Emilio BarrerasSS Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION279 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†93
AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .326 / .350
PA186
HR3
K%21
BB%9
BABIP295
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +13.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.01.22.41.61.81.91.91.91.81.61.41.10.6+$113M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT60
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE59
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$10M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$9M+$9M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$8M+$7M
2034Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2035Arb-2$4M+1.1$4M+$3M
2036Arb-3$3M+0.6$1M+$0.1M
Totals $12M $39M +$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 AJupiter Hammerheads 6961 8200 6252 11 131232164396 33222 369 196 8
202521 AJupiter Hammerheads 6958 10200 9182 11 172304207511 34250 2613 254 53
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AMIA 279242 591014 26448 56 244337343680 99279 169 301 88 -4 -1 +0 +3 +8 0.6
YTD22 AMIA 279233 671115 35328 56 288399408806 120312 1113 364 137 +12 -1 +0 +3 +8 2.2
ROS22 AMIA 0% 186163 39713 17394 32 239326350676 110290 219 306 93 -2 -0 +0 +2 +5 0.6
ROS22 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 285 288 78 +0 +0
FULL22 AMIA 279243 591014 26448 56 243337342679 99278 169 301 88 -4 -1 +0 +3 +8 0.6
TOT22 AMIA 465405 981727 438312 88 242333346678 104285 189 303 90 -5 -2 +0 +5 +13 1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBMIA 43% 503444 10619210 451059 74 239321358679 119289 219 307 93 -4 -0 +0 +5 +14 1.6
202824 MLBMIA 58% 516455 11120311 471079 74 244327374700 130290 219 310 96 -3 -0 +0 +6 +15 1.8
202925 MLBMIA 65% 521460 11220311 471089 84 243326372697 128290 219 312 97 -2 +0 +0 +6 +15 1.9
203026 MLBMIA 68% 520459 11120311 471089 84 242324370695 129290 219 313 98 -1 +0 +0 +6 +15 1.9
203127 MLBMIA 68% 515454 10920211 471089 74 240324366689 126290 219 313 98 -1 -0 +0 +6 +15 1.9
203228 MLBMIA 68% 509449 10820211 471078 74 241323367691 127290 219 312 97 -2 -0 -1 +5 +14 1.8
203329 MLBMIA 66% 501441 10619211 471068 64 240325367692 127289 219 311 96 -2 -0 -1 +5 +14 1.6
203430 MLBMIA 66% 493436 10319210 461068 63 236320358678 122289 229 308 94 -3 +0 -2 +5 +14 1.4
203531 MLBMIA 65% 484428 10118210 451068 53 236320357678 121287 229 304 91 -5 -0 -3 +5 +14 1.1
203632 MLBMIA 65% 407359 841528 38907 32 234319354673 120284 229 299 87 -6 -0 -4 +4 +12 0.6
202723 MLBMIA 43% 217191 45814 20454 32 236321351672 115284 219 290 80 -5 -0 +0 +2 +6 0.3
202824 MLBMIA 58% 299265 621116 27625 42 234316351667 117285 219 294 83 -6 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.6
202925 MLBMIA 65% 338298 721327 31706 53 242325369695 128285 219 296 84 -6 -0 +0 +4 +10 0.7
203026 MLBMIA 68% 354313 751328 32746 53 240322371693 131285 219 296 85 -6 -0 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203127 MLBMIA 68% 350309 731327 32736 53 236320359679 123285 219 297 85 -6 -0 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203228 MLBMIA 68% 346305 721327 32736 53 236321361681 125285 219 296 84 -6 -0 -0 +4 +10 0.7
203329 MLBMIA 66% 333293 681217 31716 42 232318352670 119284 219 294 83 -6 +0 -1 +4 +9 0.6
203430 MLBMIA 66% 323285 661216 30695 42 232316344659 112284 219 292 81 -7 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.5
203531 MLBMIA 65% 315278 631116 29695 32 227311338649 112282 229 288 79 -8 -0 -2 +3 +9 0.3
203632 MLBMIA 65% 263232 53915 25584 21 228314341655 112279 2210 283 75 -7 +0 -2 +3 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 31382770 6491151463 28966453 4023 234319354673 120284 219 293 82 -63 -1 -7 +34 +89 5.3
/ 162G 650574 13524313 6013811 85 235320355675 120286 219 293 82 -13 -0 -1 +7 +18 1.1
Career 52244609 109819924107 479111590 6839 238322361683 123290 219 308 94 -38 -2 -10 +56 +148 15.7
/ 162G 650573 13725313 6013911 85 239322361684 122292 219 308 94 -5 -0 -1 +7 +18 1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 AJupiter Hammerheads 6958 10200 9182 11 172304207511 34250 2613 254 53 -4 -0 +2 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jordy Mercerlast yr '21
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA
93,3946613257315387+35+5017.016.7
/162664133+6.9+9.83.3pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,2956843240319364+35+2110.69.4
/162664149+7.1+4.22.1pk7: 8
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Emilio Barreras (OGILVIE) 22 55→60 36→41 46→51 59 242/333/346 104285 78 18% 9% 90 +1.2
Jorbit Vivas
2023 · A
22 50→56 44→45 47→50 51 241/315/358 117266 114 14% 7% 92 +1.2 227/311/333 106261 914 16% 8% 84 +0.6 220/310/3189825481816%9%77+0.1
James Skelton
2008 · A
22 53→57 42→40 51→50 53 255/323/364 109305 813 19% 9% 96 +1.5 232/325/321 89309 713 24% 12% 86 +0.8 223/325/3068429751024%12%82+0.2
Ryan Wheeler
2010 · A
22 49→54 45 48→40 47 241/312/368 127299 128 23% 8% 93 +1.3 248/290/367 119318 124 25% 5% 82 +0.5 252/294/37612431912324%5%85+0.6
Graham Pauley
2023 · A
22 45→52 46→55 48→50 52 224/303/356 132269 1312 22% 9% 86 +0.8 237/303/415 178282 2211 24% 8% 102 +1.8 230/299/411181267231123%8%96+1.1
Wade Meckler
2023 · A
23 53→63 41→40 50 52 246/326/359 113330 68 26% 10% 96 +1.5 266/333/367 101344 711 23% 9% 101 +1.8 266/336/3619434171222%9%96+1.0
Justin Yurchak
2018 · A
21 51→61 44→45 49→40 53 251/319/370 119297 124 19% 9% 95 +1.4 229/292/323 94289 73 22% 8% 72 -0.2 283/345/39311035111221%8%110+1.4
Canaan Smith-Njigba
2021 · A
22 48→49 45 50→55 46 233/298/359 126318 1210 29% 8% 84 +0.6 226/296/346 120335 1017 32% 9% 80 +0.4 222/291/344122331102133%9%74-0.0
Eric Sogard
2009 · A
23 52→57 43→45 46→55 53 250/311/363 114280 910 15% 8% 91 +1.1 254/313/356 102287 711 13% 8% 89 +1.0 250/336/373123285111015%11%100+1.1
Noah Mendlinger
2023 · A
22 48→58 37→40 47→45 55 224/318/299 75276 49 19% 10% 79 +0.3 257/340/332 75308 38 16% 8% 95 +1.4 272/355/343713232815%8%101+1.3
Jemile Weeks
2009 · A
22 50→60 41→45 52→55 50 239/316/342 103298 814 22% 8% 88 +0.9 246/304/363 117295 1016 19% 7% 88 +0.9 257/326/3519431032017%8%89+1.0
Nicky Lopez
2017 · A
22 47→57 42→40 57→55 51 229/304/337 108264 1017 17% 8% 82 +0.5 248/300/333 85280 513 13% 6% 77 +0.1 266/326/3508430641413%8%90+0.8
Dario Pizzano
2013 · A
22 52→57 41→50 51→40 47 247/313/352 104316 85 23% 7% 89 +0.9 248/308/379 131283 104 15% 7% 93 +1.3 251/311/39414327811314%7%97+1.1
Boog Powell
2015 · A
22 58→57 37→45 46→50 54 271/344/342 71338 413 20% 10% 98 +1.6 265/322/356 91326 615 19% 7% 93 +1.3 274/330/3739933081618%7%97+1.0
Greg Garcia
2013 · AA
23 51→54 40 46→50 50 242/317/339 97301 79 21% 8% 87 +0.8 238/311/330 92308 612 23% 8% 82 +0.5 242/351/334923096321%13%98+0.8
Leo Jiménez
2023 · A
22 47→49 41→45 49→45 50 221/327/317 97287 89 24% 9% 88 +0.9 227/313/341 114287 117 24% 7% 88 +0.9 227/317/34211428611523%7%86+0.4
Mat Gamel
2008 · A
23 50→57 45→50 49→45 43 242/291/377 135307 119 24% 6% 85 +0.7 248/304/400 152333 156 28% 7% 98 +1.6 247/307/40415733117429%7%100+1.4
Patrick Mazeika
2016 · A
22 52→51 43→50 48→30 47 250/320/370 120287 84 16% 6% 97 +1.5 246/321/348 102295 83 18% 8% 92 +1.2 239/318/34010128110118%8%86+0.5
Carlos Vidal
2017 · A
21 48 43→45 49→50 48 234/302/348 114288 1012 22% 7% 83 +0.6 232/278/326 94303 67 24% 5% 66 -0.6 237/281/332953085624%5%65-0.3
Cam Maron
2013 · A
22 55→59 40 46→40 49 259/325/352 93328 74 22% 8% 94 +1.3 232/301/308 76306 43 23% 9% 72 -0.2 249/314/316673214222%9%76+0.0
Sal Frelick
2022 · A
22 52→59 40→45 56→55 48 247/307/344 98310 717 22% 8% 84 +0.6 263/324/374 111306 819 16% 8% 98 +1.6 266/334/3659930482014%8%99+1.4