Carlos ConcepcionOF ACL Giants
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 189 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION151 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .251 / .284
PA100
HR2
K%38
BB%6
BABIP285
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -23.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.82627
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Giants Black 133122 25302 8402 33 205265279544 74284 306 252 51
202317 ROKDSL Giants Black 133117 34504 13292 33 291371436807 145353 2210 360 134
202418 ROKDSL Giants Black 199172 26502 15929 74 151255215470 64296 468 212 20
202418 ROKDSL Giants Black 199164 40913 23619 74 244367366733 122359 3112 334 114
202519 ROKDSL Giants Orange 196170 32634 14816 10 188274329603 141308 417 271 66
202519 ROKDSL Giants Orange 196163 46946 21536 10 282384497881 215364 2711 378 147
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKSF 151139 19302 7824 11 137200201401 65309 545 189 3 -17 -0 +0 -1 +4 -1.4
YTD20 ROKSF 151135 32604 11574 11 237313370684 133378 387 308 94 -1 -0 +0 -1 +4 0.2
ROS20 ROKSF 0% 10091 17302 6382 11 185251284534 98285 386 242 44 -6 -0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
ROS20 MLBSF 0% 01 0000 000 00 280 225 30 +0 -0
FULL20 ROKSF 151140 19302 7824 11 136200200400 64304 545 189 3 -17 -0 +0 -1 +4 -1.4
TOT20 ROKSF 251230 36604 131206 22 156220234454 78297 485 210 19 -23 -0 +0 -2 +7 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBSF 34% 276253 49916 17984 31 194255308564 115290 366 258 55 -14 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.8
202721 MLBSF 34% 9587 16302 6342 10 184253287540 103285 366 241 43 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 9588 16302 6342 10 182253284537 102269 366 241 43 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
/ 162G 650602 11021014 4123314 70 183254287541 105270 366 241 43 -42 +1 +0 -4 +18 -2.7
Career 904808 14926416 6034923 159 184260286546 101292 397 248 48 -53 -1 +0 -5 +26 -3.4
/ 162G 650581 10719311 4325117 116 184261284545 100293 397 248 48 -38 -0 +0 -4 +18 -2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Giants Black 133117 34504 13292 33 291371436807 145353 2210 360 134 +5 -1 +4 0.8
202418 ROKDSL Giants Black 199164 40913 23619 74 244367366733 122359 3112 334 114 +3 -0 +6 0.9
202519 ROKDSL Giants Orange 196163 46946 21536 10 282384497881 215364 2711 378 147 +10 +0 +6 1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
128354201262314-2+0-0.8-0.4
/162664139-4.0+0.0-1.8pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Concepcion (OGILVIE) 20 40 45 40 40 156/220/234 78297 42 48% 5% 19 -1.8
Roberto Feliz
2008 · A
20 43 41→45 41→45 40 211/263/308 98277 95 27% 5% 56 -1.3 205/261/318 113289 127 32% 6% 59 -1.1 155/212/28813320618835%5%28-0.9
Jose Cordoba
2023 · A
20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Sundrendy Windster
2009 · A
20 38 44→45 40→30 40 192/255/302 110274 124 34% 7% 52 -1.6 189/250/306 117298 115 38% 7% 51 -1.7 164/228/29312926611541%7%35-0.7
Pedro Urena
2015 · A
20 41 43→50 43→30 40 201/258/308 106293 103 34% 6% 54 -1.4 199/257/301 102287 84 32% 7% 52 -1.6 167/236/2731052308030%8%36-0.7
Garrett Whitley
2017 · A
20 40→36 42→50 47→55 44 197/267/302 105280 99 31% 8% 56 -1.3 191/270/310 119334 1213 42% 9% 61 -1.0 169/260/316147293151844%10%55-0.9
Renzo Tello
2007 · A
20 39 42→45 40 38 196/242/301 106260 95 28% 4% 46 -2.0 209/250/324 115278 116 28% 4% 54 -1.4 201/231/31211227210430%2%42-0.6
Roberto Campos
2023 · A
20 44→46 42→45 48→45 40 210/262/318 108306 86 33% 6% 59 -1.1 214/263/326 112309 97 32% 6% 61 -1.0 210/260/3211112999631%6%56-0.9
Daryl Jones
2007 · A
20 41→38 43→45 40 40 202/262/307 105279 113 30% 6% 56 -1.3 214/267/313 99308 95 32% 6% 59 -1.1 215/264/299843166232%5%50-0.8
Jose Meza
2023 · A
20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
Patrick Romeri
2022 · A
21 40 44→50 43→50 40 197/265/313 116305 126 37% 8% 59 -1.1 205/260/325 120336 128 40% 6% 59 -1.1 197/251/334137308151039%6%56-0.4
Yassel Pino
2022 · A
20 43 43→50 46→40 47 208/285/316 109296 109 32% 9% 69 -0.4 192/263/306 114263 126 30% 8% 56 -1.3 177/246/28610923412429%8%43-0.9
Gabriel Quintana
2013 · A
20 40→45 42→55 43→45 35 198/248/304 106282 105 33% 4% 50 -1.8 221/253/357 136313 164 34% 3% 65 -0.7 210/239/38517528423335%3%64-0.7
Yusniel Díaz
2017 · A
20 43→50 43→45 44→50 41 216/262/326 110287 119 29% 6% 60 -1.0 225/279/341 116300 118 27% 7% 72 -0.2 223/281/34512329312727%7%71-0.2
Yordyn Calderon
2014 · A
20 41 45 47→50 44 205/278/332 128282 1211 30% 8% 70 -0.3 190/262/281 91293 711 35% 7% 50 -1.8 122/202/1725021221340%6%-4-2.0
Jose Carlos Urena
2014 · A
19 39 46→45 42→30 39 197/260/328 131285 134 34% 7% 61 -1.0 188/243/297 109304 114 39% 6% 46 -2.0 174/238/2739927815041%7%37-0.9
Jhonkensy Noel
2021 · A
20 41→40 44→55 47→45 41 205/267/321 116274 127 29% 6% 62 -0.9 215/265/384 169280 225 31% 5% 78 +0.2 194/257/37818324425132%6%70-0.3
Bryan Ramos
2022 · A
20 39→43 45→50 49→50 40 199/265/323 124270 138 30% 6% 63 -0.9 211/270/351 140268 185 28% 6% 72 -0.2 205/264/34213725519527%6%63-0.6
J.V. Martinez
2019 · A
20 40→34 42→45 43→30 39 199/258/300 101281 93 32% 6% 53 -1.5 192/251/294 102276 92 32% 6% 48 -1.9 177/238/2801022539132%6%36-1.5
Ethan Workinger
2023 · A
21 38→44 42→50 45 39 189/240/301 111260 95 30% 5% 45 -2.1 211/260/341 130280 146 29% 6% 64 -0.8 204/258/34313924718925%6%60-0.7
Ismael Alcantara
2013 · A
19 39 41→40 41→45 41 195/267/292 97275 107 31% 7% 55 -1.4 201/269/280 79261 56 24% 7% 53 -1.5 190/261/256662384620%7%40-0.8