Julio Zayas

C St. Lucie Mets
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKNYM131.239/.354/.3673046—.171/.254/.256
202519ROKNYM173.284/.395/.3691065—.224/.314/.289
202620ANYM421.238/.341/.36711057—.196/.273/.297
2027PROJMLE21MLBNYM531.173/.253/.2629247-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBNYM125.174/.255/.2712154-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBNYM198.179/.260/.2824158-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV83
BB%59
Chase%54
K%44
Whiff%42
Z-Con%42
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 6.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%
CompsRandy César (age 21) · J.J. D'Orazio (age 21) · Matt Kennelly (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .251 / .259
PA210
HR4
K%33
BB%9
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -13.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED35
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange — 202176 541417 15265 11 307376517893 210318 137 382 48 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Mets — 131109 26313 18222 00 239354367721 128271 1714 328 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Mets — 173141 40901 22246 00 284395369764 85333 1413 350 65 — — — — — —
202620 ASt. Lucie Mets — 421357 8511111 541073 00 238341367707 129305 2513 320 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 202182 35913 10335 11 192254302556 110198 165 239 48 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 131117 20212 11332 00 171254256510 85215 258 236 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 173152 34701 14346 00 224314289603 66270 208 265 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 421377 74919 371463 00 196273297570 101279 359 253 57 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 202182 35913 10335 11 192254302556 110212 165 239 48 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Mets Orange — 202176 541417 15265 11 307376517893 210318 137 382 48 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 131117 20212 11332 00 171254256510 85217 258 236 46 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Mets — 131109 26313 18222 00 239354367721 128271 1714 328 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 173152 34701 14346 00 224314289603 66280 208 265 65 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Mets — 173141 40901 22246 00 284395369764 85333 1413 350 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 421377 74919 371463 00 196273297570 101288 359 253 57 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 421357 8511111 541073 00 238341367707 129305 2513 320 57 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 202185 35913 10335 11 189254297551 108198 165 239 48 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 131117 20212 11332 00 171254256510 85215 258 236 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 173151 34701 14346 00 225314291605 66270 208 265 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 421378 74919 371463 00 196273296570 101279 359 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 131117 20212 11332 00 171254256510 85215 258 236 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 173151 34701 14346 00 225314291605 66270 208 265 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 421378 74919 371463 00 196273296570 101279 359 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLENYM 0% 531475 821319 461735 21 173253262514 89245 339 238 47 -33 +0 +0 +9 +12 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLENYM 34% 365326 58917 321154 20 179260278537 99248 329 247 54 -20 +0 +0 +7 +8 -0.5
202923 MLB MLENYM 48% 409366 681119 361264 21 184265289554 105251 319 254 58 -20 +0 +0 +7 +9 -0.4
203024 MLB MLENYM 53% 445398 7512110 391355 21 189269299568 110254 309 260 62 -20 +0 +0 +8 +10 -0.3
203125 MLB MLENYM 55% 445398 7612110 391335 21 192272306578 114257 309 264 65 -19 +0 +0 +8 +10 -0.1
203226 MLB MLENYM 56% 445398 7713110 391315 21 194275311585 116258 299 267 67 -18 +0 +0 +8 +10 -0.0
203327 MLB MLENYM 55% 445399 7713110 391324 20 193274308581 114257 309 265 66 -18 +0 +0 +8 +10 -0.0
203428 MLB MLENYM 55% 445399 7612110 391334 00 191272303575 112256 309 262 64 -19 +0 -1 +8 +10 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXNYM 34% 125112 19302 11401 10 174255271526 97240 329 243 54 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
202923 MLB CTXNYM 48% 198177 31504 17612 10 179260282543 103243 319 249 58 -10 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.2
203024 MLB CTXNYM 53% 235210 39615 21712 10 184265292556 108246 309 255 62 -11 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXNYM 55% 244217 41616 22733 10 187268298566 112248 309 259 65 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.0
203226 MLB CTXNYM 56% 248221 43716 22733 10 189270303573 114250 299 261 67 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
203327 MLB CTXNYM 55% 245219 42716 22732 10 188269300569 112249 309 260 66 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.0
203428 MLB CTXNYM 55% 243217 40615 22732 00 186267296562 109248 309 257 64 -10 +0 -0 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15381373 25540534 13746415 60 186267296563 111251 309 256 60 -68 +1 -0 +27 +33 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 10717214 581966 30 184266293559 109249 309 256 60 -29 +1 -0 +12 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 41363700 7021141085 353121949 145 190269295564 105255 299 257 60 -148 +1 -1 +57 +70 -2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 11018213 551928 21 189268294563 105255 308 257 60 -30 +0 -0 +12 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 421 PAwOBA .314 → .253 (−61)K% 25.4% → 34.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.42%÷1.000×1.360——34.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.59%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0308.95%
HBP% /PA0.71%—×0.780—×1.0300.57%
Singles /BIP24.80%÷1.000×0.920×0.991×1.03023.29%
Doubles /BIP4.40%÷1.000×0.830×0.991×1.0303.73%
Triples /BIP0.40%÷1.000×0.910×0.991×1.0300.37%
Home runs /BIP4.40%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0303.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .314 → .253; ISO .129 → .101; BABIP .305 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Mets · 173 PAwOBA .344 → .265 (−79)K% 13.9% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.87%÷1.007×1.440——19.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.72%÷0.988×0.620—×1.0088.04%
HBP% /PA3.47%—×0.720—×1.0082.52%
Singles /BIP25.64%÷0.987×0.820×0.996×1.00821.38%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.989×0.720×0.996×1.0085.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×0.996×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷0.927×0.780—×1.0080.72%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .344 → .265; ISO .085 → .067; BABIP .333 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Mets · 131 PAwOBA .322 → .236 (−86)K% 16.8% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.79%÷0.973×1.440——24.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.74%÷1.068×0.620—×1.0228.15%
HBP% /PA1.53%—×0.720—×1.0221.12%
Singles /BIP21.84%÷0.979×0.820×0.950×1.02217.76%
Doubles /BIP3.45%÷0.952×0.720×0.950×1.0222.53%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷0.900×0.720×0.950×1.0220.89%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷0.974×0.780—×1.0222.82%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .322 → .236; ISO .128 → .101; BABIP .271 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 202 PAwOBA .381 → .239 (−142)K% 12.9% → 16.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.87%÷0.975×1.220——16.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.43%÷1.052×0.700—×1.0225.05%
HBP% /PA2.48%—×0.700—×1.0221.77%
Singles /BIP21.33%÷1.020×0.680×0.971×1.02214.12%
Doubles /BIP9.33%÷1.012×0.600×0.971×1.0225.49%
Triples /BIP0.67%÷0.949×0.600×0.971×1.0220.42%
Home runs /BIP4.67%÷1.084×0.470—×1.0222.07%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 90, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .381 → .239; ISO .210 → .111; BABIP .318 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).