Osiris Calvo — OGILVIE

Osiris Calvo P DSL Mets Orange

+0.2 WAR

Age 22 LHP 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.4 · 2028

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.8%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%13.9%

IP35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2028

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	15	0	31	128	40	9	5	21.3%	8.8%	4.8%	3.82	5.06	-0.0
2025	21	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	11	9	43	172	45	9	2	17.8%	6.5%	2.2%	2.51	3.63	+0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	—	35	—	35	148	34	13	4	22.8%	8.9%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	23	MLB	—	36	—	36	154	36	13	5	23.6%	8.6%	2.9%	4.23	4.18	+0.3
2028	24	MLB	—	37	—	37	157	38	13	5	24.1%	8.4%	2.9%	4.15	4.10	+0.4
2029	25	MLB	—	38	—	38	160	39	13	5	24.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.09	4.05	+0.4
2030	26	MLB	—	38	—	38	160	39	13	5	24.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.06	4.03	+0.4
2031	27	MLB	—	38	—	38	158	39	13	5	24.7%	8.3%	2.9%	4.05	4.04	+0.4
2032	28	MLB	—	37	—	37	156	38	13	5	24.6%	8.3%	2.9%	4.06	4.07	+0.4
2033	29	MLB	—	36	—	36	152	37	13	5	24.5%	8.4%	3.0%	4.09	4.12	+0.3
2034	30	MLB	—	35	—	35	148	36	13	5	24.3%	8.5%	3.0%	4.14	4.18	+0.3
2035	31	MLB	—	34	—	34	143	34	12	4	24.1%	8.6%	3.1%	4.21	4.25	+0.3
2036	32	MLB	—	32	—	32	137	33	12	4	23.8%	8.8%	3.2%	4.29	4.34	+0.2
2037	33	MLB	—	31	—	31	130	31	12	4	23.5%	9.0%	3.3%	4.38	4.44	+0.2
2038	34	MLB	—	29	—	29	124	29	11	4	23.1%	9.2%	3.4%	4.48	4.55	+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			26	9	74	300	58	22	10	19.3%	7.5%	3.3%	3.05	4.24	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—			71	24	200	814	157	60	27	19.3%	7.5%	3.3%	3.05	4.24	+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Osiris Calvo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	22.8%	8.9%	3.0%	—	4.11	24.1%	15.7%	112	-0.20	—	—	—
Austin Warner L 2027 · 4.02 FIP	23	SU	4.02	18.6%	8.1%	2.7%	.291	4.40	17.6%	9.4%	284	+0.38	3.83	491	89
Andrew Mitchell L 2027 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.70	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.05	2.51	119	89
Josh Hendrickson L 2025 · 3.81 FIP	21	SU	3.81	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.70	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.89	3.81	255	88
Garvin Alston L 2026 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.72	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.43	4.08	232	87
Ronnie Glenn L 2026 · 3.47 FIP	22	SU	3.47	20.9%	9.9%	1.6%	.330	5.04	11.1%	-2.6%	171	+1.57	3.47	212	87
Marlon Perez L 2026 · 3.31 FIP	22	SU	3.31	20.5%	9.0%	1.5%	.250	4.12	22.9%	12.2%	103	+0.81	3.31	145	86
Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 4.42 FIP	22	SU	4.42	21.3%	8.8%	3.6%	.208	4.74	16.8%	7.4%	223	+0.32	3.67	331	86
Ryan Williamson L 2027 · 4.10 FIP	23	SU	4.10	18.4%	5.9%	3.3%	.286	5.56	18.4%	5.8%	102	+1.46	4.10	123	86
Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 3.83 FIP	22	SU	3.83	20.0%	9.4%	2.2%	.358	4.63	13.8%	-0.3%	43	+0.80	3.83	197	85
Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.82 FIP	22	SU	3.82	20.5%	10.6%	2.0%	.235	3.70	27.4%	12.7%	74	-0.12	3.15	442	84
Andre Davis L 2026 · 4.14 FIP	22	SU	4.14	19.3%	5.4%	3.6%	.320	4.40	17.0%	8.8%	98	+0.26	4.14	154	84
Daniel Zamora L 2027 · 3.56 FIP	23	SU	3.56	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.81	2.15	310	83
Zach Morris L 2026 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.35	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.76	3.35	109	83
Dominic LoBrutto L 2026 · 3.21 FIP	22	SW	3.21	21.4%	6.9%	1.9%	.333	3.46	17.8%	10.6%	84	+0.25	2.99	135	83
Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	82
Brandon Walter L 2026 · 3.51 FIP	22	SU	3.51	19.2%	7.2%	2.0%	.270	2.91	27.7%	23.0%	139	-0.60	2.89	391	82
Tommy Sommer L 2026 · 4.58 FIP	22	SU	4.58	23.9%	9.3%	4.2%	.196	5.35	18.6%	6.1%	205	+0.77	4.26	230	82
Jake Bennett L 2026 · 3.40 FIP	22	SW	3.40	21.2%	7.2%	2.1%	.339	3.17	17.4%	10.3%	83	-0.23	1.70	146	82
Easton Lucas L 2028 · 4.26 FIP	24	SU	4.26	23.6%	9.2%	3.6%	.316	4.09	21.8%	11.4%	184	-0.17	3.48	311	82
Yapson Gomez L 2026 · 3.24 FIP	22	SU	3.24	18.5%	6.8%	1.5%	.270	3.60	16.9%	9.2%	157	+0.36	3.18	233	82

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.3	$2M	+$0.5M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.3	$2M	+$1M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M