Edgar Mota

C DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKDSL Royals Bl…	52	.178/.288/.222	0	0	-6	—	.106/.192/.128
2024	18	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	70	.105/.250/.123	0	0	-26	—	.066/.162/.082
2025	19	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	68	.175/.200/.175	0	1	-39	—	.109/.123/.109
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBKC	178	.201/.258/.261	1	2	47	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBKC	24	.204/.262/.272	0	0	52	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%87

Z-Con%85

K%83

Speed21

Chase%10

wOBA1

CompsVictor Duarte (age 21) · Franklin Tineo (age 21) · Willy Diaz (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .256 / .259

PA31

HR0

K%30

BB%6

ISO60

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	45	8	2	0	0	5	13	2	0	0	178	288	222	511	44	250	25	10	249	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	57	6	1	0	0	11	25	0	0	0	105	250	123	373	18	176	36	16	193	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	63	11	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	175	200	175	375		200	15	3	167	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	47	5	1	0	0	3	16	2	0	0	106	192	128	320	21	165	31	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	61	4	1	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	66	162	82	244	16	116	44	10	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	64	7	0	0	0	1	12	0	1	0	109	123	109	232		127	18	1	111	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	47	5	1	0	0	3	16	2	0	0	106	192	128	320	21	161	31	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	45	8	2	0	0	5	13	2	0	0	178	288	222	511	44	250	25	10	249	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	61	4	1	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	66	162	82	244	16	125	44	10	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	57	6	1	0	0	11	25	0	0	0	105	250	123	373	18	176	36	16	193	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	64	7	0	0	0	1	12	0	1	0	109	123	109	232		130	18	1	111	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	63	11	0	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	175	200	175	375		200	15	3	167	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	52	47	5	1	0	0	3	16	2	0	0	106	192	128	320	21	165	31	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	63	4	1	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	63	162	79	241	16	116	44	10	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	67	7	0	0	0	1	12	0	1	0	104	123	104	228		127	18	1	111	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	70	63	4	1	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	63	162	79	241	16	116	44	10	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	68	67	7	0	0	0	1	12	0	1	0	104	123	104	228		127	18	1	111	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	178	163	33	5	1	1	12	53	1	2	1	201	258	261	519	60	287	30	7	238	47	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	71	66	13	2	0	1	5	21	0	1	0	205	263	275	538	69	288	30	7	246	52	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	204	262	272	534	68	287	29	8	244	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	227	292	273	564	45	333	29	8	244	2	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	135	27	0	0	54	190	0	0	0	227	291	272	563	45	333	29	8	244	2	-37	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	292	267	35	5	0	1	18	89	2	2	0	131	192	161	353	30	188	30	6	171	2	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	78	11	0	2	40	198	4	4	0	131	191	160	351	29	189	30	6	171	2	-38	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 68 PAwOBA .168 → .111 (−57)K% 14.7% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.71%	÷1.023	×1.220	—	—	17.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.94%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×0.985	2.08%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.75%	÷1.083	×0.680	×1.025	×0.985	13.15%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.965	×0.600	×1.025	×0.985	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.600	×1.025	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.470	—	×0.985	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 105, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .168 → .111; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .127. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 70 PAwOBA .195 → .130 (−64)K% 35.7% → 43.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.71%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	43.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.71%	÷1.022	×0.700	—	×0.995	10.71%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.62%	÷1.014	×0.680	—	×0.995	10.42%
Doubles /BIP	3.12%	÷0.982	×0.600	—	×0.995	1.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.012	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.994	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .195 → .130; ISO .018 → .011; BABIP .176 → .116. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Royals Blue · 52 PAwOBA .244 → .160 (−84)K% 25.0% → 31.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	31.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.62%	÷1.010	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.71%
HBP% /PA	3.85%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.71%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷0.990	×0.680	—	×1.008	12.98%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.078	×0.600	—	×1.008	3.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.149	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.903	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .244 → .160; ISO .044 → .024; BABIP .250 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edgar Mota (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/256/259	60	287	0	0	30%	6%	47	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	33	35→40	45→40	50	160/258/217	57	223	3	5	27%	10%	41	-3.0	176/256/247	71	278	4	4	35%	8%	46	-2.6	168/246/241	74	269	4	2	36%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	45	190/269/255	65	295	3	5	34%	9%	52	-2.2	190/270/268	78	274	6	4	30%	9%	55	-1.9	174/258/250	76	242	6	2	29%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Adam Howard 2007 · A	21	37	35→50	50→40	38	178/227/239	60	266	2	6	32%	5%	31	-3.7	196/233/300	104	282	12	4	34%	4%	48	-2.5	183/214/295	112	251	16	2	34%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	43→37	36→40	46→50	48	198/289/264	65	284	4	6	29%	9%	62	-1.4	193/263/288	95	261	9	12	28%	7%	57	-1.8	178/246/269	91	241	10	14	29%	7%	44	-1.5
✕Ricardo Valencia 2014 · A	21	39	37→40	48→30	46	188/258/261	73	250	4	4	26%	8%	49	-2.4	202/272/292	90	276	7	5	27%	8%	61	-1.5	198/250/284	87	293	8	0	34%	6%	50	-0.8
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	185/251/253	68	279	3	8	33%	7%	45	-2.7	179/238/249	70	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	38→33	37→40	45→50	29	184/222/254	70	294	4	7	38%	3%	33	-3.6	200/239/281	81	297	5	9	33%	3%	46	-2.6	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Carlos Paulino 2011 · A	21	37	36→40	48→40	34	179/211/243	64	250	3	4	29%	3%	26	-4.1	217/261/304	87	267	5	4	20%	4%	59	-1.6	236/278/293	57	293	1	0	19%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Leonardo Gil 2009 · A	21	42→38	36→45	50→45	41	198/254/264	66	282	3	7	29%	6%	47	-2.5	209/253/300	91	300	7	7	31%	5%	55	-1.9	205/245/301	96	301	8	6	34%	4%	51	-1.4
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	184/249/253	69	256	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	189/255/279	90	281	7	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	188/258/276	89	278	8	2	33%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Ali Solis 2009 · A	21	38	38→45	47→30	40	181/245/259	78	285	5	4	36%	7%	43	-2.8	199/240/315	116	283	13	3	33%	4%	54	-2.0	229/253/349	121	307	12	1	29%	2%	63	-0.6
✕Jesus Chirinos 2021 · A	20	40→36	37→40	49→40	40	185/254/257	71	302	4	5	37%	8%	47	-2.6	198/277/294	96	340	10	3	40%	10%	64	-1.3	184/277/278	94	319	11	2	41%	11%	59	-0.9
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2024 · A	21	39→29	40→45	48→45	46	187/286/283	96	259	7	6	28%	8%	67	-1.1	184/278/286	102	279	10	4	35%	9%	63	-1.3	163/265/259	96	246	11	3	35%	10%	51	-1.2
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→33	39→50	49→40	38	206/267/292	86	316	5	7	34%	6%	59	-1.6	189/261/309	120	279	13	4	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Luis Pineda 2022 · A	20	38	37→40	44→40	39	185/238/252	68	267	5	7	32%	6%	39	-3.1	186/233/271	85	296	9	4	38%	5%	41	-3.0	171/221/254	83	281	10	1	41%	5%	31	-1.3
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8