Alex Acosta — OGILVIE

Alex AcostaOF DSL Mets Blue

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 187 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .269 / .285

PA70

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	17	14	3	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	214	312	214	527		333	35	6	244	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	167	142	35	7	1	3	20	33	4	6	3	246	355	373	729	127	299	20	12	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	139	122	31	5	1	1	13	32	3	12	1	254	341	336	677	82	333	23	9	310	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	17	14	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	143	250	143	393		224	47	6	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	167	149	22	4	1	1	13	42	4	6	3	148	235	208	443	60	197	25	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	139	126	19	2	1	0	9	39	3	12	1	151	225	183	407	32	215	28	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	17	14	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	143	250	143	393		286	47	6	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	17	14	3	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	214	312	214	527		333	35	6	244	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	167	149	22	4	1	1	13	42	4	6	3	148	235	208	443	60	196	25	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	167	142	35	7	1	3	20	33	4	6	3	246	355	373	729	127	299	20	12	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	139	126	19	2	1	0	9	39	3	12	1	151	225	183	407	32	216	28	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	139	122	31	5	1	1	13	32	3	12	1	254	341	336	677	82	333	23	9	310	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	17	15	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	133	250	133	383		224	47	6	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	167	148	22	4	1	1	13	42	4	6	3	149	235	209	444	61	197	25	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	139	126	19	2	1	0	9	39	3	12	1	151	225	183	407	32	215	28	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	167	148	22	4	1	1	13	42	4	6	3	149	235	209	444	61	197	25	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	139	126	19	2	1	0	9	39	3	12	1	151	225	183	407	32	215	28	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	249	227	47	8	2	2	17	69	3	7	2	208	271	288	559	80	285	28	7	255	59	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	118	108	23	4	1	1	8	32	1	4	1	213	277	304	580	91	286	27	7	264	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	206	271	295	566	89	277	27	7	258	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	269	27	7	258	37	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	127	16	0	16	48	174	0	16	0	211	269	317	587	106	269	27	7	258	37	-27	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	511	461	80	12	4	3	36	140	10	24	5	174	249	236	485	63	239	27	7	222	37	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	102	15	5	4	46	178	13	31	6	174	250	237	487	63	240	27	7	222	37	-29	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Acosta (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	206/269/285	79	285	1	2	28%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	39	38→45	49→50	45	189/262/271	82	256	4	11	26%	7%	53	-2.1	189/262/284	95	312	7	8	38%	8%	56	-1.9	153/243/273	121	268	13	9	44%	10%	46	-1.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	46→36	39→45	52→50	40	220/273/303	84	295	6	11	27%	5%	63	-1.3	194/250/257	63	268	2	10	27%	6%	45	-2.7	169/228/214	45	235	0	12	26%	6%	26	-3.1
✕Wander Ramos 2011 · A	21	40	35→45	49→45	41	187/259/250	63	288	3	12	33%	7%	47	-2.5	209/268/347	138	312	15	8	36%	7%	73	-0.6	198/259/358	160	288	18	7	37%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	42	37→40	53→60	44	203/260/274	71	255	5	21	22%	6%	52	-2.2	209/259/277	68	293	4	10	28%	6%	52	-2.2	200/243/246	47	278	3	7	28%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	43→25	40→55	47→45	44	206/283/296	90	283	7	7	28%	7%	67	-1.1	185/280/351	166	286	19	5	39%	9%	80	-0.2	159/268/326	167	242	20	5	41%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Raddy Sierra 2008 · A	20	40	39→40	51→55	42	193/266/277	84	278	6	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/288	83	304	6	13	32%	6%	59	-1.7	207/262/261	54	318	0	16	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4