Hayden Frank P Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 23 LHP 6'6" / 222 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132141vR 151
ERA5.88
FIP5.88
K%11.6%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%-1.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 114 IP
K: -5.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -5.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-6BBCONTACT: -7.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +15.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+15STAMTotal WAR: -0.28 (114 IP)-0.3WAR
-0.10.00.10.10.10.026283031
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202522AMyrtle Beach Pelicans1312562574325692%4.312.4%11.5%0.9%3.6%7.235.47
202522AMyrtle Beach Pelicans1312562574325692%4.316.7%9.7%7.0%2.3%7.234.30
▸ 2026 Season
202623AMyrtle Beach Pelicans155532335428633%3.517.2%14.2%3.0%3.3%4.785.29-0.5
ROS23MLBCHC59062260303580%1.011.6%13.3%-1.8%3.1%5.885.88-0.9
ROS23MLBCHC011.6%13.3%-1.8%3.1%5.885.88
2026 TOT23MLBCHC11449384631417.1%12.7%4.3%2.8%5.385.61-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBCHC996326638338100%7.014.2%12.4%1.8%3.0%5.605.52-0.7
202825MLBCHC996427043328100%7.115.9%11.9%3.9%3.0%5.395.31-0.5
202926MLBCHC996427045328100%7.116.8%11.8%5.0%3.0%5.265.21-0.4
203027MLBCHC996326645318100%7.016.9%11.8%5.1%3.1%5.235.23-0.5
203128MLBCHC996125843318100%6.816.8%11.9%4.9%3.2%5.285.31-0.5
202724MLBCHC442711416143100%6.814.2%12.4%1.8%3.0%5.605.52-0.3
202825MLBCHC664217728215100%7.015.9%11.9%3.9%3.0%5.395.31-0.4
202926MLBCHC775121536256100%7.316.8%11.8%5.0%3.0%5.265.21-0.4
203027MLBCHC885422839277100%6.816.9%11.8%5.1%3.1%5.235.23-0.4
203128MLBCHC885422838277100%6.816.8%11.9%4.9%3.2%5.285.31-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career333322896215711530100%6.916.3%11.9%4.4%3.1%5.324.91+1.3
/ 200 IP292920084413810126100%6.916.3%11.9%4.4%3.1%5.324.91+1.1
Career281710949072631761%3.914.6%12.8%1.9%3.5%6.055.38+0.0
/ 200 IP52312009021321153161%3.914.6%12.8%1.9%3.5%6.055.38+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hayden Frank (OGILVIE) 5.88 11.6%13.3%3.1% 5.35 15.6%3.6%191 -0.53
Ian Clarkin L 2026 · 5.42 FIP 23 SP- 5.42 9.3%11.2%3.1%.290 5.84 8.1%-4.9%82 +0.42 3.92 335 82
Cole Kirschsieper L 2025 · 5.23 FIP 22 SP- 5.23 15.2%12.0%3.5%.268 5.23 105 79
Bryce Hubbart L 2026 · 5.10 FIP 23 SP- 5.10 15.5%13.8%2.8%.313 4.90 19.3%6.1%68 -0.20 4.73 181 79
Estevan Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.69 FIP 23 SW 4.69 14.1%10.7%2.6%.322 4.80 14.7%0.1%130 +0.11 4.62 195 77
Evan Grills L 2026 · 5.51 FIP 23 SP- 5.51 13.0%8.6%4.4%.335 3.80 16.1%11.6%221 -1.71 3.24 309 76
Sam Garcia L 2026 · 4.74 FIP 23 SP- 4.74 18.5%12.7%2.9%.284 3.62 25.5%9.2%24 -1.12 3.62 125 75
Jaime Arias L 2026 · 4.91 FIP 23 SP- 4.91 15.6%9.9%3.4%.332 5.63 15.9%4.4%77 +0.72 4.52 243 74
Drake Britton L 2029 · 4.82 FIP 26 SW 4.82 11.1%9.7%2.6%.268 4.93 8.0%-2.2%41 +0.11 4.82 125 73
Edwin Escobar L 2026 · 5.93 FIP 23 SW 5.93 9.6%11.9%3.9%.268 4.20 13.7%4.9%122 -1.73 4.20 218 73
Garrett Williams L 2026 · 5.24 FIP 23 SW 5.24 14.5%16.2%2.4%.335 4.43 19.3%4.5%162 -0.81 3.36 470 72
Julian Smith L 2025 · 4.79 FIP 22 SW 4.79 14.5%17.4%1.3%.399 5.33 17.9%5.8%110 +0.54 2.87 189 72
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2027 · 4.93 FIP 24 SP- 4.93 16.0%10.1%3.5%.289 4.93 116 72
Gabriel Noguera L 2026 · 5.34 FIP 23 SP- 5.34 14.2%12.1%3.5%.310 7.74 19.1%-8.6%27 +2.40 4.41 174 71
Shane Dawson L 2026 · 5.50 FIP 23 SP- 5.50 9.8%10.3%3.5%.325 3.72 373 71
Matt Imhof L 2025 · 5.73 FIP 22 SP- 5.73 15.9%21.3%2.3%.277 4.99 131 71
Colin Rodgers L 2026 · 4.97 FIP 23 SP- 4.97 16.2%11.9%3.1%.320 4.49 16.8%7.1%68 -0.48 3.99 313 71
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2024 · 5.86 FIP 21 SP- 5.86 13.6%16.7%3.3%.209 4.28 128 71
Wilkin Paredes L 2025 · 4.98 FIP 22 SW 4.98 13.3%11.4%2.9%.306 4.23 294 70
Carson Dorsey L 2026 · 5.47 FIP 23 SW 5.47 18.3%12.5%4.2%.352 2.99 107 69
Jake Zokan L 2027 · 5.12 FIP 24 SP 5.12 12.5%9.9%3.3%.292 1.80 24.2%22.5%37 -3.32 1.80 120 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION66315.4%12.2%1.195.44
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99