Asbel Gonzalez

CF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #264MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP46ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AKC	505	.239/.365/.289	1	78	59	—	.209/.315/.258
2026	20	A+KC	510	.262/.361/.314	3	67	68	—	.243/.323/.283
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBKC	2	.199/.284/.245	0	0	56	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	22	MLBKC	190	.205/.291/.268	2	12	64	-0.2
2029PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBKC	289	.211/.297/.289	4	16	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$5M2034Ext$6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed92

Whiff%48

K%43

Chase%38

BB%37

wOBA36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%

CompsJay Allen II (age 21) · Yhoswar Garcia (age 21) · Jorge Mateo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .284 / .245

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO42

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	143	35	10	2	1	19	26	7	17	11	245	361	364	725	119	286	15	11	326	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	182	151	43	11	2	0	20	37	9	22	4	285	400	384	784	99	374	20	11	358	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	415	99	12	3	1	54	86	29	78	26	239	365	289	655	51	298	17	11	310	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	510	427	112	9	2	3	52	130	14	67	13	262	361	314	675	52	366	25	10	306	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	149	24	6	1	1	13	33	7	17	11	161	260	235	495	74	187	19	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	158	34	8	2	0	13	51	9	22	4	215	311	291	602	76	304	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	431	90	12	3	1	38	119	29	78	26	209	315	258	573	49	272	24	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	510	441	107	8	2	2	38	165	14	67	13	243	323	283	606	41	352	32	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	149	24	6	1	1	13	33	7	17	11	161	260	235	495	74	195	19	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	143	35	10	2	1	19	26	7	17	11	245	361	364	725	119	286	15	11	326	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	158	34	8	2	0	13	51	9	22	4	215	311	291	602	76	315	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	182	151	43	11	2	0	20	37	9	22	4	285	400	384	784	99	374	20	11	358	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	431	90	12	3	1	38	119	29	78	26	209	315	258	573	49	285	24	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	415	99	12	3	1	54	86	29	78	26	239	365	289	655	51	298	17	11	310	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	510	441	107	8	2	2	38	165	14	67	13	243	323	283	606	41	378	32	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	510	427	112	9	2	3	52	130	14	67	13	262	361	314	675	52	366	25	10	306	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	151	24	6	1	1	13	33	7	17	11	159	260	232	492	73	187	19	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	158	34	8	2	0	13	51	9	22	4	215	311	291	602	76	304	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	433	90	12	3	1	38	119	29	78	26	208	315	256	572	48	272	24	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	510	453	107	8	2	2	38	165	14	67	13	236	323	276	598	40	352	32	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	158	34	8	2	0	13	51	9	22	4	215	311	291	602	76	304	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	433	90	12	3	1	38	119	29	78	26	208	315	256	572	48	272	24	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	510	453	107	8	2	2	38	165	14	67	13	236	323	276	598	40	352	32	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	620	550	110	13	3	2	46	182	19	41	10	200	285	247	532	47	291	29	7	251	56	-32	+4	+1	+2	+13	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	KC	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	199	284	245	529	47	289	50	0	250	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	35%	551	487	101	12	2	5	42	158	17	34	8	207	292	272	564	65	291	29	8	263	64	-23	+4	+2	+2	+12	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	49%	595	527	113	14	3	8	46	166	17	33	8	213	298	294	593	81	292	28	8	274	72	-20	+3	+3	+2	+13	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	615	544	119	15	3	10	49	168	17	31	8	218	303	310	613	92	293	27	8	282	77	-17	+3	+4	+2	+13	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	627	555	123	16	3	11	50	169	17	29	7	221	305	320	625	99	293	27	8	286	80	-15	+3	+5	+2	+14	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	634	561	124	16	3	12	51	170	17	27	7	222	306	325	631	103	293	27	8	289	82	-14	+3	+5	+2	+14	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	634	560	124	16	3	12	52	171	17	25	6	221	305	322	627	101	292	27	8	287	81	-15	+3	+5	+2	+14	0.9
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	35%	190	167	35	4	1	2	15	54	6	12	3	205	291	268	559	63	289	28	8	261	64	-8	+1	+1	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	49%	289	256	54	7	1	4	23	81	8	16	4	211	297	289	586	78	290	28	8	272	72	-10	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	325	287	63	8	2	5	26	89	9	16	4	216	301	304	605	88	291	27	8	279	77	-9	+2	+2	+1	+7	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	343	303	67	9	2	6	28	93	9	16	4	218	303	313	616	95	291	27	8	283	80	-8	+2	+3	+1	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	353	312	69	9	2	6	29	95	9	15	4	219	304	318	622	99	291	27	8	285	82	-8	+1	+3	+1	+8	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	349	309	68	9	2	6	28	94	9	14	3	218	303	315	618	97	290	27	8	284	81	-8	+2	+3	+1	+8	0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1849	1634	356	46	10	29	149	506	50	89	22	218	303	312	614	94	295	27	8	279	71	-51	+9	+12	+7	+40	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	125	16	4	10	52	178	18	31	8	218	303	312	615	94	295	27	8	279	71	-18	+3	+4	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5346	4696	1015	130	26	63	416	1464	171	384	103	216	303	295	598	79	298	27	8	273	71	-121	+20	+23	+14	+86	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	124	16	3	8	51	178	21	47	13	217	305	298	603	81	298	27	8	273	71	-20	+3	+4	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	6.7	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
/162	664	17	32	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#2Gary Pettis'82-'92 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,237 PA	6.4	4,237	21	354	234*	332*	326*	+14	+45	14.6	13.8
/162	664	3	55	+2.2	+7.1	2.3	pk7: 13
#3Omar Moreno'75-'86 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,481 PA	8.3	5,481	37	487	246*	304*	367*	+13	+49	12.5	13.1
/162	664	4	59	+1.6	+6.0	1.5	pk7: 14
#4Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#5Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	4.3	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
/162	664	5	62	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#6Brian Hunter'94-'03 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,659 PA	5.5	3,659	25	260	252*	300*	337*	+1	+13	2.0	3.6
/162	664	5	47	+0.2	+2.4	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.8	1,850	30	89	219	300	312	-11	+13	-0.0	0.2
/162	664	11	32	-4.0	+4.8	-0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Asbel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	21	31→48	26→40	60	49	198/283/245	47	291	1	21	29%	7%	56	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jay Allen II 2024 · A	21	41→47	39→45	58→55	42	193/283/280	87	299	7	32	35%	8%	64	-1.3	200/286/296	96	279	9	24	30%	8%	69	-0.9	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	42	38→30	63→70	39	197/261/279	82	301	5	38	34%	6%	54	-2.0	204/255/271	67	276	3	38	26%	5%	49	-2.4	200/248/252	52	262	1	51	23%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2016 · A	21	46→50	38→50	67→65	42	219/269/307	88	300	3	44	27%	6%	63	-1.4	207/252/319	112	299	7	32	32%	5%	59	-1.7	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Rafael Bautista 2013 · A	20	47→57	34→40	61→60	48	217/286/272	55	275	1	33	20%	7%	62	-1.4	241/290/306	65	299	3	32	19%	5%	70	-0.8	261/303/319	59	317	3	41	18%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2012 · A	21	48→58	36→40	66→70	40	224/269/292	69	318	3	43	29%	6%	59	-1.7	247/300/331	84	330	4	70	24%	7%	79	-0.2	252/305/341	89	324	4	80	22%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	38→48	35→40	56→60	41	177/252/232	55	286	2	26	36%	8%	40	-3.0	200/272/272	72	297	4	28	31%	7%	57	-1.8	232/284/321	90	316	5	29	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	47→57	36→30	59→60	48	221/294/290	69	297	4	31	25%	8%	69	-0.9	221/290/293	72	294	3	23	24%	8%	68	-1.0	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	44	225/283/314	88	297	6	35	25%	6%	70	-0.9	223/278/313	90	298	6	34	25%	6%	68	-1.0	218/272/304	87	291	6	36	26%	6%	61	-1.2
✕Tito Polo 2016 · A	21	44→54	38→45	56→60	41	208/264/293	85	276	5	26	26%	5%	58	-1.7	231/284/340	109	306	10	27	27%	5%	77	-0.3	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→51	34→30	57→65	50	211/292/259	47	300	2	32	28%	10%	61	-1.5	216/303/273	57	308	3	41	27%	11%	69	-0.9	214/299/272	58	299	5	52	27%	10%	65	-1.0
✕Derrick Robinson 2009 · A	21	46→53	35→40	59→65	41	214/260/275	60	298	2	32	28%	6%	51	-2.2	225/266/290	65	292	3	39	23%	5%	57	-1.8	238/291/278	40	307	1	22	21%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Darren Ford 2009 · A	23	46→53	37→45	61→65	44	213/276/288	74	309	5	38	31%	8%	61	-1.5	223/280/319	96	312	7	33	29%	7%	70	-0.8	228/284/331	103	313	8	36	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	40→48	37→50	60	39	187/249/260	73	305	4	28	38%	7%	45	-2.7	196/252/317	121	310	12	26	38%	7%	59	-1.6	212/268/359	147	288	15	31	31%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Gabriel Mejia 2015 · A	20	49	34→30	62→70	54	224/302/275	52	285	1	43	20%	10%	68	-1.0	236/296/289	53	298	1	32	19%	7%	68	-1.0	239/289/278	39	300	0	29	19%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	44→54	41→45	63→65	42	216/263/320	104	271	8	35	23%	5%	63	-1.3	248/290/352	104	312	8	37	22%	5%	81	-0.1	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2017 · A	22	46→53	36→40	56→65	41	217/268/281	64	285	3	30	24%	5%	56	-1.9	212/263/299	87	276	8	34	25%	5%	59	-1.7	220/272/316	96	284	10	50	25%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Abiatal Avelino 2016 · A	21	49→54	38→45	55	43	231/275/309	78	288	5	28	21%	5%	65	-1.2	243/285/340	97	302	7	19	21%	5%	76	-0.4	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	203/264/279	76	291	2	27	29%	7%	55	-2.0	217/280/291	74	327	4	27	32%	7%	63	-1.3	224/290/283	58	344	4	45	33%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Angel Del Rosario 2023 · AA	20	41	37→40	60→65	37	194/253/259	64	293	6	37	34%	5%	47	-2.6	200/262/275	75	315	5	34	36%	6%	53	-2.1	189/255/259	70	298	4	43	35%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Luis Durango 2024 · A	21	47	35→30	57→70	48	219/296/278	59	287	3	29	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/289/285	58	305	2	36	24%	5%	65	-1.2	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3

Asbel Gonzalez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps