David GuzmanOF
FCL Blue Jays
Age 20
L/L
5'6" / 160 lbs
ROK
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.0 · 2032
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .290 / .336
PA63
HR1
K%26
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.0peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.0 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.0 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.9 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.7 | $18M | +$14M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.4 | $15M | +$10M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.1 | $12M | +$7M |
| Totals | $16M | $103M | +$87M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 231 | 205 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .220 | .307 | .283 | .590 | .063 | .260 | 15 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 115 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .168 | .257 | .208 | .465 | .040 | .230 | 25 | 10 | .212 | 20 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | TOR | 63 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .211 | .286 | .298 | .584 | .088 | .286 | 25 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | TOR | 119 | 107 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .243 | .314 | .393 | .706 | .150 | .288 | 24 | 8 | .304 | 90 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | TOR | 264 | 235 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .238 | .317 | .387 | .704 | .149 | .290 | 23 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | TOR | 368 | 327 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .239 | .318 | .394 | .712 | .156 | .290 | 23 | 9 | .322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | TOR | 439 | 389 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 100 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .244 | .326 | .411 | .737 | .167 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | TOR | 481 | 425 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .245 | .328 | .409 | .738 | .165 | .291 | 22 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | TOR | 506 | 445 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 114 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .245 | .329 | .411 | .741 | .166 | .292 | 23 | 10 | .331 | 111 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 517 | 454 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 117 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .247 | .332 | .416 | .748 | .170 | .292 | 23 | 10 | .331 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 520 | 456 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 119 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .246 | .332 | .414 | .747 | .169 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .330 | 110 | +6 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 515 | 451 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 119 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .244 | .331 | .408 | .739 | .164 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 507 | 444 | 107 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 119 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .241 | .329 | .405 | .734 | .164 | .289 | 23 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 495 | 435 | 103 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 118 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .237 | .325 | .395 | .721 | .159 | .288 | 24 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 478 | 421 | 97 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 117 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .230 | .318 | .380 | .698 | .150 | .286 | 24 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 449 | 396 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 113 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .227 | .314 | .369 | .683 | .141 | .285 | 25 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 404 | 356 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 105 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .312 | .368 | .680 | .143 | .283 | 26 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 349 | 307 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 94 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .306 | .355 | .661 | .137 | .281 | 27 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6820 | 6011 | 1420 | 254 | 38 | 195 | 671 | 1599 | 84 | 101 | 18 | .236 | .321 | .388 | .710 | .152 | .288 | 23 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +5 | +13 | -25 | -41 | +193 | 14.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 136 | 24 | 4 | 19 | 64 | 152 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .237 | .322 | .393 | .715 | .155 | .289 | 23 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 231 | 195 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .292 | .403 | .390 | .792 | .097 | .327 | 11 | 12 | .365 | 137 | +10 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 115 | 94 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .223 | .354 | .277 | .631 | .053 | .276 | 17 | 16 | .297 | 86 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| David Guzman (OGILVIE) | 20 | — | — | — | — | .220/.290/.336 | .116 | .286 | 1 | 1 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Max Kepler 2013 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 42→60 | 53→50 | 44 | .216/.275/.328 | .112 | .278 | 9 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.279/.348 | .126 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.319/.433 | .200 | .248 | 24 | 4 | 17% | 10% | 108 | +2.2 |
|
●Riley Greene 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 44→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .215/.271/.330 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .252/.315/.404 | .152 | .357 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .263/.332/.466 | .203 | .338 | 25 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 124 | +3.1 |
|
✕Billy McKinney 2015 · A |
20 | 46→54 | 42→55 | 49→45 | 45 | .222/.287/.329 | .108 | .290 | 9 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.292/.348 | .115 | .298 | 9 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.276/.393 | .178 | .258 | 20 | 2 | 25% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A |
20 | 42→51 | 43→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .206/.282/.325 | .120 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.283/.340 | .128 | .306 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Dylan Carlson 2019 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 43→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .206/.277/.315 | .109 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .228/.297/.383 | .155 | .293 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .242/.327/.396 | .154 | .296 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 9% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 43→60 | 57→50 | 42 | .218/.278/.332 | .114 | .297 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.282/.404 | .179 | .286 | 22 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .222/.292/.404 | .182 | .285 | 20 | 15 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 39→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .218/.277/.306 | .088 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .245/.301/.388 | .143 | .311 | 15 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |
|
●Jesús Sánchez 2017 · A |
19 | 48→53 | 43→60 | 50 | 39 | .235/.267/.357 | .122 | .293 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .243/.276/.369 | .126 | .311 | 13 | 5 | 25% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 | .247/.314/.450 | .203 | .306 | 25 | 4 | 27% | 8% | 110 | +1.8 |
|
●Rowdy Tellez 2015 · A |
20 | 45→50 | 42→60 | 47→45 | 45 | .221/.276/.321 | .100 | .273 | 9 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .229/.281/.352 | .123 | .287 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .249/.317/.464 | .215 | .286 | 29 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 114 | +1.6 |
|
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A |
21 | 48→55 | 41→55 | 51→55 | 47 | .234/.289/.333 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .252/.310/.400 | .148 | .314 | 15 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .254/.320/.417 | .163 | .315 | 18 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
●Oscar Taveras 2011 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 49→45 | 42 | .216/.260/.323 | .108 | .269 | 8 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .270/.309/.419 | .149 | .313 | 13 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 104 | +2.0 | .293/.330/.463 | .170 | .326 | 16 | 7 | 15% | 4% | 124 | +2.0 |
|
●Thomas Neal 2008 · A |
20 | 47→57 | 40→55 | 49→50 | 44 | .222/.288/.320 | .098 | .298 | 7 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .247/.308/.396 | .149 | .313 | 16 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .260/.320/.418 | .158 | .322 | 17 | 4 | 24% | 6% | 106 | +2.0 |
|
●Alex Kirilloff 2018 · A |
20 | 47→57 | 43→55 | 46→45 | 41 | .231/.269/.339 | .108 | .279 | 11 | 4 | 22% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .262/.300/.404 | .142 | .321 | 14 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 96 | +1.5 | .270/.336/.451 | .181 | .323 | 24 | 3 | 23% | 7% | 120 | +1.7 |
|
●José A. Martínez 2008 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 50 | 43 | .218/.274/.322 | .104 | .282 | 10 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .227/.272/.317 | .090 | .295 | 9 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .296/.363/.466 | .170 | .344 | 21 | 4 | 19% | 9% | 137 | +3.1 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .212/.263/.298 | .086 | .291 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .258/.304/.406 | .148 | .329 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
✕Curtis Mead 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 47→50 | 44 | .213/.264/.320 | .107 | .261 | 9 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .254/.309/.413 | .159 | .307 | 16 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 103 | +1.9 | .259/.321/.430 | .171 | .311 | 17 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 111 | +1.6 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 43→60 | 47→55 | 36 | .212/.251/.327 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .228/.271/.373 | .145 | .324 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
★Austin Meadows 2014 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 43→65 | 49→55 | 43 | .214/.282/.336 | .122 | .308 | 10 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.292/.362 | .120 | .310 | 9 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.336/.495 | .240 | .289 | 30 | 8 | 23% | 10% | 129 | +2.7 |
|
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A |
19 | 44→53 | 44→50 | 50→55 | 42 | .218/.268/.339 | .121 | .285 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .231/.294/.375 | .144 | .300 | 17 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .236/.302/.381 | .145 | .298 | 17 | 19 | 26% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
●David Dahl 2015 · A |
21 | 48→58 | 45→60 | 54→55 | 39 | .237/.265/.370 | .133 | .290 | 10 | 12 | 23% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .245/.281/.384 | .139 | .326 | 13 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .269/.321/.459 | .189 | .347 | 21 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 115 | +2.2 |