Pablo GuerreroOF
Hickory Crawdads
Age 20
R/R
5'11" / 200 lbs
A
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.2 · 2032
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .246 / .279
PA320
HR6
K%36
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
30→30
SPD
40→40
EYE
42↗45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $6M | $0.8M | -$6M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 155 | 134 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .142 | .248 | .216 | .465 | .075 | .207 | 34 | 9 | .214 | 22 | -14 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | 2 teams | 317 | 292 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .185 | .235 | .281 | .516 | .096 | .295 | 40 | 5 | .229 | 33 | -24 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 396 | 364 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 144 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .218 | .225 | .444 | .071 | .235 | 36 | 7 | .204 | 14 | -38 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -3.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | TEX | 320 | 292 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 117 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .188 | .252 | .295 | .547 | .106 | .278 | 37 | 7 | .241 | 43 | -21 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | TEX | 460 | 416 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 157 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .195 | .267 | .310 | .577 | .115 | .281 | 34 | 8 | .262 | 58 | -22 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | TEX | 525 | 471 | 95 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 171 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .202 | .277 | .327 | .604 | .125 | .283 | 33 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | TEX | 568 | 508 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 180 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .207 | .284 | .343 | .627 | .136 | .284 | 32 | 9 | .283 | 74 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | TEX | 596 | 531 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 185 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .209 | .289 | .347 | .636 | .137 | .284 | 31 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -15 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | TEX | 612 | 544 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 56 | 189 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .211 | .293 | .353 | .646 | .142 | .285 | 31 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | TEX | 619 | 550 | 117 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 191 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .213 | .295 | .358 | .653 | .145 | .286 | 31 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 618 | 548 | 116 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 58 | 192 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .212 | .295 | .358 | .653 | .146 | .286 | 31 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 614 | 544 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 192 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .210 | .294 | .351 | .645 | .142 | .285 | 31 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -13 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 604 | 534 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 190 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .210 | .295 | .352 | .648 | .142 | .284 | 31 | 10 | .289 | 80 | -14 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 593 | 525 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 189 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .204 | .289 | .337 | .626 | .133 | .283 | 32 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -15 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +17 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 579 | 513 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 187 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .203 | .287 | .333 | .621 | .131 | .281 | 32 | 9 | .283 | 74 | -17 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +16 | -0.6 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 560 | 496 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 53 | 184 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .200 | .285 | .327 | .611 | .127 | .279 | 33 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -18 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +16 | -0.9 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 530 | 470 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 177 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .196 | .280 | .319 | .599 | .123 | .278 | 33 | 9 | .272 | 67 | -20 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -1.2 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 483 | 430 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 166 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .191 | .275 | .307 | .582 | .116 | .276 | 34 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -21 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9149 | 8162 | 1634 | 312 | 23 | 228 | 806 | 2990 | 102 | 90 | 28 | .200 | .280 | .328 | .608 | .128 | .281 | 33 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -324 | +7 | -20 | -55 | +259 | -13.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 116 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 212 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .200 | .280 | .328 | .607 | .128 | .281 | 33 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -23 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 155 | 125 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .224 | .366 | .360 | .726 | .136 | .270 | 22 | 15 | .333 | 113 | +2 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 107 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .227 | .279 | .289 | .568 | .062 | .284 | 23 | 6 | .254 | 52 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 210 | 186 | 56 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 63 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .301 | .372 | .522 | .893 | .220 | .412 | 30 | 9 | .386 | 154 | +13 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 396 | 346 | 72 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .305 | .318 | .622 | .110 | .269 | 25 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Pablo Guerrero (OGILVIE) | 20 | 30 | 30 | 40 | 45 | .182/.246/.279 | .097 | .278 | 6 | 2 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A |
20 | 42→36 | 37→45 | 42→50 | 37 | .196/.267/.265 | .069 | .300 | 4 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.290/.303 | .096 | .304 | 8 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Erick Gabo 2015 · A |
20 | 36 | 37→45 | 43→55 | 30 | .172/.212/.243 | .071 | .303 | 4 | 7 | 43% | 4% | 17 | -4.0 | .216/.273/.303 | .087 | .324 | 4 | 14 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .240/.303/.343 | .103 | .353 | 3 | 22 | 30% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A |
20 | 35 | 42→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .173/.252/.271 | .099 | .283 | 11 | 3 | 40% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .195/.277/.315 | .120 | .320 | 12 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .181/.278/.317 | .136 | .292 | 13 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A |
19 | 37 | 36→40 | 41→50 | 37 | .178/.237/.244 | .066 | .266 | 4 | 6 | 33% | 5% | 29 | -3.2 | .218/.275/.298 | .080 | .292 | 5 | 9 | 26% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .244/.300/.327 | .083 | .318 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 4% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Roberto Perez 2009 · A |
20 | 33 | 38→45 | 44→30 | 39 | .169/.231/.243 | .074 | .249 | 7 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 27 | -3.3 | .197/.264/.302 | .105 | .260 | 11 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.266/.312 | .123 | .228 | 15 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2014 · A |
19 | 35 | 36→40 | 46→60 | 33 | .167/.216/.230 | .063 | .287 | 4 | 6 | 41% | 5% | 16 | -4.1 | .210/.267/.281 | .071 | .330 | 2 | 16 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .230/.289/.300 | .070 | .357 | 1 | 22 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -0.3 |
|
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A |
20 | 35→45 | 39→45 | 45 | 37 | .173/.232/.256 | .082 | .272 | 8 | 6 | 38% | 6% | 30 | -3.1 | .196/.250/.291 | .095 | .293 | 9 | 6 | 34% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .234/.279/.349 | .116 | .296 | 11 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A |
20 | 37 | 38→45 | 43→40 | 36 | .183/.241/.256 | .074 | .275 | 6 | 4 | 34% | 5% | 33 | -2.9 | .206/.259/.300 | .094 | .289 | 7 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .214/.269/.322 | .109 | .294 | 9 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 59 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A |
20 | 40 | 40 | 42→30 | 35 | .197/.237/.285 | .088 | .288 | 8 | 3 | 34% | 4% | 39 | -2.5 | .202/.248/.287 | .085 | .285 | 7 | 3 | 30% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .192/.240/.269 | .077 | .263 | 7 | 0 | 28% | 5% | 34 | -0.9 |
|
✕Adinso Reyes 2022 · A |
20 | 38 | 44→45 | 41→40 | 30 | .185/.236/.295 | .109 | .309 | 12 | 4 | 42% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | .185/.238/.291 | .106 | .355 | 12 | 4 | 48% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .174/.224/.276 | .102 | .322 | 13 | 2 | 48% | 6% | 29 | -1.0 |
|
✕Steven Mateo 2013 · A |
20 | 41 | 36→40 | 43→50 | 43 | .190/.266/.255 | .065 | .295 | 4 | 6 | 34% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .207/.287/.282 | .075 | .310 | 3 | 8 | 31% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .206/.280/.274 | .069 | .304 | 2 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A |
20 | 38 | 38→40 | 40→45 | 37 | .185/.247/.268 | .083 | .275 | 6 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .170/.250/.244 | .074 | .259 | 5 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 36 | -2.7 | .138/.240/.198 | .060 | .210 | 5 | 4 | 33% | 9% | 18 | -1.5 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2014 · A |
20 | 39→38 | 42→50 | 42→30 | 41 | .187/.266/.289 | .103 | .300 | 9 | 3 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .190/.275/.298 | .108 | .288 | 10 | 2 | 35% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.273/.343 | .151 | .263 | 18 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A |
20 | 39 | 35→40 | 43→50 | 42 | .184/.245/.241 | .057 | .272 | 2 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 31 | -3.0 | .208/.293/.279 | .071 | .271 | 3 | 10 | 22% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .214/.322/.287 | .073 | .261 | 2 | 14 | 16% | 13% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A |
20 | 40 | 37→30 | 40→45 | 37 | .193/.243/.264 | .072 | .282 | 5 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .209/.262/.266 | .057 | .279 | 3 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .209/.266/.252 | .043 | .268 | 2 | 3 | 21% | 6% | 40 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A |
20 | 35 | 41→45 | 45→50 | 40 | .174/.244/.266 | .092 | .278 | 9 | 9 | 38% | 8% | 38 | -2.6 | .185/.243/.273 | .088 | .321 | 7 | 9 | 41% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .155/.212/.245 | .090 | .274 | 9 | 10 | 44% | 6% | 17 | -1.3 |