Jim Jarvis — OGILVIE

Jim JarvisSS Gwinnett Stripers

Age 25 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION380 act + 253 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .314 / .360

PA253

HR3

SB15

K%19

BB%7

BABIP305

ISO109

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT41

xwOBA

100.262

POWER30

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

1085.5

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

5527.7

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+1.4	$11M	+$11M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$19M	+$19M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$19M	+$18M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.5	$16M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+2.3	$14M	+$8M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.0	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$89M	+$71M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	108	26	6	0	1	7	33	4	6	3	241	311	324	635	83	325	27	6	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	104	27	7	0	1	11	22	4	6	3	260	353	356	709	96	310	18	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	480	431	89	15	2	5	37	92	6	25	7	206	278	285	564	79	247	19	8	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	480	413	98	18	3	5	55	64	6	25	7	237	335	332	667	94	266	13	11	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	469	435	95	25	3	2	24	76	8	18	7	218	272	303	575	85	259	16	5	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	469	414	103	25	3	4	45	61	8	18	7	249	334	353	687	104	282	13	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	ATL	—	380	342	98	20	3	6	32	73	2	32	8	287	351	415	766	129	347	19	8	334	114	+6	+3	+0	+4	+11	2.4
YTD	25	AAA	ATL	—	380	327	102	22	3	7	47	62	2	32	8	312	402	462	863	150	365	16	12	382	151	+22	+3	+0	+4	+11	4.1
ROS	25	AAA	ATL	100%	253	230	58	12	2	3	19	48	2	15	4	252	314	360	675	109	303	19	7	304	91	-3	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.0
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	100%	253	230	58	12	2	3	19	48	2	15	4	252	315	361	676	109	303	19	8	298	86	-4	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.9
FULL	25	AAA	ATL	—	633	572	156	32	5	9	51	121	4	47	12	273	337	393	730	121	330	19	8	319	103	+2	+5	+1	+7	+18	3.3
TOT	25	AAA	ATL	—	633	572	156	32	5	9	51	121	4	47	12	273	336	393	729	121	330	19	8	322	105	+3	+5	+1	+7	+18	3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ATL	82%	660	599	149	31	4	9	50	125	6	36	9	249	313	359	672	110	299	19	8	303	90	-8	+4	+3	+7	+19	2.5
2028	27	MLB	ATL	82%	653	591	148	31	4	10	51	126	6	35	9	250	316	367	684	117	299	19	8	304	91	-7	+3	+3	+7	+19	2.6
2029	28	MLB	ATL	82%	640	578	144	30	4	10	51	126	6	33	8	249	317	367	683	118	298	20	8	304	91	-6	+3	+2	+7	+18	2.5
2030	29	MLB	ATL	82%	627	566	141	29	4	10	50	125	6	30	7	249	317	367	684	118	298	20	8	303	90	-7	+3	+1	+7	+18	2.2
2031	30	MLB	ATL	82%	614	555	135	28	3	9	49	124	5	26	7	243	310	353	663	110	297	20	8	301	88	-8	+2	+1	+7	+17	1.9
2032	31	MLB	ATL	82%	602	544	131	27	3	8	48	123	5	23	6	241	308	346	654	105	295	20	8	297	85	-10	+2	-0	+6	+17	1.6
2033	32	MLB	ATL	82%	590	533	127	26	3	8	47	123	5	18	5	238	306	343	649	105	292	21	8	291	81	-13	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.1
2034	33	MLB	ATL	82%	509	460	107	21	3	6	40	109	4	12	3	233	300	330	630	98	288	21	8	284	76	-14	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.5
2035	34	MLB	ATL	77%	430	390	88	17	2	5	34	95	3	7	2	226	293	318	611	92	282	22	8	276	69	-15	+1	-3	+5	+12	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	ATL	82%	541	490	122	26	3	7	41	103	5	29	7	249	313	357	671	108	299	19	8	296	85	-9	+3	+2	+6	+15	1.7
2028	27	MLB	ATL	82%	535	483	120	25	3	8	42	103	5	29	7	248	315	362	677	114	299	19	8	298	86	-8	+3	+2	+6	+15	1.8
2029	28	MLB	ATL	82%	525	473	117	24	3	8	42	103	5	27	7	247	315	362	677	114	298	20	8	298	86	-8	+3	+2	+6	+15	1.7
2030	29	MLB	ATL	82%	514	463	115	24	3	8	41	102	5	25	6	248	316	365	681	117	298	20	8	297	85	-9	+3	+1	+6	+15	1.5
2031	30	MLB	ATL	82%	503	454	111	23	3	7	40	101	4	22	5	244	311	355	666	110	297	20	8	294	83	-10	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.3
2032	31	MLB	ATL	82%	494	447	108	22	3	7	40	101	4	18	5	242	310	351	661	110	295	20	8	290	80	-11	+2	-0	+5	+14	1.0
2033	32	MLB	ATL	82%	484	438	104	21	3	6	39	101	4	15	4	237	306	340	646	103	292	21	8	285	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.7
2034	33	MLB	ATL	82%	417	378	87	17	2	5	33	89	3	10	3	230	297	325	622	95	288	21	8	278	71	-14	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.2
2035	34	MLB	ATL	77%	333	301	69	13	2	4	26	73	3	6	1	229	297	326	623	96	282	22	8	270	65	-13	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4599	4157	1011	207	27	63	363	924	40	196	49	243	310	351	662	108	297	20	8	291	81	-99	+20	+4	+49	+130	10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	143	29	4	9	51	131	6	28	7	243	310	352	662	109	297	20	8	291	81	-14	+3	+1	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	6649	6020	1438	298	37	86	507	1325	66	284	77	239	305	344	649	105	291	20	8	291	81	-144	+26	+4	+71	+188	14.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	140	29	4	8	50	130	6	28	8	238	304	341	646	104	290	20	8	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	104	27	7	0	1	11	22	4	6	3	260	353	356	709	96	310	18	9	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	289	250	54	9	1	4	32	40	3	11	5	216	312	308	620	92	238	14	11	285	76	-8	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
2024	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	191	163	44	9	2	1	23	24	3	14	2	270	370	368	738	98	307	13	12	335	115	+3	+2	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	403	360	89	22	3	2	33	52	8	14	5	247	324	342	666	94	282	13	8	303	90	-4	+1	—	—	+11	0.8
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	66	54	14	3	0	2	12	9	0	4	2	259	394	426	820	167	279	14	18	372	143	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#4Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,667	63	193	242	305	349	+48	+16	10.8	10.6
	/162	664	9	27	242	305	349	+6.8	+2.3	1.5	pk7: 10
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jim Jarvis (OGILVIE)	25	50→41	30	50	40	273/336/393	121	330	9	47	19%	8%	105	+3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A	25	50	36→30	52→55	51	229/332/296	68	277	3	19	17%	8%	85	+0.7	227/286/307	80	291	5	14	22%	6%	66	-0.6	242/291/289	46	304	0	21	19%	5%	57	-0.3
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/293	79	273	6	14	22%	8%	72	-0.2	205/298/278	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	176/285/222	46	228	2	12	21%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA	25	52→46	41→40	55	50	247/324/353	106	295	7	20	18%	8%	94	+1.3	233/304/327	94	294	6	14	21%	8%	79	+0.3	205/279/280	75	263	5	9	23%	9%	55	-0.6
✕Brandon Roberts 2010 · AA	25	53→57	37→40	50→55	44	251/300/325	73	302	5	17	18%	5%	76	+0.0	256/308/333	77	307	5	22	17%	5%	82	+0.5	259/314/328	69	309	3	26	16%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Patrick Biondi 2016 · A	25	48→44	38→30	55→60	44	228/276/303	76	292	5	23	23%	6%	59	-1.1	228/288/288	60	312	3	27	26%	7%	61	-1.0	224/290/264	41	314	1	33	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	50	36→30	54→65	47	234/294/308	74	312	3	24	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/294/276	63	301	3	37	27%	9%	62	-0.9	196/290/240	44	283	1	51	28%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Garrett Stubbs 2018 · AAA	25	46	40→45	53→50	49	223/289/315	92	266	7	13	19%	7%	69	-0.4	229/290/337	108	280	9	14	21%	7%	76	+0.0	217/303/339	123	262	13	17	22%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2021 · AA	25	48→49	38→45	51→55	49	225/299/310	84	303	5	16	26%	9%	72	-0.2	221/300/344	123	296	13	16	28%	10%	82	+0.5	217/301/336	119	289	13	18	28%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Bo Way 2017 · AA	25	51→52	36→40	48→55	43	240/287/311	71	305	3	17	22%	5%	66	-0.6	228/274/295	67	289	4	16	21%	5%	56	-1.3	220/267/288	69	275	4	15	21%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Stephen Gaylor 2017 · AA	25	48	34→30	49→55	44	226/277/275	49	293	2	18	23%	6%	53	-1.5	216/268/283	67	290	4	15	25%	6%	51	-1.7	201/250/248	47	272	0	18	24%	5%	31	-0.9
✕James Rapoport 2010 · AA	25	49→54	37→40	53→55	48	231/289/305	74	286	4	16	20%	7%	66	-0.6	236/302/303	67	280	4	9	16%	8%	71	-0.3	237/306/290	54	277	3	7	15%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Austin Krum 2011 · AA	25	48→51	38→40	49→50	47	227/291/310	82	289	5	12	22%	8%	68	-0.5	230/289/310	80	299	5	18	23%	7%	67	-0.5	235/294/303	68	308	3	23	23%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Joe Sclafani 2015 · AAA	25	52→45	39→40	51→50	51	245/310/336	90	292	6	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	251/311/327	76	310	4	11	19%	7%	80	+0.4	280/341/314	35	350	0	8	18%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	39→45	54→50	49	201/285/293	92	253	5	16	22%	8%	63	-0.9	220/305/352	132	274	13	14	23%	9%	86	+0.8	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Roy Morales 2021 · A	26	47	38→30	51→45	46	224/287/306	82	283	5	10	22%	7%	66	-0.6	262/325/339	77	314	6	8	17%	8%	90	+1.0	282/346/349	67	333	5	7	16%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Max Schrock 2020 · AAA	25	47→57	40	49→50	47	226/277/317	91	261	6	13	16%	6%	64	-0.8	234/278/349	115	283	11	10	21%	5%	73	-0.1	244/289/362	118	290	12	3	20%	5%	77	+0.0
✕Carlos Garcia 2017 · AA	25	47→49	38→40	53→55	43	226/272/307	80	282	5	21	21%	5%	59	-1.1	217/266/329	112	267	12	15	23%	5%	63	-0.8	200/249/320	119	235	16	16	23%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Michael Gigliotti 2021 · A	25	48	37→40	54→55	43	226/285/304	78	299	4	22	24%	6%	64	-0.8	210/301/330	120	292	11	21	30%	9%	79	+0.3	194/304/312	118	265	11	24	28%	11%	75	+0.0
✕Junior Sosa 2016 · AA	25	46	39→30	50→55	44	223/271/312	89	279	6	10	22%	6%	60	-1.0	226/295/288	62	305	3	10	25%	9%	65	-0.7	227/303/254	27	310	0	9	24%	9%	56	-0.8