Cole Gilley

P Clearwater Threshers

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	APHI	1	0	2	0.00	1.60	42.9%	14.3%	—	K 42.9% · BB 14.3% · FIP 1.29
2026	25	APHI	22	7	66	4.48	4.44	19.8%	9.9%	—	K 14.6% · BB 11.7% · FIP 5.61
2027PROJ	26	MLBPHI	44	0	46	5.18	5.18	17.3%	11.3%	-0.3
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBPHI	20	0	21	5.12	5.13	17.9%	11.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBPHI	32	0	34	5.12	5.16	18.2%	11.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTyler Yates (age 26) · Cameron Foster (age 25) · Danny Kirwin (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%17.3%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP46

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	2.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	2.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2025	24	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	2.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2026	25	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	22	7	66	283	56	28	9	32%	3.0	14.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.1%	4.48	5.61	—
2026	25	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	22	7	66	283	56	28	9	32%	3.0	14.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.1%	4.48	5.61	—
2026	25	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	22	7	66	283	56	28	9	32%	3.0	19.8%	9.9%	9.9%	3.2%	4.48	4.44	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PHI	44	0	46	194	34	22	6	0%	1.0	17.3%	11.3%	6.0%	3.2%	5.18	5.18	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	56	0	59	248	44	28	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.2%	6.7%	3.2%	5.12	5.13	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54	0	57	241	44	27	8	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.2%	7.0%	3.3%	5.12	5.16	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	20	0	21	89	16	10	3	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.2%	6.7%	3.2%	5.12	5.13	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PHI	32	0	34	144	26	16	5	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.2%	7.0%	3.3%	5.12	5.16	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	42	26	8	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.2%	6.9%	3.2%	5.12	4.77	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	95	29	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.2%	6.9%	3.2%	5.12	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		23	7	68	290	44	34	12	30%	3.0	15.3%	11.7%	3.6%	4.0%	4.35	5.51	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	20	200	849	130	100	34	30%	3.0	15.3%	11.7%	3.6%	4.0%	4.35	5.51	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Gilley (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	17.3%	11.3%	3.2%	—	5.14	18.1%	6.9%	116	-0.04	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	87
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	85
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	84
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	83
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	82
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	82
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	81
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	81
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	80
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	80
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	80
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	79
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	79
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	79
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	79
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	78
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	17.9%	11.2%	1.24	5.14
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*