96 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 10% | 2.0 | 10.6% | 28.6% | -18.0% | 0.0% | 3.20 | 5.83 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 10 | 1 | 20 | 96 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 10% | 2.0 | 15.6% | 22.9% | -7.3% | 0.0% | 3.20 | 4.93 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 0 | 19 | 122 | 16 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 8.9% | 34.8% | -25.9% | 2.5% | 17.84 | 8.15 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 0 | 19 | 122 | 16 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.1% | 27.9% | -14.8% | 1.6% | 17.84 | 8.24 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 17 | 0 | 27 | 146 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 9.8% | 17.1% | -7.3% | 0.3% | 8.89 | 4.61 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 17 | 0 | 27 | 146 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.4% | 13.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 8.89 | 4.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 3 | 28 | 160 | 30 | 35 | 3 | 27% | 2.5 | 12.8% | 27.3% | -14.6% | 2.6% | 11.39 | 6.93 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.63 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 42 | 220 | 43 | 42 | 5 | — | — | 19.5% | 18.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 9.08 | 6.14 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.04 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 4 | 93 | 524 | 56 | 139 | 8 | 8% | 1.9 | 10.6% | 26.5% | -15.8% | 1.5% | 10.22 | 6.37 | -1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 9 | 200 | 1123 | 119 | 297 | 17 | 8% | 1.9 | 10.6% | 26.5% | -15.8% | 1.5% | 10.22 | 6.37 | -2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Stanly Alcantara (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.6% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.42 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 20 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 91 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 88 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 85 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 85 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 84 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 84 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 84 |
| Kyle Marman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 83 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 83 |
| Sean Isaac R 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 83 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 83 |
| Cole Gordon R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 83 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 83 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 82 |
| Jayson McKinley R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .308 | 3.66 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 134 | -0.75 | 2.33 | 173 | 82 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 82 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 82 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 82 |
| Mike Morrison R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 17.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.02 | 19.0% | 7.1% | 128 | -0.85 | 3.37 | 145 | 82 |
| Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 82 |