Adriel Cuello — OGILVIE

Adriel CuelloSS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .255 / .265

PA5

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	111	19	2	0	0	10	46	9	6	2	171	292	189	481	18	284	35	8	237	47	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	96	22	5	1	1	8	31	3	5	5	229	308	333	642	104	328	29	7	291	83	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	115	12	1	0	0	6	68	9	6	2	104	208	113	321	9	220	51	5	151	-12	-18	+0	—	—	+3	-1.5
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	99	15	3	1	1	5	45	3	5	5	152	215	232	447	81	250	42	5	185	11	-11	-1	—	—	+2	-1.0
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	115	12	1	0	0	6	68	9	6	2	104	208	113	321	9	245	51	5	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	111	19	2	0	0	10	46	9	6	2	171	292	189	481	18	284	35	8	237	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	99	15	3	1	1	5	45	3	5	5	152	215	232	447	81	264	42	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	96	22	5	1	1	8	31	3	5	5	229	308	333	642	104	328	29	7	291	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	117	12	1	0	0	6	68	9	6	2	103	208	111	319	9	220	51	5	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	99	15	3	1	1	5	45	3	5	5	152	215	232	447	81	250	42	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	117	12	1	0	0	6	68	9	6	2	103	208	111	319	9	220	51	5	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	99	15	3	1	1	5	45	3	5	5	152	215	232	447	81	250	42	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	40	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	118	107	22	4	1	2	8	38	2	2	0	206	274	318	591	112	289	32	7	255	59	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	263	238	50	9	2	4	18	82	5	4	1	210	280	315	595	105	290	31	7	264	65	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	367	333	70	12	2	7	25	112	6	6	1	210	277	321	599	111	291	31	7	271	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	439	399	86	15	3	9	30	133	7	7	2	216	282	336	618	120	292	30	7	275	72	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	481	437	93	16	3	10	33	145	8	8	2	213	280	332	612	119	293	30	7	277	74	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	506	457	98	17	3	11	35	153	9	8	2	214	283	337	620	123	293	30	7	279	75	-15	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	517	466	100	17	3	11	37	156	9	8	2	215	285	335	620	120	292	30	7	279	75	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	469	100	17	3	11	37	158	9	8	2	213	283	333	616	119	292	30	7	278	74	-16	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	515	464	99	17	3	11	37	157	9	7	2	213	284	334	618	121	291	30	7	276	73	-17	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	291	32	7	245	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	127	115	24	4	1	2	9	39	2	2	1	209	278	313	591	104	292	31	7	255	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	199	180	39	7	1	4	14	61	3	3	1	217	284	333	618	117	294	31	7	262	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	243	220	47	8	1	5	17	73	4	4	1	214	282	327	609	114	295	30	7	267	72	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	269	243	53	9	2	6	19	81	5	4	1	218	288	346	634	128	295	30	7	269	74	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	285	258	56	10	2	6	20	86	5	5	1	217	286	341	627	124	295	30	7	270	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	286	259	56	10	2	6	20	86	5	5	1	216	285	340	625	124	295	30	7	270	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	285	258	55	9	2	6	20	87	5	4	1	213	283	333	616	120	294	31	7	269	74	-9	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	275	248	53	9	2	6	20	84	5	4	1	214	286	339	624	125	294	31	7	268	73	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2010	1818	390	67	13	42	142	610	35	32	8	215	284	335	619	120	296	30	7	267	68	-66	+3	-1	+22	+44	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	127	22	4	14	46	197	11	10	3	216	285	338	624	122	297	30	7	267	68	-21	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3972	3589	746	128	24	77	271	1249	76	69	21	208	278	321	599	113	293	31	7	268	68	-123	+6	-2	+40	+81	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	123	21	4	13	44	204	12	11	3	210	278	325	603	116	294	31	7	268	68	-21	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,071	41	32	212	278	328	+22	+18	1.5	1.5
/162	664	13	10	+7.1	+5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adriel Cuello (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	190/255/265	75	287	1	1	33%	6%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	38→43	40→45	50→45	37	182/243/275	92	287	7	6	37%	6%	47	-2.6	200/251/316	116	278	11	5	31%	6%	59	-1.7	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→40	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/249/299	109	289	12	14	37%	5%	55	-2.0	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	38→42	37→45	47→45	37	184/233/259	75	278	4	7	34%	5%	38	-3.2	213/258/302	89	294	7	8	29%	5%	57	-1.8	218/255/332	114	290	9	5	28%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	43	191/262/259	68	272	4	4	30%	7%	50	-2.3	182/239/268	86	269	8	4	34%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	59	-1.7	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	75	-0.5	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	75	-0.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Brendon Davis 2017 · A	20	43	38→50	48→50	33	202/241/278	76	320	6	7	37%	5%	45	-2.7	192/254/277	85	305	7	4	36%	7%	51	-2.3	194/266/353	159	252	19	9	30%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	44→46	38→45	50→55	41	211/261/290	79	291	5	9	28%	6%	56	-1.9	222/265/337	115	305	11	22	30%	5%	68	-1.0	221/263/341	120	290	13	24	28%	5%	66	-1.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	39	-3.1	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	47	-2.5	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	68	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps