Edgar Mota — OGILVIE

Edgar MotaC DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .258 / .267

PA66

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	47	5	1	0	0	3	20	2	0	0	106	192	128	320	21	185	38	6	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	45	8	2	0	0	5	13	2	0	0	178	288	222	511	44	250	25	10	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	61	4	1	0	0	7	36	0	0	0	66	162	82	244	16	148	51	10	122	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	57	6	1	0	0	11	25	0	0	0	105	250	123	373	18	176	36	16	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	64	8	0	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	125	138	125	263		154	21	1	119	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	63	11	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	175	200	175	375		200	15	3	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	KC	—	66	61	11	2	0	0	4	20	1	1	0	180	242	213	456	33	287	30	6	242	44	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	KC	34%	154	142	30	5	1	2	10	45	1	2	1	211	268	303	571	92	289	29	6	255	54	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	KC	48%	290	265	56	9	2	4	20	83	3	3	1	211	274	306	580	94	290	29	7	264	60	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2029	23	MLB	KC	54%	385	351	75	12	2	6	27	109	4	4	1	214	277	311	588	97	291	28	7	270	65	-15	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2030	24	MLB	KC	55%	450	411	90	15	3	8	32	127	4	4	2	219	282	328	610	109	292	28	7	274	68	-16	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2031	25	MLB	KC	56%	487	444	97	16	3	9	35	137	5	5	2	218	283	329	612	110	292	28	7	276	70	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.6
2032	26	MLB	KC	56%	509	462	101	16	3	10	37	143	5	5	2	219	284	331	615	113	292	28	7	278	71	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2027	21	MLB	KC	34%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	208	283	312	596	104	285	30	8	246	46	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	KC	48%	141	129	27	4	1	2	10	41	1	1	0	209	271	302	574	93	287	29	7	254	53	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	KC	54%	209	190	40	7	1	3	15	59	2	2	1	211	275	305	581	95	288	28	7	260	57	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2030	24	MLB	KC	55%	249	227	48	8	1	4	18	70	2	2	1	211	275	308	584	97	289	28	7	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2031	25	MLB	KC	56%	273	248	55	9	2	5	20	77	3	3	1	222	288	335	623	113	289	28	7	266	61	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2032	26	MLB	KC	56%	286	260	56	9	2	5	21	80	3	3	1	215	282	323	605	108	289	28	7	267	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1211	1102	236	39	7	20	88	343	12	12	4	214	280	317	596	103	290	28	7	262	59	-56	+1	+0	+22	+34	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	127	21	4	11	47	184	6	6	2	215	279	320	599	105	291	28	7	262	59	-30	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	2531	2308	477	77	14	39	176	734	25	25	9	207	270	303	573	96	283	29	7	261	58	-120	+1	+0	+45	+72	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	123	20	4	10	45	189	6	6	2	207	270	305	575	98	284	29	7	261	58	-31	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	45	8	2	5	13	2	0	178	288	222	511	44	250	25	10	249	49	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	57	6	1	11	25	0	0	105	250	123	373	18	176	36	16	193	6	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	63	11	0	2	10	0	1	175	200	175	375		200	15	3	167	-14	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,277	22	13	217	278	322	+23	+16	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	11	7	217	278	322	+11.9	+8.3	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edgar Mota (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	198/258/267	69	287	0	1	30%	7%	44	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	31	-3.0	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	46	-2.0	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Daniel Santos 2019 · A	20	41	39→45	45→40	41	197/262/285	88	270	7	5	28%	6%	50	-1.7	200/262/282	82	300	5	6	33%	6%	50	-1.8	141/209/188	47	235	0	5	37%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Andres Melendez 2021 · A	20	43	37→50	46→40	46	203/263/280	77	259	4	5	22%	7%	49	-1.8	211/286/332	121	328	11	5	36%	9%	72	-0.2	192/279/332	140	298	14	2	37%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Martin Cervenka 2013 · A	20	41→49	35→45	45→40	43	193/256/252	60	293	2	4	33%	8%	39	-2.5	191/251/252	61	294	3	4	33%	7%	37	-2.7	224/270/336	112	294	12	1	27%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→38	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	37	-2.6	188/245/287	99	290	10	14	37%	5%	43	-2.2	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	39	-2.5	203/261/310	107	295	9	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	38→42	37→45	47→45	37	184/233/259	75	278	4	7	34%	5%	30	-3.1	210/255/295	85	292	7	8	29%	5%	49	-1.8	209/246/320	112	285	10	5	30%	4%	49	-1.0
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5