Eliezer Pena

P ACL Rockies

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 167 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKCOL	11	6	43	3.80	2.42	29.8%	12.2%	—	K 20.3% · BB 15.2% · FIP 3.80
2026	20	ROKCOL	13	11	40	5.85	4.58	26.2%	20.9%	—	K 17.8% · BB 26.2% · FIP 6.12
2027PROJ	21	MLBCOL	7	7	36	6.00	6.00	19.0%	20.0%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCOL	4	4	20	5.60	5.45	20.3%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control30Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Kyle Larsen (age 21) · Chris Viall (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.00

FIP6.00

K%19.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.0%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	10	36	169	26	25	5	83%	3.0	10.5%	18.5%	-8.0%	3.6%	7.68	6.54	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	10	36	169	26	25	5	83%	3.0	15.4%	14.8%	0.6%	3.0%	7.68	5.52	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	3	31	138	31	8	1	23%	2.4	15.3%	7.2%	8.0%	1.0%	3.77	3.26	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	3	31	138	31	8	1	23%	2.4	15.3%	7.2%	8.0%	1.0%	3.77	3.26	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	3	31	138	31	8	1	23%	2.4	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	0.7%	3.77	2.29	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	6	43	181	54	22	1	55%	3.9	20.3%	15.2%	5.1%	0.9%	3.80	3.80	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	6	43	181	54	22	1	55%	3.9	20.3%	15.2%	5.1%	0.9%	3.80	3.80	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	6	43	181	54	22	1	55%	3.9	29.8%	12.2%	17.7%	0.6%	3.80	2.42	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	11	40	191	50	40	3	85%	3.1	17.8%	26.2%	-8.4%	2.2%	5.85	6.12	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	13	11	40	191	50	40	3	85%	3.1	17.8%	26.2%	-8.4%	2.2%	5.85	6.12	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	13	11	40	191	50	40	3	85%	3.1	26.2%	20.9%	5.2%	1.6%	5.85	4.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	COL	7	7	36	152	29	30	4	100%	5.1	19.0%	20.0%	-1.0%	2.9%	6.00	6.00	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	40	170	35	29	5	100%	5.0	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.45	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	4	4	20	84	17	14	2	100%	5.0	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	84	17	14	2	100%	5.0	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.07	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	172	141	20	100%	5.1	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.07	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		49	30	150	679	109	119	13	61%	3.1	16.1%	17.5%	-1.4%	2.0%	5.28	5.03	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	40	200	905	146	158	18	61%	3.1	16.1%	17.5%	-1.4%	2.0%	5.28	5.03	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eliezer Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.00	19.0%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.45	20.3%	3.5%	40	-0.55	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	89
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	88
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	86
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	86
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	85
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	84
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	84
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	84
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	83
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.42	301	83
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	82
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	82
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	82
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	82
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	81
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	81
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	19.7%	18.3%	1.11	5.79
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*