Jack Young — OGILVIE

Jack Young P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 188 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%18.9%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%5.5%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	53	231	53	28	2	3%	1.5	17.3%	14.1%	3.1%	1.2%	2.72	4.08	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	53	231	53	28	2	3%	1.5	17.3%	14.1%	3.1%	1.2%	2.72	4.08	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	53	231	53	28	2	3%	1.5	22.9%	12.1%	10.8%	0.9%	2.72	3.18	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	43	0	53	232	37	26	6	0%	1.2	12.6%	12.5%	0.1%	3.4%	5.30	5.50	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	43	0	53	232	37	26	6	0%	1.2	12.6%	12.5%	0.1%	3.4%	5.30	5.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	CWS	41	0	50	220	36	24	6	0%	1.2	16.4%	10.9%	5.5%	2.7%	5.01	4.60	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	CWS	2	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	1.1	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	11.57	4.51	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	52	220	44	26	6	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.0%	8.0%	2.8%	4.91	4.83	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	52	220	45	26	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	11.7%	8.9%	2.8%	4.81	4.76	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	21	0	22	93	19	11	3	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.0%	8.0%	2.8%	4.91	4.83	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	33	0	35	148	30	17	4	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.7%	8.9%	2.8%	4.81	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	49	29	7	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.85	4.41	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	102	25	0%	1.0	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.85	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		79	1	106	463	69	62	11	1%	1.3	14.9%	13.3%	1.6%	2.3%	4.00	4.79	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	2	200	876	131	117	20	1%	1.3	14.9%	13.3%	1.6%	2.3%	4.00	4.79	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Young (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	18.9%	13.3%	2.8%	—	4.79	20.3%	8.4%	104	-0.29	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	94
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	92
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	90
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	89
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	89
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.36	16.0%	6.0%	107	-0.80	3.20	213	89
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	88
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	88
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	88
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	87
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	87
Armando Ruiz R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	24	SU	4.26	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	87
Pat Light R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.37	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.03	4.10	172	86
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	86
Hunter Dula R 2023 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	20.1%	12.1%	3.5%	.301	4.06	19.8%	10.2%	37	-0.80	3.91	132	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	19.9%	12.2%	1.08	4.92
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91