Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 15 | 0 | 36 | 162 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 2.4 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 6.00 | 4.31 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 15 | 0 | 36 | 162 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 2.4 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 1.2% | 6.00 | 3.32 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 12 | 11 | 48 | 209 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 92% | 4.0 | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 3.78 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 12 | 11 | 48 | 209 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 92% | 4.0 | 24.4% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 3.78 | 2.64 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 10 | 1 | 29 | 129 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 10% | 2.9 | 12.1% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.99 | 4.34 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 10 | 1 | 29 | 129 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 10% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 3.99 | 3.44 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 7 | 0 | 12 | 65 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.1% | 15.3% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 8.25 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 33 | 154 | 32 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 20.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 5.80 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 73 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 12 | 125 | 565 | 83 | 65 | 10 | 27% | 2.8 | 14.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.90 | 4.29 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 19 | 200 | 904 | 132 | 104 | 16 | 27% | 2.8 | 14.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.90 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eduar Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.29 | 22.6% | 13.5% | 22 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 82 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 82 |
| Harry Gustin L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 80 |
| Sam Long L 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 80 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 80 |
| Cameron Ming L 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.03 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .308 | 5.28 | 14.3% | 4.9% | 49 | +1.25 | 4.03 | 111 | 78 |
| Kenny Rosenberg L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.65 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.79 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 361 | +1.14 | 3.34 | 755 | 78 |
| Josh Simpson L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 76 |
| Chase Watkins L 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 76 |
| Sean Mellen L 2029 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 76 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 76 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2029 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 76 |
| Christian Torres L 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% | .297 | 2.96 | 16.2% | 9.0% | 141 | -0.30 | 2.75 | 172 | 75 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 75 |
| Vance Tatum L 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .319 | 5.18 | 15.6% | 2.3% | 85 | +0.14 | 4.80 | 116 | 75 |
| Brandon Walter L 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.51 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .270 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 23.0% | 139 | -0.51 | 2.94 | 391 | 74 |
| Jake Higginbotham L 2028 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .256 | 5.13 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 59 | -0.02 | 3.39 | 335 | 74 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 74 |
| Shane McCain L 2029 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 74 |
| Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 74 |