Adriel Cuello — OGILVIE

Adriel CuelloSS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .254 / .264

PA61

HR1

K%34

BB%6

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	115	11	1	0	0	6	70	9	6	2	96	200	104	304	9	234	53	5	144	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	111	19	2	0	0	10	46	9	6	2	171	292	189	481	18	284	35	8	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	99	14	3	0	1	5	46	3	5	5	141	206	202	408	61	250	43	5	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	96	22	5	1	1	8	31	3	5	5	229	308	333	642	104	328	29	7	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TEX	—	61	56	11	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	196	262	286	548	89	287	33	7	240	42	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	118	107	22	4	1	2	8	38	2	2	0	206	274	318	591	112	289	32	7	254	53	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	263	238	50	9	2	4	18	83	5	4	1	210	280	315	595	105	291	32	7	264	60	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	367	333	69	12	2	7	25	113	6	6	1	207	275	318	593	111	292	31	7	270	65	-15	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	439	399	85	15	3	9	30	134	7	7	2	213	280	333	613	120	293	31	7	274	68	-16	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.2
2031	25	MLB	TEX	56%	481	436	93	16	3	10	34	147	8	8	2	213	282	333	615	119	293	31	7	276	70	-17	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.3
2032	26	MLB	TEX	56%	506	457	98	17	3	11	35	154	9	8	2	214	283	337	620	123	293	30	7	278	71	-17	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.4
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	291	32	7	242	44	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	127	115	24	4	1	2	9	40	2	2	1	209	278	313	591	104	292	31	7	252	51	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	199	180	38	7	1	4	14	61	3	3	1	211	279	328	607	117	293	31	7	259	56	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	243	220	46	8	1	5	17	74	4	4	1	209	278	323	601	114	294	30	7	263	60	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	TEX	56%	269	243	53	9	2	6	19	82	5	4	1	218	288	346	634	128	295	30	7	265	61	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2032	26	MLB	TEX	56%	285	258	56	10	2	6	20	87	5	5	1	217	286	341	627	124	295	31	7	267	62	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1164	1053	224	39	7	24	82	357	20	19	5	213	282	331	614	119	295	31	7	262	59	-55	+2	+0	+12	+33	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	125	22	4	13	46	199	11	11	3	213	282	330	612	117	296	31	7	262	59	-30	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2476	2240	453	79	14	45	165	805	50	47	15	202	272	310	582	108	291	33	7	261	58	-118	+3	+0	+27	+70	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	120	21	4	12	43	211	13	12	4	204	273	315	587	111	293	32	7	261	58	-31	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	133	111	19	2	0	0	10	46	9	6	2	171	292	189	481	18	284	35	8	237	40	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	108	96	22	5	1	1	8	31	3	5	5	229	308	333	642	104	328	29	7	291	81	-2	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,225	23	19	211	276	323	+13	+12	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	12	11	211	276	323	+7.1	+6.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adriel Cuello (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	189/254/264	75	287	1	1	34%	6%	42	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	23	-3.6	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	52	-1.6	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→55	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	196/264/293	97	301	10	5	36%	6%	54	-1.4	196/264/343	147	286	18	5	37%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→38	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	37	-2.6	188/245/287	99	290	10	14	37%	5%	43	-2.2	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	171/230/254	83	267	8	6	37%	6%	29	-3.2	198/252/297	99	300	9	6	35%	6%	49	-1.8	229/276/341	113	292	10	4	25%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	38→44	40	50→55	41	188/259/274	86	266	7	11	31%	6%	46	-2.0	209/272/298	89	302	7	14	31%	6%	58	-1.2	202/259/293	90	292	8	18	32%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	38→42	37→45	47→45	37	184/233/259	75	278	4	7	34%	5%	30	-3.1	210/255/295	85	292	7	8	29%	5%	49	-1.8	209/246/320	112	285	10	5	30%	4%	49	-1.0
✕Mike Ohlman 2011 · A	20	39→49	38→45	50→40	38	185/245/263	78	303	5	5	38%	7%	37	-2.6	216/279/309	93	310	6	3	30%	7%	63	-0.8	229/295/332	103	322	7	2	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	31	-3.0	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	46	-2.0	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1