Elwis Mijares

P St. Lucie Mets

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2030

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKDSL Mets Blue	14	11	45	5.16	1.91	29.6%	8.5%	—	K 20.2% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.15
2025	19	MIX2 levels	12	0	16	2.20	2.98	28.1%	10.9%	—	K 14.7% · BB 17.2% · FIP 5.66
2026	20	MIX2 levels	43	0	67	4.86	3.40	23.4%	12.0%	—	K 17.5% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	21	MLBNYM	32	0	34	5.10	5.10	18.9%	13.5%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBNYM	30	0	31	4.85	4.73	20.5%	11.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBNYM	46	0	48	4.63	4.50	21.5%	10.8%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJunior Rincon (age 23) · Joangel Gonzalez (age 20) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%18.9%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%5.4%

Proj IP34

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	18	1	39	170	47	17	1	6%	2.1	18.8%	12.5%	6.3%	0.8%	3.96	3.51	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	18	1	39	170	47	17	1	6%	2.1	27.6%	10.0%	17.6%	0.6%	3.96	2.32	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	14	11	45	199	59	17	1	79%	3.2	20.2%	10.7%	9.5%	0.7%	5.16	3.15	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	14	11	45	199	59	17	1	79%	3.2	20.2%	10.7%	9.5%	0.7%	5.16	3.15	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	14	11	45	199	59	17	1	79%	3.2	29.6%	8.5%	21.1%	0.5%	5.16	1.91	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	64	18	7	1	0%	1.4	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	3.0%	2.20	5.66	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	64	18	7	1	0%	1.4	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	3.0%	2.20	5.66	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	16	64	18	7	1	0%	1.4	28.1%	10.9%	17.2%	1.6%	2.20	2.98	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	67	299	70	36	4	0%	1.6	17.5%	14.1%	3.3%	1.7%	4.86	4.37	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	67	299	70	36	4	0%	1.6	17.5%	14.1%	3.3%	1.7%	4.86	4.37	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	67	299	70	36	4	0%	1.6	23.4%	12.0%	11.4%	1.3%	4.86	3.40	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	NYM	32	0	34	144	27	19	4	0%	1.1	18.9%	13.5%	5.4%	2.8%	5.10	5.10	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	60	0	63	266	55	31	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	2.7%	4.85	4.73	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYM	62	0	65	276	59	30	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.8%	10.8%	2.7%	4.63	4.50	+0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYM	64	0	67	283	63	28	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	2.7%	4.46	4.35	+0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYM	65	0	68	286	65	28	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.6%	12.9%	2.7%	4.34	4.26	+0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYM	65	0	68	286	65	27	8	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.7%	4.28	4.24	+0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYM	64	0	67	282	64	27	8	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.7%	13.1%	2.7%	4.28	4.28	+0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYM	62	0	65	274	62	27	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.8%	4.33	4.36	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	30	0	31	131	27	15	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	2.7%	4.85	4.73	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYM	46	0	48	203	44	22	5	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.8%	10.8%	2.7%	4.63	4.50	+0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYM	53	0	56	236	52	24	6	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	2.7%	4.46	4.35	+0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57	0	60	253	57	24	7	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.6%	12.9%	2.7%	4.34	4.26	+0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYM	59	0	62	262	60	25	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.7%	4.28	4.24	+0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYM	59	0	62	262	60	25	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.7%	13.1%	2.7%	4.28	4.28	+0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYM	58	0	61	258	58	25	7	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.8%	4.33	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		360	0	379	1598	356	160	43	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.0%	12.2%	2.7%	4.41	3.98	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	85	23	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.0%	12.2%	2.7%	4.41	3.98	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		87	12	167	732	134	96	10	14%	1.9	18.3%	13.1%	5.2%	1.3%	4.47	3.95	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	14	200	877	160	115	12	14%	1.9	18.3%	13.1%	5.2%	1.3%	4.47	3.95	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elwis Mijares (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	18.9%	13.5%	2.8%	—	4.52	21.4%	10.6%	195	-0.58	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	90
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	89
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	88
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	88
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	87
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	87
Luke Stofel R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.42	14.0%	1.8%	147	+0.16	4.26	188	86
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	525	86
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	86
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	86
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	86
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	86
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	86
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	85
Joel Cesar R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	22	SU	4.30	16.3%	12.0%	1.9%	.267	5.21	18.0%	9.9%	38	+0.91	4.30	127	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	62	21.9%	10.4%	1.05	4.49
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
Kevin Gregg ('15)	3.6	65	21.0%	10.5%	0.97	4.24
John Grabow ('11)	2.4	60	19.0%	10.5%	1.04	4.31
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bob Allen ('61-'67, -1 WAR*)	1.4	55	21.4%*	10.4%*	0.89*	4.79*