Roiber Niazoa — OGILVIE

Roiber Niazoa3B Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs A BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.7 · 2031

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .263 / .296

PA134

HR3

K%35

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

28↗33

SPD

43↗48

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.7M	+0.2	$1M	+$0.4M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$12M		$13M	+$0.9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	103	91	10	4	0	0	7	51	2	4	0	.110	.190	.154	.344	.044	.238	50	7	.157	-22	-14	+1	+0	+0	+3	-1.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	91	77	11	2	0	0	9	31	5	1	0	.143	.275	.169	.444	.026	.239	34	10	.214	22	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
2025	20	A	2 teams	140	127	14	2	0	1	9	77	4	1	0	.110	.193	.150	.342	.039	.265	55	6	.168	-13	-18	+0	+0	+0	+4	-1.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	ATL	134	120	23	4	1	3	11	47	2	2	1	.192	.271	.317	.587	.125	.283	35	8	.257	55	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	ATL	225	201	40	7	1	5	19	75	3	4	1	.199	.278	.318	.596	.119	.285	33	8	.272	66	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2028	23	MLB 28%	ATL	332	296	61	11	2	8	29	106	4	6	1	.206	.286	.338	.624	.132	.286	32	9	.281	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2029	24	MLB 45%	ATL	407	362	76	14	2	11	37	127	5	7	2	.210	.292	.351	.643	.141	.287	31	9	.288	78	-10	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.4
2030	25	MLB 60%	ATL	448	398	83	15	2	12	42	138	5	8	2	.209	.292	.347	.639	.138	.288	31	9	.292	81	-9	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2031	26	MLB 77%	ATL	473	419	88	16	2	13	45	146	6	8	2	.210	.296	.351	.647	.141	.288	31	10	.293	83	-9	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.7
2032	27	MLB 92%	ATL	483	428	89	16	2	13	46	149	6	9	2	.208	.294	.346	.640	.138	.288	31	10	.293	83	-9	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2033	28	MLB	ATL	485	429	89	16	2	13	47	151	6	8	1	.207	.295	.345	.640	.138	.288	31	10	.292	82	-10	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB	ATL	480	424	88	16	2	13	47	151	6	8	1	.208	.296	.347	.642	.139	.287	31	10	.290	80	-11	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4
2035	30	MLB	ATL	472	417	86	16	2	12	46	150	6	7	1	.206	.294	.341	.635	.134	.285	32	10	.287	78	-12	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.2
2036	31	MLB	ATL	460	407	82	15	2	11	45	148	5	6	0	.201	.289	.329	.618	.128	.284	32	10	.283	75	-13	+1	-3	+2	+13	0.0
2037	32	MLB	ATL	442	391	79	14	2	11	43	144	5	6	0	.202	.289	.332	.622	.130	.282	33	10	.279	71	-14	+1	-4	+2	+13	-0.3
2038	33	MLB	ATL	413	365	72	13	2	9	40	138	5	5	0	.197	.285	.318	.603	.121	.280	33	10	.273	67	-15	+1	-4	+1	+12	-0.5
2039	34	MLB	ATL	368	326	63	11	2	8	35	126	4	5	0	.193	.279	.313	.592	.120	.278	34	10	.267	62	-16	+1	-5	+1	+10	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5956	5278	1054	192	26	143	557	1955	79	95	14	.200	.286	.327	.613	.128	.284	33	9	.278	71	-194	+13	-20	+21	+169	-1.1
/ 162G	—			650	576	116	21	3	16	61	213	9	10	2	.201	.288	.332	.620	.130	.286	33	9	.278	71	-21	+1	-2	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	103	86	15	6	0	0	12	33	2	4	.174	.290	.244	.534	.070	.273	32	12	.249	49	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	91	73	17	3	1	0	13	23	5	1	.233	.385	.301	.686	.068	.340	25	14	.329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	123	113	17	4	0	0	9	49	1	0	.150	.220	.186	.405	.035	.266	40	7	.194	7	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	17	9	4	0	0	1	5	4	3	1	.444	.706	.778	1.484	.333	.750	24	29	.617	330	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roiber Niazoa (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	28→33	43→48	50	.188/.263/.296	.108	.283	3	2	35%	8%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	41→50	41	.168/.252/.259	.091	.262	9	8	37%	8%	41	-2.3	.197/.275/.307	.110	.307	11	5	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.204/.303/.338	.134	.292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	40→31	41→45	46→30	38	.191/.255/.294	.102	.304	8	4	38%	7%	50	-1.7	.187/.253/.289	.102	.316	10	2	41%	6%	48	-1.9	.246/.293/.382	.135	.322	19	1	29%	4%	83	+0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→35	41→45	47→50	40	.199/.265/.295	.096	.286	9	10	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.204/.294/.305	.101	.301	9	8	32%	10%	70	-0.3	.186/.292/.283	.097	.277	9	10	33%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	40	44→55	39	.185/.250/.273	.088	.268	9	9	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.200/.257/.289	.089	.277	6	11	28%	6%	49	-1.8	.197/.256/.288	.091	.265	4	15	26%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	43	41→45	50	43	.204/.273/.304	.100	.299	8	11	32%	8%	59	-1.1	.191/.262/.285	.094	.292	6	14	34%	8%	50	-1.7	.147/.226/.244	.097	.221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→50	51→45	35	.183/.259/.287	.104	.311	11	11	42%	6%	51	-1.7	.198/.263/.310	.112	.287	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	.185/.242/.280	.095	.261	13	5	33%	5%	38	-1.0
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	35	42→45	47→40	40	.173/.252/.271	.099	.283	11	3	40%	8%	43	-2.2	.195/.277/.315	.120	.320	12	5	39%	9%	66	-0.6	.181/.278/.317	.136	.292	13	3	39%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→45	53→55	35	.184/.244/.282	.097	.281	10	12	37%	5%	43	-2.2	.196/.251/.317	.121	.287	14	16	35%	5%	54	-1.4	.198/.249/.325	.127	.276	15	22	33%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	49→50	45	.187/.256/.291	.104	.256	8	12	29%	8%	50	-1.8	.177/.255/.265	.088	.259	6	9	31%	9%	43	-2.2	.164/.251/.245	.081	.237	5	8	30%	9%	33	-1.7
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	42	39→40	45→55	37	.199/.254/.291	.092	.307	6	8	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.213/.277/.298	.085	.301	6	15	29%	7%	60	-1.0	.216/.288/.295	.079	.292	7	22	26%	7%	60	-0.3
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	38→37	41→45	48→55	42	.185/.267/.281	.095	.273	8	10	33%	8%	53	-1.5	.184/.259/.295	.111	.244	11	18	28%	7%	53	-1.5	.162/.248/.288	.126	.217	14	23	31%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→27	42→45	51→50	36	.201/.283/.313	.112	.310	9	12	35%	5%	68	-0.5	.173/.247/.300	.127	.331	15	12	50%	5%	50	-1.8	.134/.213/.254	.119	.278	17	13	54%	6%	21	-1.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	40	.203/.258/.301	.098	.286	8	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.266/.289	.089	.294	8	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	.183/.256/.260	.077	.269	7	8	32%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	40	38→40	47→55	47	.192/.263/.275	.082	.250	5	9	24%	8%	48	-1.9	.212/.292/.300	.088	.255	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	.209/.299/.290	.080	.241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	37→36	45→50	54→50	38	.192/.253/.319	.127	.271	12	13	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.204/.262/.355	.151	.295	18	14	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	42→41	37→50	46→45	43	.198/.265/.271	.073	.289	5	6	32%	8%	48	-1.9	.198/.273/.306	.108	.273	10	3	29%	9%	61	-1.0	.227/.282/.376	.149	.290	19	6	28%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	39→45	53→50	46	.186/.268/.273	.087	.271	6	14	31%	9%	50	-1.7	.188/.261/.284	.096	.328	7	13	41%	8%	50	-1.7	.138/.200/.215	.077	.281	6	16	50%	7%	4	-1.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→42	41→50	46→50	45	.182/.264/.278	.096	.277	8	8	35%	9%	50	-1.7	.199/.261/.332	.133	.287	14	10	34%	6%	63	-0.9	.207/.263/.362	.155	.281	19	10	33%	6%	68	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)