Alfredo RodriguezC FCL Rays
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION110 act + 73 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .259 / .256
PA73
HR1
K%29
BB%7
BABIP248
ISO75
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.60.80.90.90.90.80.60.40.2+$46M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT33
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.6$1M+$0.7M
2036Arb-2$1M+0.4$0.7M+$0.4M
2037Arb-3$0.6M+0.2$0.3M+$0.2M
Totals $6M $8M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Rays — 123105 16112 13554 02 152270238509 86286 4511 227 32 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Rays — 12397 22122 21374 02 227385340725 113339 3017 339 117 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 159147 29330 6534 44 197248259507 61302 334 216 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 159143 34430 10354 44 238306308613 70309 226 279 72 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 6864 10202 4250 01 156206281487 125216 376 219 26 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 6861 13302 7170 01 213294361655 148262 2510 296 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKTB — 11091 15301 9337 30 165290231520 66233 308 233 37 -8 +1 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
YTD20 ROKTB — 11085 18401 15237 30 212374294668 82266 2114 314 99 -0 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.6
ROS20 ROKTB 0% 7366 12201 5212 10 181259256515 75263 297 254 53 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
ROS20 MLBTB 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 267 —— 238 40 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL20 ROKTB — 11092 15301 9337 30 163290228518 65230 308 233 37 -8 +1 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
TOT20 ROKTB — 183157 27502 14549 40 172277242519 70240 298 241 43 -12 +1 +0 +3 +5 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBTB 34% 218196 39713 16604 41 199273291564 92266 287 264 60 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
202822 MLBTB 48% 339304 621126 25917 62 204280312592 109269 277 272 66 -13 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.3
202923 MLBTB 54% 420377 781428 321118 82 207283318601 111271 268 277 70 -14 +1 +0 +8 +12 0.6
203024 MLBTB 55% 473425 9016310 361249 93 212287334621 122273 268 280 72 -15 +1 +0 +8 +13 0.8
203125 MLBTB 56% 502448 9517310 3913110 103 212290330620 118273 268 281 73 -15 +1 +0 +9 +14 0.9
203226 MLBTB 56% 519464 9918311 4013610 103 213290336626 123273 268 281 73 -16 +1 +0 +9 +15 0.9
203327 MLBTB 60% 520464 9918311 4113610 103 213291336627 123272 268 281 73 -16 +1 +0 +9 +15 0.9
203428 MLBTB 62% 520464 9817311 4113710 103 211289332621 121272 268 280 72 -16 +1 -1 +9 +15 0.8
203529 MLBTB 63% 516460 9617310 4113710 93 209288324612 115271 278 278 71 -17 +1 -1 +9 +15 0.6
203630 MLBTB 63% 507452 9517310 4013610 93 210289327616 117270 278 275 69 -18 +1 -2 +9 +14 0.4
203731 MLBTB 65% 479429 871529 381309 82 203282310592 107267 278 271 66 -19 +1 -3 +9 +14 0.2
203832 MLBTB 65% 447400 801428 361238 72 200279305584 105264 288 266 62 -19 +1 -4 +8 +13 -0.2
202721 MLBTB 34% 7569 13201 5211 10 188253261514 72270 287 250 50 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202822 MLBTB 48% 164148 30513 12443 31 203276311587 108273 277 259 56 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202923 MLBTB 54% 228205 43814 17604 41 210283317600 107275 267 264 60 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203024 MLBTB 55% 262235 51925 20695 51 217292336628 119276 268 267 62 -11 +1 +0 +5 +7 0.2
203125 MLBTB 56% 281252 54926 22745 52 214290337628 123276 268 268 63 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.1
203226 MLBTB 56% 292261 571026 23766 62 218297341638 123276 268 268 63 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203327 MLBTB 60% 310277 591026 24816 62 213290329618 116276 268 268 63 -13 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.2
203428 MLBTB 62% 321287 611126 25856 62 213289328617 115275 268 267 62 -14 +0 -0 +6 +9 0.1
203529 MLBTB 63% 324289 611126 26866 62 211290325615 114274 278 265 61 -14 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.0
203630 MLBTB 63% 322287 601026 26866 62 209288321609 111273 278 262 59 -15 +0 -1 +6 +9 -0.1
203731 MLBTB 65% 311277 581026 25846 52 209289325614 116271 278 258 56 -15 +0 -2 +6 +9 -0.3
203832 MLBTB 65% 291261 52915 23805 51 199277299576 100267 278 253 52 -16 +1 -2 +5 +8 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 31812849 5991041960 24884659 5818 210287323610 113275 278 263 60 -144 +4 -7 +57 +90 0.0
/ 162G— — 650582 12221412 5117312 124 210287321608 112275 278 263 60 -30 +1 -1 +12 +18 -0.0
Career— — 58835265 108518934112 4531606115 10537 206283319602 113272 278 273 67 -220 +6 -10 +105 +167 4.8
/ 162G— — 650582 12021412 5017713 124 206284318602 112272 278 273 67 -24 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Rays — 12397 22122 21374 02 227385340725 113339 3017 339 117 +2 -1 — — +3 0.5
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 159143 34430 10354 44 238306308613 70309 226 279 72 -5 -1 — — +5 -0.1
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 6861 13302 7170 01 213294361655 148262 2510 296 85 -1 -0 — — +2 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA
92,8721967234295315+30+8510.611.0
/162664415+6.9+19.72.5pk7: 11
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,2736360209283323+58+323.83.5
/1626641312+11.9+6.50.8pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alfredo Rodriguez (OGILVIE) 20 28→33 34→39 46→51 47 172/277/242 70240 24 29% 8% 43 -0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Jose Cordoba
2023 · A 		20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
✕Gilberto Vizcarra
2019 · A 		20 35 38→45 47→40 46 171/243/241 71215 63 23% 7% 32 -3.0 206/263/288 82261 64 22% 6% 51 -1.7 226/269/325992749121%4%62-0.3
✕Rey Duran
2009 · A 		20 36 41→50 49→40 41 183/243/277 94256 96 31% 6% 40 -2.4 213/267/338 125268 145 25% 6% 66 -0.6 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Denzer Guzman
2023 · A 		19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
✕Jose Bellorin
2011 · A 		20 42 39→40 47→50 42 203/257/285 81265 610 25% 6% 47 -1.9 223/280/308 85271 69 19% 6% 63 -0.8 239/295/3167827661015%6%69-0.2
✕Wilmer Dominguez
2011 · A 		20 43 40→45 49→45 42 209/255/300 91272 75 26% 6% 50 -1.7 218/253/304 86275 85 23% 4% 50 -1.7 247/278/35911127314515%4%72-0.1
✕Jorge Quiterio
2015 · A 		20 36 40→45 46→45 39 183/234/269 86255 88 31% 5% 33 -2.9 194/235/279 85299 69 35% 5% 36 -2.7 177/200/2598327361237%2%14-1.1
✕Jason Lopez
2018 · A 		20 40 38→55 47→45 44 192/261/269 76264 59 28% 7% 46 -2.0 207/248/334 127286 136 31% 5% 57 -1.2 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
✕Janelfry Zorrilla
2011 · A 		20 41 40→45 50 42 202/257/291 89262 713 26% 6% 49 -1.8 224/280/353 129280 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.0 226/277/35312728514825%5%72-0.1
✕Jose Meza
2023 · A 		20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
✕Yeldrys Molina
2009 · A 		20 43 38→40 48→50 44 206/265/287 82281 49 27% 7% 51 -1.7 194/252/272 78285 48 31% 7% 42 -2.3 139/198/200602030929%6%-1-1.2
✕Christian Cerda
2023 · A 		20 40→37 40 50→40 50 194/278/287 93254 69 25% 9% 58 -1.2 189/282/293 104252 114 27% 11% 62 -0.9 173/268/27510122312227%11%50-1.2
✕Deivi Mejia
2010 · A 		20 40 41→40 46→30 41 197/265/294 97276 95 30% 6% 54 -1.4 205/261/294 89269 74 25% 6% 52 -1.6 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
✕Rafael Morel
2022 · A 		20 38 40 51→50 39 187/248/282 94270 813 32% 6% 43 -2.2 195/260/276 81313 710 37% 7% 47 -1.9 186/257/26579290101037%7%41-1.1
✕Jesus Galiz
2023 · A 		19 38 43→45 49→40 40 193/254/304 111268 105 31% 6% 53 -1.5 201/260/303 102309 93 36% 6% 54 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
✕Daniel Santos
2019 · A 		20 41 39→45 45→40 41 197/262/285 88270 75 28% 6% 50 -1.7 200/262/282 82300 56 33% 6% 50 -1.8 141/209/188472350537%5%1-0.9
✕Leonel Espinoza
2023 · A 		20 38→44 40 50→55 41 188/259/274 86266 711 31% 6% 46 -2.0 209/272/298 89302 714 31% 6% 58 -1.2 202/259/2939029281832%5%47-1.0
✕Jeter Downs
2018 · A 		20 42→40 43→50 47→55 47 208/276/316 107257 119 23% 7% 64 -0.8 211/277/355 144271 1517 27% 7% 75 -0.0 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
✕Marco Guzman
2015 · A 		20 41 39→45 44→50 48 196/264/281 85246 67 22% 8% 50 -1.7 217/263/307 90264 57 19% 6% 55 -1.4 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0