Adrian BelloC FCL Marlins
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 86 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .288 / .305
PA86
HR1
K%27
BB%8
BABIP293
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +6.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.12.20.40.91.31.51.71.71.71.61.41.20.9+$101M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.7$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$7M+$7M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.2$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.3M
Totals $13M $35M +$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Marlins — 125114 17410 8512 00 149218202419 53266 416 195 7 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Marlins — 125110 24621 12362 00 218306336643 118311 2910 291 81 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Marlins — 148134 16300 11762 52 119197142339 22271 517 159 -20 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Marlins — 148127 23500 18532 52 181293220513 39307 3612 248 48 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Marlins — 178154 31322 20522 83 201301286587 84284 2911 269 64 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Marlins — 178138 38534 36342 83 275432442874 167333 1920 392 158 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKMIA — 130117 27702 11351 93 231302342644 111309 278 274 68 -5 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
YTD20 ROKMIA — 130109 32902 19241 93 294403431834 138357 1815 375 145 +7 +1 +0 +2 +4 1.3
ROS20 ROKMIA 0% 8678 17401 7231 31 216288305594 89288 278 273 67 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
ROS20 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 283 —— 263 59 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL20 ROKMIA — 130118 27702 11351 93 229302339641 110305 278 274 68 -5 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
TOT20 ROKMIA — 216195 441103 18582 124 225297327624 102302 278 274 68 -8 +1 +0 +4 +6 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBMIA 34% 251225 491014 22652 52 218293324618 107286 269 281 73 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
202822 MLBMIA 48% 365326 741527 32924 72 227304350654 123288 259 289 79 -9 +1 +0 +7 +10 0.9
202923 MLBMIA 54% 439394 891829 381094 93 226300350651 124289 259 293 83 -9 +1 +0 +8 +12 1.3
203024 MLBMIA 55% 488437 9920210 431215 93 227303350653 124290 259 296 85 -8 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.5
203125 MLBMIA 56% 516460 10621311 461275 103 230307361668 130290 259 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203226 MLBMIA 56% 520464 10721311 461285 103 231307360667 129290 259 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203327 MLBMIA 55% 520463 10621211 471295 103 229307354661 125289 259 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203428 MLBMIA 55% 520463 10521211 471295 103 227305352657 125289 259 296 85 -9 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.6
203529 MLBMIA 53% 520463 10421210 471305 93 225303343646 119288 259 294 84 -10 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.4
203630 MLBMIA 53% 517460 10220210 471315 93 222301339640 117287 259 292 81 -11 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.2
203731 MLBMIA 57% 489436 961929 451255 82 220300335635 115284 269 287 78 -12 +1 -3 +9 +14 0.9
203832 MLBMIA 59% 457408 881728 421194 72 216295326621 110281 269 282 74 -13 +1 -4 +8 +13 0.5
203933 MLBMIA 61% 416371 791527 381104 62 213293321614 108277 269 275 69 -15 +0 -4 +7 +12 0.1
204034 MLBMIA 57% 362323 661216 33983 52 204284303588 99271 279 267 62 -15 +0 -5 +6 +10 -0.3
202721 MLBMIA 34% 8678 16301 7221 21 205279282561 77281 268 270 65 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202822 MLBMIA 48% 177158 35713 15452 31 222297335633 114283 258 277 71 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
202923 MLBMIA 54% 238213 47915 21592 51 221297343639 122284 259 282 74 -7 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.5
203024 MLBMIA 55% 270241 541115 24673 52 224302340642 116285 259 284 76 -7 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203125 MLBMIA 56% 289258 571116 26713 62 221300341641 120285 259 285 77 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203226 MLBMIA 56% 292261 591216 26723 62 226303349652 123285 259 286 77 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203327 MLBMIA 55% 288257 571116 26713 52 222301342643 121284 259 286 77 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203428 MLBMIA 55% 285254 571116 26713 52 224304346650 122284 259 285 76 -8 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.5
203529 MLBMIA 53% 278248 541115 25703 52 218297331628 113283 259 283 75 -8 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203630 MLBMIA 53% 272242 521015 25693 51 215296326623 112282 259 280 73 -8 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203731 MLBMIA 57% 276246 531015 25713 51 215296325621 110279 269 276 70 -9 +1 -2 +5 +8 0.2
203832 MLBMIA 59% 270240 511015 25703 41 212295325620 113276 269 271 66 -10 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.0
203933 MLBMIA 61% 254227 47914 23672 41 207286308594 101272 269 265 61 -11 +0 -3 +5 +7 -0.2
204034 MLBMIA 57% 205183 37713 18562 31 202281301581 98266 279 256 54 -11 +0 -3 +4 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 34803107 6761321365 31288136 6320 218296331628 114281 259 279 71 -112 +5 -11 +62 +99 4.3
/ 162G— — 650580 12625212 581657 124 217296329625 112281 259 279 71 -21 +1 -2 +12 +18 0.8
Career— — 69176173 135126531127 619181568 13042 219297334631 115287 269 285 76 -187 +9 -20 +124 +196 12.5
/ 162G— — 650580 12725312 581716 124 219296334631 116287 269 285 76 -18 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Marlins — 125110 24621 12362 00 218306336643 118311 2910 291 81 -3 +0 — — +4 0.1
202418 ROKDSL Marlins — 148127 23500 18532 52 181293220513 39307 3612 248 48 -9 +0 — — +4 -0.4
202519 ROKDSL Marlins — 178138 38534 36342 83 275432442874 167333 1920 392 158 +12 +0 — — +5 1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
93,6456865223298340+65+368.37.1
/1626641212+11.9+6.61.5pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Adrian Bello (OGILVIE) 20 45 35 50 60 225/297/327 102302 312 27% 8% 68 +0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Josh Johnson
2006 · A 		20 43→49 39→45 48→50 50 203/280/297 94266 59 24% 9% 61 -1.0 218/304/287 69285 310 22% 11% 69 -0.4 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6
✕Shawn Zarraga
2009 · A 		20 48 40 51→45 49 226/308/322 96306 77 26% 9% 79 +0.3 223/295/301 78305 56 26% 7% 69 -0.4 277/347/362843224214%8%106+0.8
✕Harold Garcia
2007 · A 		20 45→55 39→45 46→55 47 211/305/306 95281 69 25% 8% 76 +0.0 229/295/330 101292 715 23% 5% 76 +0.1 253/307/36010734272627%4%86+0.5
✕Ramón Cabrera
2009 · A 		19 43→53 40 51→40 49 209/274/305 96254 77 20% 8% 60 -1.0 234/282/320 86276 45 16% 6% 66 -0.6 263/317/347843013313%7%86+0.6
✕Jenner Emeterio
2013 · A 		20 45 38→30 48→60 46 214/278/297 83284 513 26% 8% 59 -1.1 217/304/278 61289 324 23% 10% 66 -0.6 216/317/2604428513422%12%65-0.3
✕Maick Collado
2023 · A 		20 44 39→40 46→45 51 210/292/294 84269 65 23% 9% 66 -0.6 215/285/285 70274 56 21% 8% 60 -1.0 205/275/266612565520%8%51-0.9
✕Juan Brito
2022 · A 		20 45→49 42→50 47→45 45 219/283/320 101283 1012 26% 7% 68 -0.5 232/313/374 142284 149 22% 10% 95 +1.4 227/311/37414727215921%10%92+1.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2022 · A 		20 47→55 38→45 48→50 49 218/288/307 89289 311 24% 9% 66 -0.6 244/304/360 116301 913 21% 7% 87 +0.8 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
✕Enmanuel Terrero
2023 · A 		20 47 37→45 47→55 54 220/301/294 74277 412 20% 10% 69 -0.4 211/284/306 95333 915 36% 9% 65 -0.7 194/268/28793319111839%8%51-0.6
●Colin Walsh
2011 · A 		21 45→54 40→45 53→50 52 214/297/310 95272 810 23% 10% 72 -0.2 225/295/354 129272 128 21% 8% 82 +0.5 238/307/35811930312624%8%85+0.5
✕Brayan Rocchio
2021 · A 		20 48→55 38→45 48→50 43 226/277/308 82281 513 21% 5% 62 -0.9 225/284/354 129286 1214 25% 6% 77 +0.1 229/300/349120276111520%8%80+0.3
✕Derwin Barreto
2021 · A 		20 43 41→40 51→50 46 205/278/304 99280 810 28% 8% 62 -0.9 198/276/289 91307 89 35% 9% 58 -1.2 146/239/192462564940%10%14-0.8
✕Charlie Valerio
2011 · A 		20 44 39→40 46→45 50 212/283/296 84257 77 20% 8% 62 -0.9 211/272/306 95280 87 26% 7% 59 -1.1 203/256/296932809529%7%49-0.6
✕Junior Valera
2013 · A 		20 42 36→40 51→60 45 196/266/265 69275 210 28% 8% 46 -2.0 226/289/310 84293 318 22% 8% 67 -0.5 245/308/3389430732820%8%77+0.1
✕Willmer De La Cruz
2023 · A 		20 45 38→40 50→55 49 208/296/287 80313 517 32% 10% 66 -0.6 191/272/253 62322 314 37% 9% 46 -2.0 146/239/1762926901941%9%12-0.8
✕Deivi Estrada
2021 · A 		20 46 36→30 45→50 50 213/291/275 62281 39 23% 9% 60 -1.0 190/251/259 69328 38 40% 7% 38 -2.6 146/188/204583143452%4%-7-1.2
✕Juan Benjamin
2023 · A 		20 47→50 42→40 50→55 48 222/298/336 114305 810 28% 9% 79 +0.3 217/275/294 77310 517 29% 7% 57 -1.2 211/270/2796829842028%7%49-1.2
✕Eliezer Alfonzo
2021 · A 		21 49→51 38→45 49→40 50 229/293/310 80275 48 18% 8% 69 -0.4 239/282/347 108264 123 14% 5% 74 -0.1 240/280/34610625113211%4%69-0.3
✕Oliver Nunez
2015 · A 		20 44 35→40 49→50 56 204/298/270 66271 213 24% 12% 62 -0.9 229/297/298 69282 213 18% 9% 68 -0.5 245/306/3116729621617%8%71-0.1
✕Oswaldo Linares
2023 · A 		20 42 41→40 48→40 52 203/299/297 93263 96 25% 10% 70 -0.3 188/285/268 80281 74 32% 11% 57 -1.2 161/265/226652476233%11%36-1.0