Justin Riemer
2B Lansing Lugnuts| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ROKBOS | 165 | .252/.417/.307 | 0 | 9 | 69 | — | .211/.332/.255 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+BOS | 303 | .231/.423/.276 | 1 | 9 | 53 | — | .181/.307/.213 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/A+OAK | 280 | .278/.451/.373 | 4 | 11 | 106 | — | .257/.389/.341 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBOAK | 1 | .217/.341/.283 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBOAK | 61 | .221/.342/.299 | 1 | 1 | 86 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBOAK | 99 | .222/.340/.302 | 1 | 2 | 86 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 126 | 100 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 240 | 397 | 280 | 677 | 40 | 316 | 19 | 15 | 330 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | — | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 296 | 486 | 407 | 894 | 111 | 333 | 13 | 26 | 392 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 24 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 391 | 278 | 669 | 56 | 308 | 21 | 21 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 279 | 207 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 55 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 232 | 426 | 275 | 701 | 43 | 307 | 20 | 23 | 344 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 119 | 90 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 487 | 389 | 876 | 56 | 408 | 15 | 18 | 405 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 161 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 235 | 424 | 361 | 785 | 126 | 275 | 17 | 23 | 363 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 126 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 196 | 317 | 224 | 542 | 28 | 282 | 26 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 39 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 378 | 355 | 733 | 97 | 261 | 18 | 15 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 304 | 250 | 554 | 50 | 300 | 25 | 12 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 279 | 234 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 77 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 179 | 307 | 209 | 516 | 30 | 253 | 28 | 13 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 119 | 96 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 323 | 444 | 375 | 819 | 52 | 396 | 18 | 13 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 161 | 130 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 36 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 208 | 348 | 315 | 663 | 108 | 243 | 22 | 16 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 137 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 40 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 212 | 337 | 255 | 593 | 44 | 293 | 24 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 165 | 127 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 252 | 417 | 307 | 724 | 55 | 320 | 18 | 18 | 345 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 254 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 83 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 181 | 307 | 213 | 519 | 31 | 262 | 27 | 13 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 303 | 225 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 60 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 231 | 423 | 276 | 699 | 44 | 307 | 20 | 23 | 341 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 226 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 58 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 252 | 385 | 323 | 708 | 71 | 321 | 21 | 15 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 280 | 209 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 58 | 46 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 278 | 451 | 373 | 824 | 96 | 333 | 16 | 21 | 380 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 138 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 40 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 210 | 337 | 254 | 591 | 43 | 277 | 24 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 254 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 83 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 181 | 307 | 213 | 519 | 31 | 257 | 27 | 13 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 229 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 58 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 249 | 385 | 319 | 704 | 70 | 308 | 21 | 15 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 138 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 40 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 210 | 337 | 254 | 591 | 43 | 277 | 24 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 254 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 83 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 181 | 307 | 213 | 519 | 31 | 257 | 27 | 13 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 229 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 58 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 249 | 385 | 319 | 704 | 70 | 308 | 21 | 15 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 0% | 330 | 275 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 76 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 212 | 336 | 275 | 611 | 62 | 281 | 23 | 14 | 290 | 83 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 341 | 283 | 623 | 65 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 83 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 30% | 201 | 168 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 46 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 337 | 291 | 628 | 75 | 282 | 23 | 13 | 296 | 86 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 42% | 237 | 199 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 55 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 335 | 294 | 629 | 78 | 282 | 23 | 13 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 48% | 262 | 221 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 61 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 333 | 295 | 628 | 79 | 281 | 23 | 13 | 294 | 85 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 49% | 271 | 230 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 64 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 329 | 294 | 623 | 79 | 280 | 24 | 13 | 292 | 84 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 30% | 61 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 342 | 299 | 640 | 78 | 289 | 23 | 13 | 301 | 86 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 42% | 99 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 340 | 302 | 642 | 81 | 289 | 23 | 13 | 301 | 86 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 48% | 125 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 337 | 303 | 640 | 82 | 289 | 23 | 13 | 299 | 85 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 49% | 133 | 113 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 334 | 303 | 636 | 82 | 288 | 23 | 13 | 297 | 84 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 418 | 355 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 54 | 97 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 220 | 334 | 299 | 633 | 79 | 286 | 23 | 13 | 299 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 552 | 121 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 84 | 151 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 219 | 334 | 299 | 633 | 80 | 285 | 23 | 13 | 299 | 82 | -11 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1883 | 1573 | 338 | 43 | 6 | 16 | 248 | 445 | 43 | 51 | 7 | 215 | 337 | 280 | 618 | 65 | 286 | 24 | 13 | 289 | 82 | -20 | +3 | -2 | +4 | +25 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 543 | 117 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 86 | 154 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 215 | 339 | 284 | 622 | 68 | 287 | 24 | 13 | 289 | 82 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 161 PAwOBA .362 → .298 (−64)K% 17.4% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 16.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 3.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.61% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .362 → .298; ISO .126 → .108; BABIP .275 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 119 PAwOBA .396 → .361 (−34)K% 15.1% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 12.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.04% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 4.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 36.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 2.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .396 → .361; ISO .056 → .050; BABIP .408 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Greenville Drive · 279 PAwOBA .340 → .245 (−95)K% 19.7% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.71% | ÷0.936 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.94% | ÷1.050 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 13.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.97% | ÷0.974 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.117 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 95, 2B 120, 3B 102, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .340 → .245; ISO .043 → .033; BABIP .307 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 24 PAwOBA .306 → .269 (−36)K% 20.8% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 14.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.962 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.109 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.141 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.119 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 92, 2B 122, 3B 128, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .306 → .269; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .308 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Greenville Drive · 126 PAwOBA .323 → .257 (−66)K% 19.0% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.960 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.08% | ÷0.924 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 4.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.013 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 24.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.037 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 85, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .323 → .257; ISO .040 → .032; BABIP .316 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Red Sox · 39 PAwOBA .405 → .312 (−94)K% 12.8% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.026 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.64% | ÷0.968 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 16.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.993 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 21.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.061 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .405 → .312; ISO .111 → .089; BABIP .333 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).