Elvis Rojas — OGILVIE

Elvis RojasOF DSL Orioles Orange

Age 20 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+55

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .266 / .275

PA4

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	154	133	33	6	0	0	20	33	1	7	3	248	351	293	644	45	330	21	13	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	38	5	2	1	0	11	16	0	3	1	132	327	237	563	105	227	33	22	279	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	154	141	24	4	0	0	12	51	1	7	3	170	240	199	439	28	267	33	8	205	25	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	42	3	1	1	0	7	23	0	3	1	71	204	143	347	71	168	47	14	167	-1	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	154	141	24	4	0	0	12	51	1	7	3	170	240	199	439	28	267	33	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	154	133	33	6	0	0	20	33	1	7	3	248	351	293	644	45	330	21	13	304	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	42	3	1	1	0	7	23	0	3	1	71	204	143	347	71	158	47	14	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	38	5	2	1	0	11	16	0	3	1	132	327	237	563	105	227	33	22	279	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	154	140	24	4	0	0	12	51	1	7	3	171	240	200	440	29	267	33	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	42	3	1	1	0	7	23	0	3	1	71	204	143	347	71	168	47	14	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	154	140	24	4	0	0	12	51	1	7	3	171	240	200	440	29	267	33	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	42	3	1	1	0	7	23	0	3	1	71	204	143	347	71	168	47	14	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		288	25	0	250	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	116	105	22	4	1	1	9	34	1	2	0	210	278	295	573	86	289	29	8	263	64	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	40	37	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	162	225	189	414	27	289	30	8	263	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	37	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	162	225	189	414	27	240	30	8	263	35	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	97	16	0	0	49	195	0	16	0	161	225	188	413	27	239	30	8	263	35	-28	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	323	292	50	9	2	1	28	109	2	12	4	171	248	226	474	55	268	34	9	220	35	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	100	18	4	2	56	219	4	24	8	170	247	224	471	54	266	34	9	220	35	-28	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elvis Rojas (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	199/266/275	76	288	0	1	30%	8%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→38	37→40	49→50	44	190/267/265	75	303	4	9	36%	9%	53	-2.1	194/280/281	87	310	5	14	35%	10%	63	-1.4	189/288/270	81	300	4	18	34%	11%	62	-0.8
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	37→45	47→50	42	196/257/268	73	297	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	200/249/293	93	324	8	10	38%	6%	52	-2.2	191/275/315	124	286	14	8	36%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→35	40→50	47→40	43	209/268/297	87	289	7	7	29%	7%	60	-1.6	185/251/289	104	278	11	4	35%	8%	53	-2.1	162/244/298	137	223	18	2	35%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	38	-3.2	202/247/309	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	55	-2.0	191/230/306	114	248	9	14	26%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Jared Walker 2016 · A	20	40→32	37→55	48→45	36	179/245/252	73	324	5	10	43%	7%	42	-2.9	186/249/320	134	310	15	6	42%	7%	60	-1.6	174/248/350	176	265	22	4	41%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Francisco Del Valle 2019 · A	20	37→28	39→45	50→40	39	181/243/264	83	279	7	6	36%	7%	44	-2.8	175/252/279	104	262	9	4	34%	8%	52	-2.2	157/235/262	106	224	10	3	33%	8%	39	-1.7
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/261/271	80	280	7	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	179/256/279	100	298	10	5	40%	7%	53	-2.1	154/236/257	103	267	11	4	43%	7%	39	-1.4
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Delbis Arcila 2013 · A	20	41	38→45	44→45	47	195/270/282	87	273	5	6	29%	9%	59	-1.7	216/275/332	116	308	11	5	31%	7%	72	-0.7	219/273/360	140	304	16	3	32%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Kentrell Dewitt 2011 · A	20	39	39→45	50→45	37	186/251/272	87	310	7	13	40%	7%	49	-2.4	206/267/288	82	330	5	10	36%	7%	58	-1.7	217/272/333	116	312	9	9	31%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Brenden Webb 2010 · A	20	44→39	37→45	51→50	44	200/278/274	73	319	4	8	35%	9%	59	-1.6	185/270/283	98	303	8	9	38%	9%	59	-1.7	176/273/285	108	288	9	10	38%	11%	59	-1.1
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	54	-2.0	190/255/290	100	295	9	6	36%	7%	55	-2.0	163/231/263	100	247	9	3	36%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	199/260/306	108	293	10	8	34%	8%	60	-1.6	180/243/297	117	298	12	5	41%	7%	52	-2.2	178/255/335	157	290	20	3	43%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→23	39→45	47→50	37	179/233/262	83	276	7	10	36%	6%	39	-3.1	183/245/304	121	293	13	12	40%	7%	54	-2.0	165/230/291	126	256	15	12	40%	7%	44	-1.6