David Guzman — OGILVIE

David GuzmanOF FCL Blue Jays

Age 20 L/L 5'6" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 57 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .297 / .312

PA57

HR1

K%23

BB%9

BABIP268

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	205	44	7	1	1	17	35	9	8	2	215	303	273	576	59	254	15	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	195	57	11	1	2	27	25	9	8	2	292	403	390	792	97	327	11	12	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	102	17	4	0	0	10	28	1	0	0	167	248	206	454	39	224	24	9	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	94	21	5	0	0	18	20	1	0	0	223	354	277	631	53	276	17	16	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	TOR	—	86	73	14	1	0	2	11	14	2	4	0	192	314	288	602	96	211	16	13	293	82	-2	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.1
YTD	20	ROK	TOR	—	86	66	18	2	0	3	18	10	2	4	0	273	442	439	881	167	283	12	21	402	166	+6	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.9
ROS	20	ROK	TOR	0%	57	51	11	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	214	297	312	608	97	276	23	9	285	76	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	276	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	TOR	—	86	74	14	1	0	2	11	14	2	4	0	189	314	284	598	95	207	16	13	293	82	-2	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.1
TOT	20	ROK	TOR	—	143	124	25	3	0	3	16	27	3	5	0	201	307	298	605	97	233	19	11	290	80	-3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34%	119	105	24	4	1	2	11	26	2	2	0	229	314	343	656	114	281	22	9	296	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB	TOR	48%	264	234	53	9	1	5	24	58	4	4	1	226	309	338	647	111	283	22	9	301	89	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2029	23	MLB	TOR	54%	368	326	77	13	2	8	34	80	5	6	1	236	318	362	680	126	284	22	9	305	91	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.6
2030	24	MLB	TOR	55%	439	390	92	16	2	10	40	95	6	7	1	236	317	364	681	128	285	22	9	307	93	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.7
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	481	427	102	18	3	11	44	104	7	7	2	239	320	372	692	133	285	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.8
2032	26	MLB	TOR	56%	506	447	106	18	3	11	47	109	7	8	2	237	319	365	684	128	285	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.9
2033	27	MLB	TOR	55%	517	457	109	19	3	12	48	112	7	8	2	239	320	372	692	133	285	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34%	41	36	8	1	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	222	317	333	650	111	283	22	10	287	78	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB	TOR	48%	128	113	28	5	1	3	12	28	2	2	0	248	331	389	720	142	285	22	9	292	82	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	23	MLB	TOR	54%	200	177	41	7	1	4	18	43	3	3	1	232	313	350	663	119	286	22	9	296	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB	TOR	55%	243	216	51	9	1	5	22	53	3	4	1	236	315	356	672	120	287	22	9	298	86	-4	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	269	238	56	10	1	6	25	58	4	4	1	235	318	361	680	126	287	22	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2032	26	MLB	TOR	56%	285	253	60	10	2	6	26	61	4	4	1	237	318	364	682	126	287	21	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2033	27	MLB	TOR	55%	286	253	60	10	2	6	27	62	4	4	1	237	320	364	684	126	287	22	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1452	1287	304	52	8	31	134	314	21	22	5	236	319	361	680	125	288	22	9	297	86	-24	+2	+0	-9	+41	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	136	23	4	14	60	141	9	10	2	236	318	363	681	127	288	22	9	297	86	-11	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	3097	2744	635	110	16	61	280	660	49	51	11	231	314	350	663	118	281	21	9	299	87	-46	+6	+0	-19	+88	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	133	23	3	13	59	139	10	11	2	231	313	349	662	118	281	21	9	299	87	-10	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	195	57	11	1	2	27	25	9	8	2	292	403	390	792	97	327	11	12	365	137	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	94	21	5	0	0	18	20	1	0	0	223	354	277	631	53	276	17	16	297	86	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,515	32	23	236	314	362	-9	+0	2.3	2.3
	/162	664	14	10	236	314	362	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Guzman (OGILVIE)	20	52→57	36→41	46→51	63	201/307/298	97	233	3	5	19%	11%	80	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramón Flores 2012 · A	20	45→55	39→45	50	45	218/272/307	89	279	7	8	24%	6%	59	-1.1	229/282/328	99	288	7	10	22%	7%	69	-0.4	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	47	37→45	47→55	54	220/301/294	74	277	4	12	20%	10%	69	-0.4	211/284/306	95	333	9	15	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/268/287	93	319	11	18	39%	8%	51	-0.6
●Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	66	-0.6	248/321/370	122	279	11	7	15%	7%	98	+1.6	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Ricardo Burgos 2007 · A	20	45	41→45	48→40	53	213/306/315	103	293	7	6	28%	11%	77	+0.1	215/288/333	118	309	11	5	31%	9%	74	-0.1	191/262/333	141	266	19	2	34%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Raimel Tapia 2014 · A	20	52→62	39→45	46→55	43	248/288/340	93	295	6	11	18%	4%	74	-0.1	266/298/375	109	327	9	16	21%	4%	88	+0.9	280/306/404	124	335	9	19	19%	3%	96	+1.3
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	45→53	37→45	42→45	50	213/288/285	72	271	5	6	22%	9%	61	-1.0	229/295/318	89	286	7	5	21%	8%	72	-0.2	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2022 · A	20	51→52	38→50	50	44	240/283/323	83	297	5	9	21%	5%	68	-0.5	210/254/308	98	266	9	10	24%	5%	52	-1.6	215/285/358	143	270	16	7	26%	8%	76	+0.1
✕David Sutherland 2006 · A	21	53→49	39→40	49→40	50	250/307/338	88	288	6	5	15%	7%	82	+0.5	225/268/299	74	272	6	3	19%	5%	55	-1.4	220/258/283	63	263	6	1	18%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2014 · A	21	47→53	40→50	51→50	45	226/279/312	86	285	8	13	23%	6%	63	-0.8	236/289/337	101	290	7	10	20%	7%	74	-0.1	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
●Steven Kwan 2019 · A	21	49→59	37→45	52→50	52	230/302/311	81	278	4	8	18%	9%	74	-0.1	243/303/344	101	273	8	8	13%	7%	82	+0.5	281/357/391	110	305	8	16	10%	10%	114	+2.8
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
●Tony Kemp 2014 · A	22	47→57	39→45	49→55	52	222/302/307	85	279	7	11	22%	9%	72	-0.2	267/333/361	94	317	5	23	16%	8%	99	+1.7	274/341/362	88	324	4	25	16%	8%	99	+1.5
✕Tyler Freeman 2019 · A	20	47→57	39→40	50→55	44	222/277/312	90	260	6	8	17%	5%	63	-0.8	242/293/327	85	280	4	11	15%	4%	74	-0.1	270/342/362	92	306	9	15	14%	6%	101	+0.9
✕Ismael Munguia 2019 · A	20	48→56	37→45	50→55	45	225/264/305	80	266	3	7	17%	5%	54	-1.4	246/283/331	85	282	4	10	14%	4%	69	-0.4	262/318/369	107	287	11	20	13%	5%	92	+0.7
✕Jose Constanza 2006 · A	22	47→57	37→40	48→60	51	222/294/293	71	286	5	9	23%	9%	66	-0.6	253/308/324	71	326	3	24	21%	7%	78	+0.2	283/330/341	58	331	1	37	14%	6%	87	+0.7
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	44	219/275/308	89	291	6	13	26%	7%	61	-1.0	244/298/391	147	312	16	11	26%	7%	92	+1.2	266/334/421	155	333	15	8	23%	9%	111	+2.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
●Corban Joseph 2010 · A	21	51→57	40→50	47→45	48	242/298/342	99	295	5	6	19%	7%	79	+0.3	241/296/361	120	310	8	4	24%	7%	83	+0.6	270/320/411	142	296	13	3	13%	6%	105	+1.3
✕Cornelius Randolph 2017 · A	20	48	38→45	44→45	46	226/293/309	84	301	5	7	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/280/311	95	307	8	6	30%	7%	65	-0.7	207/273/300	93	296	8	6	31%	7%	55	-1.0