Reiner Herrera

C Hill City Howlers

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKCLE	173	.239/.368/.415	5	3	46	—	.166/.263/.272
2026	20	ACLE	153	.273/.414/.496	7	8	107	—	.229/.336/.405
2026	20	ROKCLE	152	.324/.497/.721	11	10	134	—	.226/.356/.500
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCLE	415	.228/.314/.379	12	7	97	1.3
2028PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCLE	170	.231/.317/.385	5	3	99	0.7
2029PROJ68% MLB	23	MLBCLE	292	.233/.319/.390	9	5	101	1.3

Next 3 projected WAR 3.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wRC+91

wOBA90

ISO88

BB%85

K%83

Chase%74

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 20, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 80%

CompsNelson Quiroz (age 22) · Darrien Miller (age 21) · Miguel Amaya (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 298 proj PA

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .312 / .376

PA298

HR9

SB5

K%23

BB%10

ISO152

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$89M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$37M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	77	16	4	0	0	10	26	5	1	0	208	337	260	597	52	314	28	11	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	113	31	6	0	2	22	22	3	1	0	274	406	381	786	106	315	16	16	356	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	173	142	34	2	4	5	23	33	6	3	1	239	368	415	784	176	274	19	13	351	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Hill City Howlers	—	153	121	33	4	1	7	26	26	4	8	4	273	414	496	910	223	292	17	17	401	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	152	111	36	7	2	11	34	26	4	10	4	324	497	721	1.217	396	325	17	22	502	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	80	11	3	0	0	7	32	5	1	0	138	250	175	425	37	214	35	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	120	21	4	0	1	15	29	3	1	0	175	283	233	516	58	197	21	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	207	27	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	—	153	131	30	3	1	6	17	35	4	8	4	229	336	405	740	176	264	23	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	152	124	28	5	1	9	21	37	4	10	4	226	356	500	856	274	231	24	14	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	80	11	3	0	0	7	32	5	1	0	138	250	175	425	37	229	35	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	77	16	4	0	0	10	26	5	1	0	208	337	260	597	52	314	28	11	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	120	21	4	0	1	15	29	3	1	0	175	283	233	516	58	215	21	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	113	31	6	0	2	22	22	3	1	0	274	406	381	786	106	315	16	16	356	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	212	27	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	173	142	34	2	4	5	23	33	6	3	1	239	368	415	784	176	274	19	13	351	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	255	58	8	2	15	38	73	8	18	8	227	346	451	796	224	251	24	12	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	305	232	69	11	3	18	60	52	8	18	8	297	455	603	1.059	306	307	17	20	451	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	80	11	3	0	0	7	32	5	1	0	138	250	175	425	37	214	35	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	122	21	4	0	1	15	29	3	1	0	172	283	230	512	57	197	21	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	207	27	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	256	58	8	2	15	38	73	8	18	8	227	346	449	795	223	248	24	12	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	122	21	4	0	1	15	29	3	1	0	172	283	230	512	57	197	21	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	207	27	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	256	58	8	2	15	38	73	8	18	8	227	346	449	795	223	248	24	12	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	415	366	83	14	3	12	40	94	6	7	2	228	314	379	694	152	271	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	352	310	70	12	2	10	34	78	5	6	2	231	317	387	703	156	273	22	10	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	428	378	88	15	3	13	41	95	6	7	2	233	319	392	710	159	274	22	10	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	CLE	74%	479	423	99	17	3	15	46	105	7	7	2	235	320	395	715	160	276	22	10	320	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+10	2.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	CLE	77%	506	445	106	19	3	16	49	111	7	7	2	236	321	397	718	161	277	22	10	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	CLE	78%	520	458	108	19	3	16	50	114	7	7	2	236	320	397	718	161	277	22	10	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	CLE	77%	520	458	108	19	3	16	50	115	7	7	2	235	319	394	714	159	277	22	10	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	CLE	77%	520	458	107	19	3	16	50	116	7	6	2	233	317	390	707	157	276	22	10	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	CLE	75%	516	455	106	19	3	15	49	117	7	5	3	231	314	383	698	153	274	23	9	312	98	-2	-0	-1	+9	+11	1.8
2036	30	MLB MLE	CLE	73%	506	447	102	18	3	14	48	116	6	4	3	227	311	375	686	148	272	23	9	308	94	-3	-0	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	CLE	73%	478	424	94	16	2	13	45	112	6	3	7	223	306	365	671	142	269	23	9	302	90	-6	-2	-3	+9	+10	0.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	CLE	72%	446	397	86	15	2	11	41	106	5	3	9	218	300	352	652	134	265	24	9	294	85	-8	-3	-4	+8	+10	0.3
2039	33	MLB MLE	CLE	79%	406	362	77	13	2	10	37	99	4	2	29	211	292	337	629	126	260	24	9	285	79	-10	-11	-4	+7	+9	-1.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	170	150	34	6	1	5	16	38	2	3	1	231	317	385	701	154	272	22	9	314	99	-0	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
2029	23	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	292	258	61	11	2	9	28	64	4	5	1	233	319	390	709	157	274	22	10	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	CLE	74%	355	313	74	13	2	11	34	78	5	5	2	235	320	394	714	159	276	22	10	319	102	+1	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	CLE	77%	389	344	81	15	2	12	37	85	5	5	2	236	321	395	716	159	277	22	10	320	103	+1	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	CLE	78%	406	358	85	15	2	13	39	89	6	5	2	236	320	396	716	159	277	22	10	320	103	+1	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	CLE	77%	401	355	83	15	2	12	38	89	5	5	2	235	319	393	712	158	277	22	9	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	CLE	77%	398	352	82	15	2	12	38	89	5	4	2	233	317	388	705	155	276	22	10	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	CLE	75%	385	340	78	14	2	11	37	87	5	4	2	231	314	382	696	151	274	23	10	312	98	-1	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	CLE	73%	372	329	75	13	2	11	35	85	5	3	2	227	311	374	685	146	272	23	9	307	94	-3	-0	-2	+7	+8	1.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	CLE	73%	348	308	68	12	1	9	33	81	4	2	5	223	306	364	670	141	269	23	9	301	90	-4	-2	-2	+6	+8	0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	CLE	72%	323	286	62	11	1	8	30	77	4	2	6	218	300	351	651	133	265	24	9	294	85	-6	-2	-3	+6	+7	0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	CLE	79%	319	283	60	10	1	8	29	78	4	2	23	211	292	336	628	125	260	24	9	284	79	-8	-9	-3	+6	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4158	3676	843	150	20	121	394	940	54	45	50	229	313	380	693	150	274	23	9	311	94	-17	-11	-11	+74	+90	12.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	131	23	3	19	62	147	8	7	8	228	312	377	689	150	272	23	10	311	94	-3	-2	-2	+12	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6686	5884	1326	227	39	193	643	1531	100	92	76	225	312	376	688	150	270	23	10	307	94	-24	-13	-15	+107	+129	18.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	129	22	4	19	63	149	10	9	7	226	314	378	691	152	270	23	10	307	94	-3	-1	-2	+12	+14	2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Charles Johnson'94-'05 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,385 PA	6.6	4,385	167	6	235*	316*	421*	+78	+0	21.1	19.6
/162	664	25	1	+11.8	+0.0	3.2	pk7: 18
#3Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#4Jody Davis'81-'90 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,984 PA	6.0	3,984	127	7	242*	306*	433*	+70	+0	15.9	16.0
/162	664	21	1	+11.7	+0.0	2.6	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.7	4,456	130	50	230	311	383	+80	+40	17.4	15.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.0	2.6	pk7: 13
#6Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reiner Herrera (OGILVIE)	21	35	40	40	50	226/312/376	150	271	9	5	23%	10%	97	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Quiroz 2024 · A	22	47	44→40	49→40	49	232/294/354	122	277	11	6	20%	8%	84	+0.1	243/290/320	77	279	4	3	14%	6%	74	-0.6	263/309/325	62	294	2	0	11%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2022 · A	21	45→42	45	50→45	48	218/318/334	116	300	13	8	30%	10%	90	+0.6	197/302/311	114	264	12	6	28%	9%	79	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Cole Young 2024 · A	21	51→52	45	50	54	244/332/376	133	293	10	12	20%	10%	103	+1.6	242/323/366	124	285	11	11	18%	9%	97	+1.1	242/321/366	124	279	12	9	17%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Trent D'Antonio 2007 · A	21	42	53→55	46→45	45	225/276/392	167	252	22	9	21%	6%	86	+0.3	231/297/332	101	303	10	11	25%	8%	80	-0.2	249/332/279	30	347	0	15	25%	10%	76	-0.1
✕Dom Nuñez 2016 · A	21	44→46	45→50	40→45	49	220/278/336	116	251	13	7	18%	7%	74	-0.6	207/275/317	110	261	13	8	25%	8%	68	-1.0	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→50	45→50	48→45	53	234/319/371	136	287	12	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	231/311/367	136	281	13	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	225/308/360	135	270	13	9	21%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	45→51	49→50	37→45	54	228/313/371	143	268	17	3	22%	10%	95	+1.0	231/301/358	127	283	12	5	21%	9%	87	+0.4	228/292/363	135	273	14	6	21%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2023 · A	21	43	48→45	46→40	46	218/292/360	142	271	17	4	26%	8%	85	+0.2	215/275/318	103	286	10	4	27%	7%	68	-1.0	202/263/285	84	272	8	3	27%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA	22	45→48	49→50	43→45	53	225/318/378	152	281	17	5	25%	11%	99	+1.2	223/313/373	150	295	15	5	28%	10%	96	+1.0	210/302/356	146	295	15	3	32%	10%	86	+0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Matthew Sweeney 2010 · A	22	47→42	49→55	46→45	45	237/294/391	153	295	16	5	25%	7%	92	+0.7	191/254/302	111	277	10	4	33%	7%	57	-1.8	162/226/261	99	236	9	1	34%	7%	35	-1.4
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A	21	54→57	47→45	47→50	47	267/331/407	140	302	14	7	16%	6%	110	+2.1	241/322/356	115	273	10	11	15%	8%	95	+1.0	228/319/335	107	260	9	14	15%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	46→44	48→50	44→45	43	233/277/371	137	268	16	6	20%	5%	81	-0.1	229/267/366	137	273	15	6	22%	4%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	256	19	1	23%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	41	45	47→30	51	207/289/328	121	249	13	6	22%	9%	77	-0.3	213/274/318	105	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	240	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	43→45	48→55	44→40	40	219/279/357	139	300	16	5	32%	6%	79	-0.2	222/269/363	141	295	16	3	30%	5%	76	-0.4	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
✕Orlando Mercado 2006 · A	21	45	43→45	43→40	51	223/292/332	109	259	11	5	18%	8%	78	-0.3	217/300/335	118	248	12	3	17%	10%	82	+0.0	231/324/312	81	266	7	1	15%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	42	46→50	42→40	47	213/290/340	126	256	14	4	22%	7%	80	-0.1	204/250/316	112	270	10	4	27%	5%	58	-1.7	166/217/270	103	212	12	1	27%	5%	33	-1.2
✕George Valera 2022 · AA	21	44→43	52→50	49→45	52	221/322/385	164	301	20	12	32%	12%	102	+1.5	215/299/365	150	300	18	6	32%	10%	88	+0.5	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0

Reiner Herrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps