Justin Riemer — OGILVIE

Justin Riemer2B Lansing Lugnuts

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION206 act + 137 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .337 / .289

PA137

HR1

K%24

BB%14

BABIP283

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	165	135	28	4	1	0	21	42	7	9	0	207	344	252	595	44	295	25	13	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	165	127	32	5	1	0	29	29	7	9	0	252	417	307	724	55	320	18	18	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	303	252	47	5	0	1	42	91	6	9	3	187	317	218	535	32	284	30	14	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	303	225	52	7	0	1	69	60	6	9	3	231	423	276	699	44	307	20	23	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	OAK	—	206	165	35	3	1	3	31	47	6	8	0	212	356	297	653	85	271	23	15	299	87	-3	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.5
YTD	24	A+	OAK	—	206	152	37	4	1	3	44	35	6	8	0	243	431	342	773	99	291	17	21	361	134	+8	+2	+0	+1	+6	1.6
ROS	24	A+	OAK	0%	137	114	24	4	1	1	19	33	3	4	0	210	337	289	626	79	276	24	14	286	77	-4	+1	+0	+0	+4	0.2
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						274	0	0	269	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	OAK	—	207	166	35	3	1	3	31	47	6	8	0	211	355	295	650	84	269	23	15	299	87	-3	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.5
TOT	24	A+	OAK	—	343	279	59	7	2	4	50	80	9	12	0	211	349	294	642	82	276	23	15	294	83	-7	+2	+0	+1	+10	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	OAK	30%	336	283	60	10	1	4	44	80	6	7	1	212	330	297	627	85	279	24	13	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.6
2028	26	MLB	OAK	44%	383	324	71	12	1	6	49	91	7	8	1	219	334	318	652	99	280	24	13	301	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.8
2029	27	MLB	OAK	49%	402	340	74	12	2	6	52	95	7	8	1	218	333	318	651	100	281	24	13	302	89	-5	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.9
2030	28	MLB	OAK	52%	412	349	76	13	2	6	53	98	7	8	1	218	333	318	651	100	281	24	13	301	89	-5	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.9
2031	29	MLB	OAK	51%	410	347	74	12	1	6	53	99	7	7	1	213	329	305	635	92	280	24	13	299	87	-6	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.7
2032	30	MLB	OAK	51%	407	345	73	12	1	6	52	99	7	7	1	212	327	304	631	93	278	24	13	297	85	-7	+1	-2	+1	+12	0.5
2033	31	MLB	OAK	51%	395	334	70	12	1	5	51	97	7	6	1	210	327	296	623	87	276	25	13	292	82	-8	+1	-3	+1	+11	0.3
2034	32	MLB	OAK	51%	378	320	66	11	1	5	49	94	6	6	1	206	323	294	616	88	273	25	13	287	78	-9	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.0
2027	25	MLB	OAK	30%	102	86	18	3	0	1	13	24	2	2	0	209	327	279	606	70	277	24	13	280	72	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2028	26	MLB	OAK	44%	169	142	31	5	1	2	22	40	3	3	1	218	335	310	645	92	278	24	13	285	76	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	27	MLB	OAK	49%	197	167	36	6	1	3	25	47	3	4	1	216	328	317	646	102	279	24	13	287	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2030	28	MLB	OAK	52%	212	179	38	6	1	3	27	51	4	4	1	212	329	307	636	95	279	24	13	286	77	-5	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.1
2031	29	MLB	OAK	51%	211	178	38	6	1	3	27	51	4	4	1	213	330	309	639	96	278	24	13	285	76	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2032	30	MLB	OAK	51%	210	177	38	6	1	3	27	51	4	4	1	215	332	311	642	96	276	24	13	282	74	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2033	31	MLB	OAK	51%	203	172	37	6	1	3	26	50	3	3	0	215	328	314	642	99	274	25	13	278	71	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	OAK	51%	195	165	33	5	1	2	25	49	3	3	0	200	316	279	595	79	271	25	13	273	67	-7	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1500	1267	269	43	7	20	192	363	26	27	5	212	328	305	633	92	279	24	13	282	74	-44	+3	-5	+5	+42	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	549	117	19	3	9	83	157	11	12	2	213	328	308	635	95	280	24	13	282	74	-19	+2	-2	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3728	3143	663	107	12	46	485	919	70	79	11	211	329	297	626	86	281	25	13	292	82	-78	+11	-10	+13	+106	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	548	116	19	2	8	85	160	12	14	2	212	331	297	628	86	281	25	13	292	82	-14	+2	-2	+2	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	126	100	24	4	0	0	19	24	7	8	0	240	397	280	677	40	316	19	15	330	111	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	22	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	27	8	1	1	0	10	5	0	1	0	296	486	407	894	111	333	13	26	392	158	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	24	18	4	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	1	222	391	278	669	56	308	21	21	312	97	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	279	207	48	6	0	1	64	55	6	9	2	232	426	275	701	43	307	20	23	344	121	+7	+1	—	—	+8	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	7	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	10	2	232	315	348	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA	8	2,389	17	24	246	315	322	+2	+9	2.5	2.7
	/162	664	5	7	246	315	322	+0.5	+2.5	0.7	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,501	21	27	215	327	309	+5	+4	2.5	2.4
	/162	664	9	12	215	327	309	+2.4	+1.8	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Riemer (OGILVIE)	24	40	20	50	60	211/349/294	82	276	4	12	23%	15%	83	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Meneses 2008 · AA	24	46	34→30	49→50	54	210/304/263	54	287	2	11	25%	11%	63	-0.8	208/283/273	65	289	4	11	26%	9%	56	-1.3	198/269/236	38	273	2	11	26%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	62	-0.9	227/311/289	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	235/337/268	33	301	0	6	19%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→48	36→45	49→55	49	213/306/279	66	310	3	11	29%	10%	69	-0.4	214/304/326	112	305	9	15	30%	10%	79	+0.3	206/303/321	115	290	9	16	29%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Josh Johnson 2010 · AA	24	47→49	36→45	44→50	54	219/302/283	65	284	3	10	22%	10%	66	-0.6	240/308/344	104	297	8	13	20%	9%	85	+0.7	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Jonathan Diaz 2009 · AA	24	44→47	36→30	42→50	59	204/318/277	73	257	3	6	20%	12%	74	-0.1	206/294/270	64	259	3	6	19%	9%	60	-1.0	219/300/269	50	278	3	14	20%	9%	60	-0.8
✕Andy Paz 2017 · AA	24	49	38→40	51→45	45	233/286/312	80	303	6	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	214/262/283	69	291	5	9	26%	6%	48	-1.9	174/216/193	19	246	0	7	28%	5%	3	-1.6
✕Alfredo Lopez 2014 · AA	24	50	35→30	46→50	49	235/300/297	62	289	3	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	226/283/290	64	284	2	15	20%	7%	59	-1.1	242/288/290	48	295	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Julian Williams 2007 · A	24	48	36→30	49→55	48	220/306/293	73	294	3	15	24%	8%	72	-0.2	220/294/288	68	282	3	17	21%	8%	65	-0.7	218/293/263	45	274	0	23	19%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Mike Brownstein 2011 · A	23	49	36→30	50→55	53	225/298/293	68	274	2	15	18%	9%	67	-0.5	223/287/297	74	296	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	225/291/289	64	297	2	14	23%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	240/320/297	56	290	3	12	17%	10%	78	+0.2	210/264/271	61	245	3	12	15%	6%	46	-2.0	178/215/214	36	201	0	14	11%	4%	7	-2.4
✕Antonio Nunez 2017 · AA	24	48→51	34→30	49→50	51	218/297/265	46	304	1	15	26%	10%	59	-1.1	194/255/249	55	303	3	13	34%	7%	37	-2.6	172/229/215	43	275	2	12	36%	6%	15	-2.3
✕Tim Arakawa 2017 · AAA	24	43→42	36→30	48→50	50	205/276/273	67	268	4	10	24%	9%	53	-1.5	213/278/296	83	301	8	12	29%	8%	59	-1.1	204/273/276	72	302	10	13	34%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/293	79	273	6	14	22%	8%	72	-0.2	205/298/278	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	176/285/222	46	228	2	12	21%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Nick Natoli 2013 · AA	25	42	37→30	52→50	50	197/280/272	74	269	4	10	26%	10%	55	-1.4	181/253/250	69	264	4	11	30%	8%	38	-2.6	143/220/190	47	215	1	11	31%	8%	6	-3.1
✕Frainyer Chavez 2023 · AAA	24	46→47	36→40	50	46	213/280/277	64	294	3	14	27%	8%	56	-1.3	209/271/287	78	291	7	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2022 · A	24	46→48	37→40	53→45	50	216/299/288	72	282	4	9	23%	9%	67	-0.5	214/270/293	79	280	5	5	24%	6%	56	-1.3	206/255/280	73	268	5	1	24%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Casey Turgeon 2017 · AA	24	44	39→40	47→45	55	210/302/302	93	263	5	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	212/292/317	105	275	10	8	25%	9%	72	-0.2	195/281/291	96	247	12	6	25%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	43	38→40	50	50	205/285/287	82	263	6	9	23%	9%	61	-1.0	207/276/302	95	284	8	8	28%	8%	60	-1.0	181/247/265	84	252	9	5	30%	7%	39	-0.9