Alex Monsalve
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | AAA/AATOR | 144 | .270/.301/.336 | 1 | 0 | 57 | — | .246/.273/.305 |
| 2019 | 27 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 71 | .215/.271/.308 | 2 | 1 | 63 | — | |
| 2020 | 28 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 37 | .273/.333/.485 | 1 | 0 | 122 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 252 | 230 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 274 | 337 | 335 | 672 | 61 | 358 | 21 | 7 | 309 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 189 | 182 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 245 | 313 | 558 | 93 | 300 | 28 | 2 | 248 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 496 | 458 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 96 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 264 | 315 | 356 | 671 | 92 | 321 | 19 | 6 | 301 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 126 | 116 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 282 | 293 | 575 | 60 | 263 | 13 | 6 | 260 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 313 | 283 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 265 | 327 | 406 | 733 | 141 | 279 | 11 | 7 | 324 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 50 | 47 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 340 | 367 | 447 | 814 | 106 | 400 | 16 | 4 | 355 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 80 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 304 | 449 | 753 | 154 | 344 | 19 | 1 | 326 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 359 | 95 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 67 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 323 | 384 | 707 | 120 | 311 | 17 | 6 | 316 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 19 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 368 | 294 | 663 | 357 | 16 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 104 | 92 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 330 | 359 | 689 | 109 | 282 | 13 | 9 | 311 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 80 | 76 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 303 | 329 | 395 | 724 | 92 | 344 | 15 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 71 | 64 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 357 | 406 | 763 | 109 | 321 | 11 | 7 | 339 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 82 | 73 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 296 | 301 | 598 | 82 | 288 | 26 | 7 | 274 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 424 | 296 | 721 | 400 | 20 | 17 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 60 | 56 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 107 | 283 | 17 | 5 | 285 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 84 | 81 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 310 | 321 | 631 | 37 | 311 | 8 | 1 | 287 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 71 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 308 | 579 | 92 | 214 | 11 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 485 | 818 | 212 | 267 | 8 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 252 | 235 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 170 | 226 | 204 | 430 | 34 | 238 | 26 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 189 | 184 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 170 | 217 | 388 | 65 | 249 | 40 | 1 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 496 | 469 | 115 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 132 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 245 | 280 | 316 | 596 | 70 | 327 | 27 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 126 | 119 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 234 | 252 | 486 | 50 | 248 | 20 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 313 | 291 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 275 | 337 | 612 | 107 | 251 | 15 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 80 | 78 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 278 | 410 | 689 | 141 | 327 | 24 | 1 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 367 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 99 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 277 | 335 | 612 | 104 | 295 | 25 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 104 | 96 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 272 | 312 | 584 | 94 | 249 | 18 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 71 | 66 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 329 | 394 | 723 | 106 | 308 | 14 | 4 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 82 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 235 | 240 | 475 | 67 | 269 | 38 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 60 | 57 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 254 | 333 | 588 | 105 | 262 | 22 | 3 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 84 | 81 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 284 | 570 | 25 | 291 | 10 | 1 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 252 | 235 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 170 | 226 | 204 | 430 | 34 | 237 | 26 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 252 | 230 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 274 | 337 | 335 | 672 | 61 | 358 | 21 | 7 | 309 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 189 | 184 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 170 | 217 | 388 | 65 | 248 | 40 | 1 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 189 | 182 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 245 | 313 | 558 | 93 | 300 | 28 | 2 | 248 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 496 | 469 | 115 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 132 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 245 | 280 | 316 | 596 | 70 | 331 | 27 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 496 | 458 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 96 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 264 | 315 | 356 | 671 | 92 | 321 | 19 | 6 | 301 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 456 | 102 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 266 | 316 | 581 | 92 | 255 | 17 | 4 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 489 | 446 | 118 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 60 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 265 | 320 | 381 | 701 | 117 | 287 | 12 | 7 | 311 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 80 | 78 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 278 | 410 | 689 | 141 | 333 | 24 | 1 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA RAW | Akron Aeros | — | 80 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 304 | 449 | 753 | 154 | 344 | 19 | 1 | 326 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 386 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 104 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 271 | 326 | 598 | 98 | 297 | 25 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 412 | 376 | 100 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 70 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 325 | 380 | 706 | 114 | 314 | 17 | 7 | 316 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 169 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 207 | 264 | 284 | 548 | 77 | 250 | 18 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 168 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 330 | 375 | 705 | 101 | 310 | 14 | 6 | 315 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 188 | 173 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 272 | 301 | 572 | 75 | 301 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 188 | 164 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 342 | 341 | 684 | 79 | 320 | 19 | 9 | 308 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 144 | 138 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 273 | 304 | 577 | 58 | 282 | 15 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 144 | 137 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 301 | 336 | 636 | 66 | 300 | 12 | 3 | 286 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 71 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 308 | 579 | 92 | 214 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 71 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 308 | 579 | 92 | 214 | 11 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 485 | 818 | 212 | 267 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 485 | 818 | 212 | 267 | 8 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 252 | 233 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 172 | 226 | 206 | 432 | 34 | 238 | 26 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 189 | 183 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 170 | 219 | 389 | 66 | 249 | 40 | 1 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 496 | 470 | 115 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 132 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 245 | 280 | 315 | 595 | 70 | 327 | 27 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 460 | 102 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 222 | 266 | 313 | 579 | 91 | 250 | 17 | 4 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 80 | 79 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 278 | 405 | 684 | 139 | 327 | 24 | 1 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 386 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 104 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 271 | 326 | 598 | 98 | 295 | 25 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 169 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 207 | 264 | 284 | 548 | 77 | 249 | 18 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 188 | 175 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 272 | 297 | 569 | 74 | 287 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 144 | 138 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 273 | 304 | 577 | 58 | 279 | 15 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2542 | 2386 | 525 | 92 | 12 | 25 | 104 | 593 | 27 | 20 | 13 | 220 | 261 | 300 | 561 | 80 | 280 | 23 | 4 | 235 | 45 | -165 | -1 | +0 | +45 | +55 | -6.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 134 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 152 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 220 | 261 | 298 | 560 | 79 | 280 | 23 | 4 | 235 | 45 | -42 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 84 PAwOBA .279 → .254 (−25)K% 8.3% → 10.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.19% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 25.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.024 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 3.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.165 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .279 → .254; ISO .037 → .031; BABIP .311 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAABuffalo Bisons · 60 PAwOBA .282 → .250 (−31)K% 16.7% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.950 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 20.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.903 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 88, 3B 92, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .282 → .250; ISO .107 → .098; BABIP .283 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 82 PAwOBA .270 → .210 (−60)K% 25.6% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.61% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.32% | ÷1.015 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.932 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 1.83% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .270 → .210; ISO .082 → .064; BABIP .288 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 71 PAwOBA .330 → .308 (−22)K% 11.3% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.27% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 26.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .330 → .308; ISO .109 → .095; BABIP .321 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 104 PAwOBA .307 → .250 (−57)K% 13.5% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.46% | ÷1.031 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.026 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 17.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.129 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 84, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .307 → .250; ISO .109 → .088; BABIP .282 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Carolina Mudcats · 393 PAwOBA .309 → .263 (−46)K% 17.0% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.05% | ÷0.961 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.36% | ÷0.966 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×1.040 | ×1.012 | 22.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.012 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.040 | ×1.012 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷0.869 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .309 → .263; ISO .120 → .102; BABIP .311 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAkron Aeros · 80 PAwOBA .317 → .286 (−30)K% 18.8% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.25% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.037 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.050 | 24.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.001 | ×0.860 | ×0.986 | ×1.050 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.049 | ×0.950 | ×0.986 | ×1.050 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.879 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .317 → .286; ISO .154 → .136; BABIP .344 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ALake County Captains · 313 PAwOBA .318 → .266 (−51)K% 11.2% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.18% | ÷1.007 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.03% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.16% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.022 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.163 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .318 → .266; ISO .141 → .109; BABIP .279 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .