Angel Nieblas

SS FCL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKATL	119	.208/.310/.277	0	5	13	—	.143/.224/.190
2025	19	ROKATL	82	.164/.244/.178	0	9	-23	—	.117/.171/.130
2025	19	INTLNaranjeros de…	15	.273/.467/.455	0	0	169	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBATL	192	.202/.263/.277	1	5	53	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBATL	39	.207/.268/.292	0	1	59	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBATL	121	.211/.273/.305	2	3	63	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed72

K%41

Whiff%39

Z-Con%39

BB%24

ISO4

CompsPablo Aliendo (age 20) · Chris Roller (age 21) · Ismael Alcantara (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .261 / .274

PA54

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	150	133	34	5	2	1	13	28	4	8	2	256	340	346	686	90	317	19	9	315	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	119	101	21	7	0	0	12	28	3	5	2	208	310	277	588	69	280	24	10	271	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	82	73	12	1	0	0	8	19	0	9	0	164	244	178	422	14	222	23	10	205	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	15	11	3	2	0	0	4	2	0	0	1	273	467	455	921	182	333	13	27	418	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	137	23	3	1	1	9	36	4	8	2	168	240	226	466	58	222	24	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	105	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	143	224	190	415	48	210	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	82	77	9	1	0	0	5	28	0	9	0	117	171	130	301	13	171	34	6	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	137	23	3	1	1	9	36	4	8	2	168	240	226	466	58	220	24	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	150	133	34	5	2	1	13	28	4	8	2	256	340	346	686	90	317	19	9	315	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	105	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	143	224	190	415	48	221	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	119	101	21	7	0	0	12	28	3	5	2	208	310	277	588	69	280	24	10	271	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	91	10	1	0	0	6	33	0	9	1	110	165	121	286	11	172	34	6	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	97	84	15	3	0	0	12	21	0	9	1	179	278	214	493	36	238	22	12	238	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	136	23	3	1	1	9	36	4	8	2	169	240	228	468	59	222	24	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	107	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	140	224	187	411	47	210	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	91	10	1	0	0	6	33	0	9	1	110	165	121	286	11	171	34	6	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	107	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	140	224	187	411	47	210	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	91	10	1	0	0	6	33	0	9	1	110	165	121	286	11	171	34	6	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	192	175	35	7	1	1	13	56	2	5	1	202	263	277	540	75	285	29	7	247	53	-11	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	114	104	22	4	1	1	8	33	1	3	1	207	268	292	560	85	287	29	7	255	59	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	249	228	48	9	1	3	17	71	2	7	1	211	273	305	578	94	288	29	7	262	63	-11	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	348	318	68	13	2	5	24	98	3	10	2	214	277	316	593	101	289	28	7	268	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	408	372	81	15	2	7	29	113	4	12	2	217	280	324	604	107	289	28	7	273	71	-14	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	446	407	88	16	2	8	32	123	4	13	2	219	283	331	614	112	289	28	7	277	73	-14	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	465	425	92	17	3	8	33	129	4	13	3	218	282	329	610	111	289	28	7	275	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	472	431	93	17	3	8	34	131	4	13	3	216	280	324	604	108	288	28	7	273	71	-16	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	470	430	92	17	2	8	33	132	4	13	3	214	277	318	596	104	287	28	7	269	68	-18	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	207	268	292	560	85	287	28	8	255	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	121	111	24	4	1	2	8	34	1	3	1	211	273	305	578	94	288	28	7	262	63	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	183	166	36	7	1	3	13	51	2	5	1	214	277	316	593	101	289	28	7	268	68	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	223	203	44	8	1	4	16	62	2	6	1	217	280	324	604	107	289	28	7	273	71	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	248	226	49	9	1	5	18	68	2	7	1	219	283	331	614	112	289	27	7	277	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	256	234	51	9	1	5	18	71	2	7	1	218	282	329	610	111	289	28	7	275	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	258	236	50	9	1	4	18	72	2	7	1	216	280	324	604	108	288	28	7	273	71	-9	+1	-0	+3	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	251	229	49	9	1	4	18	71	2	7	1	214	277	318	596	104	287	28	7	269	68	-9	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1579	1441	309	56	7	27	112	440	13	43	7	214	277	319	596	105	287	28	7	271	63	-57	+6	-1	+17	+34	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	127	23	3	11	46	181	5	18	3	214	276	319	595	105	287	28	7	271	63	-23	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3392	3097	641	119	17	49	237	954	34	107	22	207	271	304	575	97	281	28	7	261	63	-111	+10	-2	+32	+66	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	122	23	3	9	45	183	7	21	4	206	270	300	570	94	280	28	7	261	63	-24	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.5	1,633	26	45	216	276	322	+17	+15	0.9	0.9
/162	664	11	18	+7.1	+6.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Nieblas (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/261/274	74	285	0	1	29%	7%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	40→44	35→45	55→65	41	190/234/243	53	254	2	18	26%	5%	34	-3.5	203/260/293	90	270	8	18	26%	6%	57	-1.8	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	46→36	39→45	52→50	40	220/273/303	84	295	6	11	27%	5%	63	-1.3	194/250/257	63	268	2	10	27%	6%	45	-2.7	169/228/214	45	235	0	12	26%	6%	26	-3.1
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jose Vinicio 2014 · A	21	40→32	36→40	51→55	33	194/224/259	65	280	3	19	32%	3%	34	-3.5	223/252/290	67	302	3	13	26%	3%	51	-2.2	254/278/317	63	323	1	12	21%	3%	64	-0.4
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Wander Ramos 2011 · A	21	40	35→45	49→45	41	187/259/250	63	288	3	12	33%	7%	47	-2.5	209/268/347	138	312	15	8	36%	7%	73	-0.6	198/259/358	160	288	18	7	37%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0

Angel Nieblas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps