Emilio Barreras

SS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1542ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AMIA	69	.172/.304/.207	0	1	13	—	.131/.232/.164
2026	22	A+/AMIA	384	.261/.375/.363	6	8	71	—	.223/.312/.307
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBMIA	1	.202/.284/.294	0	0	71	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBMIA	91	.206/.287/.304	1	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBMIA	157	.208/.290/.311	3	3	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%95

K%93

Z-Con%83

BB%44

Speed36

Chase%33

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsPhillip Glasser (age 24) · Andrew Aplin (age 23) · Brandon Trinkwon (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .284 / .294

PA1

HR0

K%21

BB%9

BABIP245

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	58	10	2	0	0	9	18	2	1	1	172	304	207	511	34	250	26	13	254	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	230	199	45	6	1	4	25	34	4	5	3	226	325	327	651	101	252	15	11	299	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	154	123	39	7	0	2	25	15	5	3	3	317	451	423	874	106	346	10	16	399	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	61	8	2	0	0	6	24	2	1	1	131	232	164	396	33	216	35	9	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	230	206	40	5	1	3	18	43	4	5	3	194	272	272	544	78	223	19	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	154	131	35	6	0	2	17	20	5	3	3	267	373	359	731	92	293	13	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	61	8	2	0	0	6	24	2	1	1	131	232	164	396	33	216	35	9	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	58	10	2	0	0	9	18	2	1	1	172	304	207	511	34	250	26	13	254	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	337	75	11	1	5	35	64	9	8	6	223	312	306	618	83	258	17	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	384	322	84	13	1	6	50	49	9	8	6	261	375	363	739	102	289	13	13	339	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	61	8	2	0	0	6	24	2	1	1	131	232	164	396	33	216	35	9	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	337	75	11	1	5	35	64	9	8	6	223	312	306	618	83	251	17	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	69	61	8	2	0	0	6	24	2	1	1	131	232	164	396	33	216	35	9	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	337	75	11	1	5	35	64	9	8	6	223	312	306	618	83	251	17	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	470	419	87	16	2	7	41	99	7	8	3	208	290	307	596	98	253	21	9	273	71	-16	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	202	284	294	578	92	245	0	0	266	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	301	268	56	10	1	5	26	63	4	5	2	212	293	318	611	105	256	21	9	279	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	44%	355	316	68	12	2	6	31	74	5	6	2	215	296	325	621	110	258	21	9	282	77	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	51%	385	343	74	13	2	7	34	81	5	6	2	216	297	330	627	113	259	21	9	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	397	354	77	14	2	8	35	84	5	6	2	217	297	331	628	114	261	21	9	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	399	356	78	14	2	8	35	86	5	5	2	217	297	331	627	114	261	22	9	285	79	-10	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	392	350	76	14	2	7	34	85	5	3	2	215	294	325	619	110	261	22	9	281	77	-11	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	382	341	72	13	1	7	33	84	5	2	2	212	291	318	608	106	259	22	9	277	74	-12	-0	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	91	82	16	3	0	1	8	19	1	1	1	206	287	304	592	99	248	21	9	271	75	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	44%	157	140	30	5	1	3	14	33	2	3	1	208	290	311	601	103	250	21	9	275	77	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	51%	195	173	37	6	1	4	17	41	3	3	1	209	291	315	606	106	251	21	9	277	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	208	185	40	7	1	4	18	44	3	3	1	210	291	317	608	107	252	21	9	277	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	213	189	40	7	1	4	19	46	3	2	1	210	290	316	607	107	253	22	9	277	79	-5	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	206	183	39	7	1	4	18	45	3	2	1	208	288	311	599	103	252	22	9	274	77	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	199	177	36	6	1	3	17	44	3	1	1	205	285	304	589	99	251	22	9	269	74	-6	-0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1269	1129	238	41	6	23	111	272	18	15	7	211	292	319	611	108	256	21	9	274	75	-34	+0	-2	+14	+27	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	122	21	3	12	57	139	9	8	4	211	292	320	612	109	256	21	9	274	75	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3274	2913	623	110	14	56	287	689	48	45	22	214	295	319	614	105	259	21	9	279	75	-78	+1	-4	+30	+61	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	124	22	3	11	57	137	10	9	4	215	297	320	617	106	260	21	9	279	75	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 230 PAwOBA .294 → .244 (−51)K% 14.8% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.78%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	18.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.87%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	7.70%
HBP% /PA	1.74%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	1.37%
Singles /BIP	20.61%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.988	×0.998	18.69%
Doubles /BIP	3.64%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.988	×0.998	2.90%
Triples /BIP	0.61%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.988	×0.998	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	2.42%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.94%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .294 → .244; ISO .101 → .081; BABIP .252 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 154 PAwOBA .392 → .319 (−73)K% 9.7% → 13.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.74%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	13.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.23%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	11.09%
HBP% /PA	3.25%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	2.51%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×0.990	24.04%
Doubles /BIP	6.48%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×0.990	5.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.85%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	1.47%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .392 → .319; ISO .106 → .087; BABIP .346 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 69 PAwOBA .249 → .188 (−61)K% 26.1% → 35.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.09%	÷1.014	×1.360	—	—	34.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.04%	÷1.018	×0.690	—	—	8.84%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.26%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.019	×0.920	×0.963	—	17.40%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷0.947	×0.830	×0.963	—	4.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.963	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.035	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .249 → .188; ISO .034 → .027; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,271	23	15	216	293	327	+14	+9	1.5	1.5
/162	664	12	8	+7.1	+4.7	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Chuck Schilling'61-'65 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,192 PA	3.3	2,192	23	11	239*	302*	331*	+8	+20	1.3	1.3
/162	664	7	3	+2.4	+6.0	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emilio Barreras (OGILVIE)	23	56→61	35→40	47→52	58	207/288/304	97	253	3	3	21%	9%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Phillip Glasser 2024 · A	24	48→58	40	51→55	51	228/295/321	93	271	7	12	18%	8%	76	-0.4	256/319/346	90	306	7	19	17%	7%	91	+0.6	263/329/345	82	312	6	21	16%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Andrew Aplin 2014 · A	23	46→56	42→40	52→55	53	222/289/333	111	253	9	14	16%	9%	77	-0.3	235/308/317	82	287	6	22	18%	10%	80	-0.1	233/308/303	70	291	5	27	20%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Brandon Trinkwon 2015 · A	23	46→51	40	49→50	52	218/282/313	95	246	7	10	14%	8%	70	-0.9	227/292/306	79	273	7	8	18%	8%	72	-0.7	229/295/298	69	276	6	7	18%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Peter Maris 2018 · A	24	48→50	40→45	46→50	49	229/285/317	88	267	7	9	17%	7%	71	-0.8	220/279/346	126	274	12	9	23%	7%	76	-0.4	211/270/357	146	269	16	7	27%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Irving Lopez 2018 · A	23	45→49	42→45	47→40	46	221/286/326	105	259	10	7	19%	6%	74	-0.5	226/289/333	107	278	9	3	21%	6%	77	-0.3	216/278/320	104	272	8	2	23%	5%	67	-0.7
✕John Mora 2016 · A	23	49→50	40	52→50	50	232/299/340	108	280	5	12	18%	8%	82	-0.0	221/281/312	91	289	5	9	24%	7%	68	-1.0	213/272/297	84	284	4	9	25%	7%	59	-1.4
✕Sherman Johnson 2013 · A	23	45→49	39→45	52→50	53	213/301/306	94	282	6	9	25%	11%	76	-0.4	219/297/329	110	279	8	12	23%	9%	79	-0.2	210/291/324	114	260	9	14	22%	10%	73	-0.6
✕Mike Gerber 2015 · A	23	50→52	41→50	51→45	47	240/297/343	103	299	8	10	22%	7%	82	-0.0	232/281/362	130	314	11	9	28%	6%	80	-0.1	231/282/363	132	316	12	8	29%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Devan Ahart 2016 · A	23	51	40	49→50	48	241/289/338	97	282	6	14	17%	6%	77	-0.3	221/272/315	94	294	7	11	26%	6%	66	-1.1	213/260/300	87	289	6	11	27%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Kevin Santa 2018 · A	23	51	42→40	47→50	49	247/311/349	102	286	10	14	17%	7%	88	+0.5	244/291/321	77	287	5	11	16%	5%	74	-0.6	259/299/323	64	297	3	11	13%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Garrett Stubbs 2016 · A	23	49	38→45	50	55	227/291/308	80	245	5	8	10%	8%	71	-0.8	235/301/335	100	279	8	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Jim Jarvis 2024 · A	23	47→55	39→40	48→55	42	222/283/312	90	298	6	13	26%	6%	70	-0.8	221/283/308	87	269	5	19	19%	7%	68	-1.0	228/293/318	90	276	5	24	18%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Matthew Wood 2024 · A	23	45	37→45	46→45	54	214/299/282	68	265	5	5	20%	10%	70	-0.9	211/297/307	96	251	9	6	19%	10%	75	-0.5	205/299/321	116	233	13	6	17%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Mason Williams 2015 · AA	23	48→53	39→45	49→55	47	228/274/316	88	267	6	14	17%	6%	66	-1.1	252/291/327	75	303	3	16	17%	5%	75	-0.5	247/291/368	121	302	13	7	22%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Jax Biggers 2021 · A	24	47→52	38→40	49→50	49	224/286/299	76	273	5	12	19%	8%	68	-1.0	214/266/303	89	268	7	14	22%	6%	61	-1.5	219/293/313	94	285	7	13	24%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Dixon Machado 2015 · AA	23	50→57	39→45	47→55	51	238/300/328	91	284	5	10	18%	8%	80	-0.2	247/299/324	77	298	5	12	18%	6%	78	-0.3	224/302/328	105	267	11	4	19%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Blake Davis 2007 · A	23	48→56	41→40	52→50	44	233/274/329	96	277	8	12	19%	5%	70	-0.9	237/277/322	85	304	5	9	22%	5%	69	-0.9	238/277/318	80	306	4	8	23%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Josh Kasevich 2024 · A	23	51→59	37→40	48→50	51	241/303/314	72	277	4	10	14%	7%	77	-0.3	254/306/322	68	298	4	9	15%	6%	80	-0.2	263/317/325	62	307	3	8	15%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Reese McGuire 2018 · AA	23	52→54	39→45	44→45	50	248/301/338	90	281	6	9	14%	7%	82	-0.0	231/287/349	118	281	12	7	22%	7%	80	-0.2	245/296/356	111	296	9	3	20%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Brad McElroy 2009 · A	23	44→54	38→40	54→55	49	209/283/293	84	262	5	10	21%	8%	65	-1.2	221/290/317	96	293	6	18	25%	8%	74	-0.6	229/296/327	98	299	6	23	24%	7%	75	-0.3

Emilio Barreras

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps