Rafael Castillo — OGILVIE

Rafael CastilloIF DSL Miami

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.9 · 2033

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .278 / .312

PA59

HR1

K%30

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.7	$17M	+$16M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$17M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.3	$14M	+$10M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.0	$11M	+$6M
Totals		$15M		$95M	+$79M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	78	65	8	1	0	0	12	34	1	3	0	.123	.269	.138	.408	.015	.258	44	15	.214	22	-7	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	141	118	19	2	1	0	19	60	3	9	2	.161	.293	.195	.488	.034	.322	43	13	.229	33	-11	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL Miami	57	49	8	2	1	0	5	15	1	2	1	.163	.255	.245	.499	.082	.222	26	9	.233	37	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	MIA	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	.208	.288	.302	.590	.094	.289	31	8	.270	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	MIA	148	132	28	5	1	3	13	43	2	3	1	.212	.293	.333	.626	.121	.292	29	9	.291	81	-3	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB 28%	MIA	285	254	58	10	2	8	26	79	3	6	1	.228	.307	.378	.685	.150	.293	28	9	.304	91	-3	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.6
2029	23	MLB 48%	MIA	381	338	78	14	2	11	36	102	4	8	2	.231	.312	.382	.694	.151	.293	27	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	MIA	447	395	92	16	3	14	44	118	5	10	2	.233	.318	.395	.713	.162	.294	26	10	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.4
2031	25	MLB 80%	MIA	485	427	100	18	3	15	49	127	6	10	2	.234	.322	.396	.717	.162	.295	26	10	.319	103	+1	+1	+0	+0	+14	1.7
2032	26	MLB 94%	MIA	507	444	104	18	3	16	52	133	6	11	2	.234	.323	.396	.719	.162	.295	26	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+0	+14	1.8
2033	27	MLB	MIA	517	453	106	19	3	16	53	136	6	11	2	.234	.322	.395	.717	.161	.295	26	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+0	+15	1.9
2034	28	MLB	MIA	518	453	106	19	3	16	54	138	6	10	2	.234	.324	.395	.719	.161	.295	27	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-1	+0	+15	1.7
2035	29	MLB	MIA	512	448	104	18	3	16	53	137	6	9	1	.232	.321	.393	.714	.161	.294	27	10	.318	101	+1	+1	-1	+0	+15	1.6
2036	30	MLB	MIA	504	440	101	18	3	15	53	137	6	8	1	.230	.321	.386	.707	.157	.292	27	11	.315	99	-1	+1	-2	+0	+14	1.3
2037	31	MLB	MIA	492	433	97	17	3	14	51	136	5	5	0	.224	.313	.374	.687	.150	.291	28	10	.311	96	-2	+1	-3	+0	+14	1.0
2038	32	MLB	MIA	474	417	92	16	2	13	49	133	5	3	0	.221	.310	.362	.672	.141	.289	28	10	.306	93	-4	+1	-4	+0	+13	0.7
2039	33	MLB	MIA	445	391	85	15	2	12	46	128	5	1	0	.217	.308	.358	.666	.141	.288	29	10	.301	88	-6	+0	-4	+0	+13	0.3
2040	34	MLB	MIA	400	352	75	13	2	10	41	119	4	0	0	.213	.302	.347	.649	.134	.286	30	10	.294	83	-8	+0	-5	+0	+11	-0.1
2041	35	MLB	MIA	346	305	63	11	2	8	35	106	3	0	0	.207	.294	.334	.629	.128	.284	31	10	.286	77	-9	+0	-6	+0	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6796	5967	1335	234	39	188	696	1899	78	110	19	.224	.313	.371	.683	.147	.293	28	10	.307	93	-52	+14	-25	+0	+193	13.2
/ 162G	—			650	571	128	22	4	18	67	182	7	11	2	.224	.313	.371	.684	.147	.294	28	10	.307	93	-5	+1	-2	+0	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	78	58	11	2	0	0	19	24	1	3	0	.190	.397	.224	.622	.034	.324	31	24	.317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	141	106	23	3	1	0	31	42	3	9	2	.217	.407	.264	.671	.047	.354	30	22	.330	111	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	19	ROK	DSL Miami	57	47	11	3	1	1	7	11	1	2	1	.234	.345	.404	.750	.170	.270	19	12	.326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Castillo (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.206/.278/.312	.106	.289	1	1	30%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dylan Carlson 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→55	45→50	45	.206/.277/.315	.109	.279	10	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	.228/.297/.383	.155	.293	16	10	27%	8%	91	+1.1	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
✕Henry Ramos 2012 · A	20	43→53	41→50	50	36	.211/.245/.308	.097	.286	8	14	29%	4%	48	-1.9	.215/.257/.320	.105	.287	9	9	27%	5%	56	-1.3	.251/.313/.394	.142	.314	16	7	24%	7%	96	+0.9
●Anthony Santander 2015 · A	20	39→49	40→65	47→45	40	.192/.246/.287	.095	.263	8	8	29%	6%	44	-2.1	.220/.272/.355	.135	.289	15	6	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
●Ian Happ 2016 · A	21	41→51	45→60	49→50	42	.208/.265/.337	.129	.285	12	6	31%	7%	64	-0.8	.231/.299/.396	.165	.320	19	10	32%	9%	95	+1.4	.246/.351/.433	.188	.299	21	10	23%	13%	122	+3.7
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A	20	43→51	43→60	47→55	36	.212/.251/.327	.115	.305	11	8	34%	5%	55	-1.4	.228/.271/.373	.145	.324	16	13	33%	5%	76	+0.1	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→48	40→50	49→50	44	.205/.261/.303	.099	.264	7	10	25%	7%	54	-1.4	.223/.284/.349	.126	.283	12	10	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.227/.291/.359	.132	.280	13	10	23%	7%	80	+0.3
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A	20	38→46	41→60	46→50	45	.191/.255/.285	.094	.243	9	13	25%	7%	47	-1.9	.204/.250/.320	.116	.282	11	11	31%	5%	53	-1.5	.224/.302/.431	.208	.280	28	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Abraham Almonte 2009 · A	20	39→49	42→55	52→55	45	.194/.252/.299	.105	.252	9	19	26%	7%	50	-1.8	.220/.264/.315	.095	.289	6	20	25%	5%	57	-1.2	.232/.330/.424	.192	.279	22	11	24%	12%	111	+1.5
●Kennys Vargas 2011 · A	20	46→53	41→55	50→30	38	.213/.271/.318	.104	.330	8	5	36%	6%	63	-0.9	.229/.286/.365	.136	.331	15	3	33%	7%	81	+0.4	.240/.310/.408	.169	.298	23	0	27%	9%	100	+1.7
✕Drew Waters 2019 · A	20	47→53	44→55	53→55	36	.224/.268/.349	.126	.327	9	13	33%	5%	69	-0.4	.228/.273/.352	.124	.354	9	15	36%	5%	71	-0.3	.232/.300/.391	.159	.334	15	22	33%	8%	91	+0.8
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Isiah Gilliam 2017 · A	21	40→46	44→55	47→55	38	.200/.247/.314	.113	.281	11	5	32%	5%	51	-1.7	.201/.252/.327	.126	.299	13	6	36%	6%	57	-1.2	.217/.299/.399	.182	.339	23	19	40%	10%	92	+0.7
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A	20	43→53	41→55	47→40	43	.211/.267/.303	.093	.260	9	5	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.250/.290/.373	.123	.301	13	4	21%	5%	85	+0.7	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
●Austin Dean 2014 · A	20	41→51	40→55	45	45	.197/.269/.289	.093	.270	7	6	28%	8%	55	-1.4	.229/.274/.325	.096	.288	7	6	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.257/.302/.413	.156	.304	17	4	21%	5%	96	+1.1
●Max Kepler 2013 · A	20	44→54	42→60	53→50	44	.216/.275/.328	.112	.278	9	6	25%	6%	67	-0.5	.222/.279/.348	.126	.273	10	7	22%	7%	73	-0.1	.234/.319/.433	.200	.248	24	4	17%	10%	108	+2.2
●Abraham Toro 2018 · A	21	39→49	43→50	51→45	45	.198/.258/.308	.109	.244	11	6	24%	7%	54	-1.4	.218/.285/.365	.147	.272	15	6	25%	7%	82	+0.5	.233/.307/.387	.155	.277	16	6	22%	8%	93	+1.1
●Will Benson 2018 · A	20	41→51	43→55	52→55	36	.187/.255/.300	.112	.333	10	11	44%	7%	52	-1.6	.171/.257/.309	.138	.261	17	11	39%	10%	56	-1.3	.221/.322/.401	.180	.313	18	26	32%	12%	102	+1.4
●Elly De La Cruz 2022 · A	20	45→54	44→60	49→65	33	.214/.255/.342	.127	.336	10	10	38%	4%	61	-1.0	.236/.290/.424	.188	.349	20	34	36%	7%	98	+1.6	.249/.324/.437	.188	.339	19	44	30%	9%	108	+2.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)