Julio Zayas
C St. Lucie Mets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKNYM | 131 | .239/.354/.367 | 3 | 0 | 46 | — | .171/.254/.256 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKNYM | 173 | .284/.395/.369 | 1 | 0 | 65 | — | .224/.314/.289 |
| 2026 | 20 | ANYM | 421 | .238/.341/.367 | 11 | 0 | 57 | — | .196/.273/.297 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBNYM | 531 | .173/.253/.262 | 9 | 2 | 47 | -0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBNYM | 125 | .174/.255/.271 | 2 | 1 | 54 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBNYM | 198 | .179/.260/.282 | 4 | 1 | 58 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | — | 202 | 176 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 307 | 376 | 517 | 893 | 210 | 318 | 13 | 7 | 382 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 131 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 354 | 367 | 721 | 128 | 271 | 17 | 14 | 328 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 395 | 369 | 764 | 85 | 333 | 14 | 13 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 421 | 357 | 85 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 107 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 341 | 367 | 707 | 129 | 305 | 25 | 13 | 320 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 202 | 182 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 254 | 302 | 556 | 110 | 198 | 16 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 131 | 117 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 254 | 256 | 510 | 85 | 215 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 152 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 314 | 289 | 603 | 66 | 270 | 20 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 421 | 377 | 74 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 273 | 297 | 570 | 101 | 279 | 35 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 202 | 182 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 254 | 302 | 556 | 110 | 212 | 16 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets Orange | — | 202 | 176 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 307 | 376 | 517 | 893 | 210 | 318 | 13 | 7 | 382 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 131 | 117 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 254 | 256 | 510 | 85 | 217 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Mets | — | 131 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 354 | 367 | 721 | 128 | 271 | 17 | 14 | 328 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 152 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 314 | 289 | 603 | 66 | 280 | 20 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 395 | 369 | 764 | 85 | 333 | 14 | 13 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 421 | 377 | 74 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 273 | 297 | 570 | 101 | 288 | 35 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 421 | 357 | 85 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 107 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 341 | 367 | 707 | 129 | 305 | 25 | 13 | 320 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 202 | 185 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 189 | 254 | 297 | 551 | 108 | 198 | 16 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 131 | 117 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 254 | 256 | 510 | 85 | 215 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 151 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 314 | 291 | 605 | 66 | 270 | 20 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 421 | 378 | 74 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 273 | 296 | 570 | 101 | 279 | 35 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 131 | 117 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 254 | 256 | 510 | 85 | 215 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 151 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 314 | 291 | 605 | 66 | 270 | 20 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 421 | 378 | 74 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 146 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 273 | 296 | 570 | 101 | 279 | 35 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | NYM | 0% | 531 | 475 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 173 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 173 | 253 | 262 | 514 | 89 | 245 | 33 | 9 | 238 | 47 | -33 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | NYM | 34% | 365 | 326 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 115 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 260 | 278 | 537 | 99 | 248 | 32 | 9 | 247 | 54 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYM | 48% | 409 | 366 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 126 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 184 | 265 | 289 | 554 | 105 | 251 | 31 | 9 | 254 | 58 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYM | 53% | 445 | 398 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 135 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 269 | 299 | 568 | 110 | 254 | 30 | 9 | 260 | 62 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYM | 55% | 445 | 398 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 133 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 272 | 306 | 578 | 114 | 257 | 30 | 9 | 264 | 65 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYM | 56% | 445 | 398 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 131 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 275 | 311 | 585 | 116 | 258 | 29 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYM | 55% | 445 | 399 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 132 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 274 | 308 | 581 | 114 | 257 | 30 | 9 | 265 | 66 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYM | 55% | 445 | 399 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 133 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 272 | 303 | 575 | 112 | 256 | 30 | 9 | 262 | 64 | -19 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | NYM | 34% | 125 | 112 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 255 | 271 | 526 | 97 | 240 | 32 | 9 | 243 | 54 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYM | 48% | 198 | 177 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 260 | 282 | 543 | 103 | 243 | 31 | 9 | 249 | 58 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYM | 53% | 235 | 210 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 265 | 292 | 556 | 108 | 246 | 30 | 9 | 255 | 62 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYM | 55% | 244 | 217 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 268 | 298 | 566 | 112 | 248 | 30 | 9 | 259 | 65 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYM | 56% | 248 | 221 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 270 | 303 | 573 | 114 | 250 | 29 | 9 | 261 | 67 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYM | 55% | 245 | 219 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 269 | 300 | 569 | 112 | 249 | 30 | 9 | 260 | 66 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYM | 55% | 243 | 217 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 73 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 267 | 296 | 562 | 109 | 248 | 30 | 9 | 257 | 64 | -10 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1538 | 1373 | 255 | 40 | 5 | 34 | 137 | 464 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 186 | 267 | 296 | 563 | 111 | 251 | 30 | 9 | 256 | 60 | -68 | +1 | -0 | +27 | +33 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 107 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 58 | 196 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 184 | 266 | 293 | 559 | 109 | 249 | 30 | 9 | 256 | 60 | -29 | +1 | -0 | +12 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4136 | 3700 | 702 | 114 | 10 | 85 | 353 | 1219 | 49 | 14 | 5 | 190 | 269 | 295 | 564 | 105 | 255 | 29 | 9 | 257 | 60 | -148 | +1 | -1 | +57 | +70 | -2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 110 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 192 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 268 | 294 | 563 | 105 | 255 | 30 | 8 | 257 | 60 | -30 | +0 | -0 | +12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 421 PAwOBA .314 → .253 (−61)K% 25.4% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×1.030 | 23.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.030 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×1.030 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .314 → .253; ISO .129 → .101; BABIP .305 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Mets · 173 PAwOBA .344 → .265 (−79)K% 13.9% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.87% | ÷1.007 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.72% | ÷0.988 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.47% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×1.008 | 21.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | ×0.996 | ×1.008 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.996 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.927 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .344 → .265; ISO .085 → .067; BABIP .333 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Mets · 131 PAwOBA .322 → .236 (−86)K% 16.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.79% | ÷0.973 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.74% | ÷1.068 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 8.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 2.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.974 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .236; ISO .128 → .101; BABIP .271 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 202 PAwOBA .381 → .239 (−142)K% 12.9% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.87% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.43% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.48% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.33% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | ×0.971 | ×1.022 | 14.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.33% | ÷1.012 | ×0.600 | ×0.971 | ×1.022 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.949 | ×0.600 | ×0.971 | ×1.022 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.084 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 2.07% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 90, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .381 → .239; ISO .210 → .111; BABIP .318 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).