Alexander Garcia

Alexander GarciaSS DSL Mariners

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .267 / .273

PA67

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	112	103	21	2	0	0	7	36	2	3	0	204	268	223	491	19	313	32	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	112	98	26	3	0	0	12	26	2	3	0	265	357	296	653	31	361	23	11	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	129	110	17	5	0	1	11	51	6	3	4	155	268	227	495	73	267	40	9	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	129	105	23	7	0	1	16	36	6	3	4	219	354	314	669	95	314	28	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	SEA	—	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	288	31	7	250	50	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	SEA	34%	120	108	23	4	1	2	9	36	2	2	0	213	286	324	610	111	290	30	8	263	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	SEA	48%	265	239	50	9	1	4	20	77	4	3	1	209	281	305	587	96	291	29	8	272	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2029	23	MLB	SEA	54%	369	333	73	13	2	7	28	106	5	5	1	219	290	333	623	114	292	29	8	278	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2030	24	MLB	SEA	55%	440	397	87	15	2	9	34	125	6	6	2	219	291	335	626	116	293	28	8	282	74	-13	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2031	25	MLB	SEA	56%	482	435	96	17	3	10	37	137	7	6	2	221	292	343	635	122	294	28	8	284	76	-13	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2032	26	MLB	SEA	56%	507	456	102	18	3	11	39	144	7	7	2	224	295	349	644	125	294	28	8	286	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.7
2027	21	MLB	SEA	34%	41	37	8	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	216	293	324	617	108	288	29	7	250	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	SEA	48%	128	115	24	4	1	2	10	37	2	2	0	209	283	313	597	104	289	29	8	259	57	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	SEA	54%	200	180	39	7	1	4	15	57	3	3	1	217	288	333	621	117	290	28	8	265	61	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	SEA	55%	244	220	47	8	1	5	19	69	3	3	1	214	285	327	612	114	291	28	8	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	SEA	56%	270	243	52	9	1	5	21	77	4	4	1	214	287	321	608	107	291	29	8	271	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2032	26	MLB	SEA	56%	285	257	56	10	1	6	22	81	4	4	1	218	290	335	624	117	291	28	8	272	67	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1168	1052	226	39	5	23	90	333	17	17	4	215	287	327	614	112	290	29	8	268	63	-48	+2	+0	+13	+33	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	126	22	3	13	50	185	9	9	2	215	287	330	617	115	290	28	8	268	63	-27	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	2491	2242	481	85	12	45	190	733	40	36	12	215	288	323	611	109	295	29	8	274	68	-90	+2	+0	+27	+71	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	125	22	3	12	50	191	10	9	3	214	287	323	610	109	294	29	8	274	68	-23	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	112	98	26	3	0	0	12	26	2	3	0	265	357	296	653	31	361	23	11	308	94	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	129	105	23	7	0	1	16	36	6	3	4	219	354	314	669	95	314	28	12	312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,236	23	16	218	286	330	+13	+12	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	12	9	218	286	330	+7.1	+6.4	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	198/267/273	75	288	1	1	31%	7%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.2	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	31	-3.0	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	46	-2.0	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Daurys Mercedes 2010 · A	20	45	37→45	49→45	42	208/268/290	82	302	3	7	30%	7%	53	-1.5	186/256/250	64	315	2	7	38%	8%	39	-2.5	145/223/189	44	275	2	6	44%	8%	7	-1.4
✕Gavin Cecchini 2014 · A	20	42→52	37→45	46→45	41	199/250/271	71	282	4	7	29%	6%	40	-2.4	233/284/333	100	284	7	5	19%	6%	71	-0.3	245/297/343	98	290	7	5	17%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	37→47	38→55	47→50	37	184/237/264	80	266	6	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	182/229/258	76	281	5	7	35%	5%	28	-3.2	236/281/354	118	320	11	16	29%	5%	73	-0.1
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	41→46	42→50	45	38	202/252/305	103	275	9	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	201/256/343	142	286	15	8	34%	6%	63	-0.9	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2