Joan Sierra3B
DSL Padres Brown
Age 19
R/R
5'10" / 175 lbs
ROK
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.9 · 2034
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .274 / .305
PA62
HR1
K%30
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.9peak
2034
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.6 | $25M | +$24M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.8 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.9 | $29M | +$28M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.7 | $28M | +$23M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $8M | +2.5 | $27M | +$18M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $11M | +2.2 | $24M | +$13M |
| Totals | $28M | $161M | +$134M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 72 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .131 | .264 | .213 | .477 | .082 | .226 | 40 | 6 | .202 | 13 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 110 | 91 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 1 | .110 | .257 | .198 | .455 | .088 | .176 | 35 | 15 | .211 | 20 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | SD | 62 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .274 | .286 | .560 | .089 | .289 | 31 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | SD | 120 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .222 | .294 | .361 | .655 | .139 | .297 | 28 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | SD | 271 | 241 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .232 | .312 | .378 | .690 | .145 | .298 | 27 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | SD | 385 | 340 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 101 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .235 | .319 | .391 | .711 | .156 | .299 | 26 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | SD | 462 | 407 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 119 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .238 | .325 | .398 | .723 | .160 | .299 | 26 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | SD | 513 | 449 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 130 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .241 | .329 | .403 | .732 | .163 | .299 | 25 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.4 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | SD | 544 | 475 | 116 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 137 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .244 | .334 | .417 | .751 | .173 | .300 | 25 | 10 | .331 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | SD | 562 | 491 | 120 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 59 | 142 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .244 | .334 | .418 | .751 | .173 | .300 | 25 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | SD | 568 | 495 | 121 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 144 | 7 | 14 | 2 | .244 | .336 | .418 | .754 | .174 | .300 | 25 | 11 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.9 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | SD | 568 | 495 | 120 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 145 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .242 | .334 | .414 | .748 | .172 | .300 | 26 | 11 | .332 | 112 | +8 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.7 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | SD | 561 | 488 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 61 | 145 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .238 | .331 | .402 | .733 | .164 | .299 | 26 | 11 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.5 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | SD | 552 | 480 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 144 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .235 | .329 | .394 | .723 | .158 | .298 | 26 | 11 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | SD | 539 | 469 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 58 | 143 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .235 | .328 | .397 | .724 | .162 | .296 | 27 | 11 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | SD | 521 | 454 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 141 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .231 | .324 | .390 | .714 | .159 | .295 | 27 | 11 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | SD | 492 | 430 | 97 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 137 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .226 | .319 | .374 | .693 | .149 | .293 | 28 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | SD | 445 | 389 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 127 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .312 | .357 | .670 | .139 | .292 | 29 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | SD | 391 | 342 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 116 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .307 | .348 | .655 | .135 | .289 | 30 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | SD | 331 | 289 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 102 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .305 | .343 | .647 | .131 | .286 | 31 | 11 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8069 | 7050 | 1631 | 280 | 50 | 241 | 845 | 2168 | 107 | 141 | 22 | .231 | .323 | .388 | .711 | .156 | .297 | 27 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +11 | +19 | -31 | +29 | +229 | 26.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 68 | 175 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .231 | .322 | .386 | .708 | .155 | .297 | 27 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 72 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .186 | .333 | .288 | .621 | .102 | .263 | 28 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 110 | 80 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 1 | .163 | .385 | .287 | .673 | .125 | .226 | 24 | 25 | .326 | 108 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Joan Sierra (OGILVIE) | 19 | — | — | — | — | .205/.274/.305 | .100 | .289 | 1 | 1 | 30% | 8% | 61 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A |
19 | 44→51 | 43→60 | 48→30 | 38 | .215/.262/.330 | .115 | .285 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .213/.253/.351 | .138 | .277 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .238/.308/.452 | .215 | .278 | 31 | 1 | 26% | 7% | 111 | +1.7 |
|
●Heliot Ramos 2019 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 47→50 | 33 | .202/.246/.317 | .115 | .301 | 11 | 8 | 36% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .215/.268/.348 | .133 | .317 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .256/.322/.432 | .177 | .319 | 22 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 112 | +2.4 |
|
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A |
19 | 40→44 | 41→55 | 48→50 | 50 | .198/.276/.300 | .102 | .259 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .193/.268/.290 | .097 | .299 | 8 | 7 | 35% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .213/.322/.409 | .196 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 40→65 | 49→40 | 39 | .197/.240/.291 | .094 | .269 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .251/.286/.404 | .153 | .321 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 4% | 91 | +1.1 | .273/.314/.492 | .219 | .314 | 30 | 0 | 23% | 5% | 125 | +2.3 |
|
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→55 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.248/.282 | .080 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .219/.267/.307 | .088 | .310 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .248/.301/.421 | .173 | .319 | 22 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2015 · A |
19 | 45→51 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .210/.271/.289 | .080 | .308 | 3 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .192/.258/.279 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 12 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 47→50 | 36 | .200/.246/.304 | .104 | .297 | 8 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .229/.277/.361 | .132 | .323 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
✕Joe Benson 2007 · A |
19 | 42→50 | 42→60 | 46→50 | 41 | .206/.256/.312 | .106 | .277 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .214/.282/.309 | .095 | .312 | 6 | 13 | 31% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .231/.309/.414 | .183 | .319 | 19 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
●Amed Rosario 2015 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 43→55 | 36 | .196/.231/.287 | .092 | .270 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 4% | 37 | -2.7 | .236/.274/.327 | .091 | .314 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .286/.323/.422 | .136 | .344 | 12 | 14 | 20% | 5% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 49→55 | 45 | .217/.279/.319 | .102 | .277 | 10 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.280/.389 | .156 | .311 | 18 | 19 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.307/.430 | .168 | .314 | 19 | 26 | 23% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 |
|
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→50 | 51→55 | 44 | .214/.271/.302 | .088 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .265/.329/.388 | .123 | .318 | 11 | 15 | 19% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .283/.348/.417 | .134 | .334 | 12 | 17 | 18% | 7% | 116 | +2.4 |
|
●Steven Souza Jr. 2008 · A |
19 | 37→47 | 41→60 | 49→55 | 38 | .182/.248/.279 | .096 | .291 | 8 | 7 | 38% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .191/.250/.282 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 14 | 34% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .258/.336/.452 | .194 | .336 | 23 | 25 | 29% | 10% | 124 | +2.2 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
●Aaron Altherr 2010 · A |
19 | 42→51 | 38→55 | 51→50 | 43 | .201/.253/.279 | .078 | .267 | 5 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .200/.241/.279 | .079 | .282 | 6 | 16 | 30% | 4% | 38 | -2.6 | .244/.318/.420 | .176 | .303 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 104 | +1.5 |
|
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .205/.255/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .224/.267/.352 | .128 | .288 | 14 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .253/.308/.383 | .131 | .298 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +0.8 |
|
●Brandon Drury 2012 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 42→60 | 46→40 | 36 | .219/.247/.322 | .103 | .276 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 3% | 53 | -1.5 | .219/.254/.337 | .118 | .268 | 11 | 3 | 22% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .254/.305/.458 | .204 | .301 | 25 | 1 | 24% | 6% | 112 | +2.0 |
|
●Derek Norris 2009 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 42→55 | 49→50 | 43 | .194/.269/.300 | .106 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .209/.301/.372 | .163 | .281 | 20 | 6 | 31% | 11% | 91 | +1.1 | .254/.332/.403 | .149 | .311 | 15 | 5 | 22% | 10% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Francisco Peguero 2007 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 41→55 | 48→55 | 36 | .212/.247/.312 | .100 | .284 | 8 | 6 | 28% | 4% | 50 | -1.8 | .226/.259/.303 | .077 | .299 | 4 | 17 | 25% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .287/.327/.455 | .168 | .332 | 22 | 7 | 20% | 4% | 119 | +2.3 |
|
●Franmil Reyes 2014 · A |
19 | 45→52 | 40→65 | 47→45 | 42 | .213/.271/.311 | .098 | .300 | 7 | 9 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .209/.256/.309 | .100 | .279 | 9 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .256/.325/.480 | .224 | .314 | 34 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 126 | +2.6 |
|
●Austin Dean 2013 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 39→55 | 45 | 45 | .195/.265/.280 | .085 | .270 | 5 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .220/.275/.314 | .094 | .285 | 7 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .257/.302/.413 | .156 | .304 | 17 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 96 | +1.1 |