Juan Rosas

C Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKTOR	81	.169/.272/.211	0	0	-13	—	.108/.185/.135
2026	20	ATOR	44	.167/.318/.250	1	0	22	—	.132/.250/.211
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTOR	154	.191/.260/.271	2	2	51	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTOR	59	.196/.266/.284	1	1	56	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTOR	141	.200/.270/.295	2	1	60	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV67

BB%61

Chase%55

Speed20

K%15

Z-Con%15

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsSteven Baron (age 21) · Freuddy Batista (age 21) · Frank Rodriguez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .258 / .268

PA66

HR1

K%34

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	51	8	2	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	157	218	255	473	98	206	29	5	218	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	71	12	3	0	0	8	25	2	0	1	169	272	211	483	42	261	31	10	235	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	44	36	6	0	0	1	7	16	1	0	0	167	318	250	568	83	263	36	16	278	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	52	4	1	0	0	2	19	1	0	0	77	127	96	223	19	133	35	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	74	8	2	0	0	5	36	2	0	1	108	185	135	320	27	203	44	6	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	44	38	5	0	0	1	5	22	1	0	0	132	250	211	461	79	247	50	11	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	52	4	1	0	0	2	19	1	0	0	77	127	96	223	19	121	35	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	51	8	2	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	157	218	255	473	98	206	29	5	218	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	74	8	2	0	0	5	36	2	0	1	108	185	135	320	27	211	44	6	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	71	12	3	0	0	8	25	2	0	1	169	272	211	483	42	261	31	10	235	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	44	38	5	0	0	1	5	22	1	0	0	132	250	211	461	79	267	50	11	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	44	36	6	0	0	1	7	16	1	0	0	167	318	250	568	83	263	36	16	278	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	52	4	1	0	0	2	19	1	0	0	77	127	96	223	19	133	35	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	74	8	2	0	0	5	36	2	0	1	108	185	135	320	27	203	44	6	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	44	38	5	0	0	1	5	22	1	0	0	132	250	211	461	79	247	50	11	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	74	8	2	0	0	5	36	2	0	1	108	185	135	320	27	203	44	6	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	44	38	5	0	0	1	5	22	1	0	0	132	250	211	461	79	247	50	11	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	154	140	27	4	1	2	11	53	2	2	1	191	260	271	531	80	289	34	7	244	51	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	173	156	30	5	1	2	13	58	2	2	1	196	265	283	548	88	290	34	8	251	56	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	292	264	53	9	2	4	22	96	4	3	1	200	269	294	564	95	291	33	8	257	60	-14	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	378	342	69	12	2	6	28	122	5	4	1	203	273	304	577	101	292	32	7	263	64	-16	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	427	387	80	14	2	8	32	135	5	4	2	206	276	311	588	106	292	32	7	267	67	-17	+0	+0	+8	+9	-0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	458	415	86	15	2	9	35	143	5	4	2	208	279	318	596	110	292	31	8	270	69	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	472	428	88	15	2	9	36	148	5	4	2	207	278	315	592	108	291	31	8	269	68	-18	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	476	432	87	15	2	8	36	150	5	3	1	205	275	310	586	105	290	32	8	266	66	-19	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	471	427	86	15	2	8	36	150	5	1	1	203	273	304	576	101	288	32	8	262	64	-20	-0	-1	+8	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	59	54	11	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	196	266	284	550	88	291	34	7	252	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	141	127	25	4	1	2	11	46	2	1	1	200	270	295	566	95	292	33	8	258	60	-7	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	199	180	36	6	1	3	15	64	2	2	1	204	274	305	579	101	293	32	8	263	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	234	211	43	7	1	4	18	74	3	2	1	207	277	313	590	106	293	32	8	268	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	255	230	48	8	1	5	20	80	3	2	1	209	279	319	598	110	293	31	8	271	69	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	260	235	48	8	1	5	20	82	3	2	1	208	278	316	594	108	292	32	8	270	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	260	235	48	8	1	5	20	82	3	1	1	206	276	311	588	105	291	32	8	267	66	-10	-0	-0	+5	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	251	227	46	8	1	4	19	80	3	1	1	203	273	305	578	102	289	32	8	263	64	-11	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1659	1499	305	51	7	29	127	528	20	12	7	203	275	305	579	101	291	32	8	266	61	-68	-0	-1	+30	+36	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	119	20	3	11	50	207	8	5	3	203	274	303	578	101	290	32	8	266	61	-27	-0	-0	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3393	3075	607	105	15	56	255	1102	41	26	12	197	268	296	564	99	285	32	8	258	61	-134	+1	-2	+57	+70	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	117	20	3	11	49	211	8	5	2	199	270	299	569	100	286	32	8	258	61	-27	+0	-0	+12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,726	29	14	205	272	308	+31	+20	0.7	0.8
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+7.7	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Rosas (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	189/258/268	79	289	1	1	34%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	38	39→50	48→40	36	186/240/272	87	288	7	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	203/268/343	140	296	15	6	35%	6%	72	-0.7	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	39→45	48→30	38	194/254/281	87	293	7	4	35%	6%	52	-2.2	180/236/264	84	253	7	3	31%	6%	41	-3.0	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→32	41→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-2.0	185/251/286	101	320	10	2	43%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	40	39→50	44→45	38	188/266/266	78	300	7	6	37%	6%	55	-2.0	211/277/337	126	307	14	5	34%	6%	74	-0.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	35→37	41→50	47→30	34	178/224/268	90	273	9	3	37%	5%	37	-3.3	182/225/295	113	262	12	3	34%	4%	44	-2.8	196/236/312	116	270	13	1	32%	4%	50	-1.4
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Sammy Infante 2022 · A	21	39→26	40→45	44→55	37	183/254/276	93	315	7	7	41%	7%	51	-2.2	179/248/282	103	292	10	14	40%	7%	51	-2.3	167/238/265	97	269	10	17	39%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→33	39→50	49→40	38	206/267/292	86	316	5	7	34%	6%	59	-1.6	189/261/309	120	279	13	4	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/248/267	88	297	5	7	39%	7%	47	-2.5	179/255/275	96	316	7	8	42%	8%	51	-2.2	146/235/239	93	260	8	8	43%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Tanner Murphy 2016 · A	21	33	40	47→50	41	172/235/262	90	249	8	3	33%	7%	40	-3.0	180/249/255	75	248	7	3	28%	8%	45	-2.7	163/240/218	54	222	5	2	27%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2024 · A	21	39→29	40→45	48→45	46	187/286/283	96	259	7	6	28%	8%	67	-1.1	184/278/286	102	279	10	4	35%	9%	63	-1.3	163/265/259	96	246	11	3	35%	10%	51	-1.2
✕Ali Solis 2009 · A	21	38	38→45	47→30	40	181/245/259	78	285	5	4	36%	7%	43	-2.8	199/240/315	116	283	13	3	33%	4%	54	-2.0	229/253/349	121	307	12	1	29%	2%	63	-0.6
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	40→39	40→45	47→55	44	191/279/286	95	286	8	10	33%	8%	64	-1.3	187/268/298	111	251	10	19	28%	7%	62	-1.4	166/254/289	123	223	13	23	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→40	45→40	34	175/221/253	78	272	7	4	37%	5%	32	-3.6	185/240/265	80	303	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.8	138/183/216	78	244	10	0	46%	5%	8	-1.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9

Juan Rosas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps