Carlos Concepcion

OF ACL Giants
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 189 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Giants Bl…199.244/.367/.3663730—.147/.260/.206
202519ROKDSL Giants Or…196.282/.384/.4976151—.178/.268/.302
202620ROKSF169.238/.315/.3644111—.141/.202/.205
2027PROJMLE21MLBSF279.189/.252/.2844451-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBSF46.192/.256/.2921157-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO55
Z-Con%30
wRC+19
Whiff%18
wOBA16
Chase%11
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsEthan Workinger (age 21) · Darwin Rivera (age 21) · Omar Estévez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .250 / .281
PA87
HR1
K%33
BB%6
ISO94
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Giants Black — 133117 34504 13292 33 291371436807 145353 2210 360 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Giants Black — 199164 40913 23619 74 244367366733 122359 3112 334 30 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Giants Orange — 196163 46946 21536 10 282384497881 215364 2711 378 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Giants — 169151 36704 13654 11 238315364680 126390 388 307 11 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 133121 23302 9352 33 190258264522 74236 267 227 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 199170 25511 17769 74 147260206466 59232 389 212 30 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 196169 30633 15666 10 178268302570 124231 348 243 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Giants — 169156 22402 8944 11 141202205408 64318 565 184 11 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 133121 23302 9352 33 190258264522 74247 267 227 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Giants Black — 133117 34504 13292 33 291371436807 145353 2210 360 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 199170 25511 17769 74 147260206466 59250 389 212 30 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Giants Black — 199164 40913 23619 74 244367366733 122359 3112 334 30 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 196169 30633 15666 10 178268302570 124255 348 243 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Giants Orange — 196163 46946 21536 10 282384497881 215364 2711 378 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Giants — 169156 22402 8944 11 141202205408 64333 565 184 11 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Giants — 169151 36704 13654 11 238315364680 126390 388 307 11 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 133121 23302 9352 33 190258264522 74236 267 227 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 199171 25511 17769 74 146260205465 58232 389 212 30 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 196173 30633 15666 10 173268295563 121231 348 243 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Giants — 169155 22402 8944 11 142202206409 65318 565 184 11 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 199171 25511 17769 74 146260205465 58232 389 212 30 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 196173 30633 15666 10 173268295563 121231 348 243 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Giants — 169155 22402 8944 11 142202206409 65318 565 184 11 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLESF 0% 279255 49924 18934 41 189252284536 94276 336 244 51 -16 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLESF 34% 135123 24412 9442 21 195259299558 104278 337 253 57 -7 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXSF 34% 4642 8101 3151 10 192256292547 100274 337 249 57 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4642 8101 3151 10 190261286547 95269 337 249 38 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 11314014 4221214 140 191260285545 94270 336 249 38 -33 +3 +0 -4 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 919820 14025611 6334424 159 171250256506 85271 377 225 38 -12 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 991848 4524317 116 171251257508 86270 377 225 38 -35 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Giants · 169 PAwOBA .299 → .184 (−115)K% 38.5% → 55.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.46%÷1.000×1.440——55.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9954.75%
HBP% /PA2.37%—×0.720—×0.9951.70%
Singles /BIP29.07%÷1.000×0.820×1.038×0.99524.61%
Doubles /BIP8.14%÷1.000×0.720×1.038×0.9956.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.038×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP4.65%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9953.61%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .299 → .184; ISO .126 → .072; BABIP .390 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 196 PAwOBA .379 → .243 (−136)K% 27.0% → 33.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.04%÷0.972×1.220——33.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.71%÷0.974×0.700—×0.9957.66%
HBP% /PA3.06%—×0.700—×0.9952.13%
Singles /BIP24.55%÷0.995×0.680×0.978×0.99516.31%
Doubles /BIP8.18%÷0.933×0.600×0.978×0.9955.12%
Triples /BIP3.64%÷0.900×0.600×0.978×0.9952.36%
Home runs /BIP5.45%÷0.963×0.470—×0.9952.65%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .379 → .243; ISO .215 → .120; BABIP .364 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Giants Black · 199 PAwOBA .331 → .212 (−120)K% 30.7% → 38.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.65%÷0.977×1.220——38.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.56%÷0.971×0.700—×1.0088.39%
HBP% /PA4.52%—×0.700—×1.0083.19%
Singles /BIP26.21%÷0.982×0.680×0.990×1.00818.11%
Doubles /BIP8.74%÷1.057×0.600×0.990×1.0084.95%
Triples /BIP0.97%÷1.127×0.600×0.990×1.0080.52%
Home runs /BIP2.91%÷1.092×0.470—×1.0081.26%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 125, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .331 → .212; ISO .122 → .059; BABIP .359 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Giants Black · 133 PAwOBA .353 → .227 (−126)K% 21.8% → 26.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.80%÷1.020×1.220——26.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.77%÷1.002×0.700—×1.0226.98%
HBP% /PA1.50%—×0.700—×1.0221.08%
Singles /BIP28.41%÷0.970×0.680×0.986×1.02220.08%
Doubles /BIP5.68%÷1.028×0.600×0.986×1.0223.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.986×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷1.118×0.470—×1.0221.95%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 94, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .353 → .227; ISO .145 → .069; BABIP .353 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).