Alfredo Rodriguez

C FCL Rays

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKTB	68	.213/.294/.361	2	0	26	—	.156/.206/.281
2026	20	ROKTB	113	.205/.364/.284	1	3	37	—	.160/.282/.223
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTB	223	.208/.270/.297	3	4	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTB	61	.215/.278/.314	1	1	67	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTB	144	.219/.283/.327	2	3	72	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%50

Speed42

Whiff%38

BB%35

ISO30

wRC+26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJhostynxon Garcia (age 21) · Tucker Mitchell (age 21) · Jorge Alcantara (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .268 / .294

PA96

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	123	97	22	1	2	2	21	37	4	0	2	227	385	340	725	113	339	30	17	339	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	143	34	4	3	0	10	35	4	4	4	238	306	308	613	70	309	22	6	279	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	68	61	13	3	0	2	7	17	0	0	1	213	294	361	655	148	262	25	10	296	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	113	88	18	4	0	1	15	24	7	3	0	205	364	284	648	80	258	21	13	306	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	123	103	15	1	1	1	15	46	4	0	2	146	279	204	483	58	224	37	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	146	24	3	2	0	7	44	4	4	4	164	223	212	435	48	224	28	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	68	64	10	2	0	2	4	25	0	0	1	156	206	281	487	125	212	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	113	94	15	3	0	1	9	35	7	3	0	160	282	223	505	64	206	31	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	123	103	15	1	1	1	15	46	4	0	2	146	279	204	483	58	246	37	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	123	97	22	1	2	2	21	37	4	0	2	227	385	340	725	113	339	30	17	339	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	146	24	3	2	0	7	44	4	4	4	164	223	212	435	48	231	28	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	143	34	4	3	0	10	35	4	4	4	238	306	308	613	70	309	22	6	279	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	68	64	10	2	0	2	4	25	0	0	1	156	206	281	487	125	216	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	68	61	13	3	0	2	7	17	0	0	1	213	294	361	655	148	262	25	10	296	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	113	94	15	3	0	1	9	35	7	3	0	160	282	223	505	64	230	31	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	113	88	18	4	0	1	15	24	7	3	0	205	364	284	648	80	258	21	13	306	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	123	103	15	1	1	1	15	46	4	0	2	146	279	204	483	58	224	37	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	147	24	3	2	0	7	44	4	4	4	163	223	211	434	48	224	28	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	68	64	10	2	0	2	4	25	0	0	1	156	206	281	487	125	212	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	113	96	15	3	0	1	9	35	7	3	0	156	282	219	501	62	206	31	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	147	24	3	2	0	7	44	4	4	4	163	223	211	434	48	224	28	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	68	64	10	2	0	2	4	25	0	0	1	156	206	281	487	125	212	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	113	96	15	3	0	1	9	35	7	3	0	156	282	219	501	62	206	31	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	223	204	43	7	2	3	14	63	3	4	1	208	270	297	567	89	284	28	6	258	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	178	162	35	6	1	3	12	49	2	4	1	213	276	313	589	100	286	28	7	267	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	48%	297	271	58	10	2	5	20	81	4	6	2	217	281	326	607	110	287	27	7	274	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	382	348	76	13	3	7	26	104	5	8	3	220	285	337	622	117	288	27	7	280	76	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	431	392	87	15	3	9	30	116	6	9	3	223	288	345	633	123	289	27	7	284	79	-11	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	462	420	94	16	3	10	33	123	6	10	3	224	290	351	641	127	289	27	7	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	475	432	95	16	3	10	34	127	6	10	3	223	289	349	637	126	288	27	7	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	479	436	96	16	3	10	34	129	6	10	3	221	287	344	631	123	287	27	7	283	78	-13	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	475	433	95	16	3	10	33	129	6	9	4	219	284	338	621	119	286	27	7	280	75	-14	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	57%	468	427	91	15	3	9	32	129	6	9	4	216	280	330	610	114	284	28	7	275	72	-15	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	60%	443	405	85	14	3	8	30	124	5	8	5	211	275	320	595	109	280	28	7	269	68	-17	-0	-3	+8	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	61	56	12	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	215	278	314	592	99	289	28	7	268	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	48%	144	131	28	5	1	2	10	39	2	3	1	219	283	327	610	108	291	27	7	275	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	201	182	42	7	2	4	14	54	3	4	1	222	287	338	624	115	292	27	7	281	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	236	215	49	8	2	5	16	63	3	5	2	225	290	345	635	121	292	27	7	285	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	257	234	54	9	2	6	18	68	3	6	2	226	292	351	643	125	292	26	7	288	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	261	238	54	9	2	6	18	70	3	6	2	225	291	349	639	124	292	27	7	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	262	239	53	9	2	5	18	71	3	5	2	223	288	344	633	121	291	27	7	284	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	253	230	51	8	2	5	18	69	3	5	2	221	286	338	623	117	289	27	7	281	75	-7	+0	-1	+5	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	57%	267	243	54	9	2	5	19	74	3	5	2	218	282	330	612	112	287	28	7	276	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	60%	264	241	52	8	2	5	18	74	3	5	3	213	277	320	597	107	284	28	7	270	68	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2206	2009	449	74	17	44	153	599	27	45	17	223	287	343	630	119	295	27	7	281	70	-65	+2	-4	+39	+48	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	133	22	5	13	45	176	8	13	5	225	288	345	633	120	296	27	7	281	70	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4649	4222	894	149	31	86	325	1288	68	92	39	212	279	323	602	111	281	28	7	272	70	-125	+4	-7	+75	+91	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	125	21	4	12	45	180	10	13	5	212	279	322	601	110	282	28	7	272	70	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,302	46	47	220	281	337	+41	+24	3.7	3.6
/162	664	13	14	+11.9	+6.9	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	206/268/294	88	284	1	2	28%	6%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	194/232/294	100	263	8	10	29%	4%	46	-2.6	197/236/287	90	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	41→51	40	47→55	43	199/261/283	85	276	8	11	30%	7%	55	-1.9	223/280/299	76	311	6	16	28%	7%	65	-1.2	239/306/325	86	316	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	212/254/309	97	284	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	212/248/354	142	283	18	3	31%	4%	66	-1.1	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	42→46	40→45	47→60	43	203/269/295	92	295	8	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	197/255/288	91	320	7	24	38%	7%	53	-2.1	210/270/327	118	310	11	32	34%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	39	37→50	47→45	46	188/260/261	73	250	5	9	26%	8%	50	-2.3	207/250/323	116	289	11	6	31%	5%	60	-1.6	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	40→39	40→45	47→55	44	191/279/286	95	286	8	10	33%	8%	64	-1.3	187/268/298	111	251	10	19	28%	7%	62	-1.4	166/254/289	123	223	13	23	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	44→54	39→45	50	42	209/270/300	91	293	6	11	29%	7%	62	-1.4	235/286/340	105	319	10	10	28%	6%	77	-0.3	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	38	39→50	48→40	36	186/240/272	87	288	7	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	203/268/343	140	296	15	6	35%	6%	72	-0.7	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→47	40→50	43→40	38	184/237/271	87	270	8	6	34%	6%	43	-2.8	201/266/308	107	313	11	4	37%	7%	63	-1.4	212/290/364	152	313	17	3	35%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3

Alfredo Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps