Julio Zayas — OGILVIE

Julio ZayasC St. Lucie Mets

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION421 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP276

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	202	176	54	14	1	7	15	26	5	1	1	307	376	517	893	210	318	13	7	382	145	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	131	109	26	3	1	3	18	22	2	0	0	239	354	367	721	128	271	17	14	328	108	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	173	141	40	9	0	1	22	24	6	0	0	284	395	369	764	85	333	14	13	350	123	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	202	183	41	10	1	5	9	38	5	1	1	224	279	372	651	148	236	19	4	276	73	-7	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	131	118	20	2	1	2	10	33	2	0	0	169	246	254	500	85	211	25	8	232	43	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	173	152	34	7	0	1	14	34	6	0	0	224	314	289	603	66	268	20	8	263	64	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	202	183	41	10	1	5	9	38	5	1	1	224	279	372	651	148	248	19	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	202	176	54	14	1	7	15	26	5	1	1	307	376	517	893	210	318	13	7	382	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	131	118	20	2	1	2	10	33	2	0	0	169	246	254	500	85	214	25	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	131	109	26	3	1	3	18	22	2	0	0	239	354	367	721	128	271	17	14	328	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	173	152	34	7	0	1	14	34	6	0	0	224	314	289	603	66	280	20	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	173	141	40	9	0	1	22	24	6	0	0	284	395	369	764	85	333	14	13	350	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	202	186	41	10	1	5	9	38	5	1	1	220	279	366	645	145	236	19	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	131	118	20	2	1	2	10	33	2	0	0	169	246	254	500	85	211	25	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	173	151	34	7	0	1	14	34	6	0	0	225	314	291	605	66	268	20	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	202	186	41	10	1	5	9	38	5	1	1	220	279	366	645	145	236	19	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	131	118	20	2	1	2	10	33	2	0	0	169	246	254	500	85	211	25	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	173	151	34	7	0	1	14	34	6	0	0	225	314	291	605	66	268	20	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	NYM	—	421	374	70	9	1	9	40	152	3	0	0	187	271	289	560	102	281	36	10	253	57	-21	+0	+0	+8	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	NYM	—	421	357	85	11	1	11	54	107	3	0	0	238	341	367	707	129	305	25	13	320	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	NYM	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		283	30	10	261	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	NYM	—	431	383	71	9	1	9	41	155	3	0	0	185	269	285	554	99	278	36	10	253	58	-22	+0	+0	+8	+9	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	387	345	70	11	1	8	35	123	4	1	0	203	284	310	594	107	287	32	9	274	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	467	417	87	14	1	11	42	143	5	1	0	209	289	326	615	118	288	31	9	283	78	-12	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	510	452	97	16	1	13	47	152	6	1	0	215	297	341	638	126	289	30	9	289	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	520	461	101	17	2	14	48	153	6	1	0	219	301	356	657	137	290	29	9	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	520	461	101	17	2	14	48	153	6	1	0	219	301	356	657	137	290	29	9	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	520	461	101	17	2	14	48	153	6	1	0	219	301	356	657	137	289	29	9	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	520	460	100	17	1	14	49	153	6	1	0	217	301	350	651	133	289	29	9	295	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	520	459	99	16	1	14	50	154	6	1	0	216	301	346	647	131	289	30	10	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	520	459	99	16	1	14	50	155	6	1	0	216	301	346	647	131	288	30	10	292	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	520	459	97	16	1	13	50	156	6	1	0	211	297	336	633	124	286	30	10	289	82	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	491	436	91	15	1	12	47	149	5	1	0	209	293	330	623	122	284	30	10	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	NYM	59%	458	406	83	13	1	11	44	141	5	1	0	204	290	323	613	118	280	31	10	279	75	-14	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	417	370	73	11	1	9	40	130	4	0	0	197	283	305	588	108	276	31	10	273	71	-15	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	133	119	24	4	0	3	12	42	1	0	0	202	280	311	591	109	279	32	9	262	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	226	200	42	7	1	5	21	69	3	0	0	210	295	330	625	120	280	31	9	270	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	277	247	51	8	1	7	25	83	3	1	0	206	287	332	619	126	281	30	9	276	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	288	257	55	9	1	8	26	85	3	1	0	214	294	350	644	136	282	30	9	279	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	291	259	55	9	1	8	27	85	3	1	0	212	294	347	642	135	282	29	9	281	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	292	260	55	9	1	8	27	86	3	1	0	212	293	346	639	135	282	29	9	282	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	288	256	55	9	1	8	27	85	3	1	0	215	297	352	649	137	282	30	9	282	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	285	253	54	9	1	8	27	84	3	1	0	213	297	352	649	138	281	29	9	281	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	278	246	51	8	1	7	27	83	3	1	0	207	293	333	627	126	280	30	10	279	83	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	274	243	51	8	1	7	26	82	3	0	0	210	294	337	632	128	279	30	9	276	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	277	245	51	8	1	7	27	84	3	0	0	208	295	335	629	127	276	30	10	272	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	NYM	59%	271	240	49	8	1	6	26	83	3	0	0	204	290	321	611	117	273	31	10	267	75	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	254	225	44	7	0	6	24	79	3	0	0	196	282	307	588	111	269	31	9	261	71	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3434	3050	637	103	11	88	322	1030	37	7	0	209	292	336	629	128	282	30	9	275	79	-78	+1	-8	+61	+74	5.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	120	19	2	17	61	195	7	1	0	208	291	336	627	128	281	30	9	275	79	-15	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6886	6108	1295	215	18	169	632	2023	84	13	1	212	295	336	631	124	285	29	9	286	79	-146	+2	-15	+114	+138	9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	122	20	2	16	60	191	8	1	0	211	295	336	631	125	283	29	9	286	79	-15	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,684	92	7	213	293	338	+66	+32	7.8	6.6
/162	664	17	1	+11.9	+5.8	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julio Zayas (OGILVIE)	20	50	20	35	45	193/273/291	98	283	5	1	33%	9%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cutter Dykstra 2009 · A	20	44→54	42→40	41→55	45	214/279/314	100	286	9	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	212/272/289	77	299	6	14	29%	7%	60	-1.6	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→49	39→45	41→45	44	215/285/308	93	302	6	4	29%	7%	70	-0.9	194/268/272	78	284	4	5	30%	8%	55	-1.9	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	42→45	37→40	45	224/284/332	108	283	10	3	24%	7%	75	-0.5	242/309/351	109	303	9	3	22%	7%	88	+0.5	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	42→52	39→40	39→50	43	203/259/285	83	260	6	4	24%	6%	55	-2.0	207/264/299	92	269	7	5	25%	6%	59	-1.6	237/297/317	80	293	7	9	21%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2023 · A	20	51	42→40	42→45	46	247/308/350	103	299	10	4	20%	6%	88	+0.4	232/296/314	82	277	6	5	18%	7%	75	-0.5	228/292/293	65	269	4	5	16%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Paul Kelly 2006 · A	19	45→51	40	40	40	214/273/303	89	303	8	6	30%	6%	64	-1.3	228/281/311	83	290	4	5	22%	5%	68	-1.0	237/290/318	82	293	3	3	19%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Travis Harrison 2014 · A	21	43→49	43→40	41→45	42	208/279/317	109	297	11	3	32%	7%	70	-0.8	212/290/302	90	294	6	6	27%	8%	70	-0.8	206/288/287	80	287	4	7	27%	9%	65	-1.1
✕Dariel Lopez 2022 · A	20	46→48	41→45	43→45	39	220/276/314	95	320	8	4	32%	6%	68	-1.0	229/270/344	115	334	13	6	34%	4%	72	-0.7	235/266/352	117	336	16	6	34%	3%	69	-0.7
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A	19	41	40→30	41→45	41	200/260/288	88	281	8	4	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/254/265	61	283	3	5	27%	5%	47	-2.5	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Johnabiell Laureano 2021 · A	20	46	40→30	41→45	44	220/283/313	93	300	7	7	28%	7%	70	-0.8	190/253/264	74	332	7	5	41%	7%	48	-2.5	158/230/217	59	290	8	2	45%	8%	26	-1.1
✕Brad Harman 2006 · A	20	50→52	43→45	37→40	43	244/298/354	110	316	11	5	26%	6%	84	+0.2	214/268/313	99	300	9	4	30%	6%	64	-1.3	197/252/297	100	277	10	3	31%	6%	52	-1.8
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	52	-2.2	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	9	-1.0
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	61	-1.5	202/261/272	70	282	5	5	28%	7%	52	-2.2	218/268/266	48	284	3	6	23%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Sergio Burruel 2011 · A	20	46	37→30	41→30	41	209/272/282	72	323	4	4	34%	7%	59	-1.7	203/269/259	56	286	2	5	27%	7%	52	-2.2	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jonathan Meyer 2012 · A	21	42→45	40	35→40	40	205/257/294	89	289	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.9	211/252/298	87	278	9	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	193/236/268	75	248	8	2	25%	4%	40	-2.0
✕Jose Herrera 2017 · A	20	44	40	43→40	45	213/273/300	87	275	8	4	25%	7%	63	-1.3	200/256/282	82	256	5	3	23%	7%	52	-2.2	210/292/298	88	277	8	3	26%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Mitch Einertson 2006 · A	20	42→52	41→45	43→45	43	202/280/298	96	291	8	6	31%	8%	67	-1.1	209/259/329	120	263	11	5	24%	5%	65	-1.2	233/275/358	125	286	12	5	22%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Enlly Morales 2010 · A	20	48	38→40	38→40	47	228/284/315	87	267	5	5	16%	6%	71	-0.8	217/263/283	66	280	3	5	22%	5%	55	-2.0	208/241/241	33	278	0	3	24%	3%	35	-0.7
✕Fernando Pujadas 2012 · A	20	43	42→40	43→30	43	213/265/319	105	261	10	4	23%	5%	65	-1.2	214/288/305	91	276	7	4	23%	8%	70	-0.8	208/295/292	84	266	6	1	22%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Chadwick Tromp 2015 · A	20	45	41→45	42→40	38	220/259/319	99	282	9	5	25%	4%	61	-1.5	214/254/306	92	280	7	3	25%	4%	57	-1.8	226/287/316	90	280	8	2	21%	7%	70	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps