Alexander Garcia

Alexander GarciaSS DSL Mariners

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .266 / .273

PA5

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	112	98	26	3	0	0	12	26	2	3	0	265	357	296	653	31	361	23	11	308	95	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	129	105	23	7	0	1	16	36	6	3	4	219	354	314	669	95	314	28	12	312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	112	103	20	2	0	0	7	37	2	3	0	194	259	214	473	19	304	33	6	220	35	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	129	110	17	5	0	1	11	52	6	3	4	155	268	227	495	73	253	40	9	218	34	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	112	103	20	2	0	0	7	37	2	3	0	194	259	214	473	19	303	33	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	112	98	26	3	0	0	12	26	2	3	0	265	357	296	653	31	361	23	11	308	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	129	110	17	5	0	1	11	52	6	3	4	155	268	227	495	73	271	40	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	129	105	23	7	0	1	16	36	6	3	4	219	354	314	669	95	314	28	12	312	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	112	102	20	2	0	0	7	37	2	3	0	196	259	216	475	20	304	33	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	129	111	17	5	0	1	11	52	6	3	4	153	268	225	493	72	253	40	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	112	102	20	2	0	0	7	37	2	3	0	196	259	216	475	20	304	33	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	129	111	17	5	0	1	11	52	6	3	4	153	268	225	493	72	253	40	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		288	40	0	250	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	120	108	23	4	1	2	9	36	2	2	0	213	286	324	610	111	290	30	8	263	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	265	239	50	9	1	4	20	77	4	3	1	209	281	305	587	96	291	29	8	272	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	369	333	73	13	2	7	28	105	5	5	1	219	290	333	623	114	292	28	8	278	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	440	398	87	15	2	9	33	125	6	6	2	219	288	334	623	116	293	28	8	282	77	-12	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	482	435	96	17	3	10	37	136	7	6	2	221	292	343	635	122	293	28	8	284	78	-12	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	507	456	102	18	3	11	39	144	7	7	2	224	295	349	644	125	293	28	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	518	466	103	18	3	11	40	147	7	7	2	221	292	343	636	122	293	28	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	521	468	103	18	3	11	41	149	7	6	2	220	293	342	635	122	293	29	8	284	79	-13	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	516	463	101	18	2	11	41	148	7	6	2	218	292	337	629	119	292	29	8	283	78	-14	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	508	456	98	17	2	10	40	147	7	5	2	215	288	327	615	112	291	29	8	280	76	-15	+0	-2	+5	+11	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	41	37	8	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	216	293	324	617	108	287	29	7	250	64	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	128	115	24	4	1	2	10	37	2	2	0	209	283	313	597	104	288	29	8	259	70	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	200	180	39	7	1	4	15	57	3	3	1	217	288	333	621	117	289	28	8	265	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	244	220	47	8	1	5	19	69	3	3	1	214	285	327	612	114	290	28	8	269	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	270	243	52	9	1	5	21	76	4	4	1	214	287	321	608	107	291	28	8	271	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	285	257	56	10	1	6	22	81	4	4	1	218	290	335	624	117	291	28	8	272	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	287	259	56	10	1	6	22	81	4	4	1	216	288	332	620	116	290	28	8	272	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	286	258	56	10	1	6	22	82	4	4	1	217	289	333	622	116	290	29	8	271	79	-7	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	276	248	53	9	1	6	22	79	4	3	1	214	288	331	619	117	290	29	8	270	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	267	240	51	9	1	5	21	77	4	3	1	212	287	321	608	108	289	29	8	267	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2284	2057	442	77	9	46	177	651	33	31	8	215	288	328	616	113	289	29	8	269	74	-63	+3	-2	+24	+49	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	126	22	3	13	50	185	9	9	2	215	287	330	617	115	290	28	8	269	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4492	4040	874	154	22	87	346	1305	67	59	20	216	289	330	619	114	294	29	8	278	74	-118	+4	-4	+46	+92	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	126	22	3	13	50	189	10	9	3	215	289	330	619	115	292	29	8	278	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,351	46	29	218	287	334	+25	+18	2.6	2.6
/162	664	13	8	+7.1	+5.1	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	198/266/273	75	288	1	1	31%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	59	-1.7	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	75	-0.5	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	75	-0.1
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	43	191/262/259	68	272	4	4	30%	7%	50	-2.3	182/239/268	86	269	8	4	34%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	39	-3.1	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Daurys Mercedes 2010 · A	20	45	37→45	49→45	42	208/268/290	82	302	3	7	30%	7%	59	-1.7	186/256/250	64	315	2	7	38%	8%	46	-2.6	145/223/189	44	275	2	6	44%	8%	18	-1.4
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→50	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	52	-2.2	204/247/318	114	284	10	6	31%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	37→47	38→55	47→50	37	184/237/264	80	266	6	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	182/229/258	76	281	5	7	35%	5%	36	-3.3	243/288/366	124	328	11	16	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Mike Ohlman 2011 · A	20	39→49	37→45	50→40	38	183/244/258	75	302	5	5	39%	7%	42	-2.9	214/279/307	93	307	6	3	30%	8%	67	-1.1	234/296/341	107	316	7	2	26%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	56	-1.9	208/243/347	139	278	17	3	31%	4%	63	-1.4	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Gavin Cecchini 2014 · A	20	42→52	37→45	46→45	41	199/250/271	71	282	4	7	29%	6%	47	-2.5	235/287/334	99	284	7	5	19%	7%	76	-0.4	249/301/348	99	293	7	5	17%	7%	81	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps