Jhon Reyes

P Columbia Fireflies

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKKC	16	27	2.36	1.94	26.2%	3.7%	—	K 17.8% · BB 4.7% · FIP 2.95
2026	22	AKC	39	51	8.12	5.61	19.6%	14.5%	—	K 14.5% · BB 17.1% · FIP 6.56
2027PROJ	23	MLBKC	27	28	5.56	5.56	17.4%	14.3%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBKC	19	20	5.28	5.18	19.1%	12.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBKC	30	32	5.06	4.95	20.1%	11.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRandy Messenger (age 23) · Kasey Ford (age 23) · Cody Scroggins (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.56

FIP5.56

K%17.4%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%3.1%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	7	0	7	27	10	4	0	0%	1.0	37.0%	14.8%	22.2%	0.0%	4.05	1.85	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	7	0	7	27	10	4	0	0%	1.0	37.0%	14.8%	22.2%	0.0%	4.05	1.90	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	86	15	11	2	0%	1.8	11.9%	16.0%	-4.1%	2.5%	5.31	5.51	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	86	15	11	2	0%	1.8	11.9%	16.0%	-4.1%	2.5%	5.31	5.51	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	86	15	11	2	0%	1.8	17.4%	12.8%	4.7%	2.3%	5.31	4.53	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	16	0	27	107	28	4	1	0%	1.7	17.8%	4.7%	13.1%	1.4%	2.36	2.95	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	16	0	27	107	28	4	1	0%	1.7	17.8%	4.7%	13.1%	1.4%	2.36	2.95	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	16	0	27	107	28	4	1	0%	1.7	26.2%	3.7%	22.4%	0.9%	2.36	1.94	—
2026	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	51	255	50	37	9	0%	1.3	14.5%	17.1%	-2.6%	4.6%	8.12	6.56	—
2026	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	51	255	50	37	9	0%	1.3	14.5%	17.1%	-2.6%	4.6%	8.12	6.56	—
2026	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	51	255	50	37	9	0%	1.3	19.6%	14.5%	5.1%	3.5%	8.12	5.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	KC	27	0	28	118	21	17	4	0%	1.0	17.4%	14.3%	3.1%	3.2%	5.56	5.56	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	45	0	47	198	38	25	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	12.6%	6.5%	3.1%	5.28	5.18	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	45	0	48	201	40	23	6	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	5.06	4.95	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	19	0	20	84	16	11	3	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.6%	6.5%	3.1%	5.28	5.18	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	30	0	32	135	27	16	4	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	5.06	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	52	218	43	26	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	11.9%	7.7%	3.1%	5.15	4.66	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	101	27	0%	1.1	19.7%	11.9%	7.7%	3.1%	5.15	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		73	0	105	475	76	66	15	0%	1.4	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	3.2%	5.85	5.29	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	908	146	127	29	0%	1.4	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	3.2%	5.85	5.29	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhon Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.56	17.4%	14.3%	3.2%	—	5.06	19.6%	7.5%	95	-0.50	—	—	—
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	93
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	90
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	90
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	90
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	90
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	89
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	89
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	88
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	88
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	88
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	88
Michael Hobbs R 2022 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.9%	2.3%	.232	4.48	20.1%	3.9%	158	-0.06	4.14	184	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	88
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	87
Brooks Crawford R 2019 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	14.9%	13.7%	2.2%	.262	3.56	22.1%	14.5%	103	-1.22	2.50	296	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	19.1%	12.6%	1.21	5.26
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68