Chris Veach — OGILVIE

Chris Veach P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%22.7%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	43	0	57	246	75	29	5	0%	1.3	22.6%	13.9%	8.7%	3.1%	2.53	4.68	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	43	0	57	246	75	29	5	0%	1.3	22.6%	13.9%	8.7%	3.1%	2.53	4.68	—
2025	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	43	0	57	246	75	29	5	0%	1.3	30.5%	11.8%	18.7%	2.0%	2.53	3.14	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	24	0	27	107	37	10	2	0%	1.1	32.6%	7.8%	24.8%	0.0%	2.00	1.33	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	24	0	27	107	37	10	2	0%	1.1	32.6%	7.8%	24.8%	0.0%	2.00	1.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	NYY	14	0	15	59	25	4	0	0%	1.1	42.4%	6.8%	35.6%	0.0%	0.59	0.38	—
2026	24	AA RAW	NYY	10	0	12	48	12	6	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	4.2%	3.86	4.86	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	NYY	6	0	6	26	6	4	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	14.0%	8.7%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	33	133	43	14	3	—	—	32.3%	10.2%	22.0%	2.1%	2.55	2.01	+1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	65	0	68	287	66	36	9	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.5%	10.7%	3.0%	4.82	4.75	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	65	0	68	287	67	35	9	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.2%	11.2%	3.0%	4.74	4.70	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYY	64	0	67	283	66	34	9	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.1%	11.2%	3.1%	4.72	4.72	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYY	62	0	65	274	64	33	9	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.79	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	28	0	29	122	28	15	4	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.5%	10.7%	3.0%	4.82	4.75	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	43	0	45	190	44	23	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.2%	11.2%	3.0%	4.74	4.70	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYY	50	0	52	220	51	27	7	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.1%	11.2%	3.1%	4.72	4.72	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYY	52	0	55	232	54	28	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.79	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	178	93	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.75	4.36	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	103	25	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.75	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		67	0	84	353	90	43	8	0%	1.3	25.6%	12.1%	13.6%	2.2%	2.36	3.67	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	0	200	840	215	101	18	0%	1.3	25.6%	12.1%	13.6%	2.2%	2.36	3.67	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Veach (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	22.7%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.72	23.3%	11.0%	203	-0.27	—	—	—
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	93
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	92
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	92
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	92
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	92
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	90
Aaron Kurcz R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	22.4%	13.6%	1.9%	.331	4.05	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.07	3.31	213	90
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	90
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	89
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	88
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	88
Pat Light R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.37	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.03	4.10	172	88
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	87
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	87
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	86
Matt Keating R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	22	SU	4.34	23.3%	14.8%	2.4%	.346	4.63	23.2%	9.1%	157	+0.29	3.38	222	86
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	23.2%	12.6%	1.18	4.81
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04