Luis Beltrán
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 22
RHP
6'4" / 175 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%23.8%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 15 | 0 | 25 | 119 | 32 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.3% | 30.5% | -12.2% | 1.6% | 8.03 | 6.27 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 15 | 0 | 25 | 119 | 32 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.9% | 24.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 8.03 | 4.56 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 18 | 0 | 25 | 111 | 42 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.7% | 31.5% | -5.8% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 6.33 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 18 | 0 | 25 | 111 | 42 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 37.8% | 25.2% | 12.6% | 1.8% | 4.38 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 55 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.3% | 24.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 3.90 | 3.95 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 55 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 37.9% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.90 | 2.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 22 | 0 | 22 | 129 | 25 | 41 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 37.5% | -23.2% | 2.0% | 9.27 | 7.75 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 36 | 188 | 39 | 48 | 4 | — | — | 20.8% | 25.6% | -4.8% | 1.9% | 7.45 | 6.51 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 3.95 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 102 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 0 | 104 | 504 | 107 | 155 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 30.7% | -9.5% | 1.5% | 6.14 | 6.00 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 0 | 200 | 969 | 206 | 298 | 14 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 30.7% | -9.5% | 1.5% | 6.14 | 6.00 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Beltrán (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 23.8% | 12.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.33 | 24.4% | 13.5% | 20 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Caleb Freeman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 92 |
| Nic Enright R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .263 | 3.12 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 124 | -0.51 | 0.50 | 249 | 90 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 88 |
| Mason Fox R 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 87 |
| Cole Gordon R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 87 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 87 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 87 |
| Justin Yeager R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.58 | 26.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .281 | 3.98 | 25.4% | 12.6% | 103 | +0.40 | 3.21 | 239 | 87 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.38 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 138 | +0.85 | 3.53 | 183 | 86 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 86 |
| Hunter Dula R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 1.9% | .340 | 4.49 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 91 | +0.64 | 3.85 | 132 | 86 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 85 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 85 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.12 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.55 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.43 | 3.41 | 214 | 85 |
| Jacob Wallace R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.50 | 26.6% | 13.1% | 3.6% | .316 | 4.85 | 23.8% | 7.0% | 167 | +0.35 | 4.00 | 271 | 85 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 85 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.65 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.15 | 3.00 | 144 | 85 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.86 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 2.7% | .295 | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.73 | 3.86 | 130 | 85 |
| Jackson Kelley R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.84 | 26.5% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 3.92 | 21.1% | 9.9% | 138 | +0.08 | 3.80 | 190 | 84 |