Freddy Rodriguez

P ACL Cubs

Age 23 RHP ROK peak 0.5 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	MIX2 levels	17	10	51	4.91	3.14	24.6%	11.0%	—	K 17.0% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.33
2027PROJ	23	MLBCHC	7	7	36	5.03	5.03	19.9%	12.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCHC	4	4	20	4.85	4.77	20.9%	11.5%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCHC	5	5	32	4.69	4.62	21.5%	10.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Noah Skirrow (age 23) · Tanner Hall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%19.9%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	10	51	228	56	25	3	59%	3.0	17.0%	13.5%	3.6%	1.8%	4.91	4.33	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	10	51	228	56	25	3	59%	3.0	17.0%	13.5%	3.6%	1.8%	4.91	4.33	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	10	51	228	56	25	3	59%	3.0	24.6%	11.0%	13.6%	1.3%	4.91	3.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CHC	7	7	36	152	30	19	4	100%	5.1	19.9%	12.7%	7.1%	2.9%	5.03	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	8	8	47	200	42	23	6	100%	5.9	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	2.9%	4.85	4.77	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	8	8	48	203	43	22	6	100%	6.0	21.5%	10.7%	10.8%	2.9%	4.69	4.62	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	8	8	48	203	44	21	6	100%	6.0	21.8%	10.5%	11.2%	2.9%	4.62	4.58	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	8	8	47	200	44	21	6	100%	5.9	21.8%	10.6%	11.2%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	4	4	20	84	18	10	2	100%	5.0	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	2.9%	4.85	4.77	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	5	5	32	135	29	14	4	100%	6.4	21.5%	10.7%	10.8%	2.9%	4.69	4.62	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	6	6	38	160	35	17	5	100%	6.3	21.8%	10.5%	11.2%	2.9%	4.62	4.58	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	40	169	37	18	5	100%	5.7	21.8%	10.6%	11.2%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		22	22	130	551	119	59	16	100%	5.9	21.6%	10.7%	10.8%	2.9%	4.67	4.25	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	183	90	25	100%	5.9	21.6%	10.7%	10.8%	2.9%	4.67	4.25	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		17	10	51	228	39	31	4	59%	3.0	17.0%	13.5%	3.6%	1.8%	4.91	4.33	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	39	200	888	151	120	16	59%	3.0	17.0%	13.5%	3.6%	1.8%	4.91	4.33	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Freddy Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	19.9%	12.7%	2.9%	—	4.66	21.4%	10.5%	143	-0.37	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	91
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	90
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	86
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	84
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	83
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	83
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	83
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	83
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	82
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	82
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	82
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	81
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	81
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	80
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	80
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	80
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	79
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	79
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	45	21.2%	11.1%	1.13	4.75
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*