William Privette

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 25 RHP 6'6" / 200 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ATEX	37	1	45	4.00	2.48	30.1%	15.3%	—	K 22.3% · BB 18.1% · FIP 3.51
2026	24	ATEX	6	0	12	0.73	2.53	44.2%	14.0%	—	K 44.2% · BB 14.0% · FIP 2.41
2027PROJ	25	MLBTEX	57	0	60	5.40	5.40	22.7%	18.0%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBTEX	24	0	25	5.28	5.27	23.0%	17.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTEX	35	0	37	5.23	5.24	23.0%	16.6%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control20Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCaleb Simpson (age 25) · Zane Russell (age 24) · Kevin Kopps (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119

ERA5.40

FIP5.40

K%22.7%

BB%18.0%

K-BB%4.7%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2020

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	3	0	2	16	2	8	0	0%	0.7	12.5%	50.0%	-37.5%	0.0%	22.50	8.38	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	3	0	2	16	2	8	0	0%	0.7	12.5%	50.0%	-37.5%	0.0%	22.50	13.10	—
2025	23	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	37	1	45	196	59	30	0	3%	1.2	22.3%	18.1%	4.2%	0.0%	4.00	3.51	—
2025	23	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	37	1	45	196	59	30	0	3%	1.2	22.3%	18.1%	4.2%	0.0%	4.00	3.51	—
2025	23	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	37	1	45	196	59	30	0	3%	1.2	30.1%	15.3%	14.8%	0.0%	4.00	2.48	—
2026	24	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	6	0	12	43	19	6	1	0%	2.1	44.2%	14.0%	30.2%	2.3%	0.73	2.41	—
2026	24	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	6	0	12	43	19	6	1	0%	2.1	44.2%	14.0%	30.2%	2.3%	0.73	2.41	—
2026	24	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	6	0	12	43	19	6	1	0%	2.1	44.2%	14.0%	30.2%	2.3%	0.73	2.53	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TEX	57	0	60	253	58	46	7	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.0%	4.7%	2.8%	5.40	5.40	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	251	58	43	7	0%	1.0	23.0%	17.1%	5.9%	2.9%	5.28	5.27	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	247	57	41	7	0%	1.0	23.0%	16.6%	6.4%	2.9%	5.23	5.24	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	24	0	25	106	24	18	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	17.1%	5.9%	2.9%	5.28	5.27	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	35	0	37	156	36	26	5	0%	1.1	23.0%	16.6%	6.4%	2.9%	5.23	5.24	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	263	60	44	8	0%	1.1	23.0%	16.8%	6.2%	2.9%	5.25	4.87	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	141	26	0%	1.1	23.0%	16.8%	6.2%	2.9%	5.25	4.87	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		46	1	59	255	65	49	1	2%	1.3	25.4%	19.4%	6.0%	0.4%	3.94	3.63	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	3	200	860	218	167	3	2%	1.3	25.4%	19.4%	6.0%	0.4%	3.94	3.63	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
William Privette (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.40	22.7%	18.0%	2.8%	—	5.26	23.0%	6.2%	118	-0.14	—	—	—
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	90
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	89
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	87
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	86
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	86
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	85
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	85
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	85
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	84
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	84
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	84
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	84
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	83
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	83
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	83
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	83
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	22.9%	17.2%	1.11	5.30
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*