Adrian Bello
C FCL Marlins| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKMIA | 148 | .181/.293/.220 | 0 | 5 | -4 | — | .114/.204/.136 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKMIA | 178 | .275/.432/.442 | 4 | 8 | 58 | — | .173/.295/.240 |
| 2026 | 20 | ROKMIA | 149 | .278/.385/.405 | 2 | 12 | 62 | — | .209/.284/.306 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIA | 259 | .204/.277/.288 | 3 | 5 | 61 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBMIA | 43 | .202/.276/.290 | 1 | 1 | 67 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 99 | .205/.279/.301 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | — | 125 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 336 | 643 | 118 | 311 | 29 | 10 | 291 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | — | 148 | 127 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 181 | 293 | 220 | 513 | 39 | 307 | 36 | 12 | 248 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | — | 178 | 138 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 275 | 432 | 442 | 874 | 167 | 333 | 19 | 20 | 392 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 149 | 126 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 278 | 385 | 405 | 790 | 127 | 340 | 19 | 13 | 357 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 125 | 113 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 218 | 195 | 412 | 53 | 216 | 35 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 148 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 114 | 204 | 136 | 340 | 23 | 211 | 43 | 9 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 178 | 150 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 43 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 173 | 295 | 240 | 535 | 67 | 225 | 24 | 13 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 149 | 134 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 209 | 284 | 306 | 590 | 97 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 125 | 113 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 218 | 195 | 412 | 53 | 229 | 35 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | — | 125 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 336 | 643 | 118 | 311 | 29 | 10 | 291 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 148 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 114 | 204 | 136 | 340 | 23 | 217 | 43 | 9 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | — | 148 | 127 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 181 | 293 | 220 | 513 | 39 | 307 | 36 | 12 | 248 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 178 | 150 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 43 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 173 | 295 | 240 | 535 | 67 | 231 | 24 | 13 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | — | 178 | 138 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 275 | 432 | 442 | 874 | 167 | 333 | 19 | 20 | 392 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 149 | 134 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 209 | 284 | 306 | 590 | 97 | 280 | 27 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Marlins | — | 149 | 126 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 278 | 385 | 405 | 790 | 127 | 340 | 19 | 13 | 357 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 125 | 113 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 218 | 195 | 412 | 53 | 216 | 35 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 148 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 114 | 204 | 136 | 340 | 23 | 211 | 43 | 9 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 178 | 150 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 43 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 173 | 295 | 240 | 535 | 67 | 225 | 24 | 13 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 149 | 134 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 209 | 284 | 306 | 590 | 97 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 148 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 114 | 204 | 136 | 340 | 23 | 211 | 43 | 9 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 178 | 150 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 43 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 173 | 295 | 240 | 535 | 67 | 225 | 24 | 13 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 149 | 134 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 209 | 284 | 306 | 590 | 97 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 259 | 234 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 72 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 204 | 277 | 288 | 565 | 85 | 279 | 28 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 34% | 125 | 113 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 282 | 303 | 585 | 95 | 281 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 48% | 205 | 184 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 286 | 315 | 600 | 103 | 282 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 290 | 261 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 77 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 215 | 289 | 324 | 613 | 109 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 348 | 313 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 92 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 217 | 291 | 330 | 621 | 113 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 56% | 381 | 342 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 100 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 219 | 292 | 335 | 627 | 116 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 396 | 356 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 104 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 218 | 291 | 332 | 623 | 114 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 399 | 359 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 106 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 216 | 289 | 327 | 616 | 111 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 393 | 354 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 105 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 213 | 286 | 321 | 607 | 108 | 281 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 385 | 347 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 105 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 210 | 283 | 313 | 596 | 103 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 69 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 34% | 43 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 276 | 290 | 566 | 89 | 272 | 28 | 9 | 259 | 67 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 48% | 99 | 90 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 279 | 301 | 581 | 96 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 265 | 71 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 153 | 138 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 282 | 310 | 592 | 102 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 190 | 170 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 210 | 284 | 316 | 601 | 106 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 76 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 56% | 212 | 190 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 286 | 320 | 606 | 108 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 275 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 218 | 196 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 285 | 318 | 602 | 107 | 274 | 26 | 8 | 274 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 218 | 196 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 58 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 283 | 313 | 596 | 104 | 274 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 75 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 210 | 189 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 280 | 307 | 587 | 101 | 272 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 73 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 202 | 181 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 204 | 277 | 300 | 576 | 96 | 270 | 27 | 8 | 263 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1545 | 1389 | 287 | 49 | 8 | 25 | 129 | 412 | 14 | 28 | 8 | 207 | 281 | 307 | 588 | 101 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 67 | -47 | +2 | -2 | +28 | +33 | 1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 54 | 173 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 207 | 281 | 310 | 591 | 103 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 67 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3599 | 3228 | 663 | 122 | 19 | 54 | 307 | 990 | 36 | 75 | 23 | 205 | 282 | 305 | 587 | 100 | 276 | 28 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -94 | +4 | -4 | +54 | +65 | 2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 120 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 179 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 206 | 282 | 305 | 587 | 99 | 276 | 28 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 149 PAwOBA .349 → .260 (−89)K% 18.8% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.58% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .349 → .260; ISO .127 → .094; BABIP .340 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Marlins · 178 PAwOBA .385 → .254 (−131)K% 19.1% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.10% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.66% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 13.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.680 | ×1.029 | ×0.995 | 18.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.81% | ÷1.073 | ×0.600 | ×1.029 | ×0.995 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.88% | ÷1.097 | ×0.600 | ×1.029 | ×0.995 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.383 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.30% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 91, 2B 115, 3B 119, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .385 → .254; ISO .167 → .079; BABIP .333 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Marlins · 148 PAwOBA .244 → .163 (−82)K% 35.8% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.81% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 17.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.059 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 87, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .244 → .163; ISO .039 → .022; BABIP .307 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Marlins · 125 PAwOBA .287 → .189 (−97)K% 28.8% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.80% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 6.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷0.968 | ×0.680 | ×1.038 | ×1.022 | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.990 | ×0.600 | ×1.038 | ×1.022 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.038 | ×1.022 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.285 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.51% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 94, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .287 → .189; ISO .118 → .063; BABIP .311 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).