Hayden Frank — OGILVIE

Hayden Frank P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 LHP 6'6" / 222 lbs A peak 0.7 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145

ERA5.88

FIP5.88

K%11.6%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%-1.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	13	12	56	257	43	25	6	92%	4.3	12.4%	11.5%	0.9%	3.3%	7.23	5.31	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	13	12	56	257	43	25	6	92%	4.3	12.4%	11.5%	0.9%	3.3%	7.23	5.31	—
2025	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	13	12	56	257	43	25	6	92%	4.3	16.7%	9.7%	7.0%	2.3%	7.23	4.30	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	8	77	344	77	41	8	35%	3.3	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	3.0%	5.05	5.14	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	8	77	344	77	41	8	35%	3.3	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	3.0%	5.05	5.14	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	CHC	23	8	77	344	77	41	8	35%	3.3	22.4%	11.9%	10.5%	2.3%	5.05	4.00	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	CHC	5	0	5	22	3	3	1	0%	1.0	11.6%	13.5%	-1.9%	3.0%	5.88	5.88	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	82	366	80	44	9	—	—	21.7%	12.0%	9.7%	2.4%	5.10	5.19	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	77	325	46	41	10	100%	7.0	14.2%	12.6%	1.7%	3.0%	5.60	5.52	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	78	329	52	40	10	100%	7.1	15.9%	12.0%	3.8%	3.0%	5.38	5.30	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	78	329	55	39	10	100%	7.1	16.8%	11.8%	4.9%	3.0%	5.26	5.21	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	77	324	55	38	10	100%	7.0	16.9%	11.9%	5.0%	3.0%	5.23	5.22	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	74	315	53	38	10	100%	6.8	16.8%	12.0%	4.8%	3.1%	5.28	5.31	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	71	300	50	37	10	100%	7.1	16.5%	12.2%	4.3%	3.3%	5.37	5.44	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	67	282	46	35	10	100%	7.4	16.2%	12.5%	3.6%	3.5%	5.52	5.62	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	5	5	33	139	20	18	4	100%	6.6	14.2%	12.6%	1.7%	3.0%	5.60	5.52	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	52	220	35	26	7	100%	7.4	15.9%	12.0%	3.8%	3.0%	5.38	5.30	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	62	262	44	31	8	100%	6.9	16.8%	11.8%	4.9%	3.0%	5.26	5.21	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	65	274	46	33	8	100%	7.2	16.9%	11.9%	5.0%	3.0%	5.23	5.22	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	66	279	47	33	9	100%	7.3	16.8%	12.0%	4.8%	3.1%	5.28	5.31	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	65	274	45	34	9	100%	7.2	16.5%	12.2%	4.3%	3.3%	5.37	5.44	-0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	9	9	62	262	42	33	9	100%	6.9	16.2%	12.5%	3.6%	3.5%	5.52	5.62	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	57	404	1707	279	207	54	100%	7.1	16.3%	12.1%	4.2%	3.1%	5.36	4.98	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		28	28	200	844	138	102	27	100%	7.1	16.3%	12.1%	4.2%	3.1%	5.36	4.98	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		36	20	133	601	89	78	19	56%	3.7	14.8%	13.0%	1.8%	3.1%	5.97	5.21	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	30	200	906	134	117	28	56%	3.7	14.8%	13.0%	1.8%	3.1%	5.97	5.21	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hayden Frank (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.88	11.6%	13.5%	3.0%	—	5.34	15.6%	3.5%	233	-0.54	—	—	—
Ian Clarkin L 2018 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP-	5.33	9.3%	11.2%	2.9%	.290	6.01	8.1%	-4.9%	82	+0.68	3.79	335	82
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	80
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	77
Edwin Escobar L 2015 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	9.6%	11.9%	3.9%	.268	4.28	13.7%	4.9%	122	-1.68	4.28	218	76
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	75
Jaime Arias L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	23	SP-	5.00	15.6%	9.9%	3.6%	.332	5.54	15.7%	4.7%	77	+0.54	4.38	243	75
Garrett Williams L 2018 · 5.04 FIP	23	SW	5.04	14.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.335	4.33	19.3%	4.5%	162	-0.71	3.37	470	75
Evan Grills L 2015 · 5.42 FIP	23	SP-	5.42	13.0%	8.6%	4.2%	.335	4.02	16.1%	11.6%	221	-1.40	3.41	309	74
Julian Smith L 2019 · 4.79 FIP	22	SW	4.79	14.5%	17.4%	1.3%	.399	5.33	17.9%	5.8%	110	+0.54	2.87	189	74
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	74
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	73
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	72
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	71
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	71
Gabriel Noguera L 2019 · 5.01 FIP	23	SP-	5.01	14.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.310	7.31	19.1%	-8.6%	27	+2.30	4.41	174	70
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	70
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2023 · 5.99 FIP	21	SP-	5.99	13.6%	16.7%	3.5%	.209	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	128	70
Jeff Malm L 2015 · 6.46 FIP	24	SW	6.46	12.1%	9.0%	5.9%	.339	3.13	22.0%	14.8%	48	-3.33	3.13	101	69
Michael Roth L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	25	SP-	4.94	12.1%	8.3%	3.3%	.298	4.42	13.5%	6.2%	358	-0.52	3.96	483	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	73	15.7%	12.3%	1.21	5.43
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04