Caleb Ketchup — OGILVIE

Caleb KetchupSS Inland Empire 66ers

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 163 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 319 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .251 / .250

PA319

HR3

SB15

K%36

BB%9

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	62	53	13	0	1	0	7	22	2	3	1	245	355	283	638	38	419	35	11	304	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	31	29	7	1	1	0	2	11	0	2	1	241	290	345	635	103	389	35	6	284	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	500	425	88	21	3	6	62	133	5	62	10	207	314	313	627	106	282	27	12	287	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	130	118	16	0	1	1	11	45	0	9	2	136	209	178	387	42	205	35	8	185	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	20	14	2	0	0	1	6	6	0	3	0	143	400	357	757	214	143	30	30	359	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	175	147	41	7	1	3	26	51	2	11	2	279	394	401	796	122	409	29	15	363	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	62	55	11	0	1	0	5	28	2	3	1	200	290	236	527	36	402	45	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	31	29	6	1	1	0	2	14	0	2	1	207	258	310	568	103	355	45	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	500	444	73	17	2	5	44	176	5	62	10	164	247	245	493	81	247	35	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	130	121	13	0	1	1	8	54	0	9	2	107	163	149	312	41	175	42	6	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	20	16	2	0	0	1	4	8	0	3	0	125	300	312	613	188	124	40	20	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	175	156	30	5	1	2	18	69	2	11	2	192	286	276	561	83	324	39	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	62	55	11	0	1	0	5	28	2	3	1	200	290	236	527	36	407	45	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	62	53	13	0	1	0	7	22	2	3	1	245	355	283	638	38	419	35	11	304	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	531	473	79	17	3	5	46	190	5	64	11	167	248	247	495	80	261	36	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	531	454	95	22	4	6	64	144	5	64	11	209	313	315	628	106	288	27	12	287	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	325	293	45	5	2	4	29	131	2	23	4	154	235	225	460	72	258	40	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	325	279	59	7	2	5	43	102	2	23	4	211	321	305	626	93	312	31	13	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	62	55	11	0	1	0	5	28	2	3	1	200	290	236	527	36	402	45	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	531	475	79	17	3	5	46	190	5	64	11	166	248	246	494	80	253	36	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	325	291	45	5	2	4	29	131	2	23	4	155	235	227	461	72	252	40	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	531	475	79	17	3	5	46	190	5	64	11	166	248	246	494	80	253	36	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	325	291	45	5	2	4	29	131	2	23	4	155	235	227	461	72	252	40	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	375	336	59	11	2	4	33	136	3	18	3	173	253	252	505	79	272	36	9	234	45	-25	+2	+0	+4	+8	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	350	314	56	10	2	5	31	125	2	17	3	178	257	266	523	88	273	36	9	242	50	-21	+2	+0	+4	+8	-0.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	SEA	42%	377	337	61	11	2	5	34	132	3	18	3	180	260	270	530	90	274	35	9	244	52	-22	+2	+0	+4	+8	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	105	94	16	3	0	1	9	37	1	5	1	176	256	262	518	86	271	35	9	240	50	-6	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	SEA	42%	157	141	26	5	1	2	14	55	1	7	1	179	258	267	525	88	272	35	9	242	52	-9	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	262	235	42	8	1	3	23	92	2	12	2	179	258	260	517	81	275	35	9	241	42	-15	+2	+0	+3	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	103	20	2	7	57	228	5	30	5	177	256	254	510	77	272	35	9	241	42	-38	+4	+0	+7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1964	1758	302	52	12	22	173	722	16	140	25	172	252	253	505	81	273	37	9	230	42	-64	+6	+0	+11	+23	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	99	17	4	7	57	239	5	46	8	170	250	249	499	79	271	37	9	230	42	-40	+4	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	581	7	28	177	253	261	+6	+6	-1.1	-0.5
/162	664	8	32	+7.1	+6.9	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Ketchup (OGILVIE)	25	40	35	55	60	172/251/250	78	272	3	15	36%	9%	45	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Will Holland 2024 · AA	26	37→36	41→45	58→60	42	179/259/279	100	282	9	29	37%	9%	54	-2.0	198/279/310	112	288	11	26	33%	8%	69	-0.9	184/276/301	117	260	13	30	32%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	194/244/261	66	264	5	32	28%	6%	42	-2.9	189/254/265	76	268	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/208/156	38	181	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	36→44	41→45	60→55	38	173/250/274	101	299	8	27	42%	8%	50	-2.3	175/230/273	98	292	8	19	40%	5%	41	-3.0	158/202/252	95	255	6	19	39%	4%	23	-1.8
✕Aaron Whitefield 2022 · AA	25	44→48	38→40	56→60	39	209/262/287	78	312	6	29	33%	6%	55	-1.9	214/270/325	111	322	10	30	34%	7%	68	-1.0	198/256/320	122	300	11	40	36%	7%	60	-0.6
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	210/266/290	80	289	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	231/295/314	83	314	5	36	26%	8%	74	-0.5	237/305/311	73	319	4	49	25%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Alfredo Reyes 2019 · AA	25	46	36→30	57→55	39	209/264/273	64	334	5	28	37%	7%	53	-2.1	205/272/283	78	339	5	19	38%	8%	59	-1.6	150/226/209	59	267	3	17	41%	8%	23	-1.4
✕Todd Hankins 2016 · AA	25	44→49	40	52→55	39	214/262/305	91	299	7	21	30%	5%	60	-1.6	208/252/293	85	299	7	20	31%	5%	53	-2.1	200/245/278	78	291	6	22	32%	5%	44	-1.7
✕Lucas Dunn 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	40	50	44	191/274/286	94	288	8	13	34%	9%	61	-1.5	191/261/280	89	295	8	11	35%	8%	55	-2.0	147/217/217	70	238	6	10	38%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	40→39	38→30	59→60	36	183/245/258	75	320	6	31	42%	7%	43	-2.8	194/263/293	99	319	10	25	39%	8%	59	-1.7	106/204/195	89	165	13	37	43%	11%	14	-1.1
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	41	43→45	55	39	196/272/302	106	305	11	19	37%	7%	64	-1.3	198/265/307	109	269	10	15	29%	7%	63	-1.4	188/254/292	104	245	10	16	27%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	183/258/280	97	290	8	22	37%	7%	54	-2.0	192/267/282	90	334	8	15	41%	7%	58	-1.7	135/227/179	45	293	7	12	51%	7%	18	-1.0
✕Jarryd Dale 2024 · AAA	23	40→43	38→40	53→55	44	189/263/271	81	284	5	19	33%	8%	53	-2.1	196/255/296	100	298	9	12	35%	6%	56	-1.9	136/178/225	89	202	12	7	39%	3%	9	-1.1
✕Jaylen Palmer 2024 · AAA	24	33→43	42→45	54→55	37	158/242/257	99	308	11	23	48%	9%	44	-2.8	186/261/300	114	343	12	21	45%	8%	60	-1.6	185/261/296	112	334	12	22	45%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Brian Bocock 2009 · MLB	24	39→46	36→40	50	43	186/249/251	65	269	4	22	31%	8%	43	-2.8	193/250/262	69	269	5	12	28%	7%	46	-2.6	200/244/272	72	254	4	12	22%	5%	43	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps